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TONCOINUSD trade ideas

TONUSD: A Bearish Rollercoaster – Are You Ready for the RideTelegram CEO Pavel Durov Arrested in France Pavel Durov, the CEO and founder of the popular messaging app Telegram, was arrested on Saturday evening at Le Bourget Airport in France while exiting his private jet. The arrest is linked to an ongoing police investigation in France, which is reportedly focused on Telegram's lack of content moderation, allowing criminal activity to persist on the platform. Charges and Potential Penalties Durov, a Russian-French billionaire, faces serious charges related to offenses allegedly facilitated through Telegram, including complicity in drug trafficking, crimes against children, and fraud. If found guilty, he could face fines and up to 20 years in prison, depending on the specific laws under which he is charged and the severity of the alleged offenses. Impact on Toncoin and TON Ecosystem The arrest of Telegram's CEO has had a significant impact on the cryptocurrency market, particularly on Toncoin (TON), which is closely tied to Telegram. Toncoin experienced a sharp decline of over 19%, dropping from around $6.75 to under $5.50 in less than 12 hours following the news. The TON ecosystem as a whole has been affected, with concerns raised about the future of the blockchain and its relationship with Telegram. Reactions from the Tech Community and Supporters The tech community has expressed various reactions to Pavel Durov's arrest, with concerns raised over privacy, security, and the balance between these aspects and government oversight. Elon Musk, CEO of SpaceX and Tesla, took to Twitter to show his support for Durov, using the hashtag #FreePavel and sharing a theoretical idea about people being executed for liking a meme. The TON community has also issued a statement expressing its firm support for Durov and emphasizing that the operation and mission of the community will not be affected by this incident. Now let's have a look at the technical context behind the TONUSD and what I'm looking for to get positioned into shorts on hourly timeframes by relying on probabilities. 3D: 1H:
CRYPTO:TONUSDShort
by Jasminex1x2
2
Toncoin (TON) - A Technical Analysis.Toncoin has been on a bullish rally, reflecting a robust uptrend since the beginning of the year, characterized by higher highs and higher lows. The recent price consolidation around the $7.50-$8.00 range indicates a potential accumulation phase, which might precede another breakout. The daily candlestick chart reveals a consistent uptrend with periodic corrections, suggesting strong buying pressure. The recent bounce off the $7.00 support level underscores the bulls' control. Notably, the current trading session's candlestick suggests continued buying interest, as indicated by the strong closing above the $7.60 mark. Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is currently at 57.95, which is in the neutral zone but trending upwards. This indicates that the coin is neither overbought nor oversold, offering room for further upward movement. The RSI’s recent climb from the lower 50s suggests a resurgence in bullish momentum. The Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) across various timeframes (10, 20, 30, 50, 100, 200) are showing a strong buy signal. The shorter EMAs (10, 20) are significantly above the longer EMAs, which supports the bullish trend. The current price trading above the 10-day and 50-day SMAs ($7.38 and $6.83 respectively) confirms the continuation of the upward trend. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD indicator shows a slight bearish crossover, which could indicate short-term weakness. However, considering the strong uptrend and the positioning of the MACD line above the zero line, this could also be a temporary consolidation before another upward push. The price is trading well above the Ichimoku cloud, and the future cloud is widening, indicating strong bullish momentum and suggesting that Toncoin is poised for continued growth. The cloud's leading span is also expanding, further supporting the bullish outlook. Although the specific volume data is unavailable, the average volume over the last 30 days suggests robust trading activity, with a trading volume of 252.19M in the last 24 hours. This is indicative of sustained interest and liquidity in the market. Toncoin has been capturing market attention with its innovative blockchain solutions and increasing adoption. The recent news suggests a surge in interest from institutional investors, further bolstering the bullish sentiment. Additionally, Toncoin’s developments in expanding its ecosystem and enhancing scalability are likely to attract more traders and investors. Given the current market structure, technical indicators, and bullish sentiment, Toncoin presents a compelling case for a long position. However, traders should be cautious of potential pullbacks. Long Position Strategy: Entry Point: Around $7.60-$7.70. Price Target: $9.00 - $10.00. Given the current momentum, the next resistance levels are around $8.50 and $9.00. A break above $9.00 could potentially drive the price towards $10.00, which is a psychological barrier. Stop Loss: $7.00. This stop loss level is below the recent support, ensuring protection against any unexpected downside movement. Short Position Strategy (if market conditions reverse): Entry Point: If the price breaks below the $7.00 support level, consider a short position. Price Target: $6.00 - $5.50. A breakdown could see the price retesting the $6.00 and $5.50 support zones. Stop Loss: $7.50. This stop loss is above the recent consolidation area, minimizing risk if the price reverses back to an upward trajectory. Toncoin exhibits a strong bullish pattern with substantial room for growth, making it an attractive candidate for long-term investors and swing traders. However, it’s crucial to stay vigilant and adjust strategies based on market dynamics and news developments. Always keep an eye on key support and resistance levels, and employ stop losses to protect your capital.
CRYPTO:TONUSD
by AxiomEx
Toncoin, Telegram Token Look BullishBased on this analysis, Toncoin shows significant bullish potential in the short to medium term . The current price of Toncoin is $6.90. The chart shows that the price is predicted to rise to $16.70 in 42 days, giving an upside of 145.03%. Support & Resistance - There is seen strong support around $5.03 (EMA 21). - The resistance level is located around $7.04, which was recently tested and may be broken if the bullish trend continues. Price Pattern: An ascending Triangle pattern is visible, which usually indicates a potential bullish breakout. This pattern has been confirmed with an upward breakout. Technical Indicators: The stochastic indicator shows 69.10 (K%) and 66.35 (D%), which shows that Toncoin is approaching the overbought zone but not yet oversaturated, so there is still room for further increases. Fibonacci Extensions: The $16.70 price target is based on the 2.618 Fibonacci extension level, which is often used to project post-breakout price potential.
CRYPTO:TONUSDLong
by CryptoWizard_
Toncoin (TONUSD) Technical AnalysisToncoin (TONUSD) has experienced substantial fluctuations over recent periods, demonstrating notable volatility in a dynamic trading environment. As of the latest sessions, the price action presents critical insights through technical analysis indicators and chart patterns, indicating potential future movements and trading opportunities. Price Action Analysis The price of Toncoin has seen a downward trajectory as evidenced by the consistent lower highs and lower lows on the daily charts. Recent trading sessions have shown a break below key support levels, with the latest candlesticks forming a bearish continuation pattern. This pattern suggests a possible further decline if the bearish momentum continues. Technical Indicators and Analysis Moving Averages: The series of Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) on the daily chart show a bearish crossover with shorter-term EMAs crossing below longer-term EMAs, which typically signals a strong bearish trend. Notably, prices are trading below the key EMA levels (20-day, 50-day, and 100-day), reinforcing bearish sentiment. Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI hovers around 36, which is nearing oversold territory but still offers room for further downward movement before any potential reversal could be considered. Stochastic RSI: Currently neutral, suggesting indecision in the immediate term. However, its position below 20 in recent sessions points to possible oversold conditions, hinting at a potential short-term pullback or stabilization. Commodity Channel Index (CCI): At -150, the CCI is well into the oversold area, which could either presage a rebound or confirm strong bearish momentum if prices continue to fall. MACD: The MACD is below zero and the signal line, with the histogram increasing in negative territory, indicative of strengthening bearish momentum. Ichimoku Cloud: The price is below the Ichimoku cloud, and the cloud spans are widening, suggesting that the path of least resistance is to the downside. Fibonacci Retracements and Pivot Points Current analysis shows Toncoin breaking below the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level of the previous upswing, now trading around $4.73. This action confirms bearish strength with potential targets at the 0.786 level near $4.34. Pivot point analysis suggests immediate resistance near $5.85, with support around $4.73 followed by stronger support at $4.04. Price Prediction and Trading Strategy Given the confluence of bearish indicators and price action: Short-Term Traders might consider taking advantage of any pullback towards resistance levels for short selling opportunities, with initial targets near $4.73 and further down at $4.34. Long-Term Investors should await clearer signs of reversal above the Ichimoku cloud or a significant bullish divergence on oscillators before considering entry for long positions. Entry and Exit Points Buy: Should the price stabilize and show reversal patterns above $4.73 with significant volume, an entry could be considered. A more conservative approach would wait for a breakout above $5.85. Sell/Short: Initiate short positions on pullbacks to $5.85 with stop losses just above $6.00. For aggressive traders, maintaining shorts while the price is below $5.85 with the same stop-loss threshold could be considered. Conclusion Toncoin's current market phase requires cautious approach due to the bearish indicators. Traders should monitor daily closing prices and volume for confirmation of trends and adjust their strategies based on resistance and support breaches. The upcoming sessions will be crucial in determining whether the bearish momentum will continue or if a stabilization will offer a base for recovery.
CRYPTO:TONUSD
by AxiomEx
1
TONUSD Top of the Channel Up. Still worth buying?Last time we looked at Toncoin (TONUSD) it gave us the most optimal long-term buy entry (August 17 2023, see chart below) as it bottomed on an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern: Today the coin reached the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the long-term Channel Up and technically it is a sell opportunity. We are willing to take it, as long as the 1D candles keep closing within the (blue) Channel Up and target the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) at 3.50. If however even a single candles closes above the (blue) Channel Up, we might see a new (dotted) Channel Up emerge, so we will take the loss on the sell and buy instead, targeting its top at 12.00. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:TONUSD
by TradingShot