NZDUSD trade ideas
NZD_USD SHORT SIGNAL|
✅NZD_USD grew again
To retest the resistance of 0.6038
But it is a strong key level
So I think that there is a high chance
We will see a bearish pullback and a move down
Thus, we can enter a short trade
With the TP of 0.5953 and
The SL of 0.6042
SHORT🔥
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NZD/USD Approaches 0.5900 – Critical Test for Bulls Ahe🧭 Overview:
The NZD/USD pair showed notable bullish strength on Monday, April 14, 2025, opening at 0.5830, hitting a high of 0.5900, and closing near 0.5885. This upward movement marks a potential shift in sentiment after a prolonged period of consolidation, driven by a weaker U.S. dollar and increased risk appetite among investors.
📈 Current Market Structure:
The pair broke above the consolidation range and is now trading near a key resistance zone around the 200-day moving average. The recent bullish candle indicates strong buyer momentum, suggesting that a medium-term trend reversal may be underway.
🔹 Key Resistance Levels:
0.5900: Psychological level and the 200-day SMA. A daily close above this may confirm a shift in long-term trend.
0.5955: A former swing high, acting as the next resistance for bulls.
0.6000 – 0.6040: Major resistance zone. A breakout here could confirm full bullish reversal and open room for extended gains.
🔸 Key Support Levels:
0.5823: Recent swing low and intraday support. Holding above this level maintains short-term bullish bias.
0.5760: Intermediate support. A break below this could expose the pair to deeper corrections.
0.5700: Major support level, aligning with previous structure lows from February 2024.
Source: DailyFX, Investing.com
📐 Price Action Patterns:
Recent bullish candles have broken key resistance within a sideways range, indicating increased demand for the kiwi dollar. The breakout above 0.5850 confirms momentum, while the lack of overbought signals on RSI and MACD crossover further support the continuation of the move. However, price faces a major test at the 0.5900 area.
🔮 Potential Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Scenario:
If NZD/USD maintains above 0.5823 and successfully breaks above 0.5900, the pair could extend gains toward 0.5955 and 0.6000. This scenario may be supported by weaker U.S. dollar sentiment and stabilization in global risk sentiment.
❌ Bearish Scenario:
If the pair fails to hold above 0.5823, it may decline toward 0.5760. A break below this level opens the door to test 0.5700, which would invalidate the current bullish breakout structure.
📌 Conclusion:
NZD/USD is showing signs of bullish recovery, supported by a breakout above consolidation and increased technical momentum. The area around 0.5900 will be critical — a successful close above it could mark the beginning of a new bullish phase. Traders should watch price action closely near this resistance zone and adjust strategies accordingly.
🗓️ Note: This analysis is based on market data available as of April 14, 2025. Always follow up with the latest price action and news events before making trading decisions.
NZDUSD – 4H Bearish Divergence and a Bearish Cup & HandleHey traders 👋
NZDUSD is currently flashing some solid bearish signals on the 4H chart, and it's time to pay attention if you haven't already. Let's break it down.
🔍 Bearish Divergence in Play
On the surface, price action has been making higher highs — classic bullish behavior, right? But here's the catch: the RSI isn't playing along. Instead of confirming the higher highs with its own strength, it's diverging, making lower highs while price pushes up. That’s a textbook bearish divergence — and it’s one of those signals that tends to play out more often than not.
This kind of divergence hints at momentum exhaustion, which means bulls might be losing steam, and bears could be waiting to take over. Always worth a second look.
☕ Bearish Cup & Handle – Not Your Morning Brew
Another piece of the puzzle: the price structure is starting to carve out a bearish cup and handle pattern. While the bullish version is a continuation setup, the bearish one flips the script.
We’ve got a nice rounded top forming the “cup,” which signals distribution rather than accumulation.
The “handle” is forming as a short-term consolidation or a weak push higher — but volume is drying up, and there’s no real conviction in the move.
When this type of pattern forms after an uptrend or during exhaustion phases, it often leads to a downside breakout, giving bears the upper hand.
💡 Overall Outlook
With momentum fading, RSI divergence, and a bearish pattern all lining up, this setup looks like a potential swing short opportunity. Of course, confirmation is key — always wait for that break before diving in.
No need to chase — let the chart come to you.
📌 Trade Smart, Stay Sharp.
Let me know what you're seeing on this pair. Are you eyeing the same pattern or do you have a different take?
#NZDUSD #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #BearishDivergence #CupAndHandle #4HChart #PriceAction #RSI #ForexTrader #SwingTrading
NZDUSD → Is there a chance for continued growth?FX:NZDUSD within the framework of the rally, which is associated with a strong decline in the dollar, is exiting the ascending channel and testing the resistance at 0.5922.
Against the backdrop of the falling dollar, which is associated with economic factors, the New Zealand has good chances to continue to grow. Consolidation of the currency pair above the level will indicate the readiness of the currency pair to continue to grow.
But! Today is quite a day full of economic news. Traders are waiting for Core retail sales & retail sales, as well as Powell's speech at 17:15 UTC. High volatility is possible!
Resistance levels: 0.5922, 0.6038
Support levels: 0.5853
A small correction may be formed from the resistance, but another retest and price consolidation above 0.5922 may be a good signal for both the bulls and us to make decisions. The currency pair has all chances to reach 0.6000
Regards R. Linda!
SHORT ON NZD/USDNZD/USD Is currently at a major resistance level/zone and has created a double top or equal highs.
Price has started to fall a bit, but I do believe price will rise to take out the equal highs in a "Liquidity hunt"
Overall I am taking a market execution sell on NZD/USD to the next demand level looking to catch over 300+ pips.
Kiwi H4 | Bullish uptrend to extend further?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 0.5971 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 0.5875 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 0.6082 which is a resistance level that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
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NZDUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my NZDUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
NZD/USD Want To Give Us Third Entry To Get Extra 250 Pips !Id you check the chart you will see that i mentioned 2 places to buy this pair , and the price moving great , now we have a new place to can add one more buy entry with extra 250 pips target , it was a good res and now it will work as a great support , so we will wait he price to go back to check it and give us any good bullish P.A And then we can enter a buy trade with 250 pips target , and first 2 entries book a good profits from it and risk with 20% from your profits in the new entry .
This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
NZDUSD to continue in the upward move?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
There is no indication that the rally is coming to an end.
Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 0.6025 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.6075.
We look to Buy at 0.5950 (stop at 0.5900)
Our profit targets will be 0.6050 and 0.6075
Resistance: 0.6025 / 0.6050 / 0.6075
Support: 0.6000 / 0.5950 / 0.5925
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The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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Falling towards pullback support?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.5887
1st Support: 0.5828
1st Resistance: 0.6019
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The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish reversal off overlap resistance?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 0.5987
1st Support: 0.5831
1st Resistance: 0.6125
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
NZDUSD SELL TRADE PLAN🔥 NZD/USD TRADE PLAN 🔥
📅 Date: April 23, 2025
Plan Type: Main Swing – Reversal
Trade Plan Overview
Type Direction Confidence R:R Status
Swing Sell ⭐⭐⭐⭐ 88% 4.1:1 Waiting
Guidance: Prioritize this Swing Sell plan due to 88% confidence. Price has rejected a daily supply and H4 OB with bearish imbalance and exhaustion visible on intraday. Sentiment and macro DXY flow reinforce bearish NZD stance. Total portfolio risk: 1%.
Primary Trade Plan: Swing – Sell
📈 Market Bias & Trade Type
Bias: Bearish 📉
Trade Type: Reversal
🔰 Confidence Level
⭐⭐⭐⭐ (88%)
Reason:
* D1 supply zone + fresh rejection wick.
* H4 OB + liquidity sweep.
* M30 BOS + divergence.
* Sentiment Score: +7/10
* DXY bullish continuation
* Cross-confirmation: AUD/NZD bullish divergence
* Historical win rate: 76% for this setup archetype
Confidence Breakdown:
* OB Confluence: 28%
* Fib: 18%
* Sentiment: 14%
* Cross-Market: 12%
* Volume/Structure: 16%
📌 Status – price in primary OB zone.
