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British Pound vs US Dollar

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GBPUSD.P trade ideas

Fundamental Market Analysis for April 14, 2025 GBPUSDThe initial market reaction to US President Donald Trump's decision last week to suspend sweeping reciprocal tariffs for 90 days was short-lived amid heightened fears of a US recession amid an escalating trade war between the US and China. China's 84 per cent tariffs on US goods went into effect on Thursday, and Trump raised duties on Chinese imports to an unprecedented 145 per cent. Given that the US still imports a number of hard-to-replace materials from China, these developments have weakened confidence in the US economy. Meanwhile, data released last week showed that the US consumer price index (CPI) declined 0.1% in March, while core CPI rose +2.8% year-on-year, below consensus forecasts. In fact, markets are now pricing in the likelihood of a 90 basis point rate cut before the end of this year. Conversely, investors believe the likelihood of a Bank of England (BoE) interest rate cut next month is slightly less likely. The aforementioned favourable fundamental backdrop supports a positive outlook for spot prices in the near term, although bulls seem reluctant to make aggressive bets and prefer to wait for important UK macro releases. Tuesday will see the release of the all-important monthly employment report, followed by the latest consumer inflation data on Wednesday. In addition, this week investors will be keeping an eye on the release of monthly US retail sales data and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's speech, which will play a key role in influencing dollar price action. This, in turn, should give a significant impetus to the GBP/USD pair in the second half of the week. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.3130, SL 1.3010, TP 1.3310
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
GBPUSD H4 | Rising toward the key resistanceBased on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 1.3013, a pullback support. Our take profit is set at 1.3260, a pullback resistance. The stop loss is placed at 1.2864, a pullback support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
GBPUSD Are the Bears back? I've been analyzing GBP/USD closely, and here's my outlook for this week. The pair is currently trading at 1.31123, testing a significant resistance zone that has been crucial in recent sessions. Technically, short-term indicators show overbought conditions—the RSI on the 1-minute chart is at 87, and Stochastic RSI is at extreme levels, both signaling a high probability of a rejection from resistance rather than a continued breakout. Digging deeper into trend and momentum indicators, I see that ultra-short-term readings (such as the Aroon Oscillator on the 1- and 5-minute charts) are bullish, but longer-term indicators suggest waning momentum. Linear regression slopes and moving averages like KAMA and EMA indicate slowing upward momentum. Meanwhile, the Average True Range (ATR) is low, signaling consolidation rather than strong trend continuation. Considering these factors, I expect a retracement soon and am watching 1.308–1.307 as potential entry points. Fundamentally, things aren’t looking great for the Pound. GBP economic releases this week—including BRC Retail Sales, Employment Change, and Inflation figures—are expected to show weakness. Softer retail sales and job growth numbers could weigh on GBP further. Meanwhile, the USD is strengthening, with upbeat Retail Sales data and an important speech from Fed Chair Powell likely reinforcing the Dollar's momentum. Based on my analysis, I anticipate GBP/USD will move lower this week and am leaning toward a bearish trade. My plan is to wait for a rejection from resistance before entering a short position, ideally around 1.308 or lower. Please note things do change so let's see what this week brings :) !
Short
by Sel_Ali
GBPUSD(20250414)Today's AnalysisMarket news: Fed Collins: It is currently expected that the Fed will need to keep interest rates unchanged for a longer period of time. If necessary, the Fed is "absolutely" ready to help stabilize the market; Kashkari: No serious chaos has been seen yet, and the Fed should intervene cautiously only in truly urgent situations; Musallem: The Fed should be wary of continued inflation driven by tariffs. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.3064 Support and resistance levels: 1.3245 1.3177 1.3133 1.2995 1.2951 1.2883 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 1.3133, consider buying, the first target price is 1.3177 If the price breaks through 1.3064, consider selling, the first target price is 1.2995
Long
by BraveTigercat
BEARISH BIASGbpUsd is set up for long term sell. Looking at daily time frame you will observe price formed BOS while on a downward trend the previous week. That triggered a bullish liquidity sweep to previous supply region, which also was a resistance zone. Upper liquidity have been fully filled, expect long term bearish trend which will get to daily demand zone, which was previously a support. Below previous break of structure before upper liquidity movement, daily printed equal low liquidity zones which will likely not hold as demand zones.
Short
by NnadozFX
1
GBPUSD Potential Bull run to 1.3400 Level At the beginning of the month of February we can see price changed to a bullish market structure where market managed to reach the mayor level 1.30 after the shift, in todays price point i do see a continuation on the bullish side for GU because if you look at the chart, price retraced perfectly and retested the initial trendline where the market shifted, after that we got a high volume weekly candle confirming that the trend is holding firm and wants to continue bullish, not only that, price also during the time GU was finding its ground for a move from 1.30 we can see price created a nice Support Level at 1.29 which price broke 1.29 but also 1.30 the mayor level and with not more bearish areas to clear out i do believe price will retrace to retest one or both of the Levels Broken ( 1.30 - 1.29 ) before pushing to 1.34, of course there are more confluences like a Daily FIB where if you take the lowest point ( around 1.25700) to the highest point where price faked out ( around 1.23 ) before retesting the Trendline we can see the 27 ext. be marked exactly at 1.34, not only that if price does come and retest 1.30 or 1.29 we will get that nice daily Inverted H&S Pattern where the Sentiment for GU will come out strong and therefor Traders will get a bullish perspective if they don't have it now. We do have some GBP and USD News for this week and if the DATA once released favors GU i do believe price will reach a PEAK at 1.36 ( 61 Ext. Daily FIB )
Long
by Jcasanova32
“GBP/USD Bulls Eyeing the Final Wave V – Will Cable Hit the Targ” The GBP/USD weekly chart is unfolding beautifully under Elliott Wave theory. After completing wave (iv), price is charging upward in wave (v) toward the final resistance zone around 1.38–1.42. This impulsive structure is playing out textbook-style: Wave 1–2–3–4–5 mapped clearly Recent breakout confirms bullish strength Wave (v) target aligned with historical supply zone If you're riding the wave, keep eyes on short-term pullbacks for re-entry before the final leg completes! Next Key Levels: Pullback demand near 1.2750–1.2850 Major resistance in the 1.38–1.42 zone Wave V completion zone = high probability reversal area #GBPUSD #ElliottWave #ForexForecast #WaveAnalysis #FXTrading #CableAnaly
by Greenfireforex
GBPUSD: Likely to maintain its upward momentum next weekTrump announced a 90-day suspension of the new tariff plan for most of his trading partners, which has, to some extent, reduced the systemic risks in the market and warmed up the risk appetite. The British pound, due to its nature as a risk currency, has become a beneficiary in the improvement of the global sentiment. At the same time, global stock markets plunged this week due to the uncertainty of trade policies, but the GBPUSD rose against the trend, indicating that the market has a strong bullish sentiment towards the British pound. This sentiment is likely to continue next week. GBPUSD broke through some key resistance levels this week, such as the 1.3000 mark, opening up room for further upward movement. In the short term, although the RSI has reached a highly overbought level, if the bullish sentiment in the market is strong enough, the GBPUSD still has the potential to continue rising, breaking through the recent high of 1.3145. The next resistance levels might be at 1.3200 and even higher. GBPUSD trading strategy buy @：1.30400-1.30480 sl 1.29950 tp 1.30750-1.30810 If you approve of my analysis, you can give it a thumbs-up as support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments.Thank you!
Long
by Trading_Grorge
GBPUSD What Next? SELL! My dear followers, I analysed this chart on GBPUSD and concluded the following: The market is trading on 1.3089 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 1.2979 About Used Indicators: A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
GBPUSD BIG DROP ?Market Structure Overview Previous Trend: Strong bullish move after a long bearish trend. Current Behavior: Price has entered a higher-timeframe supply zone (highlighted in green) and is showing signs of rejection. Supply Zones: Major Supply: 1.31750 – 1.32000 Minor Supply: 1.31000 – 1.31300 Demand Zones: First Demand Zone: ~1.30380 Second Demand Zone: ~1.29919 📉 Trade Setup & Plan 🅰️ Primary Bias: Bearish Rejection from Supply 🔹 Scenario 1: Ideal Short Setup Entry: Around current price (~1.30824) or after a retest of the 1.31000–1.31300 zone. TP1: 1.30380 (first demand zone) TP2: 1.29919 (second demand zone) TP3 (extension): Below 1.29000 if momentum continues SL: Above 1.31300 (to avoid fakeouts in supply) 🧩 Reasoning: Price failed to break above supply with strong rejection wicks. Break of structure + liquidity taken above local highs = possible start of bearish leg. 🔹 Scenario 2: Pullback Before Continuation Lower Wait for Break of 1.30380, then look for pullback entries (break & retest). Entry: On bearish confirmation after price retests 1.30380 zone from below. TP: 1.29919, and if broken, continue to trail toward 1.2900s ✅ Extra Notes Watch for rejection patterns (e.g., pin bars, engulfing candles) on the 15M or 30M to confirm entries. Avoid entries during high-impact news, especially UK or US CPI, interest rate decisions, or NFP. Manage risk wisely: Max 1-2% per trade.
Short
by naumanfx_
GBP/USD Short Setup – Rejection from Resistance Zone with High REMA 30 (red line) EMA 200 (blue line) --- Key Levels: Entry Point: 1.31324 Stop Loss: 1.32303 Target (TP): 1.28102 --- Analysis: 1. Trend Context: The market shows a recent bullish move approaching a key resistance zone (highlighted in purple). The price is now reacting to that resistance zone and potentially forming a reversal. 2. EMA Insight: Price is currently trading slightly above the EMA 200 and EMA 30, indicating short-term bullish momentum. However, the suggested trade setup appears to be short (sell), anticipating a reversal from resista
Short
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
1
GBPUSD. Weekly trading levels 14 - 18.04.2025During the week you can trade from these price levels. Finding the entry point into a transaction and its support is up to you, depending on your trading style and the development of the situation. Zones show preferred price ranges WHERE to look for an entry point into a trade. If you expect any medium-term price movements, then most likely they will start from one of the zones. Levels are valid for a week, the date is in the title. Next week I will adjust the levels based on new data and publish a new post. ! Please note that brokers have a difference in quotes, take this into account when trading. The history of level development can be seen in my previous posts. They cannot be edited or deleted. Everything is fair. :) ---------------------------------------------- I don’t play guess the direction (that’s why there are no directional arrows), but zones (levels) are used for trading. We wait for the zone to approach, watch the reaction, and enter the trade. Levels are drawn based on volumes and data from the CME. They are used as areas of interest for trading. Traded as classic support/resistance levels. We see the reaction to the rebound, we trade the rebound. We see a breakout and continue to trade on a rollback to the level. The worst option is if we revolve around the zone in a flat. Do not reverse the market at every level; if there is a trend movement, consider it as an opportunity to continue the movement. Until the price has drawn a reversal pattern. More information in my RU profile. Don't forget to like Rocket and Subscribe!!! Feedback is very important to me!
by Forex_Hoby