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New Zealand Dollar / Japanese Yen forum


goh8888lester
NZDJPY

I would enter at a- when,

- Price stabs the minor resistance area marked with the yellow sguiggly line labeled as a-.

Confluence with trendline, and 60SMA.

All sounds good, and something I would have taken back in 2020.

I was stuck back then in this "belief" that I should only check two time frames, one entry and one higher time frame.

However, I was very wrong. It would work that way if one were to enter on the 4H time frame, and taking the direction of the Daily time frame.

However, I realised it doesn't work, at least for me.

I am missing out on alot of movements I should have taken note of, such as the price breaching the Daily major Support level.

Of course I was figuring things out, and I am still figuring things out.

I think there is never an end to learning.

Just 1 to 3 trades a month is good enough. Allowing my mind to relax while I eyeball trades and setups.

I am just eyeballing this setup now.

I don't believe this setup is a good one because price just touched the daily Major support.

If there is not support level in sight, I would enter on this trade.

Not to say this setup wouldn't work out, because it could, as institutions come back to sweep the Daily major support's SLs' before heading back up.

But for myself I don't like this trade and I will not enter on it.

1319SGT
07042025
Snapshot
NZDJPY Take sell entries from 83.22
Take profit 1 at 82.90
Take profit 2 at 82.40
Take profit 3 at 81.80
Stop loss at 83.91
My thoughts about it are bearish and we can take sell entries till the tps.
what are your thoughts about it..?
Thief_Trader
NZDJPY Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the NZD/JPY "Kiwi vs Yen" Forex Bank. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉

Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise to Place sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most nearest or swing, low or high level.

Stop Loss 🛑:
📌Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing High or Low level Using the 4H timeframe (85.500) Day/Scalping trade basis.
📌SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.

Target 🎯: 82.000 (or) Escape Before the Target

🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.

💸💵NZD/JPY "Kiwi vs Yen" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Scalping / Day Trade) is currently experiencing a bearishness,., driven by several key factors.👇

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Snapshot
goh8888lester
NZDJPY My thoughts on NZDJPY.

I think all JPY pairs behave similarly.

...1445SGT

I took some time to day dream and it seems that the current volume has picked up.

Maybe cos its close to London open now.

USDJPY also seem to have peaked in the downside. But I don't trust USDJPY because it showed more strength towards the downside on the Daily Time Frame, then NZDJPY.

I think, overall its still quite risky to trade these pairs.

I have to remind myself of my 100% winrate I gotten on 1st April for 1R profit, so I wouldn't make rash decisions and decide to trade now just because price is at the Major Support level.

Rather miss the opportunity than to lose the 100% winrate for April 2025.

1448SGT
04042025
Snapshot
NYP86UK
NZDJPY If i see a bearish entry candle from the supply zone (premium), I'm down to 84.26 levels. Good luck
Snapshot
NZDJPY Come on quick take sell entries guys now from 86.474 and keep holding it till 86.232. It will be sharp entry and sharp profit booking.
NZDJPY

Institutions are dangling the carrot, for the past me I would enter here, as the price retraces back to the resistance level of the Bear Flag.

Breath deep, feel it in your diaphragm, and let go.

Previous entry I also mentioned about this bear flag setup.

Actually, nnot to say the flag or pennant or what is not good.

They are good setups, just that when you apply such setups on the lower time frame, it becomes unstable, and inaccurate because the overall momentum is being guided by the higher time frame, most of the time.

So, you got to see the higher time frames patterns, movements, direction first.

Understand where the anime con is going to be held at, and plan your booth and marketing strategy to promote your booth.

If the anime con has been held at suntec convention hall in singapore for the past 10 years, then you could expect the anime con to be held there too, this year.

Marina square is near suntec, orchard road is near suntec, and the train you are taking might pass by orchard road, and the public transport might pass by marina square while people make their way to the anime con at suntec, but would you open a booth at marina square, or orchard road, hoping to earn from the anime con goers?

Maybe, some might pop by, but you will be missing the majority of the crowd and business(assuming your booth is a sound and logical business idea with good following, and that you are positioned at a good area to draw in the crowds.)

I seen for almost 2 decades that, eventually the sand settles.

Let the sand settle, and you do your thing.

Do good things, correct things(not right things), and you might miss alot of oppportunities, but you will still eventually be like the water in the bottle where the sand settled.

1630SGT 27032025

tldr be patient.

miss opportunities rather than enter wrongly.

Strong movements without you will still eventually come back to fetch you if the big players didn't get enough discounts and enough supply, and more often than not, the big players do not get enough.

What is yours will be yours.

1632SGT 27032025

I seen it in my acquaintance groups that those who do good and do correct will more likely than not get sifted into the categories they positioned themselves to go to.

1632SGT 27032025
Snapshot
NZDJPY

Previously, I would have entered here because price is consolidating before the continuation.

I learned this from Rayner. Not to say Rayner is bad, but I might have misunderstood his meaning. Also, he did mention that it wouldn't always hold true.

Back to topic.

Now that I learned about the pot stabbing incidents, the blue lines I drawn and blue arrows drawn depict where previous stabbing incidents occured, "out of the blue" even though price did show signs that it is going to consolidate then continue its downward way.

The examples shown are not perfect, but the idea is there.

Do not, just because price is consolidating in your direction, and you enter on it thinking price would continue its way in your intended direction.

Those who entered on the consolidation becomes liquidity for the hunters, because their stop loss gets triggered, because they placed it at the top or above the swing high of those stabbing incidents area.

I would instead, enter at the stabbing incident areas, because those areas are where the real discounts are being offered.

I might miss the deal, and it's ok.

I also think that losing isn't as random as gurus make it out to be.

Losing is because big institutes or a large group of people decided to buy or sell something together or at very close timings, or in conseccutive time ranges, leading to trends that move against the market norms.

Blue - Marketplace where the real discounts are being offered aka stabbing the pot.

red - Areas that show price consolidating, and will be continuing on their jolly way in a while "hopeful traders".

orange - Double bottom, W, spikes, also know as the places where institutional traders stab the pots at, to get the liquidity they need, to get the goods they want at the best prices possible, from hopefuls who placed their SL just beyond the tip of the spikes, because they banked in on the consolidation, and if they place their SL too deep beyond the spike tips, their 1 to 2 risk to reward would not be possible.

2355SGT 25032025

I thought i was smart, but actually now I realised I too am so ignorant because I entered on the consolidations for so many years being a hopeful, and theres no many traders who said to not put the SL at the tip.

I thought the tip was the consolidations tip, so, I placed it on the spiked tip instead(due to ATR buffer, too), and I got mixed results.

Now I know.

1st - Choose your
best discounted marketplace to buy to sell at.

2 - Consolidations are traps.

3 - If you missed the opportunity or it didn't come, its ok. You don't take much trades a month.

4 - Take care of your emotions and mood and mental health if you want to be a good trader. And that includes getting your dopamine from the right sources, like money from work instead of hoping you get it from trading. and, eating well. You dont haveenough to eat well? Go get a real job, first. Really. Even 10$ a day is better than nothing. And dont make babies or have a gf or bf. Really. Focus on yourself.

1159SGT 25032025
Snapshot
The NZD/JPY pair has been in a downtrend, showing a semi-consolidation phase on the 4-hour timeframe. A minor key resistance level at 86.500 has been established, where price initially attempted a breakout but later reversed, likely as a liquidity grab to trigger stop losses.

Currently, price is trading within a liquidity zone, and our strategy is to wait for a confirmed breakout above 86.500. A 4-hour candle close above this level would confirm bullish momentum, at which point we will look for a buy limit order at 86.900, anticipating further upside.
Snapshot