GBPusd Scenario 08/04/2025English : According to our analysis, we anticipate a Bearish scenario.
Morocan Darija : kanchofo d'apres l'analyse dyalna antsanaw hbot
ATENTION : I only share my ideas, not signals.
GBPUSD.P trade ideas
GBPUSD | Ascending channel breakdown retest? before 1.28700GBPUSD Price Update – Bearish Momentum Alert
The ascending channel has officially brokendown after a consolidation phase signaling a strong bearish bias Sellers are gaining control and there’s potential for a deeper move to the downside
Key Resistance: 1.28200 | 1.28700
Key Support: 1.27000 | 1.25700
Risk Management Reminder:
Always protect your capital—stick to your plan and use proper stop-loss levels
Stay informed Stay profitable.
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GBP-USD Strong Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-USD made a bearish
Breakout of the key wide horizontal
Level of 1.2851 then made a
Pullback so we are bearish
Biased and a further bearish
Continuation is to be expected
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GJ SHORTStill on a H4 downward swing leg.
On the H4 there’s liquidity at 1.29919 and an imbalance in M30 at 1.30000 area which i’m hoping price will go to cover.
Verdict;
I’ll be looking for a sell pullback at least up to 1.26500 before hunting buy continuations
GBPUSD sell After strong sell of on friday, it has closed on a liquidity area. The area currently has a strong trend line that can push the prices up, but since the strong selling pressure from friday its expected to sell off after a 50/60 percent retracement on the 1 hr chart.
GBPUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my GBPUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
Explosive Breakout Setting Up on GBP/USD – Here's the Roadmap🔥 GBP/USD Technical Analysis – 4H Timeframe | Market Poised for Breakout or Breakdown?
Key Support: 1.26888
Key Resistance: 1.28829
Market Structure: Consolidation with bullish undertones
Bias: Neutral-to-bullish (pending confirmation)
🧠 Market Overview:
The GBP/USD pair is currently consolidating within a well-defined horizontal channel on the 4-hour chart, oscillating between 1.26888 (major support) and 1.28829 (key resistance). This prolonged range-bound behavior reflects a market in balance, where buyers and sellers are cautiously awaiting a catalyst to drive the next impulsive move.
The price action suggests that this consolidation phase may be coming to an end soon. A breakout or breakdown from this tight range is likely to set the tone for the next major trend. Market participants should be alert to early breakout signals and volume surges as confirmation triggers.
📊 Price Structure and Key Observations:
The market has printed a series of higher lows within the consolidation range, indicating a subtle bullish pressure beneath the surface.
Price is hovering near the mid-range zone, consolidating after multiple failed breakout attempts at 1.28829.
A squeeze in volatility is evident from narrowing candlesticks and declining ATR, often preceding explosive directional moves.
🔍 Technical Indicators Breakdown:
✅ RSI (14):
Currently trading around the neutral zone at 50, showing no clear directional bias. However, higher lows on RSI suggest potential bullish divergence forming, which could be an early signal of upward momentum building up.
✅ MACD:
A recent bullish crossover below the zero line indicates potential for a shift in momentum. Histogram bars are starting to turn positive, supporting a near-term bullish scenario if price confirms with a breakout.
✅ Moving Averages:
Price is trading above the 50-period SMA, which has acted as dynamic support on several occasions.
The 200-period SMA remains below current price levels, indicating a medium-term bullish structure remains intact unless support is broken decisively.
🔮 Potential Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Breakout Scenario:
If price breaks and closes above 1.28829 on strong bullish volume, it would represent a major breakout from the current range. This could open the door for a new impulsive leg to the upside.
Upside Targets:
🎯 1.29650 – Short-term resistance level from previous highs
🎯 1.30300 – Psychological round number and previous supply zone
🎯 1.31000 – Extended target aligned with Fibonacci 1.618 projection
Confirmation Factors:
Break + retest of 1.28829 as new support
RSI holding above 60
MACD expanding positively
❌ Bearish Rejection / Breakdown Scenario:
Should the pair fail to break above 1.28829 and print a strong bearish rejection candle (e.g., Shooting Star, Bearish Engulfing), the pair could retest the lower support of 1.26888.
A clean break below 1.26888 with a decisive bearish close could signal a trend reversal, shifting sentiment toward the downside.
Downside Targets:
📉 1.26000 – Near-term psychological support
📉 1.25200 – Previous demand area and key fib level (61.8%)
📉 1.24400 – Long-term trendline support (if applicable)
⚙️ Trade Strategy & Risk Management:
Breakout Traders: Wait for a confirmed candle close outside the range (either above 1.28829 or below 1.26888) before entering. Avoid false breakouts by validating with volume and momentum indicators.
Range Traders: Continue fading the range boundaries (buy near 1.26888, sell near 1.28829) while the channel remains intact. Use tight stop-losses just beyond the range to mitigate whipsaw risks.
Swing Traders: A successful breakout presents excellent risk-reward setups for multi-day trades, especially if accompanied by high volatility and news catalysts (e.g., NFP, BoE/Fed announcements).
🧭 Conclusion:
The GBP/USD pair is coiling tightly within a critical decision zone between 1.26888 and 1.28829. The tightening price structure, supportive indicators, and market indecision suggest that a major breakout is imminent.
Whether bulls take control or bears force a breakdown will largely depend on macroeconomic catalysts and institutional order flow. Traders are advised to stay patient, let the market reveal its hand, and execute only on high-probability setups with clear confirmations.
This is not the time to chase the market—this is the time to prepare for the move.
💬 Let me know in the comments how you're positioning yourself on GBP/USD this week!
🔔 Follow for more real-time setups, macro breakdowns, and professional market insights.
📈 Stay sharp, stay technical.
Would you like me to generate a matching TradingView chart snapshot with drawn zones and notes to go with this analysis for posting?
GBPUSD break or bounce? Thoughts?GU has been moving sideways for weeks now, is it time for a breakout or will it tumble back down to find support?
GBP/USD Bearish Reversal – Breakdown Ahead?📉 GBP/USD Bearish Reversal – Breakdown Ahead? 📉
GBP/USD has reached the top of its uptrend, forming a higher high, but now the price is retracing within the channel and showing signs of a bearish reversal candlestick pattern. This suggests a potential breakdown of the ascending channel and the 200 EMA, signaling further downside.
🔻 Next Key Targets:
📌 1.2890 – First support level
📌 1.2690 – Deeper retracement level
📌 1.2380 & 1.2160 – Major downside targets
If momentum continues, these levels could come into play. Will GBP/USD break down, or will bulls defend key support? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 👇🔥
#GBPUSD #Forex #Trading #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #BearishReversal
GBP/USD... Sell chart pattren...MY short position on GBP/USD starting at 1.28000 looks like it's got some potential, especially with those target points at 1.25500 and 1.22700. To really dig into this, let's break down the technical setup.
First off, the current trend in GBP/USD seems to be bearish, which aligns with your short position. If we look at the charts, particularly the 4-hour and daily charts, we can see some key levels that might influence the price movement.
*Key Levels to Watch*
1. *Support Levels*: These are crucial for understanding where the price might bounce back or break through. Your first target at 1.25500 looks like it could be a significant support level based on recent price action. If the price breaks through this level, it might head towards your second target at 1.22700.
2. *Resistance Levels*: For your short position, the key resistance level to watch would be around the entry point of 1.28000. If the price starts to climb back towards this level, it might indicate a reversal in the trend, which would be a signal to reconsider your position.
*Indicators*
- *Moving Averages (MA)*: A bearish crossover in the short-term and long-term moving averages (e.g., 50-period and 200-period MAs) could reinforce the bearish trend, supporting your short position.
- *Relative Strength Index (RSI)*: An RSI below 50 often indicates a bearish trend. If the RSI is hovering around 30-40, it might suggest that the pair is oversold, potentially leading to a bounce-back or consolidation phase.
*Economic News and Events*
Keeping an eye on economic indicators from both the UK and the US is crucial. Events like interest rate decisions, GDP growth rates, and employment data can significantly impact the GBP/USD pair. For instance:
- *UK Economic Data*: Weak economic data could further depress the GBP, supporting your short position.
- *US Economic Data*: Strong US economic data could strengthen the USD, also supporting your short position on GBP/USD.
*Risk Management*
Given the potential volatility, setting a stop loss is a good call. Consider placing it slightly above a significant resistance level to limit potential losses if the trend reverses. Regularly monitoring the trade and adjusting your stop loss as the price moves in your favor can also help manage risk.
*Next Steps*
- *Technical Analysis Tools*: Utilize tools like Fibonacci retracement levels, Bollinger Bands, and the MACD indicator to get a more comprehensive view of potential price movements.
- *Stay Informed*: Keep up-to-date with market news and economic calendars to anticipate potential market-moving events.
Do you want to dive deeper into any specific technical indicators or discuss potential scenarios based on upcoming economic events?
GBPUSD Breaks Key Support: Trump's Tariffs Trigger a Bigger DropGBPUSD Breaks Key Support: Trump's Tariffs Trigger a Bigger Drop
Since early March 2025, GBP/USD entered an accumulation phase, trading within a 145-pip range between 1.2870 and 1.3015. The first breakout attempt was bullish, but on April 3rd, a sharp sell-off occurred, triggered by Trump’s newly imposed tariffs.
GBP/USD has now broken below the 1.2870 support zone, a level where the price had held firm for a month. If the pair remains below 1.2870, the likelihood of a larger downward move increases.
Based on current data, GBP/USD might retest 1.2870 before continuing downward, but this is uncertain. The pair’s movement is highly dependent on Trump's tariffs, and any new statements or policy shifts could quickly change its direction
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBP/USD 4H Chart Analysis – Bullish Reversal from Demand ZoneGBP/USD 4H Chart Analysis
Current Price: 1.27883
Timeframe: 4H (OANDA)
Key Zones:
🟦 Demand Zone (Support Area):
📍 Between 1.26873 (🔻 Stop Loss) and current price
This is where buyers are expected to step in and push the price higher.
🚀 Expected Move: The price is consolidating in the demand zone and might breakout upward.
➡️ Possible path:
1. Small pullback within demand zone
2. 📈 Breakout up to 1.29162 (🔵 First Resistance)
3. 📈 Continuation up to 1.31083 (🎯 Target Point)
Important Levels:
🔻 Stop Loss: 1.26873
(If price drops below this, setup is invalid)
🛑 Mid-Resistance Level: 1.29162
(Might face temporary selling pressure here)
🎯 Target Point: 1.31083
(Take-profit zone)
Conclusion:
📉 If price breaks below 1.26873 → trade invalid ❌
📈 If price holds and breaks above resistance → bullish potential ✅
Risk/Reward setup looks favorable from demand zone to target
GBPUSD SELLS INTO March lows [1.2575]My interpretation of price is that GBPUSD can trade to March lows for sell-side liquidity after a run above the March highs for buy-side liquidity and aggressivley trading lower, leaving the buyers trapped
For context: When I say 'buy-side' liquidity, I am reffering to:
1. Market orders of breakout traders who look to buy above highs using a buy-stop
2. Market orders of traders who were shorting the market with a protective stop loss above the highs (once again, a buy-stop)
The same is true for 'sell-side' liquidity, just in reverse.
I look to short if the price returns to the new week opening gap.
Just my thoughts, good luck and good trading to all.
GBP/USD🔹Symbol: GBP/USD
🔹Price: 1.28783 & 1.1.29587
🔹Stop loss: 1.27724 & 1.28818
🔹Take profit 1: 1.30517
🔹Take profit 2: 1.31702
🔹Take profit 3: 1.33021
High risk: % 0.5 🔴 1
Low risk: % 1.5 🟢 2
📊Check your chart before entering.
♦️Check before use to make sure there is no important news.
GBPUSD What Next? SELL!
My dear subscribers,
GBPUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.2947 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.2921
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPUSD:The British pound is caught in a "headwind situation"! The spillover effects of the trade war are impacting the British economy. The divergence in monetary policies between the UK and the US is intensifying, and the technical selling pressure has not yet been cleared. These three major factors have exerted multiple suppressions on the British pound. Currently, the situation remains bearish.
In terms of trading operations, the strategy of selling on rebounds should be continuously maintained.
Trading strategy:
sell@1.2910-1.2930
TP:1.2810-1.2710
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GBP/USD Longs from 1.28900 back up to 1.30000I’m looking for long opportunities around the 5-hour demand zone, aiming to take price back up to the 6-hour supply zone, where I will then look for potential sell setups.
Since price is currently positioned between these key levels, I will wait to see where it starts to slow down and how it reacts. Ideally, I want to see accumulation in the demand zone and distribution in the supply zone before making any decisions. However, overall, my bias for GU remains bullish, especially as the U.S. dollar continues to weaken.
Confluences for GU Buys:
- A clear 5-hour demand zone presents a potential buying opportunity.
- Liquidity remains to the upside, which price may target before a reversal.
- DXY has shifted bearish, indicating a potential bullish move for GBP/USD.
- Price has been consistently bullish on the higher timeframe over the past few weeks.
Note: If price breaks below the nearby demand zone, I will expect a temporary bearish trend to form.
Sell modelgbp usd sell model targeting HTF bias (monthly CRT low). On 1h view sell side liquidity hit smt with eur usd trigger .
GBP/USD Trend Before and After Tariff Announcement✍ ✍ ✍ GBP/USD news:
➡️ The US dollar is showing weakness against the British pound ahead of Trump's tariff announcement. The pair is currently trading near the 1.3000 level, following weak macroeconomic data released during the US trading session on Tuesday. The ISM Manufacturing PMI fell to 49 in March from 50.3 in February, while the JOLTS Employment Number fell to 7.56 million in February from 7.76 million in January. Both figures were below analysts' expectations. The strong ADP data still failed to stop the pair's short-term rally
➡️ US President Donald Trump will announce the new tariff regime at 20:00 GMT on Wednesday.
➡️ US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said late Tuesday that the tariffs announced on Wednesday will be the highest level yet imposed. Countries will then have the opportunity to take steps to lower these tariffs, he added.
Personal opinion:
➡️ GBP/USD will find it difficult to break out to the 1.3000 zone as buyers are waiting and evaluating the tariff policy.
➡️ Moreover, RSI is close to overbought territory and buying momentum is slowing down
➡️ In short, this pair will move within the trend line and may break down to 1.2870 after the tariff news is announced
➡️ Analysis based on resistance - support levels and Pivot points combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell GBP/USD 1.2970 - 1.2980
❌SL: 1.3010 | ✅TP: 1.2930 - 1.2890
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
GBPUSD BUY TRADE PLAN V2Last plan got invalidated before any sort of confirmation.
RE-ENTRY PLAN (Conditional Activation)
📅 Date: April 4, 2025
🔒 Format: Institutional Swing Reversal Blueprint
🔖 Plan Type: Re-Entry Plan (After SL Sweep Liquidity Trap)
📈 Bias & Trade Type: Bullish Reversal – Continuation From Liquidity Sweep Base
🔰 Confidence Level: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (80%)
Reasons / Confluences: – Sweep of prior SL below 1.2915
– D1 bullish trend still intact (no CHoCH or HTF break)
– Deeper H4 OB + 61.8% retracement in play
– Wick rejection + potential inducement flush
– USD macro pressure remains post tariffs
📌 Status: 🔄 Pending Activation
📍 Entry Zones (Highlighted):
🟧 BUY Re-Entry Zone: 1.2880 – 1.2905
(Deeper liquidity pocket + H4 demand base + Fib confluence + final clean imbalance)
❗ Stop Loss:
🔻 1.2845
(Placed just below last structural OB & invalidation of bullish scenario)
🎯 Take Profits:
🎯 TP1: 1.2965
🎯 TP2: 1.3025
🎯 TP3: 1.3110
📏 Risk:Reward:
Approx. 1:2.5 – 1:3.8, depending on entry confirmation wick
🧠 Management Strategy:
• Risk only if H1 or M30 confirms (engulfing / strong pin bar / trap wick)
• SL to BE at TP1
• Trail remainder above TP2 or manually close if reaction is weak
• Exit fully if price fails to reclaim 1.2965 quickly after entry
⚠️ Confirmation Criteria:
• H1 bullish engulfing inside 1.2880–1.2905
• OR pin bar with strong volume wick rejection
• Volume divergence / spike from sweep lows
• Price reclaim of 1.2940 → added confirmation
⏳ Validity:
24–48 hrs only (structure-sensitive re-entry zone)
🌐 Fundamentals:
• GBP remains fundamentally strong
• USD remains vulnerable after macro trade war tensions
• No major high-impact GBP data for next session = clean entry window
📋 Final Summary:
This re-entry plan will be valid after price hit original SL (1.2915 - already done!), then tap into 1.2880–1.2905 zone and gives bullish confirmation.
We treat it as a liquidity sweep trap → smart money re-engagement opportunity.
No early entries. Confirmation is key.
Starting over in trading- A short guideThe internet has made it easier than ever to learn trading for free. You have access to blogs, videos, books, podcasts, and more. Yet, most traders still fail.
Why?
Because there’s too much information. It’s overwhelming, confusing, and filled with conflicting advice.
So, if I had to start over from scratch, here’s exactly how I’d do it—step by step.
________________________________________
Step 1: Master Risk Management
No matter what type of trader you become—day trader, swing trader, options trader, quantitative trader, etc.—risk management is the foundation of long-term success.
It’s also one of the easiest things to master, and once you do, it will pay off for the rest of your trading career.
Risk Management Essentials:
✅ Never risk more than 1-2% of your account per trade.
✅ Always use stop losses to protect your capital.
✅ Focus on risk-to-reward ratios (aim for at least 1:2 or better).
✅ Manage position sizing properly to avoid blowing up your account.
Once you understand how to protect your capital, it’s time to expose yourself to the trading world.
________________________________________
Step 2: Learn & Explore Different Trading Styles
When you're just starting, you don’t know what you don’t know.
Your goal at this stage is to explore different trading strategies, tools, and methods.
What to Learn:
🔹 Candlestick patterns & price action
🔹 Indicators (moving averages, RSI , MACD , etc.)
🔹 Chart patterns (head & shoulders, triangles, etc.)
🔹 Market structures (support/resistance, trends, ranges)
🔹 Different trading styles (day trading, swing trading, scalping, momentum trading, etc.)
Mindset for This Phase:
🚀 Keep an open mind—don’t judge strategies too early.
🚀 Focus on learning rather than making money right away.
🚀 Accept that not everything will work for you—and that’s okay.
At this stage, your goal is not to become an expert in everything but to discover what resonates with you.
________________________________________
Step 3: Pick ONE Strategy & Go Deep
After exploring different strategies, you need to commit to ONE.
This eliminates information overload and allows you to focus on mastering a single trading method.
How to Choose a Strategy:
🔹 Does it fit your personality? (e.g., If you hate fast decision-making, avoid scalping.)
🔹 Does it match your lifestyle? (e.g., If you have a full-time job, swing trading might be better than day trading.)
🔹 Can you understand the logic behind it? (A good strategy should be simple, not overly complicated.)
Example: Mean Reversion Strategy in Stocks
• Identify stocks in an uptrend 📈
• Wait for a pullback (price moves lower)
• Enter when the stock shows signs of resuming the trend
• Sell on the next rally
By focusing on one strategy, you eliminate confusion and make faster progress.
________________________________________
Step 4: Create & Refine Your Trading Plan
Now that you have a strategy, it’s time to turn it into a structured trading plan.
Your trading plan should include:
✅ Market Conditions – When will you trade? Trending or ranging markets?
✅ Entry Rules – What signals will you use to enter a trade?
✅ Exit Rules – When will you take profits or cut losses?
✅ Risk Management – How much will you risk per trade?
💡 Example Trading Plan (Momentum Trading):
• Market: Trade only in strong uptrends.
• Entry: Buy when the price breaks above a key resistance level.
• Exit: Take profit at 2x risk, cut losses at a 1x risk.
• Risk Management: Risk only 1% of the account per trade.
A clear, structured plan removes emotion from trading and keeps you disciplined.
________________________________________
Step 5: Test Your Strategy (Before Risking Real Money)
You never know if a strategy works until you test it.
How to Test a Trading Strategy:
🔹 Backtesting – Analyze past data to see if the strategy has worked historically.
🔹 Forward Testing (Paper Trading) – Trade in a demo account without real money.
What You’ll Learn from Testing:
✔️ Does the strategy make money over time?
✔️ How often does it win vs. lose?
✔️ How big are the drawdowns?
✔️ Does it match your risk tolerance?
If the strategy performs well in testing, you now have a solid foundation to trade with real money.
If it doesn’t work, tweak and improve it—this is part of the process.
________________________________________
Final Thoughts: The Key to Long-Term Success
Starting over isn’t about finding the “perfect” system —it’s about following a structured approach.
Here’s the Path to Trading Success:
1️⃣ Master Risk Management – Protect your capital first.
2️⃣ Learn & Explore – Understand different strategies & tools.
3️⃣ Pick ONE Strategy – Focus on a proven method.
4️⃣ Create a Trading Plan – Define your rules clearly.
5️⃣ Test & Improve – Validate your strategy before going live.
🔥 Bonus Tip: Trading success is 80% psychology and 20% strategy. Stay patient, disciplined, and treat trading like a business—not a get-rich-quick scheme.
