US30 trade ideas
DOW/US30 - what the expectation from the marketTeam, last week we kill the market
I have prepare for the next week strategy
We currently have some small volume position long at this stage
and will add more if the market down to next level,
However, we expect some recovery at this stage.
Strategy:
TARGET 1 - 39266-39335
TARGET 2 - 39375-39467
TARGET 3 at 39600-39929
TARGET 4 at 40.400-41400 - run with mini volume and hold.
US30 Outlook on 4H TF - LONG US30 - Bullish Wave 5 Push to 42,000 📈
We're still in a Wave 4 correction on the daily, but price just retested Wave 4 lows at 38,900 area and held (for now). Now forming a double bottom on the 4H, and Wave 1 is starting on the 1H.
Looking for a Wave 5 push up toward 42,000 before a major selloff.
Key Levels:
🔹 Support: 38,970
🔹 TP Zones: 40,000 → 41,000 → 42,000
🔻 Short Bias kicks in after Wave 5 completes (Target: 38,100-38,200)
Plan: Buy dips while above 38,900, scale out near 42K, watch for reversal confirmation.
Bearish drop?Dow Jones (US30) is reacting off the pivot nd could drop to the 1st support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 39,291.00
1st Support: 37,024.36
1st Resistance: 40,624.32
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Avoid Trading Indices on Long Weekends and Bank HolidaysTrading indices during long weekends or bank holidays can be risky due to lower liquidity and higher volatility. Many major financial institutions and market participants are away, leading to thinner trading volumes. This can cause exaggerated price swings, making it harder to execute trades at desired levels. Additionally, unexpected news or geopolitical events over the extended break can trigger sharp gaps when markets reopen, increasing the chances of significant losses.
Another key concern is the lack of immediate reaction time. Since markets are closed for an extended period, traders have no opportunity to adjust positions in response to breaking news. This can leave portfolios exposed to unforeseen risks. Spreads on indices also tend to widen during these times, increasing trading costs. For these reasons, it’s often safer to wait for normal trading conditions rather than risking unpredictable moves during illiquid holiday sessions.
DJI Daily Chart Analysis: Price Rejected at Mid-Band Resistance
The price is below the middle line (likely a 20-day moving average) of the Bollinger Bands, which typically signals bearish momentum.
Recent price action shows a lower high and a lower low pattern, indicating the continuation of a downtrend.
The candlesticks are mostly red with increasing volume of selling pressure.
Bands are widening, suggesting increased volatility.
The price recently pierced the lower Bollinger Band, which often indicates a potential for short-term rebound—but in a strong downtrend, this could also mean acceleration to the downside.
Key Support Zone : Around 38,000 to 38,500, where previous buying occurred in early April. If broken, further downside to 37,000 is likely.
Key Resistance Zone : Near 40,500 to 41,000, aligning with the mid-Bollinger Band. This area has been tested and rejected multiple times.
Trade Idea: US30 Short (SELL STOP)Technical Analysis Summary:
Daily Chart (Macro View):
• Trend: Bearish short-term (price is below the moving average, sharp recent drop).
• MACD: Bearish momentum building with a deepening histogram.
• RSI: At 42.22, pointing down – no oversold condition yet, so further downside is probable.
15-Minute Chart (Mid-Term Momentum):
• Trend: Recently broke down from consolidation, failed to reclaim previous high.
• MACD: Strong bearish crossover, deep in negative territory.
• RSI: At 39.20, not oversold – room to fall.
3-Minute Chart (Entry Timing):
• Trend: Weak recovery attempt stalled below moving average.
• MACD: Flat to downtrend.
• RSI: Around 40, suggesting more downside pressure without being oversold.
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Fundamental Context (if relevant to US30):
• Rising geopolitical tensions and weak earnings reports (assumed).
• Dovish Fed fading, bond yields rising — bearish for equities.
• Fear-driven sentiment often hurts cyclical indices like US30.
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Trade Setup (SHORT):
• Entry: 39595 (current price area as per charts).
• Stop Loss (SL): 40087
(Above minor resistance and 15M consolidation top)
• Take Profit (TP): 38650
(Recent support zone, room for price to breathe before demand zone)
FUSIONMARKETS:US30
Potential bearish drop?DJ30 is reacting off the support level which is an overlap support and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 39,332.63
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Stop loss: 40,743.45
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Take profit: 37,047.85
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
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Dow jones 38500?Dow jones 38500?
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) has been experiencing volatility recently, influenced by factors such as weak earnings reports and global economic concerns. The index fell 507 points (1.3%) in its latest session, primarily due to a sharp decline in UnitedHealth shares following an earnings miss
DOW/US30Team, time to go long DOW/US30
yesterday the market disappointed on the FED decision,
i just cant believe the FED compare the inflation in 2020-2021 that is where the COVID and lock down. And compare to 2024. he should have cut the interest rate to ease the market.
Given the fact the market is dropping 1000 points, i expect we should have some recover at least 200-300 points medium
Target 1 at 39225
Target 2 at 39335-39420
Target 3 at 39560-39670
We should see the market pump in 2-3 hour time frame or recover.
Dow INTRADAY key resistance at 41333Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 41333
Resistance Level 2: 42000
Resistance Level 3: 42800
Support Level 1: 39220
Support Level 2: 37554
Support Level 3: 36620
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Dow Jones Wave Analysis – 17 April 2025
- Dow Jones reversed from the resistance zone
- Likely to fall to support level 38500.00
Dow Jones index recently reversed down from the resistance zone between the resistance level 40815,00 (former strong support from the start of March), 20-day moving average and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from last month.
The downward reversal from this resistance zone stopped the previous minor correction (iv) from the start of April.
Given the clear daily downtrend, Dow Jones index can be expected to fall to the next support level 38500.00.