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SP 500 Cash Index / US Dollar

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Bounce from June low or Return to the channel from 2008-9?Hello, As always to my analysis, I cannot align myself to either bull or bear. Anyway. Here is my idea on SPX towards 2024. After I've drawn upward trendlines from 2008-09 bottom and marking the bottom of RSI, I think SPX could bounce back at 3750 (Sep 2022) and test the record high towards 4800. This may be plausible because the market rallies after mid-term election (in the U.S.). Of course the macro is cooling down and when the fundamentals are considered, the pricing of the each (many) equity is still historically expensive. With these regards, perhaps the market would move toward 3200 to make a good return to the rising channel from 2008. Overall, FED has done terrific job to relief the damage from the pandemic. But maybe the monetary easing was little too much. Thanks for reading! I am not a professional but buy and hold investor. As many of you, I've lost quite a bit from the beginning of this year but anyways the journey continues.
TVC:SPX
by NoriBiscuits
SPX500 TREND LINES, PIVOT and APEX POINT VIEWThe SPX500 if manage to close above the last high of 5670 on Daily TF then expect the price to hit the TL.R at 5764 from where the prices can fall back a bit and then move for the next target to TL.B2 at 5810 and if it closes above that point then you can expect the price to move to take over the PIVOT R3 at 61110, but if it is rejected then expect the price to fall towards PIVOT R2. Trend Line green and TL.R form a widening channel. If the price fall back the TL.B1 and Closes Below Pivot R2, then Expect the price bounce from the Trend line green. The main scenario of the price action shows that if the price is not rejected from the previous high of 5670, then price will surely lead to take over the TL.R and TL.B2. On Contrary if price rejected sharply from the TL.B2 and closes below PIVOT R2, then price may continue to fall towards PIVOT R1. Please leave your comments and your suggestions. Expected Movement for the rest of the year will be in between the two apex points 5410 and 5747. Any Voilation of these points will determine the further direction of the SPX price movement.
FOREXCOM:SPX500Long
by taranquilo
1
US500 SMART MONEY PLAY Smart Money Play for US500 The setup suggests a potential for continuation in the primary uptrend but warns of possible near-term exhaustion. This strategy focuses on monitoring support levels during a pullback to position for a high-probability entry in line with the trend. 1. Identify Key Support Levels for Potential Pullback • Daily HVN Nodes: The daily HVN nodes at 5831 and 5710 represent strong support zones. If price retraces to these levels, they are likely to act as points of buying interest, especially if aligned with bullish indicators on lower timeframes. • 4-Hour Ichimoku Conversion Line: Currently, price is testing the 4-hour Ichimoku conversion line. A sustained hold at this level would signal a continuation of the uptrend, while a breakdown could open the door for a deeper pullback. 2. Monitor ADX and DI for Trend Continuation or Exhaustion • Daily ADX: With an ADX of 22 and positive DI above negative DI, the daily trend is bullish but not overly strong, suggesting room for a potential continuation if support holds. • 4-Hour ADX: The 4-hour ADX at 50, with the ADX line well above both +DI and -DI, indicates possible trend exhaustion. This level, combined with bearish divergence on the RSI, suggests that a pullback or consolidation phase is likely before the trend resumes. 3. RSI and MFI as Momentum Indicators • Daily RSI: The daily RSI at 66 remains bullish but could retreat to 50-60 on a pullback while maintaining trend strength. A hold above 50 on the daily RSI would support re-entry at a favorable level. • 4-Hour MFI: With MFI rolling down from 80 to 74, it signals a reduction in buying pressure, consistent with an expected pullback. 4. Short-Term Signals on Lower Timeframes • 2-Hour MACD: The dark red bearish signal on the 2-hour MACD is an early warning for a short-term correction. If MACD starts to turn green after a dip, it could provide an entry signal. • 4-Hour RSI Divergence: Bearish divergence on the 4-hour RSI further supports a potential pullback. Waiting for a correction here before entering would minimize risk. Trade Ideas 1. Pullback Entry for Long Continuation: • Entry: Consider entering long near the HVN nodes at 5831 or 5710 if price stabilizes. Look for bullish signals on the 2-hour or 4-hour MACD and RSI to confirm that buyers are returning. • Stop-Loss: Place stops just below 5710 to account for volatility but avoid exposure if the pullback deepens. • Target: Aim for an initial move back towards the upper Bollinger Band on the daily (around 6000+) or even higher if the trend resumes strongly. 2. Alternative Short on Short-Term Weakness: • Entry: Consider a short position if price fails to hold the 4-hour Ichimoku conversion line, aiming for a target near the daily HVN nodes (5831 or 5710). • Stop-Loss: Tight stop just above the recent high at 5973, minimizing risk. • Target: Look for a retracement to the 5831 node, where support may resume. Summary of Smart Money Play 1. Trend Bias: Bullish overall but with caution for near-term exhaustion. 2. Setup: Wait for pullback confirmation to key support for a low-risk entry. 3. Entry Trigger: Use MACD and RSI on lower timeframes to confirm a resumption of buying pressure on pullbacks. 4. Risk Management: Stops below support for long positions and tight stops above recent highs for shorts, targeting the daily upper Bollinger Band on continuation or HVN nodes on retracement.
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by Shivsaransh1
trump won, now whatThis is not a political analysis,idgf about who's your favourite party With that said: An easy way to run ur economy to the ground is through price controls, which was part of Harris's campaign platform. Joe did a great job and arguably saved the U.S. economy from a slump with initiatives like the infrastructure bill and the CHIPS Act. However, what concerns the average American most are the prices of gas and food. Harris's solution to these issues is a price ceiling, which is why many people felt that the orange man solution is more realistic however Tax cuts, the budget deficit, and inflation, along with tariffs, may lead the market to react positively a trend we have already observed. Inflation can drive growth for companies, which in turn boosts earnings and contributes to the US GDP growth. Additionally, the bond market is showing an upward yield curve, suggesting a liquidity preference, as money flows from risk-free investments like 10-year bonds into riskier assets such as equities or the stock market. The Federal Reserve's recent rate cut and efforts to reduce the balance sheet may be significant factors in this shift. However, there remains considerable uncertainty regarding the potential outcomes of these tax cuts and policies, which could result in a labor shortage and disruption in the labor market. The inflation accompanying the tariffs could lead to economic contraction, posing risks. Still, navigating these changes will not be plain, as the central bank is likely to respond to these policies, further deepening the uncertainty. there will be also some actual improvement in terms of foreign policy which can also lead to capital flowing from outside into us markets however, any sort of policy led by wall street has historically led to disasters and we expect no difference and the taxpayers will be left with the bill tap again I do not cheer for any party or their ideologies we'll watch the same market on asymmetrical information so make ur own inference
SP:SPX
by ri_da
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Nov 8, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: During the current trading session, the S&P 500 index has exhibited significant strength by successfully filling the projected gap, as detailed in the S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis dated November 1. This upward movement has facilitated a substantial rebound, as the index has retested both the Outer Index Rally level of 5861 and the Key Resistance level of 5865. Furthermore, the index has completed the Outer Index Rally threshold 6000, suggesting a promising potential for additional increases toward Outer Index Rallies at 6123, 6233, and 6418. Nevertheless, it is essential to recognize that achieving the Outer Index Rally 6000 level may prompt a downward price movement towards the Mean Support level of 5929 before progressing into the subsequent phase of the bullish trend
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
S&P 500 Change of CountsThe new high made during this election day has made me change the count. A reader of my post did comment and share a link on this new count which I did have in a couple of my posts, but I have to admit a mistake as a mistake and a bias as a bias. Now that S&P has made a new high, we must have a new target. Based on Elliott Wave, there IS A MAXIMUM target of 6208.5 based on Oanda CFD. This is because wave 3 is currently the shortest wave and that is not allowed in EW (the alternative is that this wave 3 is actually wave 1 of 3). But any price below 6208.5 is good as a peak. We have to wait until wave structure firms up before making another call.
OANDA:SPX500USD
by yuchaosng
S&P 500: Key Levels to Watch as Election NearsWith the U.S. election right around the corner, the markets are primed for a week of intense action. As traders settle in for what could be a wild ride, we're zeroing in on the S&P 500’s most important support and resistance zones. Anticipated Surge in Volatility and Volume As election day arrives, expect a surge in both volatility and volume, especially in bonds and currency markets. Last Thursday’s market sell-off set the tone, with heightened swings likely to spill over from futures into the open markets by mid-week. Adding fuel to the fire, the Federal Reserve’s decision on Thursday could be another volatility catalyst, particularly if the central bank makes a surprise move on rates. Right now, option data on the S&P 500 suggests that the market is bracing for a potential swing of over 2%, indicating expectations of a lively week. Whilst volatility is the life blood of short-term trading, only the prepared are likely to benefit as wild swings tend to spark panic among those without a plan. With this in mind, let’s take a look at the key levels to watch on the S&P 500… Key Levels to Watch on the S&P 500 On the technical front, the S&P 500’s long-term uptrend has taken a breather, and last Thursday’s drop brought the index back to a critical area: the 50-day moving average (MA). This level, which aligns with the July swing highs, has held up well so far, and it’s a key line of support that many traders are eyeing as we move into the election. If this support gives way, the next stop is the September lows near the 200-day moving average—a level that often serves as a guardrail for the broader trend. For resistance, we’re watching the top of Thursday’s gap as the first challenge for any bounce attempt. Above that, the trend highs present another barrier, where the bulls will need solid momentum to push through. These levels provide a solid framework to navigate the week ahead, where a breakout or breakdown will likely signal a directional shift in the broader market sentiment. S&P 500 Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Using Anchored VWAP to Gauge Market Control When it comes to analysing who’s in control of the market—bulls or bears—anchored VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) is one of our go-to tools. Here’s how we use it: by anchoring a VWAP to the recent highs, we get a read on where sellers are likely to assert pressure. This essentially serves as a ceiling, marking where bearish momentum could reassert itself. On the flip side, anchoring VWAP to recent lows shows us where the buyers are holding their ground, creating a critical support point. These anchored VWAP levels act as dynamic markers of control, giving us a pulse on the ongoing battle between bulls and bears. In a week like this, with election headlines swirling and technical levels tested, VWAP is an invaluable tool to track whether buyers or sellers have the upper hand at any given moment. S&P 500 Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 82.67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
CAPITALCOM:US500
by Capitalcom
SPX : Saturn Squares Uranus (Heliocentric)The heliocentric Saturn-Uranus square is a potent astrological configuration known to influence significant market cycles, particularly in the SPX (S&P 500) often triggering periods of volatility and sometimes resulting in notable market crashes. Saturn, representing time, structure, karma, and restraint, squares off with Uranus, the planet of sudden change, innovation, and disruption. This clash between the old and the new brings tension and unpredictability into financial markets, where structures that seem stable may suddenly face upheaval.
TVC:SPX
by EsotericTrading
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Nov 1, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: During the current trading session, the S&P 500 index exhibited considerable weakness by completing the Inner Index Dip at 5733, in conjunction with the Mean Support level of 5798, while leaving the gap by not reaching the secondary Mean Support level of 5700. This development of fulfilling the gap will likely stimulate a significant rebound toward the Mean Resistance level of 5775, with the possibility of further extension. The 5700 support level is critical for facilitating a primary recovery and advancing into the subsequent phase of the bullish trend. However, it is imperative to acknowledge that achieving and penetrating the 5700 level could instigate a downward spiral in price action to Mean Sup 5620.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
Stock Market ft. The BIG SHORT.Election coming, looks to be priced in as we speak, expect a drop, probably more severe than my chart if the conditions are met BELOW.. Conservative levels to short above (no guarantee we are coming back to those levels) as the futures market can continue to plummet as early as Monday next week. I expect a heavy forecast of rain up until the election and after, we are about to see some crazy $%^& in the next few months, Price is weighted on the weekly, to Target 1, if that level doesn't hold we will see target 2 and target 3 QUICK, If my price reacts the way I think it is, I will be dropping a multi-year monthly chart to follow, Good luck traders.
SP:SPXShort
by MarketMakerTraders