Result of the idea on NVDABullish Expectation on NVDA was posted in the last trade idea. The target was set only at daily pivot because the general market was not very bullish.
NVDA trade ideas
Nvidia (NVDA) Stock Drops Following Earnings ReportNvidia (NVDA) Stock Drops Following Earnings Report
On 13 November, we analysed Nvidia’s (NVDA) price chart and noted:
→ The continuation of a long-term upward channel (highlighted in blue).
→ A consolidation below the psychological $150 level, forming a narrowing triangle along the Quater Line, which divides the lower half of the channel.
On 20 November, Nvidia released its Q3 earnings report, which exceeded analysts’ expectations:
→ Earnings per share (EPS): $0.81 (expected: $0.74).
→ Revenue: $35.08 billion (expected: $33.17 billion).
→ Revenue growth: +94% year-on-year, +17% quarter-on-quarter.
Key Insights (via Reuters):
→ Optimism centres on Nvidia’s new Blackwell processors.
→ Concerns arise over a reduced revenue forecast due to supply chain constraints in chip production.
Despite strong results, Nvidia’s stock price dipped slightly following the report. Pre-market data suggests today’s trading could start around $142.50.
What’s Next?
Technical analysis of Nvidia’s chart indicates potential for further downside movement, with resistance levels formed by:
→ The psychological $150 mark.
→ A Resistance line running parallel above the correction channel (July–October) at a height equal to its range.
If bearish sentiment gains momentum in today’s main session, it could:
→ Confirm a bearish breakout from the consolidation triangle.
→ Threaten a breach of the lower boundary of the long-term growth channel.
In a worst-case scenario, NVDA could shift into a bearish trend within a descending channel (marked in red).
Analyst Outlook:
According to TipRanks:
→ 39 of 42 analysts recommend buying NVDA stock.
→ The average 12-month price target is $165.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Short time, target 138Following daily chart.
I am posting a couple of hours before earning.
First, I don't believe the earnings will be good enough to push the price more. Also, I am following 3 different power indicators, which all gave me a short signal.
In this case, I want to use 2 different Fibonacci levels for the target, The first one is a long run from august, the other one is a short run, and both targets are around 137 for me.
TP 138
SL 147 - stop under 147 candle close.
Btw I see the same pattern in Amazon and SPX, so I am short in both 3 of them.
Nvidia Short trading opportunity(overnight to swing trading) 1I expect a drop of about 5-10% all the way down to $130 from $140.50+-
Stop Loss $145.00+-, take profit is $130+-.
I am risking 50 shares of Nvidia in a short position.
The company is at this point very much overvalued, any negative news might trigger a over-reaction even if not truly impactful (or if impactful), and its undervalued (or not so overvalued) peers might look like the safer place to put money in.
That and its just a guess.
2024: The Year NVIDIA Changed Game RulesNVIDIA (Ticker AT: NVDA.US) closed 2024 with record numbers and clear dominance in key industries such as artificial intelligence (AI), data centers and advanced graphics. The company, which remains a pillar of the technology sector, continues to surprise analysts and investors alike with its ability to exceed expectations and lead innovation.
Fourth Quarter 2024 Financial Results
In the fourth quarter of 2024, NVIDIA reported revenue of $22.1 billion, beating initial estimates of $20.6 billion. Earnings per share (EPS) came in at $5.16, well ahead of the forecast of $4.64. This solid performance reflects the impact of strong demand for its high-performance chips, used in AI, advanced graphics and machine learning applications.
The data center segment again stood out as the main growth driver, generating more than 60% of total revenue. Meanwhile, the gaming segment contributed $3.4 billion, demonstrating that, although NVIDIA has diversified its business, the gaming market remains an important pillar.
Promising Outlook for 2025
Looking ahead to the first quarter of 2025, NVIDIA projects revenue of $24 billion, beating Wall Street expectations of $22.2 billion. This optimism is supported by the rise of AI and the increasing adoption of its technology innovations, such as H100 GPUs and the new Blackwell series, designed to accelerate big data processing.
In addition, the company continues to expand its influence in emerging industries such as automotive and professional visualization. Its NVIDIA DRIVE platform, focused on autonomous vehicles and advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS), is gaining traction in the automotive market.
Diversification and Technology Leadership
1. Gaming: A Relevant Pillar
GeForce RTX graphics cards keep NVIDIA as a market leader in video games, especially thanks to their integration with platforms such as Steam and GeForce NOW. Although growth in this segment was moderate, it remains crucial for the company.
2. Data Centers: Dominance in the Age of AI
The adoption of A100 and H100 GPUs for AI and cloud computing applications reinforces NVIDIA's role as a key player in this sector. Companies such as Microsoft and Google continue to rely on its products to develop advanced processing solutions.
3. Automotive and Professional Visualization
In automotive, NVIDIA is advancing technologies for autonomous vehicles, while its professional visualization solutions, such as NVIDIA Omniverse, are transforming industries such as architecture, 3D design, and filmmaking.
Technical Aspect
If we look at the chart NVIDIA started its upward climb in October last year, a whole year in an unstoppable bullish range. The release of yesterday's data allows us to understand that the firm's strength has a loyal following. Looking at the crosses of averages, the 200 average is well separated from the 100 and 50 averages, so the momentum seems to be sustained by a market believer in the company. If we look at the Check Point (POC) we see that the advance in its price has only generated 3 bells with a check point marked in a zone of $50 so if the company does not perform as it should in 2025 it would be more than likely that this would be its current floor, which coincides with the area of the upward momentum. RSI at 63.88% marks us a perception of a company with a strong following and it would not be unusual to see it reach the $200-$220 price this year if everything continues in such a trending market.
Conclusion: An Unstoppable Technology Powerhouse
NVIDIA's 2024 results not only exceeded expectations, but also underscore its ability to adapt and lead in an ever-changing technology environment. With record revenue and prospects for sustained growth, the company has established itself as a cornerstone of the global technology industry.
Looking ahead to 2025, NVIDIA is positioned to continue to dominate key markets such as AI, gaming and automotive, with a continued focus on innovation and sustainable growth.
Ion Jauregui - Analyst ActivTrades
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NVIDIA (NVDA) Earnings Beat Expectations! 🚀 NVIDIA (NVDA) Earnings Beat Expectations! 🚀
NVIDIA just released its earnings report last night, and the results are stellar:
💰 Revenue: $35.08 billion
🔥 Exceeded Expectations: By 5.77%
This impressive beat highlights NVIDIA's dominance in the AI and semiconductor space, showcasing its ability to capitalize on booming demand for cutting-edge technology.
📊 Market Outlook
The market is expected to react positively during the pre-market session. Based on Elliott Wave analysis on the 25-minute chart:
Current Position: Wave 2
Potential Move: A strong rally could lead to new all-time highs at $151 and $155.
⚠️ However, if we see a drop below $137.70, it could signal a liquidity grab before the anticipated move upward.
💡 Pro Tip: Monitor pre-market action and key levels closely to optimize your entry and risk management.
#NVIDIA #Earnings #StockMarket #NVDA #ElliottWave
NVDA Breakout Alert: TA for Nov. 20, 2024NVDA has been exhibiting a strong recovery from its recent lows, breaking out of a descending trendline on the hourly timeframe. With bullish momentum building, this stock is primed for both scalping and swing trade setups. In this analysis, we’ll dive into the market structure, supply and demand zones, price action insights, and trading opportunities to capitalize on NVDA’s movement.
Market Structure Overview
* Trendline Breakout: NVDA has decisively broken out of a descending trendline, signaling potential upside.
* Current Price Action: Trading at $149.68 with strong bullish candles and volume confirming the breakout.
* Volume Analysis: Increased buying volume during the breakout phase, suggesting institutional interest.
Supply & Demand Zones
* Demand Zone (Support): $137.06 - $140.32. This area has historically seen strong buying interest and could act as a safety net for pullbacks.
