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British Pound vs US Dollar

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GBPUSD.P trade ideas

GBP/USD - Key AreaBias: Neutral Trend: Very Bullish Idea: For scalper, safe short can be place after can be taken after a break and closure below 1.27984 Key area: 1.27984, please be mindful that this is a critical area, where, longs can be taken as well. The reason behind this is because it's a break and retest scenario on lower time frame, and respecting higher time frame for better pricing to long. . This is not a financial advise, this is just my idea and genuinely posted to the public. . Trade smart and make wise decision!
by terencejong
GBPUSD Sell Trade Analysis & Execution Plan*GBPUSD Sell Trade Analysis & Execution Plan* *Key Technical Rationale:* 1. *Fibonacci Retracement (61.8%):* Price reversed after testing the 61.8% Fib level, a classic reversal zone in downtrend corrections. This suggests a potential resumption of the broader downtrend. 2. *Bollinger Bands:* The breach of the upper band (20-period, 2σ) signals short-term overextension, often followed by a reversion to the mean (mid-band). 3. *Williams %R:* Overbought confirmation (above -20) aligns with the Bollinger Band breach, strengthening the bearish reversal case. 4. *Resistance at 1.3000:* A psychological and technical barrier where selling pressure emerged. --- *Trade Strategy:* - *Entry:* Sell near 1.3000 (ideally on a bearish candlestick pattern or rejection signal). - *Stop Loss:* Place above 1.3050 (50 pips risk) to account for potential false breakdowns. - *Take-Profit Targets:* - *TP1: 1.2810* (Near-term support, 190 pips profit). - *TP2: 1.2700* (Key swing low, 300 pips total profit). - *TP3: 1.2570* (Corrected typo; aligns with longer-term support, 430 pips total profit). *Risk-Reward Ratio:* 1:3.8 (50 pips risk vs. 190/300/430 pips reward). --- *Critical Considerations:* - *Trend Context:* Confirm the broader trend is bearish (lower highs/lows on daily chart). - *Fundamentals:* Monitor BoE policy, UK/US economic data, and USD strength catalysts (e.g., Fed rate expectations). - *Confluence:* Watch for bearish RSI/MACD divergence or increasing volume on the reversal for added confirmation. *Conclusion:* A high-probability setup if technical conditions hold, but ensure strict risk management and adapt to real-time price action.
Short
by Algo_Trading_Mql5
POSSIBLE SELL FOR GBPUSD?Overall direction is to the downside based on Monthly and Weekly perspective. The market is currently testing the current Weekly 0.786 FIB area. Based on Daily and 4HR TF, the market seems to be forming a possible reversal pattern which could lead to a possible reversal. We could see SELLERS coming in strong should the current level hold. Disclaimer: Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. High-Risk Warning Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor
Short
by WiLLProsperForex
GBPUSD - Dollar’s ​​view on jobs data!The GBPUSD pair is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its ascending channel. In case of a downward correction, the pair can be sold to narrow it. Last week ended with an unexpected shock for economists: estimates pointed to a significant trade imbalance in the United States for January, primarily driven by a sharp surge in imports. The data indicated that U.S. businesses had made extensive efforts to ramp up foreign purchases ahead of the imposition of new tariffs. Economic analysts expressed concerns that this trend could negatively impact U.S. GDP growth in the first quarter of 2025, as increased imports are typically subtracted from gross domestic product calculations. However, Goldman Sachs experts presented a different perspective. They argue that the unexpected surge in imports was mainly due to an influx of gold bars into the U.S.—a trend that reflects the dynamics of the global precious metals market and the price disparity between gold in London and New York. According to data cited by Goldman Sachs, the U.S. imported approximately $25 billion worth of gold in January, meaning that a substantial portion of the commodity trade deficit was driven by gold transactions. Since gold is generally considered a financial asset, these imports are not factored into GDP calculations. As a result, the actual economic impact of this growing trade deficit may be significantly lower than initially perceived. Currently, financial markets anticipate a 77-basis-point rate cut by the Federal Reserve this year. However, this expectation largely hinges on the trajectory of inflation. At the same time, uncertainty surrounding tariff policies remains high. A new report from the New York Federal Reserve indicates that inflation expectations among businesses have risen. According to the report, projected inflation for the next year has increased from 3% to 3.5% among manufacturing firms and from 3% to 4% among service-based companies. Additionally, many businesses foresee a significant rise in operational costs in 2025. Meanwhile, market pricing suggests that traders no longer expect the Bank of England to implement two rate cuts this year. Taylor, a member of the central bank, stated that every policy meeting carries great importance. He noted that the output gap—the difference between actual and potential production—may be larger than previous Bank of England estimates. Taylor emphasized that monetary policies should gradually return to normal and that a cautious approach is necessary when dealing with multiple price shocks. Furthermore, Andrew Bailey, Governor of the Bank of England, stressed that the economic outlook remains uncertain, with risks moving in both directions. He stated that while inflation is expected to rise, it will not resemble the severe inflationary periods of recent years. According to Bailey, decisions on rate cuts will depend on inflation trends, which have so far remained within an acceptable range. He also noted that the likelihood of second-round inflationary effects—where slowing economic growth leads to renewed price pressures—has diminished.
Short
by Ali_PSND
GBP/USD at the Crossroads: Rejection or Breakout? GBP/USD Price just pushed up into a key resistance zone around 1.2775, tapping into that area but showing some hesitation. This level aligns with a previous high and a major trendline rejection, which could signal a potential pullback or even a reversal if sellers step in heavy. The 200-day EMA is sitting slightly above at 1.2784, so we gotta watch how price reacts—either it breaks and holds above for continuation, or we get a clean rejection that sets up a short opportunity. Bearish Setup: If price fails to break and hold above 1.2780, I’ll be looking to sell, targeting 1.2716 first, then potentially down to 1.2505 if momentum kicks in. Confirmation would come with a strong bearish candle or a break back below the previous structure. Bullish Setup: If price breaks and holds above 1.2785 with momentum, then we could be headed for 1.3016 and beyond. I’d be looking for a clean breakout with a retest before jumping in long. 🔥 My Bias? Right now, I’m leaning bearish unless buyers step in aggressively and break that resistance clean. If I see a strong rejection, I’m jumping in for the short ride down.
Short
by SheenaL
GBPUSD - possible we'll see some correction soon. GBP/USD: Possible Reversal from 1.27500 📉 The GBP/USD pair is approaching the multi-year resistance level of 1.27500. On the 4-hour chart, we see a potential formation of the fifth impulse wave. This wave is not yet complete, but there is a high probability of its termination around this level. A significant correction may follow, providing an opportunity to consider short positions 🎯 with targets in the 1.25700–1.25 zone. Keep an eye on confirming signals! 👀📊
Short
by AUREA_RATIO
GBPUSD Week 10 Swing Zone/LevelsWeek by week pinched pips keeps increasing. As highlighted last week, Weekly zone and levels are mapped based on previous week daily high-low relationship (ie Monday HL in relation to Tuesday in relation to Wednesday HL, etc). Using the 5min candle for entry keeps the SL small btw 10-15 pips and TP ideally to the next level. Some swing levels are only marked after price interacts pre-calculated levels. Two possible road maps for the week, a or b? As always price action determines trades.
Short
by PinchPips
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