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RUSSELL 2000 Testing key 2022 Resistance. Rejection or breakout?Russell 2000 (RUT) finally hit our 2140 Target, which we called for on our last pull-back and buy signal (December 28 2023, see chart below): Even before that signal, we caught the ideal bottom buy for a full bullish swing: At the moment the situation is different as the index is on full bullish technicals, having hit the 2140 Resistance which was formed by the March 28 2022 High. Needless to say, breaking above this 2-year Resistance opens the way for a Resistance 2 (2293) test. We believe the key here lies on the 1W (weekly) closing. As long as Russell fails to close a 1W candle above Resistance 1, we will wait for a buy on the 1D MA50 (red trend-line). If it falls and closes even below the 1D MA50, we will add a last buy on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and the top of the Symmetrical Support Zone, where all candles of the Jan - March 2022 Bear Flag closed. Our expectation is that this uptrend will form a Bull Flag, in similar fashion as the 2021/22 downtrend formed a Bear Flag. If on the other hand the index does close a 1W candle above Resistance 1, we will have a technical bullish break-out and on that occasion, we will buy on the spot. In all cases our medium-term Target will be 2293 (Resistance 2). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
PEPPERSTONE:US2000
by TradingShot
Russell 2000 plays catch-upUS stock index futures were a touch weaker this morning. But this follows a particularly strong session yesterday which saw the Dow, S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 close up 1.2%, 0.9% and 0.5% respectively. But the stand-out performance came from the Russell 2000, the US’s broad-based, domestically-focused mid-cap stock index. It ended the session over 2% higher, suggesting that investors are widening their horizons away from the highly priced tech giants to more reasonably priced corporations. On the one hand, that would indicate that investors are wary of overpaying for stocks at the vanguard of the current rally. But it also suggests they retain their faith in the market by looking for value outside of the mainstream. As the Russell is still around 14% shy of its record level hit back in November 2021, the bulls could argue convincingly that there’s plenty of life left in the bull market. Others may counter that investors are getting a bit desperate, and that it simply demonstrates that the ’fear of missing out’ is driving speculators to buy any old rubbish. As ever, time will tell. But for now, the melt-up continues. Today’s data releases came in mostly in line with expectations, with a small upgrade to Final GDP. But tomorrow sees the most important update with the release of Core PCE, the Fed’s preferred inflation measure. This has been trending lower since September 2022 when it stood at +5.2% year-on-year. Last month it dropped to +2.8%, its lowest level since April 2021. The hope is that it will continue to moderate. But many are concerned that it could tick higher, just as CPI and PPI did earlier this month. If this were to be the case, investors will have to wait until Monday to respond, given tomorrow’s Good Friday market closures.
FX:US2000
by TradeNation
Russel2000: A New Golden Age for the small-caps?Yesterday's performance of the major US indices (S&P500, Nasdaq and DowJones) and Russel2000, and its impact on investment strategies showed a negative close for the Nasdaq and S&P500 indices, while the Russel2000 closed positive (+0.10%). This move indicates a shift in investor focus away from the technology and growth stocks that have dominated the market over the past year. The reassuring economic outlook and dovish signals from the Federal Reserve are leading investors to look for opportunities in smaller-cap companies, known as small-caps. This shift in preferences has put the Russell 2000 on the radar of investors, especially those looking to diversify their portfolios, after a period of heavy gluttony in the sectors that have become the most overweight: technology, financials, energy and industrials, heavily weighted around BigTech and GrowthStocks. The monetary policy shift towards summer has made companies with lower average debt levels and less focus on the Artificial Intelligence cycle look better. Following last week's announcements, large financial and banking companies have already begun to gradually disinvest, marking what could be the beginning of a recessionary cycle or end of the economic cycle ceiling, looking for other types of more stable assets in what could be another advanced part of the economic cycle. From a technical standpoint, the Russell 2000 index has shown an inverted cup formation on the one-hour chart throughout the quarter, within a bullish channel in a fairly sharp price range. This could indicate a possible regression to the price of the lower part of the channel or a strong return to the trading area of the checkpoint most marked by the price bell around 1986 points. However, we also note a triple top and a slight overbought level according to the RSI divergence at 63.54%, suggesting the possibility of a price correction. In summary, while the news indicates a renewed interest in small-caps, technical indicators point to a possible correction in the short term. It is essential to closely follow the evolution of the index and be on the lookout for future news that could influence the market. Are we facing a new golden era for small-caps, like the one we saw between 2021 and 2022? Ion Jauregui - AT Analyst ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:USARUSShort
by ActivTrades
Russell 2000 (RTY) Looking for Short Term Pullback SoonShort Term Elliott Wave view in Russell 2000 (RTY) suggests that rally to 2146 ended wave 1. Pullback in wave 2 unfolded as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave 1, wave ((a)) ended at 2073.2 and wave ((b)) ended at 2109.30. Down from there, wave (i) ended at 2075.3 and wave (ii) ended at 2106.20. The Index extended lower in wave (iii) towards 2040.4 and wave (iv) ended at 2076.4. Final leg wave (v) ended at 2032.29 which completed wave ((c)) of 2 in larger degree. The Index has turned higher in wave 3. Confirmation is still necessary with a break above wave 1 at 2146 to rule out a double correction. Up from wave 2, wave (i) ended at 2065.7 and dips in wave (ii) ended at 2047.80. Up from there, wave i ended at 2057.2 and wave ii ended at 2048.70. Wave iii higher ended at 2111.1 and wave iv ended at 2104.70. Wave v ended at 2122.3 which completed wave (iii). Pullback in wave (iv) ended at 2104.90. Expect the Index to end wave (v) of ((i)) soon, then it should pullback in wave ((ii)) to correct cycle from 3.19.2024 low in 3, 7, or 11 swing before it resumes higher. Near term, as far as pivot at 2032.3 low stays intact, expect dips to find support in 3, 7, 11 swing for more upside.
FX:US2000
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Russell 2000 approaching possible strong selling pressure?Hi guys, Russell 2000 has consolidated on the previous range resistance that has now acted as support and is now heading for a crack at its all time high. Currently Russell is just below a daily order block highlighted by the red box which was tested once on the way down in bear market. The zone also is the golden fib zone between 0.5 and 0.618, so very likely to have some sell opportunities. It looks likely that this index is going to be very volatile and face huge amounts of resistance on the way up if it is to make an all time high. Patience will be key to make quality trades with this index but opportunities will be there. The red zone may present more than one sell opportunity with buy back at previous support or resistance , which allows for plenty of swing trade opportunities. Safe Trading all
CAPITALCOM:RTYShort
by elyask120
RTY - Russel 2000: Bearish Harmonic PatternRTY - Russel 2000: Bearish Harmonic Pattern RTY index completed a bearish harmonic pattern. The first price reaction was aggressive and good for this type of pattern. We may see any correction again up to 2060 - 2070 before the price moves down further. Next week, on Wednesday, March 20, the market will await the FOMC meeting and if they will make any change to the Monetary Policy statement related to a rate cut. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
CAPITALCOM:RTYShort
by KlejdiCuni
1
NUMBER GO UPEconomic Recovery: If there are signs of a robust economic recovery, such as increasing consumer spending, declining unemployment rates, and strong GDP growth, small-cap stocks, which are heavily represented in the Russell 2000 index, may outperform. Positive economic indicators could fuel investor optimism and lead to a breakout in the index. Interest Rates: Low interest rates typically benefit small-cap companies, as they can access cheaper financing and loans. If central banks maintain accommodative monetary policies or signal a commitment to keeping interest rates low for an extended period, it could provide support for small-cap stocks and contribute to a breakout in the Russell 2000. Favorable Regulatory Environment: Policies and regulations that support small businesses, such as tax incentives, deregulation, or infrastructure spending, could boost the prospects of companies in the Russell 2000 index. Positive regulatory changes may lead investors to anticipate higher earnings growth for small-cap stocks, prompting a breakout. Technological Innovation: Small-cap companies often specialize in innovative technologies and niche markets. Breakthrough innovations or disruptive technologies within sectors represented in the Russell 2000 could drive investor interest and contribute to a breakout as investors seek exposure to growth opportunities. Market Sentiment: Investor sentiment plays a significant role in market movements. If market participants become increasingly optimistic about the prospects of small-cap stocks, driven by positive earnings surprises, improving business conditions, or bullish market trends, it could lead to increased buying activity and a breakout in the Russell 2000 index. Sector Rotation: Shifts in investor preferences and sector rotation can impact the performance of the Russell 2000 index. If there is a rotation from large-cap stocks to small-cap stocks due to changing market dynamics or sector-specific trends, it could drive up prices in the Russell 2000 and result in a breakout. Global Events: Geopolitical events, global economic conditions, and market developments can influence investor behavior and market sentiment. Positive developments such as trade agreements, geopolitical stability, or strong global economic growth could create a favorable environment for small-cap stocks and contribute to a breakout in the Russell 2000 index.
