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LUNCUSDT.PS trade ideas

LUNC - Both ScenariosBefore the analysis please understand LUNC is a very speculative play and highly risky as it has now become a "meme" coin. Be careful trading assets such as this. On the left side we see the bullish case scenario. It seems like we are forming a bull flag and the measured move would be a 78% pump upon breakout!!! On the right side we see a bearish scenario where the resistance we are currently fighting is very strong. If we fall from here we easily have an 8% drop which would be around the 274 level. This is also in confluence with the golden ratio. If we get above this red box and hold above, then the bull flag on the left would become even more powerful.
by VIAQUANT
6
LUNA CLASSIC > SHIB: The Rise And Fall Of Pump & Dump Sh!tcoinsHello good morning my fellow traders. I show in the chart above how LUNA and SHIB have almost identical chart patterns. Fractals aren't always perfect but when comparing two different pump and dump hype coins then they usually rhyme. All this little news and crap coming out for LUNA is the same type of crap that was coming out when SHIB had reached its peak and began falling. Dont believe me then go to google and type in Shiba Inu and look at the news back in 2021 when Shib topped out. This price manipulation with LUNA so CZ or other big holders can dump their holdings on millionaire dreamers and recoup their losses is disgusting. Please people for the love of god don't fall for this scam that has been happening over and over again in crypto with hundreds upon hundreds of pump and dumps throughout the years, and Ive been in crypto since 2015. They all end the same, a slow bleed out all the way back down to previous lows. When LUNA gets back down to .00004 then sure maybe buy a few and hope for a nice dead cat bounce at some point in the future. For now LUNA has finished its run and has topped out, its on its way back down to where it started this run, and it will take a little while for it to bleed out, especially with how many are staked and how long it takes to un-stake, and how many fools are hodling in hopes of striking it rich. I used to think that LUNA would do something good with all the "fake" positive news it had in the beginning before the run started, but I have since changed my view on it. The supply is just too high, and none of the current burns will bring the supply down for shit, I explain with the math how long it will take to burn 90 percent of LUNA in my previous post, more than 10 years. Also the community has turned into a bunch of obnoxious crybaby thugs trying to force exchanges to burn coins, its a terrible look. Plus UST is still de pegged and never will be pegged again. Algorithmic stable coins are banned anyways. I would put in a short and ride this thing all the way to bottom cause thats where its headed. There is way too many people out there holding way to many LUNA for it to ever go to a dollar. When the majority are saying that a coin will 1000x then it will not do that, it will instead to the opposite. When SHIB holders became millionaires they bought when there wasn't any hype. They weren't screaming 1000x SHIB from he rooftops before it went on its parabolic rise, they bought when no one was talking about it. Then it had its rise and those holders became millionaires. Then once it had its rise, the 1000x SHIB hype started, and millions of people got on board only to be disappointed. The hype period of SHIB was not when millionaires were made, it was instead the end of the massive rally up. The hype was created so there would be enough liquidity so the early early adopters/holders could dump their SHIB and turn their unrealized gains into real profits at the top. Without the hype period at the top in SHIB, none of those holders would have ever become millionaires, simply because there wasn't anyone to buy them regardless of the price before that. Get it now? This is where LUNA is at the moment the massive hype cycle so smart money can dump their bags on the little guy with the dream of becoming a millionaire. Plus it doesn't help that every you tuber and their mother is saying $1 LUNA simply to get clicks, subscribers, and likes, and the majority of those you tubers know exactly what is happening but they are lying to you so you sub to their channel. Most of those youtubers only have a hundred or so dollars invested in LUNA, they said so. If they really believed the crap they are spreading don't you think they would invest as much as they can, or even a few grand? If I truly believed something would 1000x then i would sell everything I own, I would search the cracks in the couches for change, and get a personal loan and go all in. They don't do that because they don't actually believe it, they just want your clicks. People need to wake up from this fantasy world they are living in with this LUNA crap. $1 $.10 or even $.01 will never happen, EVER! LUNA will never be touched by any financial institution or any big money since its crash, unless they plan to pump and dump it for a quick Billion dollars. CZ of Binance manipulated LUNA just right so he could recoup his almost 2 billion in LUNA losses from the crash. Hes probably made 5x that by now, why do you think hes fine with burning $4 Million dollars in fees every day? Cause hes making hundreds of millions of dollars daily pumping and dumping this thing on your faces. Hes the conductor of this hype train, and hes about to jump off and let the train crash and burn. I wouldn't be surprised if CZ came out when LUNA bottoms to its previous low and says something to give this thing a dead cat bounce up another 500% and cause a mini hype rally and steal another quick billion from some fresh morons. Anyways thats my rant on all this crap. This is not trading or financial advice, this is just my opinions and speculations. Thank you and I hope you all have an amazing day.
Short
by Bitgolder
16
LUNC consolidation faze before bull craze 😜 🚀⚡last chart of the day from me, please drop a boost and follow to show your support 💛 in my last analysis at .000193 I stated a potential short trap was in play, and I expected a big bounce from trend support. Exactly as predicted, we saw a big pump from our trend support, congrats to lunc longs! since my last update we saw move from .000193 to .00032, potential for 65.8% return with no leverage or 3290% return with 50x leverage if you played it right. insane! sometimes I surprise myself, it is great when it happens. im sure your question is what now? well I think there is 2 scenarios, some small consolidation around these current levels then rally towards .00055. or we dip to previous trend resistance/that flips to support and that rally continues from there. goodluck traders, see you soon with more charts 💙
Long
by Vibranium_Capital
29
Binance to move forward with burning LUNCSo, last night Binance announced that it will move forward with burning LUNC in spot and margin trading. This came as a bit of a surprise to me personally. Initially, when I saw this pump, I had no idea what was going on but now it all makes sense. But as you can see, this steep rise in price has completely obliterated any ability to technically analyse. I made a $1000 entry in the initial range zone expecting a good boost but there wasn't much there. So, for now, I am still holding on to the coin. My last analysis worked relavtively well, if not delayed. But now, with this recent announcment, I think buying whenever is a good option. There's a lot of hype around this coin, albeit much of it being misguided and people hoping for it to reach $1. This hype can be useful though. As long as you are not putting in your rent money expecting quick gains, holding on to this asset for a significant amount of time will be beneficial.
Long
by Yahmez
1
LUNA CLASSIC LUNC > CZ BINANCE PRICE MANIPULATION > BURNS MATH!Hello everyone. So this morning CZ from Binance came out in a tweet and said that he would burn all the transaction fees from LUNA spot and margin trading. Now lets look at this for a minute. So first CZ tweeted he would support the burns making everyone think that he was going to implement the 1.2% burn on all the transactional volume on Binance, the price rocketed up. Then he came out and said he would not support the off chain burns and only the on chain burns, then LUNA dumped. Then he came out in an AMA and said he wouldnt be doing the 1.2% burn on the trading volume one more time, because for some reason there was alot of confusion about it, then the price dumped a little more. Then he came out and said the same day he would implement a feature to opt in to the burn tax for any trader who wanted to and then the price pumped a little. Then as LUNA came all the way down to the .618 around .00018 and Binance tweeted again this morning at 5:30 AM EST saying he was going to implement a burn mechanism to burn all the trading fees from LUNA trading and the price went up more than 50 percent in an hour. Shorts got liquidated and now on the drop Longs will be liquidated too. So I did the math for you all so you can see how big of a deal or not a big deal this extra burn of the trading fees is Average volume of Binance for LUNA currently is about 1 Billion daily. The total trading volume across all exchanges is an average of 2 Billion daily for now. This wont always be like this. The hype will eventually die down and the trading volume will diminish dramatically, maybe to at most 1 Billion daily across all exchanges. Now for the math, Im going to even look ahead and assume that all exchanges trading LUNA will follow Binance and Im going to round up the trading fee percentage to .2% although Binance is only .12%, because some exchanges may charge more. 2,000,000,000 x .2% = $4,000,000 $4,000,000 / PRICE OF LUNA = TOKENS BURNED PRICE TOKENS BURNED DAILY BY ALL EXCHANGES .0003 = 13,400,000,000 .0004 = 10,000,000,000 .0005 = 8,000,000,000 .0006 = 6,700,000,000 .0007 = 5,700,000,000 .0008 = 5,000,000,000 .0009 = 4,450,000,000 Lets do this with one less zero .001 = 4,000,000,000 .002 = 2,000,000,000 .003 = 1,340,000,000 Lets do this with 2 less zeros .01 = 400,000,000 Now he said that the first set of burns is from 9/21 to 10/1 thats 10 days BINANCE SPECIFIC BURNING FOR THIS TIME PERIOD .12% FEE ON TRADES AVERAGE 1 BILLION DAILY VOLUME AVERAGE THAT'S 40 BILLION LUNA TOKENS BURNED IN 10 DAYS BY BINANCE SOUNDS LIKE ALOT HUH? ITS NOT! AS THE PRICE OF THE TOKEN GOES UP THE AMOUNT OF BURNS WILL BE MUCH LESS. ALSO THE VOLUME WILL NOT ALWAYS BE 2 BILLION DAILY ACROSS ALL EXCHANGES. THIS VOLUME WILL EVENTUALLY DROP TO MAYBE A BILLION TRADING VOLUME DAILY. AT THE CURRENT PRICE AND WITH JUST BINANCE BURNING THEIR TRADING FEES AND THE ON CHAIN BURN WE WILL BURN ABOUT 6 BILLION TOKENS DAILY. SO TO BURN 90% OF THE SUPPLY WHICH IS 5.4 TRILLION TOKENS AT THE CURRENT RATE OF 6 BILLION TOKENS BURNED DAILY (WHICH WILL DROP DRAMATICALLY ONCE PRICES INCREASE) IT WOULD TAKE 900 DAYS. NOW THAT IS ASSUMING THAT THE BURNS WOULD BURN 6 BILLION A DAY WHICH IS NOT THE CASE, AND THAT WOULD STILL LEAVE 600 BILLION TOKENS WHICH WOULD BE THE ABSOLUTE BEST CASE FOR $1, BUT VERY VERY DOUBTFUL. EVERY TIME THE PRICE DOUBLES THE BURN NUMBERS GET CUT IN HALF. SO AT .0006 LIKE I SHOW ABOVE LUNA WOULD ONLY BE BURNING 3 BILLION A DAY, AT .0012 LUNA WOULD BE BURNING 1.5 BILLION A DAY AND SO ON AND SO FORTH . SO HERE IS THE CONCLUSION. IF EVERY EXCHANGE IMPLEMENTS THE TRANSACTION FEE BURN, AND LUNA CONTINUES TO HAVE 2 BILLION DOLLAR TRADING VOLUME THEN IT WOULD STILL TAKE APPROXIMATELY 3000 DAYS TO BURN 5.4 TRILLION COINS. THAT'S ALMOST 10 YEARS AND REALISTICALLY IT WOULD TAKE MUCH LONGER, AS VOLUME DECREASED AND PRICE INCREASED. ALSO THATS ASSUMING THAT BINANCE WILL KEEP THIS GOING INDEFINITELY WHICH I DOUBT AS WELL. NO ONE WANTS TO THROW AWAY 4 MILLION A DAY IN FEES. HES DOING THIS FOR HIS OWN AGENDA. HES MADE MULTIPLE BILLIONS MORE OFF PUMPING AND GOING LONG AND DUMPING AND SHORTING WITH THIS COIN THAN HE EVER WOULD HAVE MADE SELLING HIS STASH AT THE TOP WHICH WAS WORTH 1.6 BILLION I BELIEVE. HES MAKING 10S OF BILLIONS OF DOLLARS MANIPULATING LUNA WITH HIS TWEETS, TAKING EVEN MORE FROM INVESTORS THAT ALREADY LOST A LOT ON THIS THING. LUCKILY I WAS NOT ONE OF THEM, BUT I FEEL FOR EVERYONE WHO HAS, AND I AM SORRY YOU HAD TO GO THROUGH THAT. DON'T GO THROUGH IT AGAIN THOUGH WITH THIS HYPE TRAIN, PUMP AND DUMP. THIS BURN IS STILL NOT ENOUGH IN THE GRAND SCHEME OF THINGS. ALSO UST IS STILL DE-PEGGED AND NO ONE IS BUILDING ON TOP OF LUNA AT THE MOMENT. THERE IS NO REAL USE CASE FOR THIS OTHER THAN A HYPED UP PUMP AND DUMP. I USED TO THINK LUNA WAS GOING PLACES BUT I REALLY THINK THAT IT WAS JUST A PUMP AND DUMP BY DO KWON IN THE BEGINNING AND NOW CZ OF BINANCE IS PUMPING AND DUMPING IT AS WELL. THOSE TWO SHOULD HAVE A JAIL CELL TOGETHER WITH ONE BED! MY STRATEGY IS TO TRADE THIS UP AND DOWN BECAUSE THERE IS A TON OF LIQUIDITY AND VOLATILITY . I DO NOT USE LEVERAGE WITH VOLATILE TOKENS LIKE THIS EVER! ITS A VERY RISKY STRATEGY SO DO SO WITH CAUTION BECAUSE WILD PRICE SWINGS ARE EXPECTED FOR A WHILE. So for the price action short term. I think the hype will die down again once people realize this burn is just a drop in the bucket. My targets are .00026, and then .000235 before another run up If LUNA can rally up to .00035 with strength then we may see a run to previous highs, perhaps for a double top , I do not think LUNA has started a new bull rally to new all time highs. I don't think this will happen though I'm leaning more towards the bearish case because essentially nothing has changed as far as how long it would take to burn the tokens. This is just a suckers rally and boy are there a lot of suckers out there. Jokers coming out of the woodwork again screaming $1 LUNA with no idea of how to do math. THIS IS NOT TRADING OR FINANCIAL ADVICE THIS IS JUST MY OPINIONS AND SPECULATIONS
Short
by Bitgolder
42
Luna in search of a strong buyerFor the current period of time the sales continue in search of a strong buyer at lower prices. On the chart we see a pronounced downtrend with a weak resumption of buying. This trading range, which was formed in 14 days, tells us that it is possible to fall even lower from the current price levels. Through the strong imbalance in the current instrument we saw one strong impulse up with the absorption of sales, the impulse that could not break through the sales area indicates to us that there is no buying interest at the moment, so we can conclude that the next area of interest be within the lower boundary of the trading range.
by Artem_Dishel
8
Binance is going to 🔥BURN LUNC! The PUMP continues❓Hi friends! Do we need to expect the pump for 100-200% in a next week? Let`s tell about this! ✅Why LUNC pumps❓ Cryptocurrency exchange Binance has implemented the Terra Classic burn mechanism for spot and margin pairs LUNC/BUSD and LUNC/USDT. 🚩 The LUNC price reacted to this initiative with an increase of almost 40%. 📊 Do i think that LUNC will skyrocketing this week? I think yes, but if only BTC will pump to 22-23k. This mean that all altcoins woll pump not only LUNC. 🔥 The LUNC pattern. Take a look at the volume indicator. The volume growth all the time when LUNC pumps. This means that the big guys always sell their coins to retail traders. And what happend next? Fall or some consolidation for 2-3 weeks. 📊 Do i expext the consolidation after this pump? I think that is highly possible but now the LUNC pumps because of Binance support what is really good for project. Binance have the largest crypto community so the money possibly will flow to the LUNC further. ✅ The closest targets: 1. $0.044 - the value area 2. $0.06 - the previous ATH 🚩 In the case of pump higher i recommend you to book the profit by parts (20-30%) and do not book all profit at once to not let the price make +100-200% without you. It will be good to catch this opportunity and make the profit. 💻Friends, press the "boost"🚀 button, write comments and share with your friends - it will be the best THANK YOU. P.S. Personally, I open an entry if the price shows it according to my strategy. Always do your analysis before making a trade.
by Yuriy_Bishko
13
LUNC daily 3 line strike!!On the daily chart we have a confirmed bearish 3 line strike pattern confirmation. Don't let the name fool you it's actually a bullish pattern. The 3 line strike is a reversal pattern normally appearing at the end of a trend. We should be poised for more upside in the coming days and weeks as this marks the possible bottom for LUNC. The RSI on the daily has came off the massive overbought territory and has now creeped back into the bullish control zone. The MACD is also showing hidden bullish divergence
Long
by bitcorns-trader
2