[Crypto Currency] The forecasting of price movement of SOLUSD The forecasting of price movement of SOLUSD on Sept 9th, 2024
SOLUSD.P trade ideas
Buy ....?!@Solana coin is preparing to rise in the golden area for buying. There may be more manipulations. This is just an analysis and not a recommendation.
SOLANA: MINI CONSOLIDATION IS COMING?Hi guys,
I lost Solana the last bullrun but now I'm in a huge profit after the 2022 bear market.
At the moment I don't see so much strength on market due to USA election, this could potentially lead to a period of some months where profit could come mainly from shorting.
I don't like to short so I'm here to see if price drops and, in that case, add other funds to this altcoin, maybe this time 3x long.
Let's see.
SOLUSD BUY SIGNAL ANALYSIS FALLING WEDGE PATTERNHere on Solusd price has form a falling wedge pattern and is like to move up so if the line 133.33 break the chances of going rising up is high and going for LONG is needed and targeting profit should be around 142.86 and 154.49 . Use money management
(SOL) solana "resilient"Solana appears to be holding a strong flat pattern throughout the duration of the trending cycle of moving averages with the holding pattern reaching a resolute moment where the unknown may prove to be postively received, or negative if the MACD lines fall beneath the 0 neutral measurement. Solana is not immune to losing in price; it is capable of gaining too though.
Solana: Downward Pressure!We expect the downward momentum to continue into our blue Target Zone (between $85.15 and $30.79) before the same-colored wave (ii) comes to an end. Investors could open long positions within this range, whereby stops could be placed around 1% below the lower edge. With the correction low in place, the coin should finally rally decisively and break through the resistance at $210.03. Should this level be breached earlier, our 33% likely alternative scenario will come into play. This option sees the price in an extended wave alt.(i) in blue.
Look at that beautiful head and shoulders! Look!CRYPTOCAP:SOL going UP! What more do you need to see other than that beautiful head and shoulders?
SOLUSD BUY SIGNAL ANALYSIS RISING WEDGE PATTERNHere on SOLUSD price has form a rising wedge on 30 mins timeframe and is showing that there is a big chance of falling after breaking the line of 132.95 so going for SHORT is needed and targeting profit should be around 120.79 . Use money management
Might be about to see bull trap failure in SOLBull traps have gotten more tricky in modern times with us having to account for various types of trickery, but the basic model for a bull trap (Or any reversal off a retracement) is to look for a 76 retracement.
Here's the strategy for this.
So many crypto charts look like this. All of them screaming bull trap.
ETH has been developing for a while.
COIN looks exactly the same.
In general, the best performing crypto during the rally looks like this classic bull trap. With others not even being able to manage a respectable bull trap.
The only thing that's been giving the crypto market a half decent case for new breakouts was the BTC, but since that it's downtrended for 6 months.
Crypto looks very vulnerable.
[SOL/USD] Six months of price basing.After six months, CRYPTO:SOLUSD still trying to figure out which way it wants to go next. The price still swing in that rectangle. What I love to see is the price going down lower than its 5 August low, then make a bounce to start its run to ATH, just as it did in mid 2021....for now however, it still a patience game, let see how the market progress.
Solana might rebound from the current support levelSolana ( CRYPTOCAP:SOL ) price is currently close to a strong support level. COINBASE:SOLUSD
The $120-$125 support level was tested 7 times and SOL always rebounds.
Will it bounce up this time? I think there's a high chance it does it the macroeconomics this month help.
The numbers we need to pay attention to over the coming days are:
Sept. 6: unemployment rate
Sept. 11: inflation rate
Sept. 12: ECB interest rate decision
Sept. 19: FED interest rate decision
Solana - Bullish CampaignSolana is bottoming out right across the strong key-level support of 129.75. An upside reversal on a medium scale is highly likely at this point. We're targeting 142.65 and 157.05 respectively.
SOLANA: A Cautiously Optimistic Outlook, $720 top?Fellow traders, earlier this week, I provided my long-term outlook on BTC and the broader crypto market. Today, I’ll share my specific outlook and thoughts on Solana (SOL).
Fundamentals
Overall, my take on Solana is bullish but with caution. Of all the high-volume alt-coins, Solana exhibits the most bullish behavior when bullishness is expected. For example, when BTC goes up 20%, SOL typically goes up 40%.
I believe this bullish behavior can continue due to the meme coins that fuel demand for SOL. Solana has some of the lowest fees, ample integrations for meme coin creation, and a high trading volume to maintain its position. However, if BTC falls, SOL will likely crash harder, along with all the meme coins that depend on it.
Technicals: Case for Long
High probability reversion zones around $164, extending up to $185.
A higher high was observed on July 29th.
Price is moving within a rough channel.
Support at the channel bottoms with high-volume buying interest.
3-hour and higher time frames remain in a bullish trend.
High-probability bearish reversion zones are complete, and we are in a high-value zone.
The low from July 5th was not the recent lowest low.
Increasing volume over the past month so that it could be accumulation.
Case for Continuation of Short Trend
Based on the trend, we are not at the bottom yet. 2-hour and lower time frames are still bearish, with no retest or attempt to change the trend. The trend could continue, bringing the price even lower.
All coins, including BTC, are trending lower.
Equity markets are also falling, though this trend could reverse this week.
Given these conditions 🧐, I have a cautiously optimistic, bullish outlook for Solana. I expect a rebound once the bottom is reached and a revisit to the $170 area.
Lastly, if BTC is to go to $120k, I expect Solana to reach $720. Here is my target, and this is based on my mathematical system 😉
This is why Solana is one of my go-to coins for a long trade.
SOLANA The 1W MA50 and the RSI Support calling for $850 at leastAlmost 3 months ago (June 14, see chart below), we published our long-term thesis on Solana (SOLUSD), arguing that it wasn't the time to buy, not until it tested the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line):
As you can see that turned out to be the case as early last month, the price hit the 1W MA50 and rebounded. Last week's correction though puts this thesis in jeopardy and the 1W MA50 needs to hold. If not, we risk our maximum tolerance level on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), if the Bull Cycle is to stay alive. They key however lies on its 1W RSI.
SOL has been on a correction mode since the March 2024 High, in an attempt to technically harmonize the massive rally of 2023. The 1W RSI Double Topped in the same month and as the correction unfolds, it came last week the closes it has been to the Bull Cycle's Buy Zone since December 21 2020. This Zone is where buyers make their presence during Bull Cycles and not Bear Cycle bottoms.
On the previous Cycle, Solana rose by 51250% from the time is started to form the current long-term Fibonacci Channel Up. If we measure the same % growth from the recent Bear Cycle bottom, then we are looking at a peak a little above $4000. That is the most optimistic scenario we can get.
Keep in mind that Solana has already rose by +2500% up to March's High and if it indeed reaches 4k this Cycle, the rise will be less (+1900%) from March's High than it was from December 2022 to March 2024.
A more realistic target for those who don't want to hold for that long and assume higher risk, would be $850.00, which is expected to be at the top of the MMBs.
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Will SOL recover soon?SOL trades around $131, testing potential support. Closing below $127 could signal further weakness, while closing above $135.5 could signal strength and a potential attempt at $140 or reclaiming 4HR 50MA.
SOL 100-200-300-400$ (in 2025)Solana, which emerged on the blockchain technology scene in 2017, has quickly established itself as one of the most promising solutions for scalable decentralized applications (DApps). Since the launch of the core network beta in March 2021, Solana has entered the top 5 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization, demonstrating an impressive ability to process over 65,000 transactions per second. This characteristic makes it attractive to developers looking to build fast, efficient, and low-cost DApps.
The Solana ecosystem is rich and diverse, including DeFi, RWA, NFT, and DAO (Decentralized Autonomous Organizations) projects. Its architecture supports complex smart contracts, which opens the door for innovative applications ranging from simple transactions to complex financial instruments and gaming platforms.
One of Solana's key development areas is tokenization of real-world assets. Tokenization turns rights to physical or traditional assets, such as real estate, artwork, or securities, into digital tokens on the blockchain. This not only increases the liquidity of assets, but also allows smaller investors to participate in markets that were previously inaccessible to them. Solana, with its high throughput and low transaction fees, becomes the ideal platform for such innovation.
Roadmap and upgrades
Solana's roadmap and upcoming updates reflect its commitment to improving performance, scalability and usability, positioning itself as the leading platform for high-performance blockchain applications. An overview of current plans and updates is provided below:
Scaling and Performance
Solana is gearing up for significant improvements with the introduction of the Firedancer validator client, developed in collaboration with Jump Crypto. Firedancer is designed to significantly increase the transaction processing capabilities of the network, with test environments already demonstrating capabilities in excess of 1 million TPS. This upgrade is part of Solana's broader strategy to scale the network to meet future growth and demand.
Network and stability improvements
After experiencing network stability issues, Solana has focused on improving the upgrade process. This includes improving the testing phases with external developers and auditors, as well as creating a team of adversaries to simulate attacks and find vulnerabilities. Moving from a focus on new features to network stability: a significant portion of the engineering team is dedicated to stability and adversarial testing.
Ecosystem and developer support
The Solana roadmap includes extensive developer support through grants, hackathons, and improved tools to foster an agile ecosystem. This includes improving Solana's runtime environment and introducing new features such as prioritized payments to better manage the urgency of transactions.
Expanding promising areas
Solana's focus goes beyond mere technical upgrades to include expanding the ecosystem, empowering developers and making the platform attractive to new projects, especially in the areas of DeFi, RWA and Web3 applications.
This roadmap and series of updates underscores Solana's commitment to not only improve its current technology stack, but also to remain at the forefront of blockchain innovation by offering a reliable, fast and scalable platform for both developers and users.
Statistics and metrics
At the moment, Solana's stats show several positive aspects:
TVL
The Solana network has reached a yearly high in TVL, indicating an increased interest and confidence in DeFi projects on this platform, with Solana's TVL currently at $5.1 billion.
Commissions
There has been a significant reduction in transaction fees on the Solana network, making it more attractive to users and developers.
Increase in the number of active addresses
There has been an increase in the number of daily active addresses, indicating an expanding user base.
Interest from institutional investors
Solana has attracted the attention of both retail and institutional traders due to its unique consensus approach, indicating that its long-term potential is recognized. It's also possible that a Solana ETF is coming soon! BUT IT IS NOT CERTAIN
Overall Dynamics
Despite some fluctuations, the overall trend for Solana remains positive, with notable price appreciation compared to previous periods and active ecosystem development.
Real World Assets (RWA)
Solana, like any other public blockchain, provides transparency, automates payment settlement, allows users to self-manage assets, and offers a global settlement infrastructure for tokenized assets that operates 24/7. However, beyond the general benefits of public blockchains, Solana stands out with the following advantages.
Low transaction fees and high speed:
For high frequency use cases such as tokenized Forex, equities, etc., Solana enables trading with extremely low fees, fast transaction confirmation and high throughput - all with a single global network state.
Standards and Ecosystem:
A healthy ecosystem, including battle-tested decentralized exchanges (DEXs) as well as robust standards such as cNFTs (compressed NFTs), pNFTs (programmable NFTs), Token 2022, and others, provides real-world digital assets (RWAs) with the necessary building blocks to create and launch their products. We will take a closer look at the infrastructure available for RWA projects on Solana later in this study.
While stablecoins are not typically categorized as real world assets (RWAs), they are the first type of RWA to gain significant traction, being backed by US dollars and Treasury bonds (T-Bills) as core reserves.
Stablecoins can be said to demonstrate the highest product-market fit in the RWA category. The following stablecoins are available on the Solana platform:
USDC, backed by US dollars held in US banks, and T-Bills, managed by BlackRock.
USDT, which is said to be backed by US dollars, T-Bills and other assets.
USDY, an income-generating stablecoin backed by tokenized Treasury bonds issued by Ondo Finance.
USDP by Paxos. UXD, partially backed by real world assets such as private credit.
Bridged Wormhole DAI, backed by DAI, which in turn is partially backed by RWA.
QCAD, a stablecoin backed by the Canadian dollar.
EUROE, a steiblcoin backed by the euro.
ISC, backed by a basket of real world assets.
EUROC by Circle.
GYEN and ZUSD by GMO-Z.
Expect to see a slew of new non-dollar-backed steblecoins, as well as innovations in revenue-generating steblecoins, on Solana in the coming months.
Two major real estate players on Solana are already up and running and performing incredibly well - Parcl and Homebase. While both may seem similar at first glance, they are quite different. While Homebase represents real estate on the web, Parcl focuses on tokenizing a real estate price index:
Homebase
SPV creation: A Homebase Special Purpose Vehicle (SPV) acquires real estate and NFTs represent an ownership stake in that SPV. Users purchase properties for sale through Homebase using a USDC stablcoin, which is represented in the form of NFTs. The USDC collected is pooled and converted into US dollars to purchase real estate associated with the SPV. The rental income generated in dollars is converted back to USDC and users automatically receive monthly rental income into their wallets. Users can buy and sell Home NFT on the Homebase marketplace. The best part is that Homebase is fully compliant with the law: the tokens are registered with the SEC, and there are established procedures in place to recover the tokens if a user's wallet is hacked. However, at the moment, the service is only available to US residents.
Parcl
Parcl allows you to invest in real estate starting at $1 by providing access to real estate markets in cities around the world through REIT-like indexes. Think of Parcl as a company that creates real estate indexes, functioning as a price information service. It has also developed a persistent AMM platform to trade these indexes, allowing users to take long or short positions. Parcl currently has over $1 million in collateral (TVL) and is active in major U.S. cities such as Brooklyn, Las Vegas, and Paris, with plans to add cities such as London, Jakarta, and Hong Kong.
The great thing is that the real estate market is not a game with one winner. There can be over 100 real estate tokenization marketplaces on Solana without directly competing with each other, as they can serve different geographic regions and tap into a huge industry worth over $400 trillion!
Meme
The development of memes in the Solana ecosystem reflects a broader cultural phenomenon where internet culture intersects with cryptocurrency technology to create a unique space for creativity, investment and community. On Solana, as with other blockchain systems, memes have evolved from mere jokes to meaningful digital assets known as meme tokens or memcoins. Starting in late 2023 and continuing into 2024, memes on Solana have begun to gain momentum, thanks in part to the network's high bandwidth and low transaction costs, making it attractive for creating and trading meme tokens. Memcoins such as BONK, Dogwifhat, and Myro have become known not only for their humorous content, but also for the innovations they have brought to the ecosystem. For example, BONK stood out because of its eirdrop strategy to stimulate activity in the Solana community. Unlike the first memes, which were mostly about humor, the new memes on Solana began to offer real utility. Projects began to integrate memes into broader ecosystems, including decentralized applications (dApps) and even new blockchain layers, as seen in the Base ecosystem example, where memes are used to add value and engage users.
Memes have become a powerful tool for marketing and community building. They not only attract the attention of new users through humor and viral content, but also keep existing members interested through constant interaction and new initiatives like airdrop or special events. Despite the fun and potential for rapid growth in value, meme tokens carry significant risks due to their speculative nature. Statistics show that only about 10% of all wallets are profi...
The development of memes in the Solana ecosystem demonstrates how digital culture can influence financial technology, creating new forms of engagement, investment and innovation. While memes began as jokes, they have evolved to become part of a broader movement in the cryptocurrency industry where community, technology, and economics intersect in the most unexpected ways.
Token Standards
The SPL token protocol in the Solana ecosystem sets the rules for the creation and operation of both NFT and fungible tokens, ensuring their compatibility with wallets and smart contracts on the platform. Unlike Ethereum, which uses separate standards for different classes of tokens, such as ERC-20 for fungible and ERC-721 for non-fungible tokens, the SPL on Solana is used universally for all types of tokens, the differences between which are laid down at the time of their initialization. Solana has also introduced token-2022, which promises to empower developers and users to issue and manage tokens. Token standards play a key role in ensuring “tokenization” is done in a secure and standardized way:
SPL Token: The main token standard on Solana, representing fungible tokens. Like any stablecoin, any Real Asset Market Participant (RWA) can launch their asset as an SPL token, including features for dynamic offering, minting, freezing, burning, and so on.
Token 2022: Extending the original standard, Token 2022 offers additional features relevant to RWAs: - Confidential Transfers: Allows private token transfers; important for institutions wishing to hide their transactions.
Transfer fees: Issuers can customize fees or taxes on certain transactions.
Interest-accumulating tokens: Tokens that accumulate interest over time, similar to bonds.
Non-transferable tokens: Tokens that cannot be transferred once issued.
Metaplex Standards for NFTs: Metaplex has developed a set of standards for NFTs, such as compressed NFTs and Programmable NFTs, which may also allow RWA market participants to represent unique assets.
Bridges
Bridges on Solana are technology solutions that enable the transfer of digital assets and information between the Solana blockchain and other blockchain systems, such as Ethereum. These bridges play a key role in enabling interoperability between different blockchain networks, allowing users to move tokens and other assets between Solana and other networks, which opens up access to applications and services on Solana, such as decentralized financial applications (DeFi), without having to sell their assets on one network to buy on another. They also improve liquidity by allowing assets to be used across multiple ecosystems, which can attract more users and increase trading volumes. In addition, breeches can reduce costs and transaction times, given that Solana is known for its low fees and high transaction speeds.
As of the latest information, popular breeches for Solana include Wormhole, which connects Solana to other blockchains including Ethereum, Allbridge, which provides the ability to transfer assets between different blockchain systems, Portal by Wormhole, known for its low fees and high liquidity, deBridge, known for its transaction speed, and Rango Exchange, which serves as an aggregator for finding the best exchange routes between blockchains.
The process of using these bridges typically involves connecting a cryptocurrency wallet, selecting a network and token to send, and then specifying a network and token to receive. Once the transaction is confirmed, the bridge blocks assets on the source blockchain and issues equivalent tokens on the target blockchain, in this case, Solana. Using bridges on Solana expands the possibilities for users, allowing them to take advantage of different blockchain systems while remaining in an ecosystem known for its high performance and low transaction costs.
Conclusion
Research on the Solana ecosystem shows that it is attracting attention in the US due to the opportunities that decentralized exchanges (DEXs) provide for tax evasion, as transactions on such platforms are more difficult to track. In this context, Circle's USDC stands out as the most popular stablecoin, providing stability and trust in transactions. At the same time, the meme culture in the cryptocurrency sphere has a significant impact, directing investment flows and creating temporary but powerful trends. These trends are expected to spill over into more stable or innovative sectors such as Real World Assets (RWAs) over time, indicating an evolution of investor interest. The Solana ecosystem is also seeing interest in new technologies and tools, which may include various protocols aimed at improving its functionality. The crowning achievement of Solana's development is seen by many as the possibility of issuing an exchange-traded fund (ETF), which would mean recognition from traditional finance and could significantly strengthen Solana's position as one of the leading and fastest growing cryptocurrency ecosystems in the market. Solana, despite its reputation as one of the fastest blockchain networks, has faced challenges in the form of intermittent outages. These incidents raise questions about the stability and reliability of the network, especially during periods of high load. The interconnection between Solana and FTX, as well as Alameda Research, has led to concerns about possible market manipulation. FTX and related entities have significant amounts of SOL tokens, which could theoretically give them leverage to influence the market. This situation highlights the risks associated with centralizing power in ecosystems that are supposed to be decentralized. Like many cryptocurrency projects, Solana faces regulatory risks. Increased regulation in various jurisdictions could negatively impact the liquidity, availability, and value of SOL tokens. Careful analysis, adaptation to regulatory changes and continuous technological improvement will be key to Solana's sustainable growth and stability in the future.
Best regards EXCAVO
SOLANA: September Early TrendingThis is where SOL is heading if it able to stays above $134 ONLY as a start for this week. Check on the Fibs. and the the Support Line Vs. Resistant Line. Resistant Line is very near to take notice on as at anytime breakdown is possible.
Sol to $80Sol will break support and head to $78-$80 then it's up only. Yes I said up only up up and away.
Sol Downtrend target 100 70/60Sol Downtrend Break target 100 70/60
Big Cup Handle could make a big drop from the actual Flag ( leading then into a Cup Handle)
SOLUSD BUY SGNAL FALLING WEDGE PATTERNHere on SOLUSD price has form a falling wedge and make some support around 135.85 .If the price break falling wedge pattern above then going for LONG is activate and targeting profit should be around 151.28 . Use money management
$SOL Death-Cross Looming on 4-hrDeath-Cross looming on the CRYPTOCAP:SOL 4-hr
Price closed well below the .236 fib and BMSB.
Next retest will be $122
I'm still looking for a daily close ~$110 before the next leg up.
