Bullish momentum is strong, keep an eye on key positions
📌 Driving events
On Monday (April 14), spot gold fell slightly during the day, hitting a record high of $3,245.42/ounce earlier before falling back. Despite a small adjustment during the day, the price of gold remained above the key mark of $3,200/ounce, indicating that the overall market sentiment is still cautiously optimistic. The main factors driving this round of market conditions include uncertainty in the global trade environment, a weaker dollar, and continued warming of safe-haven demand. During the session, investors' reactions to the latest tariff remarks increased gold price volatility, but fundamental and technical support remained solid, and the strong pattern of gold did not show any significant shakes.
📊 Commentary and analysis
From a technical perspective, the trend of spot gold continued its recent strong pattern. On the daily level, gold prices have continued to run along the rising channel since breaking through $3,000/ounce. Although there was a small correction during the day, the overall bullish trend was not damaged. The current price is firmly above $3,200/ounce, which has become a key psychological and support level in the short term. If the gold price can continue to hold this area, bulls may further challenge $3,250/ounce or even higher.
On the hourly chart, after the gold price surged to $3,245.42/ounce in the morning, it was suppressed by short-term profit-taking and showed signs of decline.
However, from a longer-term perspective, the upward slope of gold prices since the end of last year has remained stable, and there has been no significant retracement after breaking through key resistance levels many times, reflecting the resilience of the bulls. Analysts pointed out that the support of $3,200/ounce is strong. If the subsequent price can hold this level, the bulls may exert their strength again in the next few days.
💰Strategy package
Upper pressure - 3260-3280
Lower support - 3210-3200
Start time 3220-30 Continue to go long
Take profit 3240
Stop loss 3210
⭐️Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their capital
- Choose the number of lots that matches your capital
- Take profit equals 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss equals 1-3% of the capital account
USCGC trade ideas
Gold is strong and is adjusting today!The rise and fall broke the pattern of the morning cycle, which means that this wave of unilateral rising from 3211 to 3357 can temporarily come to an end. This time the whole increase was as high as 146 US dollars, and there was no correction throughout the whole process. This kind of extreme market situation is rare in history. The bold will die of overeating and the timid will starve to death. It is very suitable for novices who have just entered the market. Blindly chasing the long position will have a miraculous effect, which is the so-called novice protection period.
As the market will be closed tomorrow for Easter, gold is destined not to rise like yesterday, but will enter a period of shock correction. The price fell from 3357 to 3320 in the morning, reaching 37 US dollars. In the afternoon, we should focus on the pressure at 3342 and try to participate in the short position to see the decline. The strong pressure is at the high point of 3356-3357. If it does not break the high point during the day, we can still go short at night. The support below is 3320-3305. If it touches 3305, we can go long to see the rebound.
Gold is strong and is adjusting today!For gold today, the gold surged and then fell, breaking the pattern of the morning cycle of rise, which means that this wave of unilateral rise from 3211 to 3357 can temporarily come to an end. This time the whole increase was as high as 146 US dollars, and there was no correction throughout the whole process. This kind of extreme market situation is rare in history. The bold ones will die of overeating and the timid ones will starve to death. It is very suitable for novices who have just entered the market. Blindly chasing more will have a miraculous effect, which is the so-called novice protection period.
As the market will be closed tomorrow for Easter, gold is destined not to rise like yesterday, but will enter a period of shock correction. The decline from 3357-3320 reached 37 US dollars, so focus on the pressure of 3342 and try to participate in the short position to see the decline. The strong pressure is at the high point of 3356-3357. If it does not break the high during the day, gold can still be shorted; the support below is 3320-3305. If it touches 3305, you can go long to see the rebound.
Gold-----Buy near 3300, target 3360-3400Gold market analysis:
Currently, the highest peak of gold is 3357. When we analyzed on Monday, we said that the next target of gold is 3400. Is it still far away? At that time, we also encountered a lot of opposition. We were not guessing the top, but just used an indicator of the weekly line to estimate the next target next week. The big rise does not mean the top. We need to follow the big trend this week and continue to buy. Look at Goldman Sachs and ETFs predict that gold will reach above 4000. We are just a short-term trader. In fact, the long-term direction has little to do with us. We need to follow it in the short term. Yesterday, the daily line closed positive. Yesterday, we also arranged to buy at 3270 and 3302. We should not keep buying gold today. The rapid dive in the Asian session has shown that it needs to be repaired.
The lowest price in the Asian session is 3320, and the highest price is 3357. This range is the repair range of the Asian session. You can look for profit opportunities here. In addition, its 3320 is not a strong support, but a small support. The strong support is the low point repair position of 3292 in the European and American sessions yesterday, which is also the position of the indicator and the integer mark of 3300. If the Asian session falls back sharply, we should also consider buying opportunities. Buying is the main course, and today's selling is auxiliary.
The strong pressure of gold is invisible, with a small pressure of 3357, a small support of 3320, a strong support of 3300-3292, and a watershed of 3300.
Fundamental analysis:
The recent continuous increase in tariffs has led to a strong rise in gold, and the US dollar has fallen sharply. Today, we will pay attention to the situation of unemployment benefits. Powell's speech last night was to suppress the US dollar.
Operation suggestions:
Gold-----Buy near 3300, target 3360-3400
GOLD The chart shows price moving in a tight consolidation zone between the resistance area near 3,245 and support at3,213. While the price has tested the resistance multiple times, it has failed to break out decisively, indicating possible bearish weakness emerging.
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🔍 Discrepation Zones (Key Conflicts):
1. Price vs. Resistance Reaction
- Expected: Breakout continuation above $3,245 due to repeated testing.
- Actual: Price rejected again after touching resistance.
- Discrepation: Buyers are unable to sustain upward momentum, revealing fading bullish strength despite frequent attempts.
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2. Volume Behavior vs. Price Actio…
This hidden bearishness suggests sellers may be stepping in before each breakout attempt completes.
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4. Target Discrepancy at3213.070
- While current price appears stable, the projection clearly anticipates a pullback to 3213.070.
- This level sits just above a major support block, marking a key imbalance between current consolidation and the expected move down.
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🧭 Discrepation Summary Table:
| Element | Expected Behavior | Observed Behavior | Discrepation |
|————————–|——————————-|————————————-|———————————————|
| Resistance Test | Breakout after repeated tests | Another rejection | Buyers failing to gain momentum |
| Volume Analysis | Increased …
: Gold is showing signs of hidden bearish pressure. Although still inside a range, multiple failed breakout attempts, declining volume, and a projected drop to3213.070 point to a clear discrepation between expected bullish continuation and emerging bearish signals.
📌 Watch how price behaves near the $3,230 level. A decisive break could validate the bearish target, especially if volume increases on the move down.
Let me know if you want this turned into a social post or shorter caption!
sideway, keep waiting for new ATH 3271⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The US Dollar (USD) continues to face headwinds, failing to mount a meaningful rebound from its lowest level since April 2022, hit last Friday. Lingering concerns over the economic consequences of sweeping tariffs have fueled recession fears, while growing expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will soon restart its rate-cutting cycle keep USD bulls on the back foot. This environment continues to favor the non-yielding Gold, offering support to XAU/USD. However, a temporary tariff reprieve announced by President Trump has helped lift overall market sentiment, potentially limiting further gains in bullion.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
No news at the beginning of the week, gold price is sideways waiting for price increase and continue to create new ATH
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3271- 3273 SL 3277
TP1: $3260
TP2: $3250
TP3: $3240
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3244- 3246 SL 3250 scalping
TP1: $3240
TP2: $3230
TP3: $3220
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3189 - $3187 SL $3182
TP1: $3195
TP2: $3210
TP3: $3225
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold's strong rise continues and may hit a high today!The previous decline from 3167 to 2957 was mainly caused by a liquidity crisis, in addition to the factors of buying expectations and selling facts of tariff policies. At present, the news has reversed at two levels, and the liquidity problem has been solved by this wave of sharp declines, so gold has returned to a strong bull market and stood above 3100 again. There is a high probability that it will hit the high of 3167 today. It depends on whether it can set a new high.
The current gold is mainly affected by the news, and the daily market fluctuates greatly. No one knows where the top is. The focus should be on the news, and the technical aspect can only be used as a supplement. Today, it directly rose and is currently trading sideways at 3130. Pay attention to the pressure at 3135-3136. There may be a small correction under pressure here, and the support below is 3110-3100.
Idea for Mon 14 Apr - Gold Short – Bear in a Bull OutfitOANDA:XAUUSD
Gold has been heavily influenced by recent developments in the trade war.
A 90-day pause on tariffs (excluding China) and the exemption of smartphones and computers from tariffs were announced on friday.
These headlines may temporarily calm markets and give stocks room to rise — which typically puts pressure on gold. If Dollar is rising again, could be a side effect too.
This could lead to a short-term pullback in gold prices.
A price gap was formed around $3175.51 during the opening session on Thursday, April 10th.
After a small bounce, i expect gold to move downward to fill that gap.
A potential support level is sitting near $3156, which could act as a bounce zone.
"Next week it’s a bear inside a bull outfit."
Despite a broader bullish structure, we could see the week start with a correction. A classic gap-fill setup for the short-term traders.
RSI and MacD are on top levels, but for how long?
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
Lingrid | GOLD key LEVELS for Potential BULLISH ContinuationThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . It hit the take profit level. OANDA:XAUUSD market bounced off the 3000 support level, potentially signaling the end of the corrective move. However, examining the 1H timeframe reveals the price still remains within the consolidation zone. If the price breaks and closes above the 3050 resistance zone, we can anticipate a continuation of the bullish move. I expect the price may continue moving sideways until the next trading day. However, if the price retests the psychological level below, we can look for buying opportunities. My goal is resistance zone around 3100
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
GOLD (XAUUSD): Intraday Bullish Confirmation?! Gold appears to be in a bullish trend following a successful test of an important daily/intraday horizontal support level.
The price violated a minor falling trend line resistance and formed a local Change of Character (CHoCH).
There is a strong possibility that the price will continue to rise with a target of 3080.
HelenP. I Gold may drop to trend line, breaking support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. A few days ago price rebounded from the trend line and started to grow inside the upward channel. In this channel, the price rose to support 2, which coincided with the support zone and soon broke this area. Then it continued to move up and rose to resistance line of channel, but soon it turned around and made small movement below, after which continued to grow near this line little below. Later, Gold made a correction movement to support 2, which coincided with the trend line and then continued to move up inside the channel. In a short time later it reached support 1, which coincided with one more support zone and also broke this level too. Price some time traded near this level and later made impulse up, exiting from channel pattern and then it at once turned around and made correction movement to support 1. Gold even declined a little below this level, but a not long time ago, it backed up. Now, I expect that XAUUSD will start to decline to the trend line, thereby breaking the support level. That's why I set my goal at 2965 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
keep aiming for new ATH next week✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 04/14/2025 - 04/18/2025
🔥 World situation:
Gold extended its remarkable rally for a third consecutive session on Friday, surging to a fresh record high of $3,245 amid intensifying US–China trade tensions. The precious metal posted impressive gains of over 2% as fears of a prolonged trade war and its potential fallout on the global economy sent investors flocking to safe-haven assets. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading around $3,233.
The North American session saw China retaliate with a 125% tariff on US imports, following President Donald Trump’s move to raise tariffs on Chinese goods to 145%. The heightened geopolitical strain triggered a flight to safety, propelling Gold higher. Further fueling the rally was a sharp decline in the US Dollar, which tumbled to a near three-year low, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) falling to 99.01.
🔥 Identify:
The huge growth shows no signs of stopping, gold prices continue to benefit from tariff policies, continue to find new ATH early next week
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $3255, $3280
Support : $3157, $3070
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold Trade Plan 09/04/2025Dear Traders,
according my last analysis Gold Bounced off 700 Pips from Specified Level,
Scenario 1 : Rejection From 0.50-0.618 Wave A
Scenario 2 : Rejection From 0.78 Area Wave A
A strong breakout of the 3050 zone indicates a move toward the 3100 level.
If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza!
Updated Structure & Trend (April 17 – Pre-Weekend Trading)🧠 Updated Structure & Trend (April 17 – Pre-Weekend Trading)
✅ HTF (D1, H4): Price has made a new all-time high at 3357, extending the bullish run — but we're now deep in premium exhaustion territory.
🟠 M30–H1: First signs of distribution and internal CHoCH on M15 are showing. No follow-through above ATH. Price is stalling, likely waiting for NY volume.
⚠️ Volatility is low, and Friday is a market holiday, so any manipulation or rejection will likely happen today.
🔼 New ATH: 3357
This makes previous zones like 3333–3340 less relevant for traps.
Focus shifts to the true inducement zone:
🔻 3355–3365 → Main sniper short zone, valid only with clear M5 structure (BOS or reversal FVG).
🔻 Key Sell Zones (Updated):
3355–3365 → Final inducement / exhaustion zone near new ATH
3342–3345 → OB retest below weak high, valid only if confirmed with bearish PA on M5
🟢 Key Buy Zones (Same):
3284–3288 → OB + FVG + discount zone
3260–3265 → H1 equilibrium and last clean demand
3230–3235 → Deeper reentry zone if we get a flash crash before NY
📊 Trading Logic:
If NY session spikes again into 3355–3365, we're ready to snipe with precision.
If price fails to reclaim 3345 and breaks M5 structure, we target early shorts.
On a clean dump, we look for longs in the 3280–3260 range, with confirmation.
Gold skyrocketing as expectedAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: Gold is soaring as it represents safe-haven asset, I'd prefer to stay with the trend (Bullish). I have attempted to Buy Gold on #3,208.80 and since Price-action tested #3,214.80 I moved my Stop on breakeven and it got triggered moments ahead which left me without order and Gold delivered #3,225.80 extension. However I have managed to re-Sell #3,225.80. I will keep Buying every dip on Gold for maximum Profit optimisation from my calculated re-Buy zones. #3,192.80 is Support for current Bullish motion."
Technical analysis: I have announced that Gold might skyrocket as next Resistance zone is priced at #3,322.80 / break of it might extend the uptrend towards #3,352.80 benchmark configuration. Gold has invalidated solid Neutral Rectangle on Hourly 4 chart and if you recall, delivered #2 additional Higher High’s extension (my chart’s explanation that Gold always delivers #3 Higher High's extensions ahead of full scale reversal, so practically I have one more Higher High’s to expect according to the cycle). DX (# -0.63% almost) is again turning the market sentiment to Bullish on Intra-day basis, and according to my estimations, current Buying sequence was due to the Trump's tariff's talks, which is being aggressively Bought due to the remarks.
My position: Congratulations for those who Bought Gold from #3,220's as per my advice.
GOLD → Bounce back to accumulate energy before growthFX:XAUUSD confirms interim bottom at 2970 after a false breakdown and as part of the escalating trade war, price is strengthening from support to the important medium-term level of 3054.
Further dynamics will depend on the market reaction to the minutes of the March Fed meeting and the introduction of reciprocal tariffs between the US and China. The introduction of 104% duties on Chinese goods increases trade tensions, reduces investor confidence and supports the price of gold against the background of a weakening dollar. Even with the Fed's cautious rhetoric, gold may keep rising due to the escalating trade war.
The medium-term situation depends on the Fed (namely hints or actions on rate cuts), the trade war and negotiations on the situation in Eastern Europe
Resistance levels: 3054, 3077, 3099
Support levels: 3033, 3013 (0.5f), 2995
Since the opening of the session (the price has passed the daily norm) gold has exhausted the technical potential and the 3054 area may push the price down (false breakout). As part of a technical pullback, gold may test 3033 - 3013 before looking at upside attempts again.
Additional scenario: pullback to the fvg zone (0.7 - 0.79 fibo) before further growth.
Regards R. Linda!
Weak USD and expectations of Fed rate cuts support gold.📉 Technical Analysis (Short-Term):
Gold is in a strong uptrend.
Key resistance at $3250; breakout targets $3275+.
Support at $3215; a break below may lead to $3190–$3200.
Indicators (RSI & MACD) show strong momentum but slight pullback risk.
🧠 Fundamental Analysis:
Weak USD and expectations of Fed rate cuts support gold.
Global trade tensions increase safe haven demand.
Central banks and ETFs continue to accumulate gold.
💬 Sentiment Analysis:
Market is buying dips aggressively.
Confidence is high due to macro uncertainty.
Traders are watching $3250 breakout as a trigger for further upside.
Gold at the Crossroads: A Smart Market SnapshotGold’s rally is supported by strong fundamentals, including global geopolitical uncertainty, sustained central bank purchasing, and a weakening USD , which reinforce its long-term safe-haven appeal. However, near-record levels suggest that profit-taking could be imminent; technically, the price is testing significant resistance around the 3,230–3,250 zone, and if it fails to break higher, a short-term correction toward the support area between 3,100–3,000 is likely. Conversely, a decisive close above 3,250 would favor the continuation of the uptrend.
Targets: 3176, 3128 , 3290
Gold Sell and Buy Trading PlanH4 - We had a strong bullish move with the price creating a series of higher highs, higher lows structure
This strong bullish move ended with a bearish Divergence
While measuring this strong bullish move using the Fibonacci retracement tool we have two key support zones that has formed (marked in green)
So based on this I expect short term bearish moves now towards the Fibonacci support zones and then continuation higher.
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD – 4H Key Levels Map (as of April 13, 2025)🔍 XAUUSD – 4H Key Levels Map (as of April 13, 2025)
🔼 Key Resistance Zone – 3,275–3,285 (Premium + Weak High Zone)
Why it matters: This is where price reached extreme premium and swept a weak high. It’s also the highest H4 imbalance zone.
What to watch:
Watch for rejection patterns: M5/M15 CHoCH, bearish OB rejections, or RSI bearish divergence.
If price closes above 3,285 with volume and EMA5 lock → watch for bullish continuation and potential new ATHs.
🟦 Mid-Level Liquidity Pocket – 3,221–3,233 (Previous H4 FVG zone)
Why it matters: This zone was the launchpad of the impulsive move. It still holds unmitigated imbalance.
What to watch:
First retest of this zone could offer a bounce.
If broken cleanly → invalidates recent push, opens path to deeper retrace.
Look for M15 CHoCH + bullish OB to validate reentry if we drop here.
🧊 Support Zone – 3,065–3,085 (Previous H4 BOS + FVG)
Why it matters: Clean BOS level where structure flipped bullish. Imbalance is also present.
What to watch:
Major zone for potential retracement buys.
If price rejects here on higher timeframe → signs of continuation.
EMA5/21 alignment above this zone supports bullish momentum.
🔽 Ultimate H4 Demand Zone – 2,958–2,972 (Discount Zone)
Why it matters: Previous accumulation range, massive unmitigated imbalance, and strong HL.
What to watch:
Extreme demand zone — only in case of full market correction.
Watch for long wicks or liquidity grabs with M15/M5 CHoCH confirmation.
✅ Summary:
Gold is still flexing bullish strength, but we’re deep into premium. Don’t rush — let the price talk. If we reject the highs, be ready at 3,221 and 3,065 for potential entries. Stay patient, stay sharp — the clean setups are always worth the wait.
💛 Friendly Note to Fellow Traders:
Take a deep breath, trust your levels, and don’t let FOMO drive your next click. Gold always gives another chance — if not today, then tomorrow. Happy trading, and if this helped, drop a like or comment — we’re all learning this magic together!
GOLD Trade Plan 16/04/2025Dear Traders,
"Gold continues its bullish trend without any significant correction, primarily driven by ongoing systematic risks. At present, in the 4-hour timeframe, it has reached the upper boundary of its ascending channel. Should a correction take place, a retracement toward the 3250 level is possible. Following that, the chart should be re-evaluated to identify potential buying opportunities."
If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza