Potential Breakout in Small Caps The Russell 2000 small cap index has lagged the broader market so far in 2024, but now it may be showing signs of strength.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the lower low and higher high on Monday versus Friday. That kind of bullish outside candle may suggest that buyers are taking control.
Second, prices pushed above a falling trendline from the December 27 peak.
Third, RUT bounced in mid-January slightly above 1888. That was the peak before the Federal Reserve’s dovish meeting on December 13. It was also slightly above a 50 percent retracement of the rally that started on November 14 (when inflation hit 0 percent). Some traders may also view the recent pullback as a completed ABC correction.
Next, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has crossed back above the 21-day EMA. MACD also flipped back to positive. Those points may reflect bullishness in the shorter term.
Turning to the longer run, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) had a “golden cross” above the 200-day SMA earlier this month. The weekly chart below also shows how RUT has held potential support levels and may be challenging key resistance from August 2022.
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