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SP 500 Cash Index / US Dollar

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SPCUSD trade ideas

Another move down for SPX500USDHi traders, Last week SPX500USD made a correction up and retested the whole Daily FVG above. After that this pair dropped again. Next week we could see a correction up and another drop. Trade idea: Wait for the correction up and retest into the 4H FVG's. After a change in orderflow to bearish, you could trade shorts. If you want to see more from my analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a boost and respectful comment. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. I do not provide trade signals. Don't be emotional, just trade! Eduwave
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by EduwaveTrading
Complete analysis - shooortS&P 500 Bias: • Weekly – Uptrend • Daily – Downtrend • 4H – Uptrend • 1H – Uptrend Fair Value Gap’s. • 5,740 – 5,830 on the daily • 6,038 – 5,934 on the daily, filled in by last candle • 5,979 – 6,016 on the 2H, (23 Dec 15.30 – 24 Dec 11.30) Order Block: • 6,037 – 6,063 on the 1H, (17 Dec 15.30 – 18 Dec 11.30) • 5,892 – 5,840 on the 30M (19 dec 15.30 – 20 Dec 09.30) Liquidity pool: • 5,700 • 5,854 (Got hit at 09.30 and Bullishly swept from 09.50 ending in a Premium short with the use of Equilibrium at 12.00) • 6,102 I think we are going to se it draw back in to the FVG that the last three 2H candles created before then testing the Order Block at 6,037 – 6,063 and procced to hunt the liquidity laying at 6,103 since it’s on a bullish rally on the daily since 20 Dec after hitting Liquidity laying there. Before dipping all the way down to the FVG at 5,740 – 5,830. And I think it will go on to the Premium buy side since the market would probably want to hit the Liquidity laying at 5,700. Though I really doubt it is going to hit that since we are in an weekly uptrend. From the previous reactions of all the building block I showed it seems it will still follow the same pattern if not any news shows up, I have showed prices reacting of previously named building blocks and then proceeded to predict it next moves based on that the market will continue that pattern. Ideally the best entry for a short would in my opinion be at 6,102 and above after seeing a break of structure to the downside at the 15M chart. I am pretty new to this so would love any feedback. You don’t agree with the analysis? Then please comment why so I could see you’re resoning.
SP:SPXShort
by LucasIMH
SPX will go to 62201. On the daily chart, SPX is trading within an upward channel, with the MACD lines positioned above the zero line. 2. SPX has risen for three consecutive days, breaking through the key 6000 level. The next resistance is expected near 6100. If a pullback stabilizes around 5982, it could push toward a new high of 6220 (the 6220 level corresponds to a Fibonacci retracement). 3. Once SPX makes a new high above 6220, it could signal a potential pullback, with support expected around 5700.
SP:SPXLong
by WhaleTJ
SPX-When will the new high be on the chart?On the daily chart, the uptrend bounced from an intact support around 5870, which is around the 50 moving average and the 0.236 fibonacci. Local peak is 6100, this is the first resistance, next is 6200-6300, the top of the ascending channel. Until then, you can rest several times. After the ascent of the last day, there may be a few days of calm until you gather strength. The rise would be supported if the Macd histogram turned positive and the blue macd band crossed the orange signal band from below.
SP:SPXLong
by shillard04
Perhaps a 'Santa Rally' is just one step away to begin in 2024Stock markets often enjoy a seasonal share boost during the festive period. It's been two unpredictable year for stock markets after gloomy 2022 but all we are, traders, investors, TradingViewers are hoping for a successful end-of-year boost in the form of a so-called Santa rally. Shares have much wide, breather and better performance so far in 2024, amid trade and geopolitical tensions, high inflation and high interest rate. So... while children are compiling their Christmas lists, traders also want some sweet candies. Traditionally, festive cheer and holiday household spending make the markets more optimistic during the holiday season, boosting investor portfolios. But will 2024 follow the trend? The "Santa rally", a term coined in 1972 by Yale Hirsch, the founder of the Stock Trader’s Almanac, "describes a tendency for the stock market to go up by 1% to 2%" over final five trading days of the outgoing year and the first two of the new one, said Forbes Advisor . This period has "historically" shown higher stock prices in the S&P 500 SP:SPX 79.2% of the time, says Investopedia . What drives the Santa rally? Reasons for the Santa rally are vary and one explanation is the cheery "end of year mood" that means investors are in more of a "buying temperament" rather than selling shares, which pushes up stock prices Will there be a Santa rally this year? Probably, Yes. September quarter capped off the best 12-months return (+36.36%) for S&P500 Index since the pandemic stock market recovery in 2020, so there are a lot of hopes that stars will align, and momentum in the markets, helped by declining U.S. interest rate, will push prices higher in the run-up to Christmas. Sure, there is "no guarantee", though. Sometimes it happens. Sometimes it is not. The odds of a Santa rally may be in your favor, but the "best option" (author's opinion) is to do nothing, remain invested and be "pleasantly surprised" by another strong month by the new year. The main technical graph for S&P500 Index says that we right now.. already somewhere above to 6'000 points for SPX Index, and just one step to break it out to reach the next one half-a-mile, i.e. 6'500 points by the end of the year. Just follow the major upside trend, that's been taken earlier this summer. And that is all. Merry Christmas y'all, TradingViewers! See you in a Happy New 2025 Year! 💖💖
FOREXCOM:SPX500
by Pandorra
3
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 12.27.2024🔮 ⏰1:00pm Crude Oil Inventories GAP ABOVE HPZ: A lot of people are buying into this rally. If we do gap up this can trigger a mechanical event to drop the markets OPEN WITHIN EEZ: Will be rough to continue higher Once again people are buying into this rally. GAP BELOW HCZ: Would trigger great hedging but the markets will struggle to react to it as the markets drop, so it will hold for a little bit #trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investing
SP:SPXShort
by PogChan
[Education] The Brutal Truth About Trading DisciplineHere's what nobody tells you about trading discipline. It's not about motivation or willpower. You can't just "try harder" to be disciplined. If it were that simple, everyone would be profitable by now. Think about these scenarios. You see a setup forming but it's not quite perfect. You take the trade anyway because "close enough is good enough". Your stop loss is about to get hit, but you move it because you "feel" the market will reverse. You're down for the week and decide to risk 5% instead of your usual 1% to "recover losses". Sound familiar? These aren't strategy problems. These are discipline problems. Why Discipline Is Harder Than It Looks When you're backtesting, everything seems easy. You can fast forward. Drawdowns can be recovered easily. You don't feel the emotional impact of losing trades. You're not watching your real money disappear. But in live trading, every loss feels personal. It sucks when you miss an opportunity that could have given you a homerun trade. When a winning trade turns into a loss, you feel like pulling out your hair. I remember one trade where I had a perfect setup. Everything aligned with my trading plan. I got greedy. I didn’t close my trade at 2R profit as planned. I held onto the trade. The market reversed. My winning trade turned into a loss. That one moment of indiscipline cost me $500. But the real cost was much higher. It damaged my confidence and made me doubt my strategy. The Hidden Cost of Lack of Discipline Let's talk numbers. A strategy with 40% win rate and 1:2 RRR is profitable. However, if you cut winners early, that same strategy becomes a losing one. Instead of closing at 1:2 RRR, you closed at 1:1 RRR. With an average of 1:1 RRR, you need at least a 50% win rate to be breakeven. Things will get worse if you increase risk. If you increase your risk and lose, that one bad trade can wipe out a month of profits. The Framework That Changed Everything After blowing multiple accounts, I developed this simple framework that transformed my trading: Pre-Trade Checklist Write down entry, stop loss, and target BEFORE entering Calculate position size based on 1% risk Take a screenshot of your analysis Compare setup with your trading plan During Trade Management No looking at charts if you're set-and-forget No moving stop losses unless to breakeven No adding to losing positions No checking P&L constantly Post-Trade Review Journal every trade, win or lose Score yourself on discipline, not profits Review weekly to identify patterns Celebrate when you follow rules, regardless of outcome The Psychology Behind Discipline Here’s something interesting. When I trade funded accounts, my discipline improves dramatically. Why? Because it's not my money. I treat it like a business. It’s capital I would lose if I am not disciplined with my trades. This taught me something crucial. To be disciplined, you need to trade like a business, not a gambler. You have to focus on the process, and not the outcomes. You won’t be able to predict the outcome anyway. Accept that losses are part of trading. They are your business expenses. Once you’ve accepted that losing is inevitable, you will be able to keep your emotions out of trading. Taking Action: Your Next Steps Here’s what you should do next after learning from my framework. First, start small. Use a demo account to practice following rules. If you want to trade live, then trade minimal size while you build your discipline in trading. Only scale up when you can follow your plan for 20 trades straight. If you break your rules for 1 trade, restart the whole process. Next, create accountability for yourself. Share your trades with a mentor or trading buddy. Post your analysis online before entering trades. Review your trades at the end of the week. See if you have broken any of your trading rules this week. Lastly, build better habits. Set up your trading environment for success by removing distractions during trading hours. Keep your phones and social media away from you. Create a pre-trade ritual. That can be meditating, or simply just close your eyes. Remember to also reward yourself for following rules, not for profits. The Transformation You Can Expect When you are disciplined, your equity curve becomes smoother. You will not see a big drop in your equity curve due to excessive loss taken on 1 trade. Your stress levels decrease and confidence increases. You aren’t afraid of being wrong and being FOMO’d into entering earlier. As such, your results become consistent. Remember, every successful trader you admire has gone through this same journey. The difference between them and the 95% who fail isn't their strategy. It's their discipline. I'm now managing multiple six-figure funded accounts, not because I found a better strategy, but because I finally learned to follow my rules. The question isn't whether you know what to do. It's whether you can do what you know you should do.
SP:SPX
by Keeleytwj
The S&P500 is struggling to reach its previous peak The S&P500 is approaching the 5914-5892 support range on the one-hour timeframe after a price decline. This area acts as strong support due to previous reactions and a crossover with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. The price reaction to this support area indicates buyers’ willingness to increase their strength. The bullish candles that will form after hitting this level indicate a possible price reversal. If this level holds, a move towards the targets of 6033 and then 6126 is possible in the short term. However, a break of the support level of 5892 could lead to a further decline and a drop to lower ranges. Traders should pay attention to the price reaction to these ranges as well as trading volume.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by arongroups
S&P500 5 month Channel Up bottomed. Bullish reversal started.S&P500 / US500 is trading inside a Channel Up since the August 5th bottom. Wednesday's Fed fueled correction crossed under the 1day MA50 but stabilized yesterday and today found support over the 1day MA100 and rebounded. This low is very close to the bottom of the Channel Up and the 1day MA100 was the level that supported the early September pull back. The 1day RSI is also reversing, and the 3 times it posted a similar pattern inside the Channel Up, it was a bottom. Buy and target 6200 (+7.10% from the bottom). Previous chart: Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by TheCryptagon
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Dec 20, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: During this week's trading, the S&P 500 index exhibited considerable volatility after reaching our critical support level of Mean Support 5870. Subsequently, it demonstrated a robust upward recovery. This development is anticipated to facilitate the impending phase of the renewed interim rebound, with the objective of retesting the Key Resistance level at 6090, thereby paving the way for continuing the bullish trend. However, it is crucial to recognize that a retest of the Mean Support 5870 remains a great possibility.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
SP500 Weekly Trade Idea – Valid only with Close below 5977.8The S&P 500 has been on a stellar rally this year, rewarding long-term investors who bought and held through market turbulence. However, the current technical and macroeconomic setup suggests a possible correction could be on the horizon. Here’s how to approach it strategically. 🛠️ Technical Analysis from the Chart: 1️⃣ **Resistance Zone (6025-6050):** - The index is facing strong resistance in this red zone, indicating a potential **stall in bullish momentum**. Failure to break through this level increases the likelihood of a pullback. 2️⃣ Critical Support Levels: - **5690-5628 Zone:** First significant demand zone. A break below could trigger deeper corrections. - **5395-5365 Zone:** Key structural support from previous accumulation. - Long-term potential target near **4500**, aligning with historical correction structures. 3️⃣ Weekly Close Watch (5977.8): - A **close below 5977.8** could confirm the start of a correction, likely forming a 3-to-5 wave structure typical of corrective phases. 🌍 Macro Context – Inflation and Valuations: - Inflation Data: - In **March 2020**, inflation was at **1.5%**, and stimulus packages helped buoy the market. - By **March 2021**, inflation climbed to **2.6%**, reflecting economic recovery and stimulus impacts. - November 2024 inflation** sits at **2.7%**, signaling a moderating trend but with base effects and monetary policies still in play. - Market Valuations: - The **Buffett Indicator** (Market Cap to GDP ratio) shows the market remains significantly overvalued. This aligns with Warren Buffett’s recent positioning, where **25% of his portfolio is in cash**, waiting for better buying opportunities. 💡 Trade Idea: 📉 Prepare for the Correction: - A correction to the **4500 level** would represent a compelling buying opportunity for long-term investors. - Avoid shorting the market; instead, focus on cash preservation and building a watchlist of fundamentally strong companies. 📊 Long-Term Strategy: - Stick to Warren Buffett’s principle: **"Be greedy when others are fearful."** - Utilize cash reserves to capitalize on discounted prices during market panic. 📌 Key Levels to Watch: - Resistance: **6025-6050 - Supports: **5690-5628**, **5395-5365**, and long-term 4500. 🚀 Optimistic Outlook: Corrections are **opportunities, not threats**. They allow investors to buy quality assets at a discount and position themselves for the next bull cycle. "Price is what you pay; value is what you get." – Warren Buffett 🐂✨ Let volatility work in your favor! 🌟
OANDA:SPX500USD
by Mike_SnD
SPX500 Will Go Up! Long! Take a look at our analysis for SPX500. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a significant support area 5,900.98. The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 5,967.79 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
FX:SPX500Long
by SignalProvider
2
Fed triggers US equity sell-offLast night the Federal Reserve surprised no one when it announced a 25 basis point rate cut, taking the Fed Funds band down to 4.25-4.50%, back to levels last seen two years ago. But that wasn’t the main story. The big news came with the release of the FOMC’s quarterly Summary of Economic Projections (SEP). This showed that the majority of FOMC members now expect just 50 basis points-worth of rate cuts between now and the end of next year. While this is what the CME’s FedWatch Tool has been forecasting for a some time now, it represents a major change in the FOMC’s thinking since the last SEP from September. Back then, the forecast was for 100 basis points-worth of cuts in 2025. So this represents a significant hawkish change, and one that led to a slump in equity markets and precious metals, and a surge in the US dollar and bond yields. US stock indices registered their biggest one day declines since March 2020, while the yield on the 10-year Treasury broke above 4.50% to hit its highest level since May this year. If yields find a floor here and head higher, then they could become a big headwind for equity prices going into 2025. It’s worth considering just what a mess the Fed made of that September meeting. Not only was it far too dovish in its forecasts, once again appearing to underestimate the stickiness of inflation, but it also messed up the other side of its dual mandate, the labour side. It got completely blindsided by a couple of poor Non-Farm Payroll reports, to such an extent that it panicked and cut rates by 50 basis points rather than the 25 widely expected. That decision may have set up the central bank for yesterday’s hawkish shift, although in fairness there are several other factors, not all of them bad. Inflation has ticked up recently, which makes it harder for the Fed to justify easier monetary policy. But US growth is undoubtedly robust, while unemployment appears anchored at manageable levels. There is some uncertainty over what the incoming Trump administration may mean for the economy, but overall little has changed. The Fed can be blamed for some poor messaging, but then again investors have only heard what they wanted to hear, blocking out any negative signals. The market hasn’t suddenly woken up to a string of ‘unknown unknows’ or anything else so Rumsfeldian. Instead, the sell-off in equities looks more like a panicked response from a market priced to perfection. And while it shouldn’t be a surprise to see a bounce-back as we approach the Christmas break, the odds have certainly shortened on tops being in for all the major indices.
TRADENATIONSB:US500
by TradeNation
1
S&P500 hit the MA50 (1d). Huge buy signal.S&P500 hit today its MA50 (1d) following the Fed Rate announcement. At the same time, it is testing the bottom of August's Channel Up. As long as it closes daily inside the pattern, this is a strong buy opportunity. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the current market price. Targets: 1. 6200 (+5.75% rise similar to the previous one). Tips: 1. The RSI (1d) hit its 3 month Support Zone. If it reverses on it, that might be an even better signal for a buy entry. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by TradingBrokersView
2