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New Zealand Dollar / U.S. Dollar

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NZDUSD trade ideas

NZD/USD 4H Timeframe AnalysisTrend Analysis: On the 4-hour timeframe, NZD/USD is in an uptrend, creating new highs and new lows. The price broke through the previous minor key resistance at 0.56750 and also broke our trendline, which can be considered another minor key level. Following this breakout, the price accumulated a high volume of buyer orders before retracing below the minor key. This move appears to be a liquidity grab—hunting for buyers’ stop losses—and represents a form of market manipulation. The price then retested the minor key level within our trendline. Price Action Expectation: After liquidity was formed, the price created a doji candle followed by a bullish engulfing pattern, suggesting that buyers are ready to push the price higher. The price then broke the minor key resistance again. Our objective now is to patiently wait for a retest of the minor key level. Trade Setup: Entry: 0.56780 (upon confirmation of the retest) Stop Loss (SL): 0.56510 (placed below the liquidity zone) Take Profit (TP): 0.57430 (targeting the next minor key level) Fundamental Outlook: The upcoming USD news on the Non-Farm Employment Change is set to report a forecast of 169K, a significant decline from the previous figure of 256K. This lower-than-expected reading could suggest a cooling U.S. labor market, potentially putting downward pressure on the USD. If the data confirms a slowdown in job creation, market participants may adjust their expectations for economic growth and Federal Reserve policy, which could lead to a weaker dollar. However, overall market reactions will depend on additional economic indicators and prevailing risk sentiment, so traders should be prepared for increased volatility. Conclusion: The NZD/USD 4-hour analysis reveals that the pair remains in an established uptrend, with recent price action indicating both a liquidity grab and potential accumulation. The formation of a doji followed by a bullish engulfing pattern signals that buyers are preparing to push the price higher. Our technical setup involves a buy entry at 0.56780—after a confirmed retest of the minor key level—with a stop loss at 0.56510 and a target of 0.57430, offering a clear risk/reward profile. On the fundamental side, the upcoming Non-Farm Employment Change report—forecasted at 169K compared to the previous 256K—could point to a cooling U.S. labor market, potentially weakening the USD and adding volatility to the market. Overall, while the technical setup looks promising, traders should remain cautious given the potential for increased volatility from the upcoming economic data. Adjust your risk management accordingly as you monitor the market for a confirmed retest before entering the trade. Trading involves substantial risks and may not be suitable for all investors. Always seek guidance from a financial professional if you’re unsure about trading decisions.
Long
by RebornFXTrader
2
Is NZDUSD Set to Explode Higher? Next Stop 0.635?NZDUSD has been in free fall since late September last year, barreling straight toward the 0.55 Monthly support—a level that’s triggered two explosive reversals before. Could this be the third? I’m already in the trade, and here’s why I’m feeling confident. Let’s rewind a bit. Two weeks ago, we saw a clean break of the weekly trendline. Now, this is where a lot of “textbook” traders made a rookie mistake—jumping in on the trendline break, expecting the crash to continue, only to get blindsided. Pro tip: When you see a trend breakout, don’t chase it. Wait for the first pullback and then dive into the lower timeframes to spot divergence signals or slowing momentum. That’s how you catch the real move. On the daily chart, this setup was screaming at me. After a brutal drop, the price action shifted from a downtrend into accumulation mode as we approached the 0.55 support. The MACD confirmed my suspicions—it started to flatline, then flashed bullish divergence, with price moving down while the MACD crept higher. Then came Monday’s candle, and it was chef’s kiss. The market gapped down at the open, creating a new low, but buyers swooped in and gobbled it up, pushing the price right back to where it started. That’s a textbook bullish signal. Why does this matter? When you see a gap down like this, after a long downtrend, inside an accumulation zone with divergence signals—BAM! It’s the market telling you the current cycle is done, and we’re shifting into a bullish phase. Now, if you’re a cautious trader, you could wait for a break and close above 0.57 (the top of the accumulation zone). But when you know how to read these clues, you can front-run these moves and ride the wave alongside the whales. My targets: First target: 0.585, the level of previous support that got taken out in December. We’ll likely see some resistance here. Second target: 0.635, the top of the range that’s held for years. I’m strapped in and ready for the ride. Let me know what you think below! 🚀
Long
by TheFxAce
4
NZD/USD Analysis: Recovery from 27-Month LowNZD/USD Analysis: Recovery from 27-Month Low This morning, New Zealand’s labour market data was released, showing unfavourable results. The unemployment rate rose to 5.1% in Q4, the highest since Q3 2020, signalling economic slowdown and reinforcing expectations of a rate cut by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand at its meeting in late February. However, the weak labour market figures were widely anticipated and already priced in. A greater source of uncertainty is the ongoing trade war between the US and China, a key trading partner for both Australia and New Zealand. Donald Trump stated that he is "in no rush" to speak with Xi Jinping after China retaliated against the 10% US tariffs on Chinese imports. Technical analysis of the NZD/USD chart shows that: → The pair remains in a downward trend (marked in red), driven by a strengthening US dollar. The price is currently near the upper boundary of this trend. → The 0.555 level acted as support twice in 2025, as indicated by arrows. Notably, the price also reversed upwards from this area in 2022. It is possible that buyers will gain confidence and attempt to break the upper boundary of the channel. The future trajectory of NZD/USD will largely depend on news related not only to central bank interest rate decisions but also to government actions on tariffs. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
2
Potential bullish rise?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the pullback resistance. Pivot: 0.5630 1st Support: 0.5590 1st Resistance: 0.5716 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
1
NZDUSD - ANALYSIS👀 Observation: Hello, everyone! I hope you're all doing well. Let me share my personal view on NZD/USD with you. The 1-hour high at 0.56841 has been broken, and after a sufficient pullback, I expect NZD/USD to move upward from the current area. The target I have in mind for NZD/USD is 0.57972. 📉 Expectation: Bullish Scenario: Upward movement toward 0.57972 after holding above the 0.56841 level. 💡 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: 0.57972 Support: 0.56841 💬 What’s your outlook on NZD/USD? Share your thoughts in the comments! Trade safe
Long
by PouyanTradeFX
3
NZDUSD to see a temporary move lower?NZDUSD - 24h expiry A lower correction is expected. We expect a reversal in this move. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. A move through 0.5650 will confirm the bullish momentum. The measured move target is 0.5700. We look to Buy at 0.5625 (stop at 0.5605) Our profit targets will be 0.5675 and 0.5700 Resistance: 0.5650 / 0.5675 / 0.5700 Support: 0.5625 / 0.5610 / 0.5600 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA
NZDUSD Approaching Key Resistance – Potential Sell SetupOANDA:NZDUSD is approaching a key resistance zone. Previously, this level has acted as strong supply area, leading to a bearish reaction. The ongoing bullish momentum suggests that buyers might test this level soon. A bearish confirmation, such as a strong rejection pattern, bearish engulfing candles, or long upper wicks, would increase the probability of a pullback. If sellers step in, the price could move toward the 0.56570 level. This is not financial advice but rather how I approach support/resistance zones. Remember, always wait for confirmation, like a rejection candle or volume spike before jumping in. Please boost this post, every like and comment drives me to bring you more ideas! I’d love to hear your perspective in the comments. Best of luck , TrendDiva
Short
by TrendDiva
1
NZD/USD – "Kiwi Surge: Elliott Wave Roadmap"🌊 NZD/USD – "Kiwi Surge: Elliott Wave Roadmap" 📢 Hello traders! Today, we’re diving deep into the Elliott Wave structure of NZD/USD (Kiwi). If you're trading AUD/USD, you'll notice how both pairs move similarly against the US Dollar. Currently, NZD/USD has completed a major corrective phase, and we're at a potential turning point where an impulsive bullish wave could take shape. Let's break it down! 🏆 Elliott Wave Breakdown: ✅ Macro Perspective: 1️⃣ The long-term structure suggests a corrective ABC pattern has completed, with Wave C reaching exhaustion. 2️⃣ A potential bullish impulse could now begin, with early confirmation levels. 3️⃣ The key trendline resistance must break to validate the bullish scenario. 📈 Bullish Scenarios: 🚀 Scenario 1 – Aggressive Bullish Idea: ✔️ A five-wave impulse should form from the current lows. ✔️ Breaking 0.5726 – 0.6039 confirms an early trend reversal. ✔️ First target: 0.6150 – 0.6540 (Wave C Projection). ✔️ A clear impulse structure in lower timeframes will add confirmation. 🔄 Scenario 2 – Conservative Bullish Idea: ✔️ If a corrective pullback occurs, it must hold above 0.5511 (Wave C low) to stay valid. ✔️ A three-wave correction (ABC) before five impulsive waves. ✔️ Breakout level: 0.6039, signaling a sustained uptrend. 📉 Bearish Invalidations: ❌ If price breaks below 0.5511, the corrective structure could extend further. ❌ Failure to break trendline resistance = continued range-bound movement. 🔥 Final Thought: 🌍 NZD/USD is at a critical inflection point. If the current wave count is correct, we could see a major rally similar to previous Elliott Wave patterns. Watch for confirmation signals—especially a strong five-wave structure on lower timeframes! 📊 What’s Your Bias? 💬 Will NZD/USD follow through with the bullish scenario or remain corrective? Comment below! ✅ Like & Share for more in-depth Elliott Wave insights! 🚀📈
Long
by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP
NZD/USD "The Kiwi" Forex Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the NZD/USD "The Kiwi" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (0.63300) then make your move - Bullish profits await!" however I advise placing Buy Stop Orders above the breakout MA or Place Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent / nearest low level Using the 4H timeframe (0.56500) swing trade basis SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 0.64400 (or) Escape Before the Target Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook: NZD/USD "The Kiwi" Forex Market market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors. 🔴Fundamental Analysis: The NZD/USD pair is currently trading at 0.5677, with a 0.04% increase. The pair's upward movement is driven by weaker US PMI data, which has dragged the Greenback lower against the New Zealand Dollar. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand is expected to cut its 4.25% cash rate by 50bps at its upcoming meeting, which could impact the pair's movement. 🟣Macroeconomic Analysis: The global economic trends are influencing the NZD/USD pair. The US inflation rate is at 2.90%, while New Zealand's inflation rate is at 2.20%. The interest rate difference between the two countries is also affecting the pair, with the US Fed Funds Interest Rate at 4.50% and the New Zealand Interest Rate at 4.25%. 🔵COT Report: The latest COT report shows that speculative traders have increased their long positions in the NZD/USD pair, indicating a bullish sentiment. 🟠Sentimental Market Analysis: The market sentiment for the NZD/USD pair is currently bullish, with 60% of investors expecting the price to increase in the next week. The social media sentiment is also bullish, with 55% of tweets and posts expressing a positive sentiment towards the pair. 🟢Aggregate Sentiment: Bullish: 62% Neutral: 26% Bearish: 12% 🟡Positioning Analysis: Institutional investors have increased their investment in the NZD/USD pair, indicating a growing interest in the pair. Retail investors are also optimistic about the pair, with 70% of investors expecting the price to increase in the next week. ⚫Overall Outlook: Based on the analysis, the overall outlook for the NZD/USD pair is bullish, with a potential price increase of 5% in the next week. However, the market is subject to volatility, and investors should exercise caution when making investment decisions. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
Long
by Thief_Trader
Bearish reversal?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support. Pivot: 0.5716 1st Support: 0.5631 1st Resistance: 0.5781 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
Market Analysis: NZD/USD Rebound: Signs of Trend Shift?Market Analysis: NZD/USD Rebound: Signs of Trend Shift? NZD/USD is also rising and might aim for more gains above 0.5700. Important Takeaways for NZD USD Analysis Today - NZD/USD is consolidating gains above the 0.5600 zone. - There is a key declining channel forming with resistance at 0.5680 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen. NZD/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of NZD/USD on FXOpen, the pair started a steady increase from the 0.5515 zone. The New Zealand Dollar broke the 0.5600 resistance to start the recent increase against the US Dollar. The pair settled above 0.5630 and the 50-hour simple moving average. It tested the 0.5700 zone and is currently correcting gains. The pair corrected lower below the 0.5660 level. However, the bulls are active above the 0.5630 level. The NZD/USD chart suggests that the RSI is now moving higher toward 50. On the upside, the pair might struggle near 0.5660. The next major resistance is near the 0.5680 level. There is also a key declining channel forming with resistance at 0.5680. A clear move above the 0.5680 level might even push the pair toward the 0.5700 level. Any more gains might clear the path for a move toward the 0.5750 resistance zone in the coming days. On the downside, immediate support is near the 0.5630 level. The first key support is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.5516 swing low to the 0.5702 high. The next major support is near the 0.5560 level. If there is a downside break below the 0.5560 support, the pair might slide toward the 0.5515 support. Any more losses could lead NZD/USD in a bearish zone to 0.5440. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
Bullish bounce?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Pivot: 0.5630 1st Support: 0.5590 1st Resistance: 0.5716 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
NZD/USD Bears Box Borken Take the Lead After Trendline BreakThe New Zealand Dollar to US Dollar currency pair on the two-hour chart has broken below an ascending trendline, signaling a potential shift in momentum. The short position was taken after price action failed to sustain above the trendline, confirming bearish strength. The entry was executed near 0.57076, following the breakdown, with the stop-loss placed above recent highs to manage risk effectively. The take-profit target is positioned at 0.55459, aligning with a previous demand zone that may act as support. This setup reflects a trend reversal as buyers lose control and sellers gain momentum. As long as the price remains below the broken trendline, the short position remains valid, with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio supporting the trade's potential.
Short
by wolfchemist
2
NZDUSD to remain mixed?NZDUSD - 24h expiry Pivot support is at 0.5640. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. Short term RSI has turned positive. A move through 0.5675 will confirm the bullish momentum. The measured move target is 0.5750. We look to Buy at 0.5640 (stop at 0.5610) Our profit targets will be 0.5725 and 0.5750 Resistance: 0.5675 / 0.5700 / 0.5750 Support: 0.5640 / 0.5625 / 0.5600 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA