AAPL (Apple Inc.) H4 chart Analysis - 1st May 2025Technical Breakdown with Smart Money Concept (SMC)
✅ 1. Market Structure Shift
Break of Structure (BOS): Price broke the bearish trendline and pushed above the previous lower high → bullish structure shift.
This marks the end of bearish order flow and potential start of accumulation or a new bullish trend.
✅ 2. Golden Zone (Fibonacci 0.5–0.618)
Price is currently retesting the golden zone between $209.14 – $218.59, a key demand zone.
This zone overlaps with:
FVGs (Fair Value Gaps) → supports the idea of a bullish mitigation.
Previous support/resistance flip.
✅ 3. Fair Value Gaps (FVG)
Multiple bullish FVGs were left behind during the impulsive rally.
Smart money often returns to these zones to rebalance orders.
The latest candle reaction suggests price is respecting the recent FVG → sign of institutional interest.
✅ 4. Liquidity & Entry Model
Sell-side liquidity likely taken during the March low sweep → classic SMC accumulation move.
Current consolidation near the golden zone may form a higher low structure → strong signal to go long.
Entry idea: Wait for internal BOS on lower time frame (e.g. M15 or H1) within the golden zone for confirmation.
📈 Forecast / Projection
If bullish scenario plays out:
Next key resistance: $218.59 (0.618), $232.05 (0.786), $249.19 (1.0 extension).
Ideal TP zones:
TP1: $218.59 (break and retest)
TP2: $232.05
TP3: $249.19
Trade Wisely & Happy Trading