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NAS100 trade ideas

Nas100 - Huge bear trap or further downside?The Nasdaq 100 has recently broken a critical rising trendline that has supported its bullish trajectory for an extended period. This break signifies a potential shift in market sentiment, suggesting that the prior uptrend may be losing steam. When an established trendline is breached, it often signals a change in the market's direction, indicating that buyers are losing control and sellers are starting to assert dominance. In addition to the trendline break, the Nasdaq 100 has now fallen below all of its key moving averages—namely, the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages. These moving averages are widely followed indicators of trend strength, and their loss is typically a bearish sign. When prices drop below these averages, it signals weakening momentum, and it becomes harder for the index to regain upward traction without strong buying pressure. The weekly timeframe shows a beautiful support level if the bulls fail to reclaim all the key moving averages. Together, the break of the rising trendline and the loss of key moving averages suggest that the Nasdaq 100 could be entering a phase of increased volatility and downward pressure. Traders should closely monitor the index for potential further declines or a failure to reclaim these key technical levels, as they could signal deeper market corrections. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Youriverse
16
NASDAQ: Wave Analysis & Forecast for April-MayHello, traders! Let’s analyze the current wave structure of the NASDAQ index. At the moment, there is a high probability that the index is forming wave C of a correction. Most likely, this is a horizontal expanded correction. ✅ Sub-wave 1 of wave C has already formed. ✅ Sub-wave 2 is also likely completed. On Friday, the index showed a strong decline and closed at the day’s lows, indicating a high probability of further downside movement next week. What’s next? We expect the formation of the third sub-wave within wave C. Most likely: 🔻 The index will continue to decline toward 17,700, where the 38% Fibonacci level is located. 🔻 The key support zone is 17,300. 🔻 After a short correction, the decline may extend to 16,300. 🔻 In a deeper scenario – down to 15,700-15,000. Technical factors ⚡ The price failed to break above the 200-day moving average, bounced off it, and started declining. ⚡ The next major support is the 200-week moving average, around 16,200. ⚡ Throughout April – May, the market is likely to remain in a correction phase. Once key levels are reached, we expect a potential reversal and new highs in the second half of 2025. Stay tuned and share your thoughts in the comments!
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by AUREA_RATIO
NASDAQ Trade Plan: From 4-Hour Trend to 15-Minute Execution!NAS100 Strategy: Using Fibonacci and Market Structure for Precision! 📊 In this NASDAQ (NAS100) trade idea, I focus on a top-down approach starting with the 4-hour chart. If the 4-hour trend is bullish, I look for higher highs and higher lows. If bearish, I focus on lower highs and lower lows. 🔄 My key strategy is identifying pullbacks into equilibrium—around the 50% Fibonacci retracement level—within any price swing. This is my point of interest. Once price moves into this area, I shift to the 15-minute chart to refine my entry. 🔍 Here, I wait for a break of structure during the pullback, aligning with the overall trend direction. This approach allows for precise execution while staying in sync with the larger trend. 🚀 ⚠️ This is not financial advice. Always trade responsibly and manage your risk.
FX:NAS100Short
by fxtraderanthony
6
NDX : It's time to take a step backThis is a level I'll be closely watching for making aggressive additions. Until then, only selective entries in U.S. Oil ETFs, Silver and Gold ETFs, and a few individual stocks may be considered. However, large-scale accumulation is not advisable until this level is reached. I may also consider dollar-cost averaging into index ETFs if I start to see signs of consolidation from here onward. 📢📢📢 If my perspective changes or if I gather additional fundamental data that influences my views, I will provide updates accordingly. Thank you for following along with this journey, and I remain committed to sharing insights and updates as my trading strategy evolves. As always, please feel free to reach out with any questions or comments. Other posts related to this particular position and scrip, if any, will be attached underneath. Do check those out too. Disclaimer : The analysis shared here is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in all markets carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. It’s essential to conduct your own research and assess your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. The views expressed in this analysis are solely mine. It’s important to note that I am not a SEBI registered analyst, so the analysis provided does not constitute formal investment advice under SEBI regulations.
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by Sniper-Traders
NSDQ100 INTRADAY key trading levels ahead of US NFPKey Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 18435 Resistance Level 2: 18800 Resistance Level 3: 19580 Support Level 1: 17680 Support Level 2: 17300 Support Level 3: 17000 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by TradeNation
2
US100 - Weekend Gap Filled, What’s Next?The US100 1-hour chart shows that the weekend gap has been completely filled, and price is now approaching a critical Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone. This level could act as a strong resistance or a point of continuation for the current bullish momentum. Here are two possible scenarios: ✅ Scenario 1: If price consolidates above the FVG and finds support, we could see a continuation towards the 0.618-0.65 Fibonacci retracement level, pushing towards 19,800+. ❌ Scenario 2: A rejection at the FVG zone could signal a bearish reversal, leading to a move back down towards 19,200 or even lower. Which scenario do you think will play out? Let’s discuss! 🚀📉
CAPITALCOM:US100
by Louigi_24
22
NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) Technical Outlook NAS100 is currently in a corrective phase, trading at $18,900, with bearish momentum suggesting a potential move toward the $18,300 support level in the coming week. If this level holds, a rebound could push the index back up toward $20,300, creating a temporary recovery phase. However, if the price struggles at $20,300 and fails to sustain bullish momentum, it would confirm the formation of a descending channel, reinforcing the broader downtrend. In this scenario, NAS100 could extend its decline toward $16,100, where the price may find support. Key structural levels to watch: Support Levels: $18,300 → $16,100 → $14,600 (Major support from 2021) Resistance Levels: $20,300 → $16,000 (Resistance from 2023) If the index reaches $16,100, this could serve as a critical level where a strong reaction may occur, as it aligns with historical price zones and previous sell-off extensions. The $14,600 support from 2021 remains a last defense level, potentially preventing deeper declines. Traders should monitor volume and price action confirmations at key levels to assess whether the index is setting up for a reversal or further downside continuation.
FUSIONMARKETS:NAS100Short
by QuantumFusionWave
NAS100 short setup alert!Hello traders, I've identified a prime shorting opportunity on NAS100! As noted in my previous analysis, the index remains under bearish pressure, driven by Apple’s stock decline. On March 28, 2025, NAS100 broke below 19,100 support zone, confirming strong downside momentum. It then retraced to 19,500, filling an imbalance before facing a rejection. 📉 Trade Setup: 🔻 Sell Zone: 19,200 – 19,350 🎯 Target 1: 18,800 🎯 Target 2: 18,297 🛑 Stop Loss: 19,564 Stay disciplined, trade smart, and secure those profits! 🚀📊
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by AmaWina
Tariff news push down market, V sharp recovery still possibleDisclaimer: The following reflects personal opinions only and does not constitute investment advice. Please exercise your own judgment before making any decisions. From Monday to Wednesday this week, the Nasdaq experienced a notable rebound, briefly climbing to 19,898 prior to the release of tariff-related news. However, the actual tariff figures and calculation methods far exceeded market expectations, causing a sharp sell-off once the announcement was made. On Friday, markets dropped further after China, the EU, and other countries announced retaliatory tariff measures. The VIX surged to 45.61 on Friday. On Friday, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell commented that the Fed remains in a wait-and-see mode regarding the future of tariffs. He noted that while tariffs could have short-term inflationary effects, current data shows inflation has significantly declined and the underlying U.S. economy remains strong. While this provided some support to the market, it was not enough to spark a meaningful rebound. Key market concerns include: 1. Higher tariffs could lead to rising inflation, potentially delaying Fed rate cuts. 3. Tariff hikes and retaliatory measures may negatively impact multinational companies such as Apple and Nike that rely heavily on global markets and supply chains, resulting in lower revenues and increased operational costs. 3. Escalation of the trade war and more retaliatory measures may further dampen sentiment. In the week ahead, markets will likely remain sensitive to policy developments. A. If the Trump administration manages to reach agreements with certain countries to lower tariffs in exchange for concessions. Market sentiment could shift quickly, with investors viewing the tariff hike as a negotiation tactic with only short-term implications. - Vshape recovery B. On the other hand, if the trade war continues to escalate, it would pose a clear negative for the markets. Another potential headwind is the threat of U.S.-Iran conflict. The Trump administration has repeatedly warned of possible military action against Iran. If such a conflict breaks out, markets may fear that Iran could block oil and gas shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, pushing up energy prices and triggering a broad risk-off move. From a technical perspective, the market has broken below the upward trendline that has been in place since 2022, and continued to decline after retesting that level this week. Without a swift rebound, further downside is possible. Key support levels to watch are 16,962, 16,127, and 15,163. That said, the tariff news has been priced in to some extent, and the VIX has already spiked above 45. The U.S. economy remains fundamentally solid, making it difficult for bearish sentiment to persist over the long term. Given Trump's negotiating style, some positive developments on tariffs are likely in the coming weeks. Meanwhile, the Fed has further reduced its balance sheet runoff in April, with QT now nearing its end. In my view, short-term bearish sentiment may be near a turning point. There is a high probability of a rebound, but it’s essential to wait for further confirmation — either for negative news to subside or for a technical rebound signal to emerge. At current levels, shorting the market carries high risk. Unless new negative catalysts or fundamental deterioration arise, I personally would not consider initiating short positions at this time.
OANDA:NAS100USD
by zygliu
NAS100 selling pressure continues due to Apple stock declineHello traders, As I highlighted in my previous NAS100 analysis, I expected a move to the downside. Technically, the index formed a double top, which was confirmed by a neckline break. Additionally, it has fallen below the rising support trendline from November 2024 and successfully retested it. This week, I anticipate further downside continuation. For an optimal selling opportunity, keep an eye on price action during the New York AM session. Ideally, I’d like to see a minor pullback to 19,200 before considering short positions, with the index potentially targeting liquidity at 18,297 and possibly extending to the 17,235 low from August 2024. From a fundamental perspective, several factors are reinforcing our bearish outlook on NAS100: Trade Tariff Concerns – New U.S. tariff measures are fueling trade war fears, weighing on tech stocks. Inflation & Fed Policy – Higher inflation raises concerns about prolonged high interest rates. Tech Sector Weakness – Leading NAS100 stocks like Apple and Nvidia are experiencing declines. Stay cautious and trade wisely! 🚀
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by AmaWina
US100 has taken strong support at 17KUS100 has taken strong support at 17K. If it breeaks this support, it will reach to next level of 16 K. After China responded to U.S. tariffs by introducing a 34% tariff on all American imports starting April 10, stock market losses deepened on Friday. This downturn was further triggered by comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, who warned that the impact of a trade war could be more severe than expected. He noted that it could lead to slower economic growth and increased inflation, adding that the Fed is in no rush to cut interest rates in response.
BLACKBULL:NAS100Short
by ZYLOSTAR_EDUCATION
1
@Nas Bears seeks The 17,000 handle as Recession fears spark sellfor Mexico, Canada, and the U.S. due to the turbulent rollout of Trump tariffs, which has created significant uncertainty for businesses and policymakers. Concerns over inflation in the U.S., which were already growing, have intensified, making it more likely that the Federal Reserve will hold off on policy changes for the foreseeable future. Meanwhile, the risk of recession is increasing across all three countries, and that was witnessed On Monday as wallstreet painted its boards with Red arrows which was not a good sign that being said am anticipating that the Bearish rally will continue till we mitigate @17,000 handle. waiting for Retest @20,000 Before the bears come in Tp.17,000 which will be some days to come from today.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by que
A BIGGER PICTURE OF US100 SHOWING A BREAKOUT!Take a look at the bigger picture of US100 from the monthly timeframe. We can understand the nature of price action that has occurred. We can see how price broke out of the rising channel leading to over 68% decline of the total gains made in the year 2024. This further awake traders mindset to whether there’s gonna be a further drop maybe upto a pullback support of 16426.4 or even below. From the technical standpoint, we may expect -5% more drop before we begin to see some form of recovery.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Cartela
Nasdaq Long: Ending DiagonalHi, I made an update 3 hours ago regarding reducing short position and staying neutral because of wave 4. However, it seems like wave 5 of 3 extended and is now showing me an ending diagonal. This changes the assessment from neutral to long as ending diagonal are usually swift and sharp move reversals. Take note that the last wave of the ending diagonal might itself be an ending diagonal. So my suggestion is to scale in the long and give a slightly wider stop below the lower trendline. Good luck!
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by yuchaosng
1
Us100 updateHi traders what is your opinion this week a sell or a buy,according to the strategy n my view,the target is 168 which is likely to hit n am expecting bull run to take over from this 2023 highs soo note that am positioning my self for big move,first thing this market is n uptrend market with weird n normal pull back this one was abnormal do to trade war which it's still going on,soo guys this all sell off is not a threat it is giving you a chance to ride long trades what you have to do is to generate liquidity into position n make sure you hold your trades for big rewards,before you overthink I identify the trend n find the really trend beside pull back understand what is moving n why I am going to buy,note that we are 6% away to recession do me favour invest in knowledge soo that you can be in high level of thinking and seeing things n not overthinking everything knowledge is power,I wish you all profitable week ahead.
SKILLING:US100Long
by mulaudzimpho
Nasdaq's Drop: A Temporary Rebound Before More Downside?I've been calling for a strong correction in the Nasdaq (and all major U.S. indices) since the start of the year—long before the tax war even began. I warned that a break below 20,000 was likely, with my final target set around 17,500. And indeed, the index has fallen—regardless of what the so-called "cause" might be. Right now, Nasdaq is trading at 18,400, sitting right at a minor horizontal support zone. ________________________________________ A Short-Term Rebound Before More Downside? 📉 Overall Bias Remains Bearish – The broader trend still points lower. 📈 Rebound Likely – A push above 19,000 in the coming days wouldn’t be surprising. ⚠️ High-Risk Setup – Going long here is risky, given the current macroeconomic backdrop. ________________________________________ Trading Strategy: Short-Term vs. Long-Term ✅ For Short-Term Traders & Speculators – A temporary upside correction could offer a buying opportunity. ❌ For Swing & Long-Term Traders – It's better to wait for this rebound to fade and position short for the next leg down. While a bounce could be on the cards, the bigger picture still points lower—I remain bearish in the long run. 🚀 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:USTECLong
by Mihai_Iacob