Gold on another Fundamental uptrendAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: Technical analysis: I have announced that Gold might skyrocket as next Resistance zone is priced at #3,322.80 / break of it might extend the uptrend towards #3,352.80 benchmark configuration. Gold has invalidated solid Neutral Rectangle on Hourly 4 chart and if you recall, delivered #2 additional Higher High’s extension (my chart’s explanation that Gold always delivers #3 Higher High's extensions ahead of full scale reversal, so practically I have one more Higher High’s to expect according to the cycle). DX (# -0.63% almost) is again turning the market sentiment to Bullish on Intra-day basis, and according to my estimations, current Buying sequence was due to the Trump's tariff's talks, which is being aggressively Bought due to the remarks.
#3rd Higher High's extension is delivered ahead of #3,352.80 - #3,362.80 Ultimate Top's and new ATH's and now Gold is consolidating before revealing next major move. That was enough for me to close all my Buying orders and turn to Selling now and if there aren't new Tariff's news, Gold is ready to correct current gains and if #3,292.80 - #3,300.80 gives away, expect #3,252.80 benchmark next.
USCGC trade ideas
Gold Buying every dip as expectedTechnical analysis: Gold maintains Buying sentiment (remember the cycle I mentioned regarding #14-day symmetry for aggressive uptrend extension / Traders are witnessing it) from yesterday’s session Hourly 4 chart’s Support break, however the Selling pace has slowed down as Gold is already near #3,227.80 - #3,232.80 former Resistance zone due Hourly 4 chart on critically Overbought condition.
Fundamental analysis: Gold is isolated within Bullish Megaphone bounce formation and if there wasn’t parallel Buying pressure from Fundamental side, Price-action would be significantly Lower (I highlighted that only catalyst which can revive the Price-action and kick-start the relief rally is on Fundamental side). The Hourly 4 chart’s indicators were showcasing that Gold was Overbought and many other were about to make a Bearish roll-over as I believed that I should start preparing ourselves for a slight pullback (Medium-term trend stays Bullish though especially with DX still critically Bearish, taking strong hits and Bond Yields rejected on #3-Week Top zone). Next Resistance is priced at #3,252.80 / break of it might extend the uptrend towards #3,252.80 benchmark configuration.
My position: Gold is soaring as it represents safe-haven asset, I'd prefer to stay with the trend (Bullish). I have attempted to Buy Gold on #3,208.80 and since Price-action tested #3,214.80 I moved my Stop on breakeven and it got triggered moments ahead which left me without order and Gold delivered #3,225.80 extension. However I have managed to re-Sell #3,225.80. I will keep Buying every dip on Gold for maximum Profit optimisation from my calculated re-Buy zones. #3,192.80 is Support for current Bullish motion.
XAUUSD: 1H Channel Up bottomed and is rebounding for the new HHGold is neutral on its 1H technical outlook (RSI = 52.820, MACD = 3.110, ADX = 23.525) and as it just crossed under its 1H MA50 and rebounded, we have the conditions for the new bullish wave of the short term Channel Up. We are aiming for another +4.45% rise (TP = 3,425).
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Monday Gold Open: Unlock Profitable Strategies & Hot TrendsFrom the current market situation, China has announced the imposition of a 125% tariff on the United States in response to Trump's decision to raise the tariffs on Chinese imports to 145%. Due to the weakening of the US dollar and economic concerns triggered by the intensification of the trade war, the safe-haven asset gold broke through the key $3,200 mark for the first time on Friday. Technically, from the daily chart perspective, within the past seven trading days, the price of gold first dropped by $210 and then rose by nearly $290, and the upward trend shows no sign of stopping.
At the beginning of this week, the price of gold dropped to around $2,956 and then skyrocketed for several consecutive days. By the end of trading on Friday, the international gold price once rose to around $3,245, setting a new all-time high again. The fluctuation range of the international gold price this week was as high as nearly $289. This week, John's signals regarding the rise and fall of gold prices also brought good returns to everyone.
From the analysis of the 4-hour chart, this upward rally is extremely strong. It has been climbing all the way with almost no pullbacks. After surpassing last week's high point, it has stabilized above $3,200. The technical indicators show a golden cross and are rising, with no sign of stopping for now. On Friday, it directly soared to a record high of $3,245, but there was a slight pullback at the close. Next week, we need to focus on whether the price of gold gaps up and fills the gap.
XAUUSD
buy@3210-3220
tp:3240-3260
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Gold Ideas for Tuesday April 15Trend Context: Bullish but showing signs of exhaustion near 3247.
Focus: liquidity grab + intraday rejection potential.
🔍 Market Structure Overview
HTF (H4–12H): Bullish structure holding after the impulsive move 3120 → 3248. Current premium zone tested around 3233–3247 (H4 OB + FVG).
LTF (M15–H1): Reaccumulation structure between 3172–3247. BOS confirmed on M15 from 3180. Current PA shows early rejection wicks near 3230–3240.
🧠 Liquidity Zones & Imbalances
🔴 Supply Zone: 3233–3247 → H1–H4 OB confluence with premium FVG. Still unmitigated.
🟠 Demand Zone 1: 3172–3180 → Daily imbalance + H1 demand + fib 61.8%.
🟢 Demand Zone 2: 3120–3130 → Only valid on deeper correction sweep (low probability today).
⚠️ Liquidity Trap: 3215–3220 → May induce late buyers into supply rejection.
📍 Trade Setups
SELL ZONE
Entry: 3233–3247
SL: 3252
TP1: 3210
TP2: 3180
TP3: 3145
📌 Reason: HTF OB + FVG + premium level. Look for M5/M15 CHoCH confirmation only.
BUY ZONE
Entry: 3172–3180
SL: 3160
TP1: 3205
TP2: 3230
TP3: 3245
📌 Reason: Daily imbalance + H1 demand confluence + clean internal liquidity sweep expected.
🧭 Summary
Price is consolidating between 3172–3247. Upside capped by unmitigated OBs while downside is protected by a strong daily imbalance. NY may attempt a sweep into one zone before real move unfolds. Use patience — wait for CHoCH or BOS confirmation on LTF before entering.
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
XAUUSD Weekly IdeaGold Prices Surge Amid Inflation Concerns and Increased Tariffs
- Gold prices have formed new ATH. The driving forces behind this ascent include escalating inflation concerns and intensified trade tensions, notably the U.S. administration’s recent increase of tariffs on Chinese imports from 104% to 125%.
- These heightened tariffs have amplified fears of rising consumer prices, prompting investors to seek refuge in gold as a traditional hedge against inflation. Complicating the economic landscape, the Federal Reserve faces the delicate task of balancing surging inflation with slowing economic growth, making near-term interest rate cuts increasingly uncertain.
Technical standpoint
A decisive move beyond the $3,167.84 peak could signal further upside targeting $3400 potential, while a drop below this moving average might prompt a reassessment of the bullish outlook.
SHORT ON GOLD (XAU/USD)Gold has found a ceiling and has given a bit of a double top with a change of market structure from up to down.
Its currently retesting the supply area that provided the choc (change of character)
I will be selling gold to the next support level looking to make a $50 move which is 500 pips.
Analysis of the Gold Price Trend for Next WeekIn the current landscape, the gold market has been characterized by pronounced price volatility and retracements📉. From a technical analysis perspective, an overbought correction has been anticipated for some time. Significantly, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicators on both the daily and weekly charts are displaying divergence⚠️, and the price has deviated considerably from its short - term moving average. This strongly indicates that a pullback is essential to restore technical equilibrium. It is important to highlight that the current pullback is not a simple, unidirectional decline. The numerous intraday rebounds are clear manifestations of the bulls' persistent strength💪.
In terms of fundamentals, the underlying support for gold remains robust. Geopolitical risks, especially the continuous intensification of the tariff impasse😨, have maintained the market's strong demand for safe - haven assets. Consequently, this price adjustment should be viewed as a typical correction following the sharp rally in the previous period📈.
💰💰💰 XAUUSD💰💰💰
🎯 Buy@3315 - 33325
🎯 TP 3340 - 3360
Traders, if you're fond of this perspective or have your own insights regarding it, feel free to share in the comments. I'm really looking forward to reading your thoughts! 🤗
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Gold Is Forming a Bull Flag : Targeting a New ATH?Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around 3280 zone, Gold is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 3280 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Gold Long Entry - Consolidation - Manipulation - AccumulationI would be expecting Gold to play the range between 3195 & 3245 before a correction towards our long entry area of 3045. Stoploss is set at 2951 below the previous HTF liquidity sweep. I will be targeting at least 3245, a retest of 3245 after the breakout will take Gold further up to 3286 - 3463 - 3641.
GOLD Sellers In Panic! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GOLD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 3201.5
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 3216.0
Safe Stop Loss - 3194.0
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
XAUUSD Gold Analysis XAUUSD formed a symmetrical triangle pattern (converging trendlines), followed by a breakdown of the ascending trendline, suggesting bearish momentum.
Price has broken below the ascending support trendline and is currently testing a minor consolidation zone, indicating potential for further downside.
🔻 Bearish Setup:
Entry Point:
Current price around $3,223.36, just below the broken ascending trendline.
Ideal sell entry confirmation has occurred with the break of the ascending trendline support.
🎯 Downside Targets:
Target 1:
$3,194.752
This level aligns with previous structure support and is the first take-profit zone.
Target 2:
$3,176.149
A deeper support zone formed by previous price action. If price continues bearish momentum, it will likely react here.
Target 3:
$3,132.646
This is a major support zone and the final take-profit level based on the chart. Reaching here would confirm a full bearish move.
🛑 Stop Loss Placement:
$3,247.014
Placed above the upper resistance trendline and recent swing high. If price breaks above this level, it invalidates the bearish pattern.
📈 Key Chart Details:
Candlestick Behavior: Multiple rejections at the upper trendline suggest strong resistance.
Volume: Volume spike at the breakdown level would further confirm bearish bias (not visible in the current image, but important to monitor).
Risk-Reward: The setup shows a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, especially if holding till Target 3.
⚠️ Potential Considerations:
Watch for fakeouts or retests of the broken trendline. A retest of $3,230-$3,235 could occur before further decline.
Monitor economic news/events like U.S. inflation, Fed announcements, or geopolitical tensions as they heavily impact gold.
✅ Conclusion:
This is a high-probability short setup for XAUUSD, with confirmation from:
Symmetrical triangle breakdown,
Lower highs,
Clear downside targets,
Well-defined stop-loss.
If bearish momentum continues and fundamentals align, gold could slide toward $3,132, completing the full projected move.
Lingrid | GOLD key LEVELS for Potential BULLISH ContinuationThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . It hit the take profit level. OANDA:XAUUSD market bounced off the 3000 support level, potentially signaling the end of the corrective move. However, examining the 1H timeframe reveals the price still remains within the consolidation zone. If the price breaks and closes above the 3050 resistance zone, we can anticipate a continuation of the bullish move. I expect the price may continue moving sideways until the next trading day. However, if the price retests the psychological level below, we can look for buying opportunities. My goal is resistance zone around 3100
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Gold Ideas April 16 ahead of Retail sales & Powell's speech🟡 XAUUSD – 16 April 2025 Trading Ideas
Timeframe: 1H (with 5m-15m confirmation)
Bias: Cautiously Bearish – Waiting for retrace or trap setup
Market Context:
Gold exploded during Asian session—currently hovering above 3280, showing early weakness
Price is extended deep into premium, with key resistance around 3290–3298
A retracement into 3,261–3,245 is likely, especially ahead of NY news
Lower timeframes showing slowdown & FVG gaps waiting to be filled
🔻 Sell Zone (Riskier Pre-News Entry)
Entry: 3288 – 3292
SL: 3300
TP1: 3270
TP2: 3250
TP3: 3240–3235
Reasoning:
Price swept 3280s liquidity
Frankfurt may fake breakout highs before NY data
Heavy imbalance and clean downside path to 3245 if structure breaks
Look for M-pattern / bearish engulfing on 5m
🔼 Buy Zone (Healthier Pullback Setup)
Entry: 3261 – 3245 (watch for reaction)
SL: Below 3230
TP1: 3280
TP2: 3292
TP3: 3300–3310 (if news aligns)
Reasoning:
Untapped demand + FVGs on 1H/5m
Clear signs of previous breakout zone
Needs bullish confirmation—no blind buys
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
Gold short potentially under way.The highlighted area on the 1hr chart 2pm Friday 17th.
Price breaks and hold below the Kijun Baseline, with adequate volume. I took a small sell at this point which quickly moved 300 pips over the following hour, before pulling back slowly over the rest of the evening. If price fails to break back (and hold) above the baseline, I will be looking at heavy shorts, possibly Monday or Tuesday after the bank holiday.
XAU/ USD) bullish trend analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
analysis for XAUUSD (Gold vs. USD) on the 2-hour timeframe appears to suggest a bullish continuation setup after a correction. Here's a breakdown of the idea:
Key Points from the Chart:
1. Rising Channel:
The price is moving within an ascending channel.
After a breakout and strong rally, it is currently in a flag or wedge-like correction pattern.
2. Correction Zone:
The price is consolidating downward inside a small descending wedge (a bullish pattern), potentially forming a bull flag.
This is typically a sign of continuation after a strong upward impulse.
3. Support Zone:
A 4H support level is marked around 3,301.416, which aligns with the lower boundary of the flag pattern.
This is a potential buy zone for price to react and bounce.
4. Target Point:
The target is projected at 3,404.254, implying a breakout to the upside if the support holds.
5. RSI Indicator:
RSI is currently around 65, with previous values near 80, suggesting a slight cooldown but still in bullish territory.
A slight drop in RSI might occur before the next bounce.
6. EMA 200:
The EMA 200 is well below current price (around 3,137), indicating a strong bullish trend.
Mr SMC Trading point
Possible Trade Idea:
Entry: Around the 3,301–3,305 support area.
Confirmation: Wait for a bullish reversal pattern (engulfing candle or strong bounce).
Target: Around 3,404 (as per the marked target zone).
Stop Loss: Below the support zone (e.g., below 3,295), depending on risk tolerance.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Gold chart for the coming week with both buy and sell levels Okay, let's break down this XAU/USD 1-hour chart and factor in the potential impact of US-China tariff news.
Chart Analysis (1-Hour Timeframe):
* Trend: The chart displays a clear short-term uptrend starting around April 10th. The price has made higher highs and higher lows. It's currently trading above both the white (likely shorter-term) and green (likely longer-term) moving averages/trend lines, which supports the bullish bias in this timeframe.
* Recent Action: After a strong move up, the price seems to be consolidating in a range roughly between 3218 and 3240 over the past day (April 12th-13th). This often happens after a significant move as the market digests gains before the next potential leg up or a pullback.
* Key Levels (Based on the chart markings):
* Resistance: 3254, 3268, 3282, 3306, 3329, 3343. The immediate resistance seems to be the top of the recent consolidation range around 3240-3245.
* Support: 3218 (also the bottom of the recent consolidation), 3210, 3199, 3190, 3175 (significant prior resistance/support area), 3154, 3140, 3100. The white moving average also provides dynamic support.
Potential Buy and Sell Levels:
* Buy Levels:
* Breakout Buy: The chart suggests a potential buy entry around 3245. This aligns with buying on a breakout above the current consolidation range, anticipating a continuation of the uptrend towards higher resistance levels like 3254, 3268, and beyond.
* Dip Buy: If the price pulls back, potential buy zones could be found near support levels. A retest of the 3218 level (bottom of consolidation and near the white MA) could offer an entry if it holds. A deeper pullback towards 3175 might also present a buying opportunity if the overall uptrend structure remains intact.
* Sell Levels:
* Breakdown Sell: The chart marks 3218, 3210, 3199, and 3190 as potential sell levels. A confirmed break below 3218 and the white moving average could signal the end of the immediate uptrend or a deeper correction, targeting lower supports like 3190, 3175, or 3154.
* Resistance Sell: Sellers might also look for entries near resistance levels if the price fails to break higher. Rejections from the 3245-3254 area could offer short-selling opportunities, anticipating a move back down within or below the consolidation range.
Impact of Trump Tariffs on China News:
* Safe-Haven Demand: Gold (XAU) is traditionally viewed as a safe-haven asset. Announcements of new tariffs or escalating trade tensions between major economies like the US and China typically increase global economic uncertainty and risk aversion.
* Bullish Catalyst for Gold: This uncertainty usually drives investors towards safer assets, increasing demand for gold and pushing its price higher (XAU/USD up). Therefore, if news about Trump imposing new tariffs on China was recently announced and is impacting markets, it would likely strengthen the bullish case for gold.
* Reinforcing Technicals: This fundamental factor would support the idea of a breakout above the current consolidation (3245) and potentially accelerate the move towards higher resistance levels (3254, 3268, 3282 etc.). It would make pullbacks shallower and buying dips more attractive.
* Caution: Conversely, if the news turns out to be less severe than anticipated, or if signs of de-escalation appear, the safe-haven demand could quickly unwind, putting downward pressure on gold prices and potentially triggering the breakdown sell scenarios below 3218.
Synthesis:
The technical picture on the 1H chart is bullish but currently consolidating. The fundamental news regarding potential US tariffs on China strongly favors gold upside due to increased uncertainty.
* Higher Probability Scenario (Given Tariff News): A breakout above 3245 seems more likely, fueled by safe-haven flows. Targets would be 3254, 3268, 3282. Dips towards 3218 might be bought quickly.
* Lower Probability Scenario: If the tariff news fizzles or is counteracted by other factors, a failure at the 3240-3245 resistance could lead to a test of 3218. A break below 3218 would open the door for sellers, targeting 3190/3175.
Always use stop-losses and manage risk, especially when trading around news events which can cause significant volatility.
Gold Trade Plan 17/04/2025Dear Traders,
I believe we might see a correction down to the 3280 zone. If this level is broken, the next support area will be around 3240."
If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza
XAU/USD Market Outlook – April 17, 2025🔸XAU/USD Market Outlook – April 17, 2025 (15-Minute TF)
💡 Key Notes:
Support Zone Reused: Market has tapped into a previous demand level – ⚠️ “Don’t buy again at this level.”
Sell Setup: 🔻 Sell bias if price breaks below 3321
Buy Scenario: 🔺 If price breaks above, watch for long opportunity toward 3223 area
🟩 Zones to Watch:
3292.73 → First Decision Zone (Minor demand)
3271.85 → Deeper Decision Zone
3259.93 → Better to avoid buying here
3243.73 → 🔥 Best Buy Area → Wait for 1-Min CHoCH confirmation
3226.36 → Deeper liquidity area, final defense
📈 Target Upside Zone: 3370.40
📉 Breakdown Target Range: Zones below 3250 if demand fails
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #SupplyAndDemand #ForexStrategy #PriceAction
Tariffs accelerate gold's peakGold's 1-hour moving average is still in a bullish arrangement with a golden cross upwards. The strength of gold bulls is still relatively strong. Pay attention to the next adjustment. Pay attention to the support of the 3185 line below, and then gold will fluctuate widely to complete the adjustment. Then gold may maintain a narrow range of fluctuations above 3200, and then seek a breakthrough. In this case, gold is still in a strong form, and there will be a rapid rise after the adjustment.
Investment strategy: Gold 3220 long, stop loss 3210, target 3260