TVC:RUT
by Rashid198622
Major Indices: Macro SR Fibonacci SchematicsHere we have every major American indices in the world including the S&P-500, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, and the Russell 2000. This list excludes major foreign indices. For this idea, we have 2 boxes per indices. This is so we have room to include all schematics in the blueprint (chart). Let us define each indices and then we can talk about what makes each individual box up. 1. S&P-500 = (Standard and Poor's 500) Largest publicly traded companies in the US. (Benchmark for the overall US stock market and economy) 2. DJIA = (The Dow Jones Industrial Average) Tracks 30 large, publicly owned blue chip companies. Indicator of the health of the US economy, especially in the Industrial sector. 3. NASDAQ Composite = Heavily weighted towards the tech sector. Includes 3,000 stocks/all stocks listed on the Nasdaq stock exchange. 4. RUSSELL 2000 = Measures performance of 2,000 smaller-cap American companies. There's a distinct difference from the small cap measurement of the Russell and big caps like the S&P. Now, each set of boxes are entirely different. There are no schematics in more than one box AT ALL. EVERY SINGLE BOX is 100% unique. Now that we know this lets examine... 1. Both S&P boxes include the following. 2 sets of schematics, a set of fib circle pairs, and a set of Fib Forks for EACH BOX. 2. Both DOW JONES chart have a schematic each. The 1st box has a set of fib circles but not the 2nd. The 2nd has a set of Fib Forks and so does the 1st. 3. Both NASDAQ boxes have a schematic each. Also, each has a set of Fib Spikes AND Fib Forks. 4. Both RUSSELL boxes have a schematic each. Each has sets of Fib Forks with the important ones highlighted in either black, yellow, or white to show the variety and how each different set reacts differently. One must see that the different thickness and colors of separate sets of schematics are to distinguish them from its surroundings. My own forged Market Theory is that there is a BASE SET of Fib Extensions in the background which makes up our structure. Then, in the foreground, we have our Fib Spikes and then we lay over our Fib Forks. Finally, we have a totally finished, CLUSTERED, Schematic. SO, every single schematic that I make is all just individual schematics clustered together.
TVC:RUTLong
by MichaelBsul
Russell 2000 Spicy!: US Releases Today!After the economic turmoil generated in the markets by the Fed's statements this week, US indices have reacted with a slight correction. This afternoon, data on industrial production, retail sales and sovereign debt auctions will be crucial (short term, 15 and 30 years ahead), as well as the US government unemployment figures, which will impact the markets, including currencies. In particular, if we look at the performance of the Russell 2000, although it follows a similar trend to other long-term indices , its movement is more pronounced in the short term than the other three US indices. In today's premarket, it shows a decline of 0.05%, similar to the Dow Jones. This is due to the fact that U.S. mid-sized companies have a more productive rather than technological composition, a characteristic that generates greater volatility versus the large corporations of the major indexes. For example, the Russell 2000 was hit harder in 2020 than its counterparts. The top 10 companies in the Russell 2000 are: • Shockwave Medical: Healthcare • Emcor Group Inc: Industrials • Iridium Communications: Telecommunications • Saia Inc: Industrials • Apellis Pharmaceuticals: Healthcare • Inspire Medical Systems: Healthcare • Crocs Inc: Consumer Discretionary • Texas Roadhouse Inc: Consumer Discretionary • Kinsale Capital Group: Financials • Prometheus Biosciences: Health Care The average of all Russell 2000 companies is $2.951 billion in May 2023, with the top company valued at $10.383 billion and small companies in the $200 million range. The index weights average as follows: Industrials: 17.50%, Health Care: 16.81%, Financials: 14.86%, Consumer Discretionary: 13.90%, Technology: 10.64%, Energy: 6.74%, Real Estate: 6.42%, Basic Materials: 4.24%, Utilities: 3.77%, Consumer Staples: 3.45%, and finally Telecom: 1.66%. From March 2023 to date, the index has shown a sideways movement set on the same downward and upward milestones as its counterparts, with a high of 2,457.00 points still far from being reached. At the moment, it is in a very strong resistance zone that was not overcome until October last year, being pierced on Monday without much strength and closing a price gap. The RSI is at 59.74%, indicating moderate strength from buyers. The checkpoint marks 1,764.71 points, with a more active trading zone around 1,800 points since 2022. We could expect a possible correction if the indices change trend to down and a push towards 2,351 points if the index maintains its strength. Ion Jauregui - AT Analyst The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:USARUSLong
by ActivTrades
3
What's Next for the Crypto Market?With all the hype around crypto ETF's and the Bitcoin Halving, the crypto market indicates there is a chance for a continued trend upwards that initiated last October. The economy however could go either way depending on the FED's decision to raise, hold or lower rates and the moralsuasion they will use to articulate their rationale. The major equity indexes in the US are trending up which has proven necessary for the crypto market to sustain it's momentum but they too are watching the FED closely. Some say the equity markets are over heated? Some say only a few stocks are and the majority are ripe for an upward move. Lot's of money still sitting on the sidelines and in the money markets that could help bolster equity rallies. What will cause that money to go risk on? Are the markets seeing what the FED is seeing?
TVC:RUT
by ErykKrag
Russell 2000 in the course of reducing the gap from the marketThe Russell 2000 index is in a positive direction and remains about 20% to reach all-time high while S&P 500 and NASDAQ have been in there high regions for some time. The index looks good at the moment and the market expects cut in interest rates around June, but inflation is still weighing on the move. As long as no special news is published from the FED, the gap between the small cap stocks and the rest of the market will narrow don't forget... the only way to trade the stock market... look at my signature below Otherwise it won't work... TVC:RUT
TVC:RUTLong
by maor_yeh
1
RUSSEL 2000 - Bullish Pennant - Value Area1. Zoomed out to provide perspective - Long term ranging market with a recent breakout. Now trading close to the previous resistance. 2. Market trading above the 50 and 200 EMAs - bias is to look for long opportunities in value areas. 3. As mentioned in point 1, market trading in a value area. If a long trade goes against us, we'll be able to understand quickly and a cheaply that our idea didn't work out. Conversely, if a long trade goes our way, there's a meaty reward ahead. In short, there's a risk / reward asymmetry presenting itself in this market. 4. Where is the trigger for a long trade? a) Edge of a pennant pattern with a breakout leaded by an above average size bullish candle. b) Preceded by another above average sized bullish candle c) RSI depicts a shift of momentum to bullish. 5. Trade a) Current daily candle b) SL below the pennant pattern - $1887 c) TP - follow the trend and close position upon EMAs crossings or aim at the this market's all time highs range. 6. Risk management: No more than 1% of yr total equity at risk. Cheers
CAPITALCOM:RTYLong
by ruben_rodrigues
Russell 2000 in precarious positionHi Guys. I am still bullish biased on the Russel. At the moment the index is being supported by the 50 ma and directly overhead has resistance by the 20 ma. The pullback to the current price is also a retest of the downward trendline it broke out of. Should the Russell make a bullish move from here and clear the most recent swing high that would look like a break of an inverse H&S but I see the more likely scenario of not being able to break the swing high until it moves slightly lower and makes a double bottom on the Daily which I am waiting to trade rather than the HS pattern which I dont like as a continuation pattern. Also should price move south it may coincide with the completion of a bullish shark pattern with entry starting at the 88.6 level until the 1.13 level, wherever a proper entry reason arises for an individual's trading style/ methodoligies. A more powerful move would follow a double bottom which has support in the area of the anchored VWAPs (Black and red lines on chart). the from both bear market high and lows which doesnt happen all that often and historically is powerful suport or resistance. You can see the bounce off the black AVWAP and 50 MA when the Russel pulled back from its massive run up from the lows. We shall see what plays out ove the coming days / weeks. Safe trading all.
PEPPERSTONE:US2000Long
by elyask120