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Copper Futures

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CO1! trade ideas

Copper could go to $8, $20 evenPushing the price up: - High demand for EVS, renewable energy production, the Green New Deal, means copper production is below demand and expected to be in shortage for years - Stimulus spending and inflation of industrial goods - Producers cannot increase supply fast enough, examples: Freeport CEO "It will take 7-8 years to get new production to the market", "Oyu Tolgoi (Mongolian super mine) is set to bring a further 480,000 tonnes of copper into the market from 2028" www.mining.com www.proactiveinvestors.co.uk Stopping (or slowing) the price from going up: - Traders taking profit (short term) - An end to all the renewable projects - A total collapse of civilization? This is what happened with the previous price explosion in the 2000s As the price consolidates around ATH we might want to bet on the price going up up up in usd terms I'd just go for the DEC 2022 contract, or a DEC 2022 call: There is a discount on that contract too (backwardation). At a price of $4 1 contract = $100,000. A 10% stop is a risk of $10,000. So maybe we'll just take short term trades on the way up. Unless we all become millionaires in a few months with Cryptos? There is an e-mini for copper but no one trades that, I don't even know if I have access to this and where/what broker? Plus I don't see DEC 22 :( www.cmegroup.com
COMEX:HG1!Long
by MrRenev
1
Remember Copper? Time to buy (not advice)Hello. I talked about Copper back in March, and then in May, ideas linked below. It has been 6 months, and after patiently waiting well here we are. From a "George Soros investment tips" article: "Short term investing, it must be stressed, is not like day trading. Day trading is really kind of a myth. You can’t just sit at home, follow stock trends and expect to turn a profit from one day to the next. Short term means waiting for months to expect any return on your investment." Well I did wait 6 months. George Soros waits to buy for months, then he buys, waits for weeks, and then his gains happen over a few days. This is more what I'd expect. Seems like it always works this way. Don't have much to add about the price going up, now is just the time to buy for me, not much has changed. Wyckoff spring? Upthrust? Something something. Doesn't matter. In the short term there was some FUD about China demand which helped create the down movement (typical). In the medium term USD goes down, commodities go up, maybe energy makes it worse, green transition demands lots of material... There is a lot we can read about copper, well a bit, not a lot compared to Oil or Bitcoin but still, enough. They talk much about the risk, it could not go up and so on. Great, noob retail gamblers, hedge fund managers, industrials and other hedgers are being careful, wait and see. Best to wait and see, because of the risk. But me? I want the risk, someone has to take it. Yes please give me the risk that's my job. Not for hedgers or gamblers. I'm as close as it gets to being stopped or winning without a greedy entry that would cause me to always miss out. Top inflexion point. Here if it goes to ~$5 I think I'll be making 10 times what I'd lose if stopped. I'm here to enter at the maximum risk, maximum "we don't know let's wait and see", I'm here to take hits. Once there is certainty we'll probably be close to the top, and there might be a big violent correction with the gamblers snatching profits, also of course the miners want to sell, then the hedge funds that want certainty will be looking to get in on that correction. Not sure what I will do, probably weak hands once I'm at a high multiple of my risk. Probably just take another hit though.
COMEX:HG1!Long
by MrRenev
1
Elliott Wave View: Copper (HG) Looks to Extend HigherShort Term view in Copper suggests the rally from September 21 low is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from September 21 low, wave ((i)) ended at 4.3175 and pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 4.0545. The metal then extends higher in wave ((iii)) as another 5 waves in lesser degree. Up from wave ((ii)), wave (i) ended at 4.3955 and pullback in wave (ii) ended at 4.3050. The metal extends higher in wave (iii) towards 4.781, wave (iv) ended at 4.7025, and wave (v) of ((iii)) ended at 4.823. Pullback in wave ((iv)) is proposed complete at 4.537 as a double three structure. However, the metal still needs to break above wave ((iii)) at 4.823 to rule out a double correction. Down from wave ((iii)), wave (w) ended at 4.5935, wave (x) ended at 4.7575, and wave (y) ended at 4.5370. This completed wave ((iv)) in higher degree. Up from there, the metal should end wave (i) of ((v)) soon with 1 more push higher. It should then pullback in wave (ii) before the rally resumes. Near term, while pullback stays above 4.537, and more importantly above 4.309, expect the metal to extend higher within wave ((v)).
COMEX:HG1!
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Short CopperThe Global Economy is slowing down. China is slowing, DXY is spiking, and the case for base metals is starting to wane. Looking at things like NG1! and Copper, things are starting to look like blow off tops. I am slowly building a large longer term Copper short position that I can scale into - TP will me the weekly 50 SMA. I have found the most rewarding types of trades are the one where things are way off side confirmed by Linear Regression, SMAs, and Bollinger Bands. When you have math giving you a statistical edge, that is something that you can lean into IMO.
COMEX:HG1!Short
by Baero-Trading
Copper - Just the BeginningCopper futures broke out of their wedge this week, with per tonne prices breaking the $10,000 milestone. Names such as Freeport-McMoran (FCX) are benefitting from this, while TRQ is on discount due to. setback in their mining process. Despite Fed tapering, copper is strong, surprisingly. I believe that now is the time to get in "The New Oil", as stated by Goldman Sachs, who gives the commodity a 50% upside before 2025. If copper moving 10% has resulted in Freeport going from $30 to $39, think of what will happen if Goldman and the rest of the Street is right... Thesis: Goldman Sachs recently published a note declaring copper "the new oil," and forecasting it could reach $15,000 (50% inc.) by 2025 as the world transitions to clean energy. As the movement to sustainability/clean energy progresses, the exponential increase in demand for copper will outrun supply due to slow mine creation, centralized property rights. Although it may take a few years and experience some drawdown, depleted inventories and a demand spike will likely cause the price to rise significantly over the next decade, with Bank of America suggesting a possible 100% increase to $20,000 per metric ton by 2025. Overall sentiment on the Street is extremely bullish in the mid-to-long-term.
COMEX:HG1!Long
by nickygin
Copper Prices Take Aim for May 2021 High Post Triangle BreakoutCopper futures are aiming for the May high at 812.60 after prices confirmed a breakout above a Descending Triangle chart formation. The 200-day Simple Moving Average helped maintain the dominant uptrend as the red metal continues to consolidate since earlier this year. A drop back under the July high at 768.50 could undermine upside progress, reorienting copper back towards the SMA. Clearing the May high exposes the 78.6% Fibonacci extension at 851.8636 towards the 100% level at 900.60. COMEX:HG1!
MCX:COPPER1!
by QM_Dubrovsky
𝘾𝙤𝙥𝙥𝙚𝙧 𝙁𝙪𝙩𝙪𝙧𝙚𝙨 (𝙃𝙂1!) — 𝙀𝙒𝘼HG1!: 🕐 6h A big review of this asset is planned for the first half of next year, but decided to make a small update to the count, as the current sideways formation looks very much like a bullish contracting triangle that is about to be completed. On completion of the final wave E of (B) , there will be a good trading setup for a long position. The wave marking in the double circle parenthesis corresponds to the green marking in the circle on the chart.
COMEX:HG1!Long
by TradeWaves-EWA
2