* Supply Zone (Resistance): $149.95 - $155.00. This region is the next significant hurdle NVDA must clear to confirm a bullish continuation.
Key Levels
* Support Levels: $137.06, $140.32.
* Resistance Levels: $149.95, $155.00.
Order Blocks
* Bullish Order Block: $137.00 - $138.50. Watch for potential rebounds if NVDA retraces to this level.
* Bearish Order Block: $149.50 - $150.00. This area may see selling pressure and could be a profit-taking zone for scalpers.
Technical Indicators
* 9 EMA & 21 EMA (Hourly): The stock is trading well above these levels, indicating a strong bullish trend.
* MACD (Hourly): Bullish crossover with increasing histogram bars, signaling momentum.
* RSI (Hourly): Hovering near 70, indicating strength but watch for overbought conditions.
Scalping Plan
* Entry: Look for a pullback to the $147.00 - $148.00 range with confirmation from bullish candles.
* Exit: Target $149.50 initially, then $150.00 for extended profits.
* Stop-Loss: Tight stop at $146.50 to limit risk.
* Game Plan: Focus on momentum plays near breakout levels. Use high-volume candles as confirmation for entries.
Swing Trading Plan
* Entry: Buy on a retracement to the $140.00 - $143.00 demand zone.
* Exit: Partial profit at $149.95, with the final target at $155.00.
* Stop-Loss: Below $137.00 to avoid deeper pullbacks.
* Game Plan: Monitor for continuation patterns like flags or pennants above $149.00 to add to positions.
Projection
NVDA’s breakout is supported by strong technicals and volume. If it sustains above $149.95, it is likely to test $155.00 in the coming sessions. Failure to hold $147.00 may result in a retest of the $140.00 support zone, offering another buying opportunity.
My Thoughts
NVDA appears poised for further upside in the short term, but caution is warranted near key resistance zones. Scalpers should watch for quick reactions near $149.50, while swing traders can benefit from the broader trend. Stick to the plan, respect your stops, and let the market guide your moves.
Nvidia (NVDA) Earning Report Trade I only trade long breakouts. Though this trade makes no assumption of the outcome of Nvidia earnings call. It was targeting an upward movement in the stock before and after the earnings call.
As per the oldest trick in the book, the NVDA stock was expected to fall (before rise) on successful earnings results. The fall was specifically targeted to collect additional liquidity from the SL orders below the current market price.
Two bands were drawn on the chart to indicate the upper and lower band of the Volume Profile and the PoC line.
Most SL orders will be placed below the PoC line, near the lower band. In my case, an order to buy was placed near the lower band, at 140$. The ongoing market price when the order was placed was 147$.
The NVDA results were well above the expectations. As expected, the NVDA stock went for a deep dive below and touched the 140 range and filled my order, before rising sharply above 144$ and then stabilizing around the level for some time. I was able to capture a move of around 3%.
NVIDIA Q3 earnings exceed expectations, but stock price falls
Nvidia's third-quarter earnings surpassed market expectations. The EPS stood at 81 cents, notably higher than the market consensus of 75 cents. Total sales reached almost $35 billion, exceeding the forecast of $33 billion. This impressive performance was highlighted by a remarkable 94% increase in total sales compared to last year's period, alongside a robust 106% surge in net profit.
Despite delivering a solid third-quarter performance, Nvidia's stock price took a hit. This drop occurred as the company's fourth-quarter sales guidance fell short of Wall Street's elevated expectations. The market had projected Nvidia's fourth-quarter sales to reach $37.5 billion, but the company revealed that it would instead be at $37.1 billion.
NVDA has fallen slightly since the earnings announcement and remains around 146.00. However, the price still remains within the ascending channel, indicating momentum. If NVDA sustains an uptrend within the channel, the price may gain upward momentum toward the 150.00 high. Conversely, if NVDA breaks below the channel’s lower bound, the price may fall further to 138.30.
