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British Pound vs US Dollar

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GBPUSD.P trade ideas

GBPUSD Short On Higher US CPITrade idea Continue longer term GBPUSD downside with diverging macroeconomic data's and central bank policy. Entering trade if USD CPI comes in higher to support USD strength. Fundamentals GBP - The BoE has cut rates from the high of 5.25% to the current rate of 4.75% with more MPC members voting for a cut than anticipated. Inflation is holding around the target rate, currently at 2.3% with an increase in unemployment to 4.3% (previously 4%). PMI's and GDP have also seen lower readings in recent months, all of which supporting the continuation of the BoE's rate cutting cycle. USD - The FED has been matching the BoE with the pace of the interest rate cuts but they have continued to stress the fact that they are data dependant and will hold rates if necessary. The hawkish undertones and the effects of the "Trump trade" had seen USD strength considerable over recent weeks. US CPI has increased from 2.4 to 2.6% with tomorrows release due to rise again, NFP increased more than expected along with PCE and PPI. Trigger - Along with the technical setup below, I will be looking for the potential to place a short order beneath technical levels ahead of the US CPI. If this data comes out stronger to further support the GBPUSD short the order will be triggered. If CPI is softer, the order will be cancelled. Technical Setup 4hr - Clear trend lower with 200 EMA confirming trend direction - Retracement back into a 50-61.8% fib level, 1.28000 psychological round number - 200 EMA acting as dynamic resistance - Weekly volume profile cave filled and acting as resistance 1hr - Counter trendline and channel with price most recently failing to reach the channel high, possibly indicating counter trend weakness. - Unconfirmed double top price pattern, breakout lining up with counter trendline - 14 period RSI showing bearish divergence Order placement will be below counter trendline breakout ahead of CPI release with the stoploss behind the swing high and a target at the recently swing long with potential to extend. If the level breakout before CPI wait for entry, if CPI comes in lower than expected remove order.
Short
by ElGore18
1
Long On GBP/USDI established last week, i would like to see some bullish activities on the cable and it played out but not form the position we would have loved to take long entires from but I believe another opportunity will present it self this week if the pair doesn't go into a temporary moment of indecision which will mean a short term range. we can also sell short term to that place of interest or point of interest as the case maybe, we should also watch out for fundamentals, haven't checked so I wouldn't know.
Long
by Amazoe
1
GBP/USD -15 mins BuyOverview of Trade Setup: This trading setup indicates a buy position on GBP/USD, likely targeting a rebound or continuation of bullish momentum from a well-defined support zone. The chart features several critical technical elements that justify this position. Key Observations: 1. Chart Patterns: Falling Wedge Formation: The falling wedge pattern preceding the entry suggests a bullish breakout opportunity. Falling wedges are reversal patterns that often indicate a potential upward price movement. Double Bottom Formation: The "Bottom 1" and "Bottom 2" zones add further confluence, suggesting the price has found strong support and is primed for reversal. 2. Support Zone Validation: The buy position aligns with a strong demand zone highlighted by price action repeatedly bouncing off this level. The confluence of multiple support indicators strengthens the likelihood of price moving upward. 3. Indicators and Confluence: Moving Averages: The chart shows interaction with key moving averages, likely acting as dynamic support. Equilibrium Zone (EQ): Price consolidating near EQ before breaking lower suggests that this level will act as a springboard for bullish momentum. Fib Levels: If Fibonacci levels were used, this trade likely capitalized on a retracement to key levels like 0.618 or 0.786.
Long
by tamrobert20
Bullish bounce?The Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance. Pivot: 1.2720 1st Support: 1.2646 1st Resistance: 1.2846 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
GBPUSD: Channel Up attempting a 4H MA200 cross.GBPUSD is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 49.376, MACD = -0.004, ADX = 36.982) as despite having started a Channel up since the November 22nd bottom, this is after a long term bearish trend that only now will determine if it will switch to bullish or not. Today was in fact the 2nd rejection on the 4H MA200 but at the same time, the 4H MA50 is supporting. This range makes the 4H timeframe neutral as well. If the MA50 continues to hold and the 4H MA200 is crossed with a full candle close, then we will take a short term long, aiming under the 2.382 Fibonacci extension (TP = 1.29000). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope