My Idea on Gold XAUUSD Alright . so i see that #Gold created an ATH after that the momentum of buyers slow .
and price action shows me that bears start to sell GOLD .
My expectation we gonna see a big pull back or this the beginning of pull back .
USCGC trade ideas
xauusd analysis for coming weekKey Factors Influencing XAU/USD
Monetary Policy & Interest Rates:
By early 2025, the Federal Reserve’s stance will be critical. If rate cuts are underway (due to recession risks or controlled inflation), gold could rally as the USD weakens. Conversely, a "higher-for-longer" rate policy could cap gains.
Watch for Fed speeches and the PCE inflation report (due late February 2025) for clues.
Geopolitical Risks:
Escalations in conflicts, trade tensions, or unexpected crises (e.g., energy disruptions, elections) could trigger safe-haven demand for gold.
USD Strength:
A strong dollar (e.g., from robust U.S. economic data) may pressure gold. Monitor the DXY Index for inverse correlations.
Scenario-Based Outlook
Bullish Case:
Fed dovishness + weak USD + geopolitical instability → Rally toward $2,100–2,150/oz.
Bearish Case:
Hawkish Fed + strong U.S. data + risk-on sentiment → Decline toward $1,900–1,850/oz.
Trading Strategy
Long-term investors: Accumulate near $1,920–1,950/oz if fundamentals align with bullish drivers.
Critical Events to Monitor
Fed Chair Powell’s testimony (if scheduled).
U.S. Q4 GDP revisions (February 27, 2025).
Global PMI data (manufacturing/services activity).
Geopolitical developments (e.g., U.S.-China relations, Middle East tensions).
Conclusion
Gold’s trajectory will hinge on the interplay between Fed policy, the dollar, and risk sentiment. While technicals suggest a range-bound market between $1,900–2,080/oz, prepare for volatility around key data releases. Always use risk management tools (stop-loss, position sizing) given the uncertainty of long-term forecasts.
more detailed video analysis will be published soon
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MSFT Long on XAUUSDWhy do I want to go long on XAUUSD ?
1. Bullish structure
2. Major resistance is broken and waiting for a reversal candlestick
3. A retest on my 50 EMA on the H1
4.
GOLD → ATH Retest. High chance of breakout and growth to $3KFX:XAUUSD has again approached ATH 2938 - 2942. This yours increases the chance of resistance breakout and further growth. We are getting closer and closer to $3000
The market maintains recent gains as it awaits the release of minutes from the January Fed meeting and news of Trump's tariff plans. The US President threatened to impose duties on pharmaceuticals and chips, and confirmed the imposition of tariffs on automobiles from April 2, which strengthened demand for defensive assets.
The lack of progress in peace talks between the US and Russia has also supported gold prices. However, traders are cautious ahead of the release of Fed minutes, which could cool expectations of rate cuts this year.
Technically, all eyes are on the conglomerate resistance at 2938 - 2942. A breakdown and consolidation of the price above this area will provoke further growth
Resistance levels: 2938, 2942
Support levels: 2924, 2915
Gold is in local pre-breakdown consolidation 2938 - 2924. Emphasis on these boundaries. Breakout and consolidation of the price above the resistance can provoke continuation of growth. But, before the growth the price may test the nearest support.
Regards R. Linda!
XAUUSDfinally over a year gold has rised 8600 pip which is incradibly insane, i see gold potentially trapping buyer at this high price my prediction is very simple it might may not be the same for sure.. as we still see how this month is going to close after all monthly 11 bullish candle and only 2 bearish candle has been performed, trade what you see, not what we think. happy weekend. what you think let me know in the comment.
xauusd Strong Selling Zone analysis...The technical analysis I'm provided seems to outline a bearish scenario for a financial instrument, possibly gold (🪙), based on the concept of a *bearish order block* and a *neckline breakdown*. Here's a breakdown of the key points and their implications:
---
### 1. *Bearish Order Block*
- An *order block* is a key concept in market structure analysis, often associated with institutional trading. A *bearish order block* typically forms after a strong downward move, where price consolidates before continuing lower.
- In this case, the bearish order block is identified around *2880*, which suggests this level acted as a resistance-turned-support zone before the breakdown.
---
### 2. *Neckline Breakdown*
- A *neckline* is a critical level in chart patterns like head and shoulders or double tops/bottoms. A breakdown below the neckline confirms a bearish reversal.
- The breakdown at *2880* indicates a shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish, signaling potential further downside.
---
### 3. *Retracement to Resistance (2910)*
- After the breakdown, price often retraces to test the broken support level (now resistance) to confirm the bearish structure.
- The retracement to *2910* is likely a test of the resistance zone, where sellers may re-enter the market to push price lower.
---
### 4. *Target Levels*
- *1st Target: 2865*
This is the initial downside target after the breakdown, representing a short-term profit-taking level.
- *Strong Support: 2842*
This level is identified as a significant support zone where price may pause or reverse temporarily.
- *Final Target: 2760*
This is the ultimate bearish target, likely based on measured moves or Fibonacci extensions from the breakdown.
---
### 5. *Gold (🪙) Sell Setup*
- The analysis suggests a *sell strategy* for gold, with the expectation of a downward move toward the target levels.
- Key levels to watch:
- *Resistance:* 2910 (retracement level)
- *Breakdown Level:* 2880
- *Targets:* 2865 (1st target), 2842 (strong support), 2760 (final target).
---
### Summary of the Trade Setup:
- *Entry:* Sell near *2910* (retracement to resistance) or after a confirmed breakdown below *2880*.
- *Stop Loss:* Above *2910* or *2880*, depending on risk tolerance.
- *Targets:*
1. *2865* (1st target)
2. *2842* (strong support)
3. *2760* (final target).
---
### Additional Considerations:
- Monitor price action around the *2842* support level. If price holds here, it could lead to a reversal or consolidation.
- Use risk management tools like stop-loss orders to protect against unexpected price movements.
- Confirm the bearish bias with additional indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD, or volume analysis) for higher probability setups.
Let me know if you'd like further clarification or assistance! 🪙📉
DeGRAM | GOLD retest of the dynamic resistanceGOLD is in an ascending channel above the trend lines.
The price is testing the resistance level and the trend line, which held it back during the last week.
The indicators on the 1H Timeframe indicate the formation of a bearish divergence.
We expect a decline.
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Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Trading Signals for GOLD sell below $2,946Early in the American session, gold was trading around 2,935, around the 21 SMS=A within the bullish trend channel forming since the beginning of February.
After having made a technical correction and reaching its high around 2,954, gold is now showing signs of a further bullish movement. We believe that if the metal consolidates above 2,933 in the next few days, we could expect it to continue rising until it reaches the 6/8 Murray located at 2,968.
The outlook could be negative below 2,946 (21 SMA) and a sharp break below the bullish trend channel could indicate a strong technical correction. if this scenario occurs, we could expect gold to fall towards 2,890. The price could even eventually fall towards the 200 EMA located at 2,845.
On daily and weekly charts, gold is showing exhaustion and overbought signs. So, we believe that any technical bounce will be seen as a signal to sell below 6/8 of Murray
$GOLD** OANDA:XAUUSD 🐂**
I see that ** OANDA:XAUUSD is still staying bullish** and currently in the **demand area**, which could be a good entry point.
However, certain conditions must be met before entering:
- **The demand zone must hold** (not be broken to the downside).
- **There must be a reversal** to ensure a safer entry.
- **Observe what happens when the price enters the demand zone** – does it bounce or not?
See you! Hopefully, ** TVC:GOLD ** moves according to our plan. 🚀✨
Bearish Harmonic on $XAUUSD - D1 ChartThe OANDA:XAUUSD must close below 10 SMA before taking shorts. The bearish harmonic is valid until $2988. Final Target $2727
gold weekgold
entry 2455
tp 2700
tp 2850
I am holding my new Buying order with #2,455.80 Resistance break-out on main stage with #2,700.80 benchmark as my Target.
XAUUSD Sell Setup Xauusd has rejected 2939 level for the third time. So it’s possible it will retest its supports.
If 1 hr candle closes below 2928 than sell with targets given as yellow horizontal lines.
Wait for the candle to close dont rush.
Sl just above the candle which closes below 2928.
GOLD (XAU/USD) H1 Technical Analysis: Bullish Breakout Targets 3Looking at the H1 timeframe for Gold, we're seeing a clear bullish momentum with several key technical developments:
Market Structure:
Price has made a decisive breakout above the previous resistance level around 2950
Strong bullish candle formation with minimal upper wicks, indicating buyer control
Moving averages aligned bullishly, with price comfortably above all MAs
Clear higher highs and higher lows structure maintained
Key Levels:
Immediate Support: 2943.90 (Previous resistance turned support)
Current Price: ~2951.31
Next Major Target: 3000.00 (Psychological level)
Breakout Level: 2949.37
Technical Indicators:
Volume showing increased buying pressure on the breakout
Momentum indicators in the bottom panel showing positive divergence
Price trading above all major moving averages, confirming bullish trend
Trading Considerations:
The blue box indicates a potential continuation zone
Look for pullbacks to the 2943-2945 zone for potential long entries
Risk management crucial at these all-time high levels
Monitor for potential exhaustion signals near the 3000 psychological level
XAU/USD Pullback or Reversal? Key Support Zone in Focus!📊 Gold (XAU/USD) Daily Chart Analysis – Feb 16, 2025
🔹 Current Price: $2,882.48 (-1.57%)
🔻 Recent High: $2,939.98
🔻 Recent Low: $2,877.03
🔴 200 EMA: $2,562.04 (Long-term support)
🧐 Key Observations:
✅ Strong Uptrend: Price has been in a bullish trend since late 2024.
✅ Support Zone: A key demand zone around $2,850 - $2,870 (highlighted in blue).
✅ Trendline Retest: The price is testing the trendline, which could act as support.
📉 Possible Scenarios:
🔹 Bullish Case: If buyers step in at the support zone, we could see a bounce towards $2,950 - $3,000 🚀.
🔹 Bearish Case: A breakdown below $2,850 may trigger a deeper pullback to $2,800 - $2,750 ❄️.
🎯 Trading Plan:
📌 Buy Setup: Look for bullish confirmation (e.g., reversal candles) in the support zone before entering long.
📌 Sell Setup: If the price closes below $2,850, short positions could be considered with targets near $2,750.
🔥 Final Thoughts: Despite today’s pullback, gold remains bullish unless key support levels break. Watching price action around the blue zone will be crucial!
📢 Traders, what’s your take? Are we bouncing or breaking down? Let’s discuss! 👇💬 #Gold #XAUUSD
New Support formed on GOLDSupporting Uptrend lines were holding in the last couple of weeks.
Gold formed a new supporting area between 2748 and 2789
Addtionally we have and a strong daily support at 2882.
Opportunity for XAUUSD Long position - SMCPrice tapped into the outlined FVG indicated by purple box and has high potential to continue its upward trend close to 2,968. Possible re entries into FVG during early Asian session before more upward movement. Keep on eye out for new FVGs to enter into a long position and trail your SL below them
GOLD 1H ROUTE MAP ON BULLISH CONTINUEHey there on 1HTF GOLD looking for bullish continue after today we saw it has continue rise from 2921 and then we see 2956 with there breaks next resistance and now we can see also sell zone from 2956 to 2935 and now continue rise bullish candle continue
So possibly we can see gold will pullback after touch 2950-56 but if the price didn't break then with extension we might see gold next HH zone 2962-68-76-88
With To resistance area gold likely fall down
2950-2956-2962-2968
Good luck
GOLD Short ViewDo not ask why. Gold is manipulated and its can not become diamonds. the price is too high and its making good view for short. take trade on your risk.
Gold might descend to a support level, breaching the resistance Hi, traders. I'd like to share with you my thoughts on Gold. On this chart, we can observe that the price has recovered from the mirror line and begun to rise. Shortly later, it approached the support level, broke it, and hovered for a while before returning to the mirror line. Later, the price broke through the support level once more and resumed trading inside a range. During this phase, it climbed to the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone, before retreating to the mirror line. Gold then dipped into the buyer zone before quickly rising over the mirror line and into the seller zone. Following this movement, XAU corrected below the mirror line and resumed its upward journey. Shortly later, the price approached the resistance level, broke through it, and departed the range. For a while, gold traded above the seller zone, but it subsequently plummeted and is presently hovering at the 2930 resistance level within the sale zone. I anticipate Gold will climb little before continuing to drop, eventually shattering the resistance level. Furthermore, I believe that following the breakout, it will prolong its slide toward the 2865 support level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost! 🚀
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📉 XAU/USD - Bearish Reversal from Seller Zone! 🚨
💰 Gold Spot (XAU/USD) - 1H Chart Analysis
Key Insights:
🔹 Resistance Level Held Strong – Price tested the seller zone but failed to break through, signaling strong bearish momentum.
🔹 Buyer Zone Played Out – Earlier, buyers pushed the price up from a strong accumulation zone, but exhaustion is visible now.
🔹 False Breakout & Range Formation – A range developed at the top, indicating distribution before a potential drop.
🔹 Support Level in Sight – If the price follows the projected path, we might see a test of the $2,865 - $2,850 zone soon.
📊 Trading Plan:
📌 Bearish Bias: Look for short opportunities as long as price stays below resistance.
📌 Confirmation Needed: A break below $2,930 would strengthen bearish sentiment.
📌 Targets: $2,900, then $2,865 - $2,850.
🚀 What do you think? Will gold break down or bounce back? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 👇🔥
#gold #xauusd #trading #forex #priceaction #technicalanalysis
XAU/USD – False Breakouts & Bearish Setup!Why Might Gold Continue to Decline Further?
According to our latest two analyses, price fluctuations have verified our first thoughts. During the initial bullish attempt, gold achieved a new all-time high of $2946.80 before retracing back below the structure to $2918.46. The following day, gold rose to $2954.80 before falling below the structure to $2916.60.
For the time being, we have had two distinct fake bullish breakouts.
Given the significant price reactions in that zone, Gold is likely to continue its bearish trend up to $2880.
However, selling gold remains very risky due to the strong bullish trend. The price could potentially make a new all-time high and break $2955 if significant market manipulation occurs again. Based on the current data, it seems that Gold has a higher probability of moving down this time.
💰 Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis – 1H Chart
Gold attempted to break above a key resistance zone ($2,944 - $2,946) but faced two false breakouts, indicating weak bullish momentum. The price has started to reject this level, suggesting a potential downward move. 📉
🔑 Key Observations:
🚨 False Breakouts: Price failed to hold above resistance, showing weakness.
📉 Bearish Patterns: Price is forming lower highs, signaling potential downside.
🎯 Bearish Targets:
First Target: $2,916
Second Target: $2,906
Major Target: $2,889 - $2,882
Final Target: $2,871
📉 Potential Bearish Scenario:
✅ If the price breaks below $2,916, it could accelerate the bearish move.
✅ A break below $2,906 could confirm further downside pressure.
✅ The $2,882 - $2,871 support zone is the key area to watch for a reversal or continuation lower.
⚠️ Alternative Scenario:
📈 If the price reclaims $2,946, we could see another bullish attempt toward $2,954
GOLD if it breaks 2955 will go to 3000.Resistance at 2955 plays a key role. The clear line shows the bears' defense, which is gradually giving weakness and can be broken. A break of 2955 will open the way to 3000.
Bulls are buying the potential within the rising support line. Any false breakout or touch of the line is aggressively bought out and the price rises. This could continue for a long time for fundamental reasons.
Scenario: waiting for either a break of resistance or a false break of support. Medium-term target of 3K is still relevant
Gold (XAU/USD) Approaching Key Resistance – Breakout or PullbackGold sets a new high of $2,936! Discover a purchase opportunity at the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level and breaker block for potential momentum.
This chart represents a technical analysis of XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar) on a daily timeframe using Fibonacci retracement and extension levels. Here's a breakdown of the possible market trend:
Key Observations:
Current Price: ~2,936.26 USD
Fibonacci Levels:
1.618 Extension: ~2,950.07 (Potential Resistance)
1.414 Extension: ~2,898.07
0.618 Retracement: ~2,695.15 (Potential Support)
0.5 Retracement: ~2,665.07
0.382 Retracement: ~2,634.99
Trend Structure:
The price has been in a strong uptrend since late 2024.
The next key resistance appears near 2,950 (1.618 Fibonacci extension).
A possible correction may occur around 2,950, leading to a retracement before further upside.
Possible Trading Ideas:
Bullish Scenario:
If the price breaks above 2,950, the next leg higher could extend towards 3,000+ USD.
Buyers may enter on a pullback around the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement (~2,695) before another bullish move.
Bearish Scenario (Correction Phase):
A rejection from 2,950 could lead to a retracement to the 2,700–2,665 zone.
A deeper correction may test the 2,537 support area.
Xauusd after breaking trendline? XAUUSD GOLD Update | H1 timeframe 🙌
This education is based on Technical aspect Resistance and support ❗️
- Our observation point at 2930.00 point market reject from that point and we are expecting that Resistance 2941.932 which was previous Support
If h4 candle above closed from this region we are expecting again the retest at 2948 - 2954.00
On the otherhand, if trendline break we are expecting the lower area at 2918.00 to 2910.00
