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NASDAQ Supercycle — Welcome to the Age of Global DistributionOn the long-term chart of NASDAQ:NDX IG:NASDAQ , we are likely in Wave IV of the Supercycle, which appears to be unfolding as a running flat (rFL). The current decline may not be a mere correction, but a motive Wave C, potentially retesting the 2021 ATH zone (around 16,500–17,000) before a powerful new bullish wave begins. Volume spikes at the top confirm the phase of global distribution, with institutional players gradually locking in profits and reducing exposure. 🧩 Base Scenario: - We are in the final Wave C within the rFL structure. - Once complete, a strong Wave V rally may follow. - Key support zone: around the 2021 all-time high. 🧪 Alternative Scenario: - This could be part of an extended Wave III of the Supercycle. - Even so, a significant correction is expected in the near term before the next leg higher. Structural Drivers for Long-Term NASDAQ Growth: - 📉 Monetary policy easing from the Fed - 💵 Fiat currency devaluation - 🤖 Tech innovation boom — AI, biotech, semiconductors, Big Tech - 🌍 Global digital transformation - 🏦 Asset repricing amid structural macro shifts 📌 In conclusion, NASDAQ CME_MINI:NQ1! is entering a period of heightened volatility and capital redistribution — but its long-term upside potential remains intact.
NASDAQ:NDX
by shakatrade1_618
6
Title: How to Spot Potential Price Reversals: Part 2A subject within technical analysis that many find difficult to apply to their day-to-day trading is the ability to spot reversals in price. Yesterday we posted part 1 of this 2 part educational series, where we used GBPUSD as an example of how you could identify and trade a Head and Shoulders/Reversed Head and Shoulders pattern. In today’s post we discuss a Double Top/Double Bottom, using a recent US 100 example. Our intention is to help you understand why price activity is reversing and highlight how knowledge of this may be applied within your own individual trading strategies. The Double Top Reversal: The Double Top, is formed by 2 distinct price highs. This pattern highlights the potential, • reversal of a previous uptrend in price, into a phase of price weakness • reversal of a previous downtrend in price into a more prolonged period of price strength. In this example, we are going to talk about a bearish reversal in price called a Double Top. Points to Note: A Double Top • An uptrend in price must be in place for the pattern to form. • A Double Top pattern is made up of 2 clear highs and one low, forming a letter ‘M’ shape on a price chart. • This pattern reflects an inability of buyers to push price activity above a previous peak in price, potentially highlighting a negative shift in sentiment and sellers gaining the upper hand. This is regarded as a ‘weak test’ of a previous price failure high and leaves 2 price peaks at, or very close to each other. • A horizontal trendline is drawn at the low between the 2 peaks, which highlights the neckline of the pattern. If this is broken on a closing basis, the pattern is completed, reflecting a negative sentiment shift and the potential of further price weakness. Point to Note: To understand a bullish reversal, known as a ‘Double Bottom’ please simply follow the opposite analysis of what is highlighted above. US 100 Example: In the chart below, we look at the US 100 index and the formation of a Double Top pattern from earlier in 2025. As with any bearish reversal in price, a clear uptrend and extended price advance must have been seen for the reversal pattern to be valid. On the chart above, this was reflected by the advance from the August 5th 2024 low up into the December 16th price high. The Double Top pattern is made up of 2 price highs close or at the same level as each other, with a low trade in the middle, which forms a letter ‘M’ on the chart (see below). In this example above, the highs are marked by 22142, the December 16th and 22226, the February 18th highs, with the 20477 level posted on January 13th represents the low traded in the middle, which helps to form the ‘M’. The Neckline of the pattern is drawn using a horizontal line at the 20477 January 13th low, with the Double Top pattern completed on closes below this level. Potential then turns towards a more extended phase of price weakness to reverse the previous uptrend, even opening the possibility a new downtrend in price being formed. Does the Double Top Pattern Suggest a Potential Price Objective? Yes, it does. This can be done by measuring the height of the 2nd peak in price down to the Neckline level at that time, this distance is projected lower from the point the neckline was broken, suggesting a possible minimum objective for any future price decline. In the example above, the 2nd high was at 22226, posted on February 18th 2025, with the Neckline at 20477, meaning the height of the pattern was 1749 (points). On February 27th the Neckline of the pattern was broken on a closing basis. This means… 20477 – 1749 = 18728 as a minimum potential price objective for the Double Top pattern. Of course, as with any technical pattern, completion is not a guarantee of a significant phase of price movement, with much still dependent on future sentiment and price trends. Therefore, if initiating a trade based on a Double Top pattern, you must ALWAYS place a stop loss to protect against any unforeseen event or price movement. This stop loss should initially be placed just above the level of the 2nd price high, as any break negates the pattern, meaning we were wrong to class the pattern as we did. