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XAUUSD ENTRY 2870 TARGET 2850 STOP LOSS 2878Your trade setup for XAUUSD (Gold vs. USD) is: Entry: 2870 Target: 2850 (20 pips/ticks profit) Stop Loss: 2878 (8 pips/ticks risk) Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2.5 This is a short (sell) trade since your target is lower than your entry. Things to Consider: 1. Trend & Market Conditions: Check if the trend supports a short position. A strong uptrend could make this setup risky. 2. Key Levels: Look for support/resistance around 2870 and 2850 to confirm the trade. 3. News Events: Avoid major economic events (like NFP, CPI, or FOMC) that could cause volatility. 4. Position Sizing: Adjust your lot size based on your risk tolerance and account balance. Would you like me to check live market conditions for confirmation?
TVC:GOLDShort
by Mr_jacky90
Intraday Setup, Resistance Holds! Will Gold Drop Further?🔹Technical Analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) - 1H Chart ▪️ Key Levels: - Resistance Zone: 2,926.704 USD (Marked in red) - 1st Target (Support Level): 2,899.780 USD - 2nd Target (Support Level): 2,880.499 USD ▪️Analysis: 1. Resistance Zone & Potential Rejection: - The red-shaded area highlights a strong resistance zone around 2,926.704 USD. - Historically, price has struggled to break above this level, indicating a supply zone where sellers are active. - The price attempted to break this area but faced rejection, signaling bearish pressure. 2. Projected Price Action: - The chart suggests that if price retests the resistance zone and fails to break above it, a further downside move is expected. - A lower high formation within this zone would confirm a continuation of the downtrend. 3. Bearish Targets: - First target: 2,899.780 USD (Key support level) - Second target: 2,880.499 USD (Stronger support, potential bounce zone) 4. Volume Analysis: - The volume bars at the bottom indicate selling momentum is increasing, supporting the bearish outlook. 🔹Conclusion: - Bearish Bias: If the price fails to break the 2,926.704 resistance, a drop towards 2,899.780 and potentially 2,880.499 is likely. - Invalidation: A clear breakout above the resistance zone would invalidate the bearish scenario, potentially leading to a bullish push towards higher levels. 😊Don't Forget To Hit The Like Button & Share Your Thoughts In Comments.
TVC:GOLDShort
by SOAM_PRO_TRADER
Short-Term Pullback or Bullish Continuation? 1. Top-Down Bias Weekly (Macro) • Trend: Long-term bullish (higher highs, higher lows). • Support Zone: ~2,720–2,770 (overlaps with 20/50 SMAs and weekly order blocks). • Resistance: ~2,956 (recent swing high); next fib extension near 3,029. • Momentum: RSI ~64 (still above 50), MACD positive, price well above Ichimoku Cloud. Bias: Strongly bullish unless price loses major weekly support. Daily (Intermediate) • Trend: Still bullish overall, but short‐term momentum has turned negative (MACD bearish cross, RSI near 50). • Key Supports: 2,820–2,770 (Fibonacci 0.382–0.50 plus the 50 SMA). • Resistance: Recent high near 2,954–2,956; minor supply around 2,900. • Ichimoku: Price above daily Cloud; Kijun/Tenkan below current price (~2,843 / ~2,894). Bias: Bullish (structurally), but facing a short-term correction. 4H (Short-Term) • Trend: Downtrend on the 4H—lower highs/lower lows (bearish break of structure). • Key SMAs: Price below the 10, 50, 100, and 200 SMAs. • Ichimoku: Price below Cloud, strong short‐term bearish momentum. • Oversold Indicators: RSI ~21, Stochastics near ~10, but ADX ~46 indicates a powerful short‐term move. Bias: Short‐term bearish. 2H (Intraday) • Trend: Clearly bearish (consecutive lower highs/lower lows). • Key Levels: Overhead supply ~2,880–2,900. Possible support ~2,820–2,800. • Oversold: RSI ~24, Stochastics ~20, but momentum remains negative. • Ichimoku: Price below Cloud, strong immediate downside pressure. Bias: Bearish intraday. Overall Synthesis • Longer Term (Weekly/Daily): Bullish structure remains intact. • Shorter Term (4H/2H): Strong corrective wave to the downside. Oversold readings suggest a potential bounce soon, but no confirmation of a bottom yet. 2. Key Levels & Confluences 1. Major Supports (Likely Demand Zones) • 2,820–2,800: Daily fib confluence (around 0.382–0.50), lower Bollinger band, 4H oversold zone. • 2,770–2,760: 50% fib retracement (from 2,586 low to 2,954 high), 50 SMA on daily, strong daily/weekly order block. • 2,720–2,700: Deeper weekly zone and next cluster of SMAs/Ichimoku lines. 2. Major Resistances (Likely Supply Zones) • 2,880–2,900: Broken support turned resistance on 4H/2H; possible retest area. • 2,954–2,956: Recent daily swing high. • 3,029: Weekly fib extension (2.618), next major upside target if bullish trend resumes. 3. Indicator Confluences • RSI: Weekly ~64 (bullish); Daily ~48–50 (near neutral); 4H/2H deeply oversold ~20–25. • MACD: Bullish on weekly, short‐term bearish on daily and lower timeframes. • Ichimoku: Price above Cloud on weekly/daily, below Cloud on 4H/2H—mixed signals across timeframes. 3. Scenario 1: Bullish Continuation / Resumption Despite short‐term selling pressure, the macro structure is still bullish. This scenario focuses on a potential bullish bounce or full resumption of the uptrend. Narrative & Logic • Weekly/Daily remain in an uptrend. • Short-Term oversold conditions (4H/2H RSI <30, Stoch <20) could spark a relief bounce. • Key Catalyst: A successful defense of ~2,770–2,820 could trigger a move back toward 2,900+. 3.1 Aggressive (High‐Risk) Bullish Approach 1. Entry Conditions • Look for a 2H/4H bullish candlestick pattern (engulfing, pin bar) near 2,820–2,800 or even slightly above if price shows any sign of intraday reversal. • Minimal confirmation—may act on a small bullish divergence on 1H/2H RSI or a quick bounce from the lower Bollinger Band. 2. Stop‐Loss Placement • Tight stop just below the immediate swing low (e.g., if price bounces at 2,820, place stops around 2,795–2,790). • This keeps risk tight but raises the chance of being stopped out if volatility spikes further. 3. Pros/Cons • Pros: Potentially the best risk‐to‐reward if price does indeed bottom here. • Cons: High chance of whipsaw if the short‐term downtrend persists. Limited confirmation means higher false‐break risk. 4. Targets & Profit Objectives • T1: ~2,880–2,900 (where overhead supply sits). • T2: ~2,954–2,960 (prior swing high). • Consider partial TP at T1, then move stop to break‐even to ride T2. 5. Invalidation • A sustained 4H close below ~2,770–2,760 or a decisive break of daily structure. That would likely signal deeper downside. 3.2 Moderate‐Risk Bullish Approach 1. Entry Conditions • Wait for a 4H candle close back above a short‐term pivot (e.g., reclaiming 2,850 or the 4H Tenkan/Kijun). • Look for MACD crossover back to bullish on 4H or RSI crossing above 40–50 from oversold territory. 2. Stop‐Loss Placement • Place stops below the newly formed higher low on the 4H. For example, if price confirms support around 2,820 and bounces, set stops around 2,780–2,790. 3. Pros/Cons • Pros: Reduced risk of immediate fakeouts; you’re entering on at least partial confirmation. • Cons: You may miss the absolute bottom if price bounces sharply from an oversold condition. 4. Targets & Profit Objectives • T1: ~2,880–2,900 • T2: Retest of ~2,954–2,960 • Optionally, hold a runner for a break of 2,960 up to ~3,029. 5. Invalidation • A daily close below 2,770 would severely weaken the bullish thesis. • A new 4H lower low after you’ve entered also invalidates the short‐term structure. 3.3 Conservative (Low‐Risk) Bullish Approach 1. Entry Conditions • Require a daily close above a significant pivot (e.g., back above 2,880–2,900) or a re‐entry into the daily Ichimoku Tenkan (~2,894). • Look for multiple indicator confirmations: RSI > 50 on 4H and daily, MACD turning positive on daily, and price reclaiming or closing inside the daily Bollinger mid‐band (~2,895). 2. Stop‐Loss Placement • Place stops below the higher‐timeframe support, e.g., below 2,770 (the 50% fib, 50 SMA). • This is wider but offers more safety from intraday noise. 3. Pros/Cons • Pros: Strong probability of riding a genuine trend resumption. Fewer whipsaws. • Cons: May enter substantially higher, reducing initial R:R. 4. Targets & Profit Objectives • T1: ~2,956 (recent high). • T2: ~3,029 (next weekly fib extension). • Scale out partially at T1, then trail stops under daily pivots if the uptrend extends. 5. Invalidation • A break back below the daily pivot or a daily candle closing under 2,770/2,760 would invalidate the conservative bullish entry. 4. Scenario 2: Bearish Reversal / Deeper Correction This scenario addresses the possibility that short‐term momentum continues to drag price lower, potentially challenging the daily/weekly bullish structure if supports fail. Narrative & Logic • 4H/2H are in confirmed downtrends, indicating immediate selling pressure. • Daily MACD is negative; RSI near 50 but drifting lower. • If key supports (2,820–2,770) give way, we could see a deeper push toward 2,720 or 2,700. 4.1 Aggressive (High‐Risk) Bearish Approach 1. Entry Conditions • Short on minor bounces into 2H/4H resistance (e.g., retest of 2,860–2,880). • Minimal confirmation needed: perhaps a 2H bearish engulfing or rejection at a small pivot. 2. Stop‐Loss Placement • Tight stop above the local swing high or the supply zone—e.g., above 2,900. • This keeps risk contained but is vulnerable to intraday spikes. 3. Pros/Cons • Pros: If the market continues rapidly downward, risk‐reward can be very favorable. • Cons: High chance of false breakdown or sharp bounce from oversold levels. 4. Targets & Profit Objectives • T1: ~2,820 (recent intraday support). • T2: ~2,770–2,760 (major daily fib & SMA). • If momentum is strong, a final target near 2,720 is possible. 5. Invalidation • A 4H close back above 2,900 or a bullish crossover on 4H MACD would undermine the immediate bearish setup. 4.2 Moderate‐Risk Bearish Approach 1. Entry Conditions • Wait for a 4H close below a key support (e.g., below 2,820) or a retest/failure of 2,850–2,860 after it breaks down. • RSI on 4H remains < 40, confirming ongoing negative momentum. 2. Stop‐Loss Placement • Place stops slightly above the retest zone (e.g., if shorting a breakdown under 2,820, stops might be ~2,865–2,870). • Allows for normal volatility but not a full reversal. 3. Pros/Cons • Pros: Reduces the chance of shorting the absolute low if a quick bounce occurs. You wait for partial confirmation. • Cons: Could miss sudden plunges if price slices straight down. 4. Targets & Profit Objectives • T1: 2,780–2,770 zone (big daily fib), partial take‐profit recommended. • T2: 2,720–2,700 region if the bearish wave intensifies. 5. Invalidation • A 4H candle that closes significantly back above 2,850–2,860 after you enter suggests a trap, invalidating the short setup. 4.3 Conservative (Low‐Risk) Bearish Approach 1. Entry Conditions • Demand a daily close below ~2,770 or a decisive break of major daily structure. • Wait for daily MACD to firmly stay negative and RSI < 50 on the daily chart (confirming a deeper trend shift, not just an intraday flush). 2. Stop‐Loss Placement • Above the last daily swing high or above a retested breakdown level. For instance, if the daily closes below 2,770, stops could be placed above 2,820–2,830. 3. Pros/Cons • Pros: Higher probability that the deeper correction is genuinely underway, aligning with bigger timeframe structure changes. • Cons: You enter later, missing the initial drop. The move might have partially played out before your entry triggers. 4. Targets & Profit Objectives • T1: ~2,720 (weekly support zone). • T2: ~2,700 or lower, depending on momentum. • Manage the position by trailing stops if price continues to trend downward. 5. Invalidation • A bullish reversal that reclaims 2,770 or forms a strong daily bullish engulfing candle above that level would negate the conservative bearish thesis. 5. Risk Management & Position Sizing 1. Volatility Awareness (ATR) • Weekly ATR ~40, Daily ATR ~40, 4H ATR ~17, 2H ATR ~11–12. • High ATR suggests you may need wider stops or smaller position sizes to accommodate larger swings. 2. R:R Ratios • Aim for at least 1:2 or better. • Adjust trade size so that maximum potential loss is within your risk tolerance (1–2% of account equity). 3. Timeframe Alignment • Larger positions can be taken if Weekly and Daily confirm the same directional bias. • If only 4H/2H are guiding the trade and they conflict with the bigger timeframe, consider reduced size or shorter‐term scalps. 4. Partial Profit Strategies • Take partial profits at T1, then move stop to break-even or a small profit buffer. • Let a portion of the trade run to T2 if momentum continues in your favor. 6. Extra Notes / Contradictions 1. Contradictory Signals • Weekly & Daily remain bullish, but 4H/2H are bearish. Short‐term shorts can be taken intraday, but keep the bigger bullish picture in mind. • If you are taking a counter‐trend short (relative to the weekly), remain flexible to a sharp rebound. 2. Events & News Catalysts • Gold is sensitive to economic data (inflation, interest rate announcements, jobs data), geopolitical tensions, and USD movements. A sudden shift in sentiment can override technicals. 3. Ranging vs. Trending Conditions • If weekly is bullish but price consolidates sideways on the daily/4H, you might opt for range plays between key support (2,820–2,770) and resistance (2,880–2,900) until a breakout. • Always confirm a breakout on a 4H or daily close for higher reliability. 7. Final Summary • Top‐Down Bias: Long‐term (Weekly/Daily) bull trend intact; short‐term (4H/2H) in a bearish corrective phase. • Key Levels: • Support: 2,820–2,800, 2,770, 2,720–2,700 • Resistance: 2,880–2,900, 2,954–2,956, 3,029 • Scenarios: 1. Bullish Continuation • Aggressive, Moderate, and Conservative entries revolve around buying dips or breakouts above short‐term pivots. • Watch for key reclaims of 2,880–2,900 or a confirmed bounce off ~2,770. 2. Bearish Correction • Aggressive, Moderate, and Conservative approaches to short further downside. • Focus on breakdowns below 2,820, or deeper breaks below 2,770 for a more confirmed daily down move. • Risk Management: • Use ATR to gauge volatility and set stops accordingly. • Strive for at least 1:2 R:R, scale out at T1, trail stops for a portion. • Keep position sizes in line with your risk tolerance. • Edge Cases: • A sudden macro event can abruptly reverse or accelerate the move. • If shorting intraday (against weekly bull structure), remain cautious around major support bounces. Final Word: • The primary uptrend is intact on higher timeframes, but near‐term momentum is bearish. Shorting is plausible on the lower timeframes until key supports are tested or reclaimed. To align with the macro bull trend, watch for a robust bounce at or near 2,770–2,820. Always manage your risk carefully, using stops that accommodate current volatility, and be prepared to adapt if the market rapidly reverses.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by EliteMarketAnalysis
Gold is falling, how to trade?Yesterday, the technical side of gold fluctuated repeatedly in the Asian session and traded sideways, and it was suppressed and fell at the 2950 mark. It continued to fall before the US session in the evening, breaking through the 2925 mark and stabilizing and rebounding. Finally, the US session hit a second high and was suppressed by the 2945 line, ushering in an accelerated waterfall decline. Finally, the gold price fell back in the early morning, pierced the 2900 mark and reached around 2888, rebounded and fluctuated to close. From the daily chart, a negative line with a long lower shadow appeared on the gold daily chart. The MACD indicator double lines in the figure have entered the dead cross operation process, but the price has not shown obvious decline. The moving average cluster still maintains a long arrangement. After the rebound, the KDJ three lines now also have signs of a dead cross, indicating that the gold price still has a downward trend. The 4-hour chart shows that gold has failed to break through the position near 2956 US dollars after many upward efforts. The support below continues to take effect at the 2888 line. Today's upper short-term resistance opened at 2930-2935 near the hourly line yesterday. The intraday rebound relies on this position to continue to be short and follow the trend to fall. The target below focuses on the stabilization of the support at the 2900 mark. Gold operation strategy: It is recommended to short at 2930-2928, stop loss at 2937, and target at 2915-2910;
OANDA:XAUUSD
by niwmniwm
XAUUSD:26/2 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyTechnical analysis of gold Daily chart resistance 3000, support below 2892 Four-hour chart resistance 2950, ​​support below 2892-2888 1-hour chart resistance 2930, support below 2905 Gold operation suggestions: The moving average system of each period shows a short arrangement (suppression by the 30-minute and 4-hour moving averages), but the long-term moving averages at the daily level (100/200-day moving averages) are still upward, limiting the deep decline space. The RSI indicator is close to the oversold area on the 4-hour chart, but has not yet formed a clear bottom divergence, so be alert to the demand for rebound correction. Today's market is likely to run in the 2800-2936 range. If the gold price rebounds to around 2936 and encounters resistance, you can try to sell. You can buy after stabilizing near 2890, but be careful of the extreme decline after falling below 2888. Buy: 2930~2936 Sell: 2890near Click my profile for more free sharing
TVC:GOLD
by ActuaryJ
XAUUSD Trend Today - Pullback?Gold news: 🔆Gold prices hovered below a record high of $2,956 during the Asian session. The rally continued as the dollar weakened and US Treasury yields fell 0.43%. At the time of writing, XAU/USD was trading at $2,948.6. 🔆Gold prices have been rising for the past eight weeks, driven by the largest net inflows into gold-backed ETFs since 2022 🔆While XAU/USD is likely to hold at all-time highs, it appears that buyers have been hesitant to push prices higher, with price action showing signs of losing momentum. 🔆Technically, the daily RSI indicator is showing a divergence that could signal a pullback. However, the RSI is still in overbought territory, so further consideration is warranted. Personal opinion: 🔆Gold will have a period of decline to accumulate and then continue the main uptrend. 🔆Note: in case of new news about Trump's tariff policy or war fluctuations, we will consider first. Technical analysis: 🔆Based on important resistance - support levels and Fibonacci levels combined with EMA indicators to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆 Price Zone Setup: 👉Buy Gold 2917 – 2920 ❌SL: 2912 | ✅TP: 2925– 2930 – 2940 👉Buy Gold 2938 – 2940(Scalping) ❌SL: 2933 | ✅TP: 2945– 2950 – 2955 👉Sell Gold 2970 – 2972 ❌SL: 2977| ✅TP: 2965– 2960 – 2950 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
XAUUSD: 3/3 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis Daily chart resistance 2892-2930, support below 2850 Four-hour chart resistance 2876-2892, support below 2832 One-hour chart resistance 2876, support below 2860 Gold news analysis: Last Friday, gold technical pressure 2884 mark further ushered in a very weak unilateral adjustment downward trend, Asian, European and American markets successively under pressure to fall and fluctuate downward, the US market accelerated downward to break through the 2840 mark to reach 2832 and began to rebound, closing near 2860, closing with a decline for two consecutive trading days, short-term gold price encountered resistance at the 2950 mark ushered in a daily level adjustment, today's Asian market opened under the influence of weekend news, gold price quickly rushed up to pierce the 2876 mark, and then fell into a shock consolidation. Gold operation suggestions: Today's upper short-term resistance is 2876-2892. Any rebound before the daily level breaks through and stabilizes at 2892 is a short-selling opportunity. Pay attention to the lower low support around 2825-30. Overall, rely on this range to participate in high selling and low buying, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. Sell: 2870near SL: 2875 Sell: 2892near SL: 2897 Use small size to control risk
TVC:GOLDShort
by ActuaryJ
Gold Trend February 28 - Maintain DowntrendGold news: 🔆The US confirmed that the annualized Q4 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew by 2.3% in its second estimate. However, the quarterly Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Prices were revised upwards to 2.4% from the initial 2.3%, while Core PCE Prices saw an even sharper increase to 2.7% from the previous 2.5%. 🔆Meanwhile, Initial Jobless Claims rose significantly to 242K in the week ending February 22, surpassing market expectations of 221K. Durable Goods Orders outperformed forecasts, rising 3.1% in January compared to the anticipated 2%. In contrast, Pending Home Sales dropped by 4.6% in the same month, a much steeper decline than the expected -1.3%. 🔆However, market fears were primarily driven by US President Donald Trump. After initially stating that tariffs on Canada and Mexico would begin in April, he later corrected himself, confirming they would take effect on March 4 as originally planned. Additionally, he announced a new 10% tariff on China starting the same day and revealed that reciprocal tariffs would be implemented on April 2. 🔆Looking ahead, the US is set to release the January PCE Price Index on Friday, which is the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measure. Projections suggest a 0.3% monthly increase and a 2.5% rise year-over-year. Personal opinion: 🔆Gold will continue to decline in the short term, starting to increase in March when Trump's tariff policies are about to take effect. However, there will be a price increase at the beginning of the Asian session and then a short-term downtrend. After RSI (1H) confirms signs of convergence and the (4H) frame enters the oversold zone Analysis: 🔆Based on important resistance - support zones and Fibonacci combined with EMA200 to come up with a reasonable strategy Plan 🔆 Price Zone Setup: 👉Buy Gold 2862 – 2860 (Asian and European scalping) ❌SL: 2855 | ✅TP: 2866– 2872 – 2880 👉Sell Gold 2889 – 2892 (Asian and European scalping) ❌SL: 2895 | ✅TP: 2875– 2870 – 2860 👉Sell Gold 2842 – 2840 ❌SL: 2977| ✅TP: 2965– 2960 – 2950 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
Next week's bearish play This past week, gold faced strong bearish pressure, closing with a weekly bearish engulfing candle. The daily timeframe reinforced this sentiment with two consecutive bearish engulfing candles, breaking a major structure at 2880. However, Friday provided an opportunity, as we caught the falling knife, entering a long position at 2833, the week's lowest point. Key Levels & Outlook for Next Week Upside Target: We are holding our buy position to 2880, expecting a retracement to this key level. Bearish Continuation: If 2880 holds as resistance, we will look for rejection signals to sell back down towards the next major support at 2770. Confluences Supporting a Sell from 2880 ✅ Fibonacci 0.618 retracement level ✅ Broken support turned resistance ✅ 4H trendline resistance ✅ Overall bearish market structure Plan: A retracement into 2880 followed by rejection will confirm bearish continuation. If price holds under 2880, shorts towards 2770 will be the play for next week. XAUUSD Long / Sell Limit Entry: 2880 TP: 2770 SL: 2898 Note: past profit do not predict future profits Risk 0.5-1% TP1 2875 TP2 2870 TP3 2865 TP4 2860
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by samstoobad
Gold Price Analysis: Bearish Breakdown Below Key Support at 2888Gold (XAU/USD) has broken below the strong support level of 2888, indicating a potential continuation of the downtrend. This breakdown suggests increasing bearish momentum, and traders should be prepared for further declines. Downtrend Scenario & Targets If the bearish pressure continues, gold is likely to move toward the following downside targets: ✅ Target 01: 2866 – A minor support level where price may consolidate before further movement. ✅ Target 02: 2855 – A stronger support zone that could act as a temporary stopping point for sellers. ✅ Target 03: 2835 – A key demand zone, where buyers may step in to slow the decline. Possible Retracement Before Further Drop Despite the bearish outlook, gold may experience a temporary pullback before continuing lower. A retracement toward the previous support-turned-resistance at 2888 or even 2898 is possible. If the price fails to break above these levels, it could serve as confirmation for further downside movement. Trading Strategy Considerations 🔸 Sell on Retracement: If gold retraces to 2888 or 2898 and shows rejection (bearish candlestick patterns, wicks, or resistance confirmation), it could provide a good short-selling opportunity. 🔸 Break & Retest Confirmation: If gold retests 2888 and fails to break above, it would signal further downside movement. 🔸 Risk Management: Set stop-loss above 2900 to manage risk in case of unexpected bullish reversals.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Pipsview_Analysis
GOLD - wave analysis, update for wave 4 Hi All! Wave 4 Correction Before Further Growth Gold appears to have entered Wave 4 of a five-wave Elliott impulse from the 2955 level and is now in a corrective phase before resuming its uptrend. 🔹 Key Levels to Watch: 1️⃣ 2860 – A potential termination point for Wave 4, as multiple support levels converge here: • 0.23 Fibonacci retracement • Upper boundary of the Wave 1-2 channel • Median line of the Wave 1-2-3 channel Gold is expected to find support at this level unless significant bearish fundamental factors emerge. 2️⃣ 2800 – If 2860 is broken due to negative data, the next key support zone is around 2800, which coincides with: • 0.38 Fibonacci retracement of Wave 3 • Previous historical high zone • Lower boundary of the primary parallel channel • Median line of the Wave 1-2 channel 🔹 Potential Wave 4 Structure: • Most likely scenario: A triangle formation, making 2860 the key Wave 4 extreme. • Alternative scenario: A zigzag correction, extending down to 2800. 🔹 Momentum Indicators to Watch: • AO Indicator should reset to zero, eliminating overbought conditions. • RSI should drop to at least 50-40 to confirm a sufficient correction. 🔹 Timing Expectations: • Wave 4 is expected to complete by mid-to-late March. • At the latest, the correction could extend into April before the uptrend resumes. 📊 First target for Wave 4: 2860. Monitoring price action at this level to refine further projections.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AUREA_RATIO
1
If the rebound does not exceed 2660, continue to short goldBrothers, I have been emphasizing yesterday and the day before yesterday that gold will definitely retreat to the 2840-2830 area. At present, the lowest price of gold has reached around 2832, hitting my expected target area as expected. And I emphasized in the previous article that gold has a certain support near 2830. We can play long gold near 2830. We only held the position for half an hour, and we made 100 pips in the short-term gold long transaction. I feel very satisfied with this. Of course, you can also refer to my previous update, which is well documented! Gold is currently rebounding after hitting 2830, but as long as gold rebounds not beyond the 2860-2870 area, gold will continue to fall next week. In fact, according to the starting point of the previous round of rise, it rose from 2586 to 2956 and then began to retreat. Its 50% retracement level is near 2775. The 61.8% retracement level is near 2815. If gold continues to fall next week, it is very likely to test the 2815 area, or even lower to the 2800 mark. So next we will focus on the strength of gold's rebound. If the gold rebound does not exceed 2860-2870, we will still focus on shorting gold in the next transaction.Bros, profits are the ultimate goal in trading. Accumulating profits is what changes lives and destinies. Choosing wisely is far more important than just working hard. If you want to replicate trade signals and earn stable profits, or if you want to deeply learn the correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Analysis Fundamental Overview Helle Guys Here Is My First Analysis On XAU/USD Keep Me Update In And Follow Me For More Instrutions Share Your thoughs In Comments Section Gold is currently trading near the upper boundary of an ascending channel, approaching a key resistance zone after forming an all-time high. A potential pullback is expected from this level, with price likely to test the channel support around $2,914 - $2,900. As Per Our Target If the support holds, a bullish continuation may occur; otherwise, a breakdown could push gold toward the lower support zone around $2,840. We should watch for price action near the channel support for potential buying opportunities. A break above the resistance could signal further upside momentum. Key Levels: Resistance: $2,970 Support: And Target $2,910 - $2,900 Lower Support: $2,840 Trade with proper risk management, as gold remains volatile with macroeconomic influences. Guys Here Is My First Analysis On XAU/USD Keep Me Update In And Follow Me For More Instrutions Share Your thoughs In Comments Section Thanks
VELOCITY:GOLDShort
by Mr_Kevin_Trading
XAU/USD : First SHORT,then LONG! But...! (READ THE CAPTION)On the one-hour gold chart, we can see that yesterday, the price corrected from the $2943 level down to $2918 before encountering strong demand. This led to a bullish move, with gold reaching a new high of $2955 today. Before targeting the next resistance zone at $2966 - $2969, a slight pullback is likely. This analysis will be updated accordingly. Enjoy the ride, folks! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by ArmanShabanTrading
15
Gold short-term trend analysis. Trading range is 2850~2900Gold ended its 9-day winning streak on the weekly chart. The weekly chart fell sharply for the first time since December. The retracement tested the MA5/7-day moving average, and the RSI indicator Zhonghui's central axis value was 50. The daily chart adjusted downward for four consecutive trading days. The MA10/7-day moving average formed a high of 2916 and opened downward and gradually moved down to 2903/12. At the same time, the 5-day moving average moved down to 2885, and the RSI indicator central axis was adjusted. The price was running in the middle and lower track of the Bollinger band. The price of the short-term four-hour chart was in the middle and lower track of the Bollinger band channel, and the moving average opened downward. However, after the hourly and four-hour charts RSI indicators tested the 20 value and formed an overbought closing on Friday, they turned upward. Coupled with the stimulus of the weekend market news, gold opened at 2858 in the Asian session and rose sharply to 2876. A strong counterattack and pull-up was formed. It is not suitable to buy in the sharp rise of the Asian session at the beginning of the week. The 2893/2920 trend line of the descending channel has not formed a break, so the transaction is still based on the trend line waiting for high selling. From the current market, even if the gold price may fall in the short term, we should also be alert to the weak NFP employment data or slowing wage growth this week, which may rekindle the market's expectations of the Fed's accelerated rate cuts and promote the rebound of gold prices. If it breaks through $2,900, it is expected to restart the bull trend. If the negative NFP data will strengthen the Fed's position of maintaining high interest rates, gold may be further under pressure to explore the $2,800 support. After the technical break, the short-selling momentum may be accelerated, increasing the risk of short-term downside. Then for today's operation, the market will definitely stir up more waves. In the case of a sharp rise at the opening, if 2880 is not broken, we can still expect a fall back to the 2860-2850 area. In other words, the long position still needs to wait for 2860-2850 to stabilize before seeking entry. On the upside, if it breaks through and stabilizes above 2880, you can buy directly, and look for selling opportunities when it is blocked at 2890-2900. Of course, the possibility of malicious reshuffles today cannot be ruled out. It would be better to compress the shock range to the range of 2900-2850, and then wait for the trend to become clear before following the market. Key points: First support: 2860, second support: 2853, third support: 2843 First resistance: 2880, second resistance: 2888, third resistance: 2896 Operation ideas: Buy: 2850-2853, stop: 2842, target: 2870-2880; Sell: 2878-2880, stop: 2889, target: 2860-2850;
TVC:GOLDShort
by Jun-GoldAnalyst
Gold weekly chart with buy and sell levelsGold finally delivering its first red candles last week , what will the next week give us ?. Looking at the weekly the bulls appear to be exhausted so we saw a decline in the last 4 days of the week. 2955.5 will be a level to watch in the coming week . For the coming week we can buy at 2864 which you can see conforms to the paralell channel drawn 2871,2884 will be first and second resistance if broken expect 2895 , 2920 as next heavy resistance. on the downside (I think this is more likely ) we can sell at 2848 , expecting 2840 then 2832 as next resistance. It is worth noteing that all the heavy resistance is on the buy side with minimual resistance on the sell side. Please use proper risk management and positioning size. take profits along the way. This is my own view on the next weekly gold trend and is not to be considered finincial advice.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by F0rexBorex
The bears haven’t gone away, continuing to short gold！Bros, I want to say that 2868 is definitely not the lowest point at the current stage, and the bears have not stopped roaring. After gold falls below 2970, market panic will lead to deep selling, which will drive gold prices further down. So the bears have not left yet, and any rebound is an opportunity to short gold. As the center of gravity of gold prices moves down, the current resistance has moved down to the 2895-2905 zone again. If gold remains below this area, I think gold is likely to move towards the 2840-2830 zone next! Bros, profits are the ultimate goal in trading. Accumulating profits is what changes lives and destinies. Choosing wisely is far more important than just working hard. If you want to replicate trade signals and earn stable profits, or if you want to deeply learn the correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
XAUUSD Weekly Long Term Gold Prices— Bearish Reversal Targets $2,746.58 Amid Fed Uncertainty - Gold fell 2.66% last week, closing at $2,858.14—its first weekly decline in over two months. A stronger U.S. dollar and concerns over delayed Fed rate cuts fueled selling pressure, while global trade tensions failed to lift safe-haven demand for bullion. - The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index rose 0.3% in January, with core PCE up 2.6% year-over-year, slightly lower than December’s 2.7%. While markets still price in a 79% chance of a June rate cut, the Fed’s cautious approach has dimmed gold’s appeal as a non-yielding asset. Trade Tensions Boost Dollar, Not Gold - Despite rising global trade risks, investors sought refuge in the U.S. dollar rather than gold. The dollar index climbed nearly 0.9%, hitting a two-week high after President Trump reaffirmed tariffs on Mexican, Canadian, and Chinese imports. The stronger dollar made gold more expensive for foreign buyers, further pressuring demand. More Downside Before a Rebound! - Gold remains fundamentally strong due to central bank demand, inflation risks, and geopolitical uncertainties. However, technical signals suggest a deeper pullback. A break below $2,832.72 would confirm a bearish reversal, targeting $2,746.58 in the coming weeks. - A meaningful rebound may require softer U.S. economic data, a more dovish Fed, or heightened geopolitical tensions. Until then, gold could stay under pressure as investors favor cash and the dollar over bullion.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GOLDFXCC
XAUUSD Analysis & Trading Plan 🔹 Market Sentiment: Gold appears bearish today, but key technical signals indicate a potential reversal. 🔹 Technical Outlook: 📊 RSI (14): Oversold, forming a bullish divergence, signaling possible buying interest. 📉 Support Zone: $2853 – $2845 (Potential bearish continuation level). 📈 Resistance Levels: $2865 / $2878 (If bullish momentum builds). 🔍 Price Action: Monitoring for reversal confirmation via candlestick patterns (bullish engulfing, pin bars). 📌 Trading Plan: ✅ Wait for bullish confirmation near $2845–$2853. ✅ If price holds support, consider long positions targeting $2865–$2878. ✅ If breakdown occurs, next support to watch: $2830. ✅ Always manage risk with stop-loss placement & position sizing. 🔔 Stay Alert! High-impact news can shift momentum quickly. 🚀
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Trade_with_Ray
XAUUSDGold technical analysis Daily chart resistance 3000, support below 2888 Four-hour chart resistance 2918, support below 2888-2850 Gold operation suggestions: Gold began to fall after being suppressed at the 2930 mark in the Asian and European sessions yesterday. The European session continued to fall under pressure at the 2920 mark. The US session accelerated downward to break through the 2900 integer mark and stabilized at the 2890 line to bottom out and rebound. Then the gold price fluctuated and rose to close above 2910 From the 4-hour analysis, the upper resistance is around 2918, and the short-term support below is 2888. If it falls below the new low, it may accelerate its decline during the day and can be seen near 2850. If it is a false breakthrough, the final daily line closes above 2890 or fluctuates widely. In the middle position, watch more and move less, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. SELL:2888near SL:2892 BUY:2890near SL:2887 Use small size to control risk
TVC:GOLDLong
by ActuaryJ