NVDA higher - correction - higher $145Looks like NVDA will top this week with a couple dojis near $136.83 to end the week, then a small correction toward $126;and then a push higher to end June and the 2Q at near $143.87
After hitting $143.87 a 3 wave correction like Mar-Apr correction toward $116 while market digests the recent bullish move finishing its 3Q-4Q higher near $145
Chart Pattern Analysis Of NVDA
From K1 to K3,
It is a bullish three soldiers advancing pattern.
Two candles close upon the neck line.
It is most likely a valid break up.
And market will accelerate.
If I hadn’t bought it earlier.
I will buy it here.
A nearest price target is about 200USD.
On the other hand,
If K4 close below the neck line,
The risk will sharply increase.
I think the possibility is relatively low here.
NVDA 🚨 Nvidia Smashes Records on AI! 🚨
NASDAQ:NVDA
🚀 Delivered spectacular results for Q3, reporting revenue of $35.1 billion (+94% YoY) and adjusted EPS of $0.81, significantly beating expectations. The company also forecasts sales of $37.5 billion for next quarter, solidifying its position as a leader in the AI revolution.
💻 Key Highlights
▫️ Data Center🟰 $30.8 billion (+112% YoY), driven by demand for advanced chips like “Blackwell.”
▫️ Gaming🟰 $3.28 billion (+8% YoY), fueled by GPUs for PCs and consoles like the Nintendo Switch.
▫️ Automotive & Robotics🟰 $449 million (+72% YoY), led by autonomous vehicle and robotics chips.
🎯 Nvidia by the Numbers
Stock Performance in 2024🟰 Nearly tripled.
AI Chips🟰 Hopper and Blackwell models are in high demand, with sales expected to outpace supply into 2025.
Nvidia 🚨 Nvidia Smashes Records on AI Boom! 🚨
NASDAQ:NVDA delivered spectacular results for Q3, reporting revenue of $35.1 billion (+94% YoY) and adjusted EPS of $0.81, significantly beating expectations. The company also forecasts sales of $37.5 billion for next quarter, solidifying its position as a leader in the AI revolution.
💻 Key Highlights:
Data Center: $30.8 billion (+112% YoY), driven by demand for advanced chips like “Blackwell.”
Gaming: $3.28 billion (+8% YoY), fueled by GPUs for PCs and consoles like the Nintendo Switch.
Automotive & Robotics: $449 million (+72% YoY), led by autonomous vehicle and robotics chips.
🎯 Nvidia by the Numbers:
Stock Performance in 2024: Nearly tripled.
AI Chips: Hopper and Blackwell models are in high demand, with sales expected to outpace supply into 2025.
Nvidia 🚨 Nvidia Smashes Records on AI Boom! 🚨
NASDAQ:NVDA delivered spectacular results for Q3, reporting revenue of $35.1 billion (+94% YoY) and adjusted EPS of $0.81, significantly beating expectations. The company also forecasts sales of $37.5 billion for next quarter, solidifying its position as a leader in the AI revolution.
💻 Key Highlights:
Data Center: $30.8 billion (+112% YoY), driven by demand for advanced chips like “Blackwell.”
Gaming: $3.28 billion (+8% YoY), fueled by GPUs for PCs and consoles like the Nintendo Switch.
Automotive & Robotics: $449 million (+72% YoY), led by autonomous vehicle and robotics chips.
🎯 Nvidia by the Numbers:
Stock Performance in 2024: Nearly tripled.
AI Chips: Hopper and Blackwell models are in high demand, with sales expected to outpace supply into 2025.
NVDA Predictive Modeling Outlook : Pre Earnings 11-20-24I thought I would have a little fun with my ADL Predictive Modeling system.
This shows the Daily & Weekly predictive results for NVDA prior to the earnings data release.
Have fun.
This is really just to show you how the ADL system works and to test the outcome related to NVDA's earnings/outcome.
Get some..
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
$NVDA Expected move for earnings is between 134-160NASDAQ:NVDA Expected move for earnings is between 134-160
Which way do you think it will go??
NVIDIA’s Next Move: Ready to Rally or Slip Lower?Good morning, trading family!
Let’s take a simple look at NVIDIA (NVDA) and where it might be headed from here. We’re at an important crossroads, so here’s what we’re watching:
If NVDA Moves Higher:
If NVDA can hold its current position, it has room to drive up into the $150 range. This could signal that buyers are stepping in and momentum is building for a rally.
If NVDA Moves Lower:
A drop could take us to the following key levels:
$144: First potential stop for support.
$138–$137: A zone where buyers might try to step in.
$132: A deeper pullback that could see some consolidation.
$129 and $120: These are lower support areas to watch if selling pressure continues.
How to Approach This:
Mark These Levels: Add them to your chart for reference.
Wait for Confirmation: Don’t rush in—see how NVDA reacts at each level.
Trade What You See: Let the price action guide you, not your emotions.
We’re at a moment where NVDA could make a strong move in either direction. Keep it simple, stay patient, and watch the levels.
Let’s make it a great trading day!
Mindbloome Trading // Kris
NVDA in a rising wedge, bearish before earningswww.tradingview.com
I have no doubt about NVDA's fundamentals and I'm bullish on the stock on the long-term. However, from a technical analysis perspective, the stock is showing signs of fatigue with a steadily declining 20-day average volume over the past several months. A clear divergence between volume and price suggests a potential reversal after the earnings release. Generally, after a 194% YTD performance and a broadening of the market since the US election, investors may take profits, which could lead to a pullback in the stock.
On the chart, NVDA is currently within a rising wedge, which could see it either hit the lower boundary and rebound or break down and find support at previous levels. I'm not currently invested, but I'm preparing to potentially short the stock after the earnings release, post-market.
Nvidia Q3 24 Earnings in Focus Q3 24 earnings for Nvidia (Nasdaq; ticker: NVDA) – a leader in the artificial intelligence (AI) chip and data centre solutions market – and the company’s Q4 forward guidance will be released after the market closes today. Over the past two years, Nvidia's performance has been nothing short of remarkable, resulting in substantial growth in both share price and company revenue.
The Q2 24 earnings announcement revealed that data centre growth jumped to US$26.3 billion, rising 16% from Q1 24 and was up more than 150% compared to a year ago (Q2 23). This also helped fuel record quarterly revenue, rising 122% (US$30.0 billion) from a year ago (Q2 23). The company’s bottom line – net income – doubled to nearly US$17 billion in Q2 24, compared to a little over 6US$ billion a year ago (Q2 23).
Earnings for Nvidia are set to be reported for the fiscal quarter ending on October 31 of this year. This event is highly anticipated on Wall Street, with significant expectations from investors. According to analysts at Bank of America (BofA), the results could influence the short-term direction of the US stock market. Notably, Nvidia has contributed to approximately 20% of the returns in the S&P 500 over the past year. Therefore, today’s earnings release will likely impact stock market indexes, with implied options suggesting a potential 10% swing in the company’s share price following the earnings announcement.
Earnings will take centre stage, and the company's forward guidance will also be significant. Investors will be particularly focused on margin and market share levels to see if they remain stable as the company works to get Blackwell operational. This also comes after Nvidia recently surpassed Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) to become the largest company in the world by market capitalisation, now valued at $US3.6 trillion.
Other key metrics to keep an eye on:
• Net income: US$17.4 billion expected versus US$9.2 billion a year earlier
• Revenue: US$33.1 billion expected versus US$30.0 billion in Q2 24
• Earnings Per Share (EPS): US$0.75 per share expected versus US$0.38 a year earlier
Analysts Favour Buying
The company’s growth and strong performance are expected to have continued in Q3 24. According to data provided by Refinitiv, 90% of the analysts polled currently rated the stock as a ‘Buy’ (33% of which rated it as a ‘Strong Buy’). Around 10% of the analysts suggested a ‘Hold’.
Year to date, the NVDA stock is up nearly 200%, with the company’s share price rallying 20% since pencilling in a low of US$90.69 at the end of August. Over the previous five years, the stock has also rallied an eye-watering 2,600%.
What Are the Charts Saying?
It would be an understatement to say that the stock is trending higher. The higher highs and higher lows seen on the weekly chart are a textbook definition of an uptrend. At the tail end of September, the stock ruptured the upper boundary of a pennant pattern (drawn from the high of US$140.76 and US$90.69) and has since pushed higher. Generally, once a chart pattern completes – pencils in a breakout – traders will look to apply the pattern’s take-profit objective, which in this case, can be found by extending the pole’s value from the breakout point. As you can imagine, this would involve a profit objective at around US$450.00.
Over on the daily chart, the stock has been caught within an ascending channel since the middle of October, extended from US$128.74 and US$144.42. You will also note that the stock left the lower boundary of its ascending channel unchallenged this week and rallied nearly 5.0% yesterday. Technically, this indicates strength and a breakout above the upper boundary of the ascending channel to potentially refresh all-time highs.
Written by FP Markets market analyst Aaron Hill.
NVDA Possible play's Again my cus trades stocks so I figured I would post what I charted up for him. When looking at possible play's you will need to go down to a 2min time frame to get your entries. With the gaps in these stocks it can be difficult to find entries with so much missing data. maybe I don't pay enough to see it . I cannot post lower time frames and zones but set up 30min wick highs / lows -zones 3 candles back and you will see the support and resistance
NVDIA - Arguments For BullsMedianlines (Pitchforks) do not forecast.
They PROJECT the most probable path of price.
At each moment in time, a "Medianline/Pitchfork Analyst" can relay on the rules and the framework they provide.
In this case I see the following arguments for a continuation to the upside:
- price is above the Center-Line
- price did test the CL two times and hold
- price was attempted to test the CL a third time, but was even too strong to reach it, and is now in this very momentum to the upside
- when price trades towards a Medain-Line but can't reach it, it's a sign that price will continue the direction it had before (up in this case). The next Target is the "next" Medianline, which is the U-MLH (Upper-Medianline-Parallel)
- price broke the blue-dashed A/R line to the upside
All said, we have to keep in mind that there is also a opposite side of the Coin. I will provide another Chart Analysis with "Arguments For Bears".
Nvda results tonight. Be careful…
NVIDIA Earnings Today: Strong Results Expected, But Future Outlook Raises Questions
NVIDIA (NVDA) is set to release its earnings today, and analysts are anticipating strong results, with projected revenue of around $33.1 billion and EPS estimates of $0.71. Given NVIDIA’s dominance in the AI and semiconductor markets, the company is expected to meet or slightly beat expectations. However, looking ahead, there are several factors that could challenge its future growth and stock performance:
1. Supply Chain Constraints
NVIDIA has faced production bottlenecks, particularly with its new Blackwell AI chips. These challenges could slow revenue growth and limit the company’s ability to meet increasing demand.
2. Market Saturation
The semiconductor industry is showing signs of a slowdown in global chip demand, with inventory excess becoming an issue. Coupled with increasing competition from companies like AMD and Intel, NVIDIA’s pricing power and market share could be affected.
3. Economic and Sector Volatility
Broader economic uncertainty and volatility in the tech sector pose risks to investor sentiment. While AI remains a hot topic, the tech sector has seen significant layoffs, which could indicate a slowdown in spending on high-end hardware.
4. Regulatory and Geopolitical Challenges
U.S. export restrictions on advanced AI chips to China and other regions could limit NVIDIA’s market opportunities. With geopolitical tensions on the rise, these restrictions may become a bigger hurdle for future growth.
Outlook
While NVIDIA’s earnings are expected to be strong, the stock’s performance may hinge on its forward guidance. If growth projections fail to address these headwinds, we could see negative sentiment around the stock, even with positive earnings results. Investors should carefully evaluate the long-term potential of the AI and semiconductor markets when considering NVIDIA’s future.
For me I’m edging towards the bearish yet I’m back to sitting on my hands till after the results. The reason for me going bearish is the both the weekly and the daily macd have diverged along with the fact that the last release was a beat yet we had a slight decline post release.
What are your thoughts? Will NVIDIA’s strong results outweigh these challenges, or could the future bring pressure