📍 Entry Zones
🟥 Primary Sell Zone: 0.5990 – 0.6010 (D1 OB + FVG + wick inducement)
🟧 Secondary Zone: 0.6025 – 0.6045 (Wick imbalance fill + psychological level)
❗ Stop Loss
0.6060 (Above D1 OB + 1x H4 ATR, ~65 pips risk)
🎯 Take Profit Targets
🥇 TP1: 0.5910 (80 pips, 1.2:1 R:R, H4 swing zone)
🥈 TP2: 0.5805 (185 pips, 2.8:1 R:R, D1 EQ zone)
🥉 TP3: 0.5675 (315 pips, 4.8:1 R:R, swing low)
📏 Risk:Reward
TP2: 2.8:1
TP3: 4.8:1
🧠 Management Strategy
* Risk: 1% of $10,000 = $100 ≈ 0.2 lots
* SL to BE after TP1
* TP1: 50%, TP2: 30%, TP3: 20% trail
* Exit early on H4 BOS bullish or USD reversal
* Portfolio exposure capped at 1%
⚠️ Confirmation Criteria
* M30 bearish engulfing/pin bar inside OB
* H1/M30 volume confirmation
* Optional: M15 RSI divergence
* Best Entry: London Open / NY overlap
* Avoid: RBNZ policy statement/news spikes
⏳ Validity
H4 setup valid for 1–3 days (expires April 26)
❌ Invalidation: H4/D1 close above 0.6060 or structure shift bullish
🌐 Fundamental & Sentiment Snapshot
* COT: USD bullish bias strengthening
* DXY: Bullish structure holding
* Retail Sentiment: 74% long NZD/USD (contrarian bearish)
* Cross-Pair: AUD/NZD bullish (implies NZD weakness)
* Cross-Market: XAU/USD steady, not conflicting
* Macro: No major RBNZ/fed releases within 48h
* Sentiment Score: +7/10
* Historical: 76% win rate on this OB reversal pattern
📋 Final Trade Summary
D1 OB rejection with textbook H4 structure aligns for swing short. Setup awaits OB reaction + intraday entry. Confidence is high with strong macro alignment. Entry window preferred during London–NY crossover. Monitor volume and M30/H1 confirmations before executing. TP scaling designed to capture short-term, mid-range, and trend-continuation targets.
NZDUSD Trading Opportunity! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for NZDUSD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 0.5971
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 0.5847
Safe Stop Loss - 0.6013
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
nzdusd sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
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P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
NZD-USD Potential Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-USD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair is making
A local bearish correction
Towards the horizontal support
Level of 0.5912 and after the
Retest we will be expecting
A bullish rebound
Buy!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NZDUSD Discretionary Analysis: Bounce at 0.59Hello traders.
NZDUSD has potential for me. I'm expecting the momentum to continue, and I've got my eye on that 0.59 level to get involved. That's where I'll be looking for a setup.
Discretionary Trading: Where Experience Becomes the Edge
Discretionary trading is all about making decisions based on what you see, what you feel, and what you've learned through experience. Unlike systematic strategies that rely on fixed rules or algorithms, discretionary traders use their judgment to read the market in real time. It's a skill that can't be rushed, because it's built on screen time, pattern recognition, and the ability to stay calm under pressure.
There's no shortcut here. You need to see enough market conditions, wins, and losses to build that intuition—the kind that tells you when to pull the trigger or sit on your hands. Charts might look the same, but context changes everything, and that's something only experience can teach you.
At the end of the day, discretionary trading is an art, refined over time, sharpened through mistakes, and driven by instinct. It's not for everyone, but for those who've put in the work, it can be a powerful way to trade.
NZDUSD - Bearish Control Soon!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈NZDUSD has been hovering within a big range between $0.55 support and $0.59 resistance.
Currently, NZDUSD is retesting the upper bound of the wedge marked in blue.
Moreover, the $0.59 is a strong daily resistance zone.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper blue trendline and green resistance.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #NZDUSD is hovering around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NZD/USD Giving Us Second Chance To Buy It Again And Get 250 PipsIf you check now , the price touch my support and go up for more than 70 pips 0 Drawdown , now i`m looking to buy this pair again and targeting 250 pips if the price go back to retest the hard res that forced the price to go down many times , so if we have a good retest for this res and the price give us a good bullish P.A , Then we can add a new entry and targeting 250 pips . if you entered with me first entry you should book your profits and secure your trade .
This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.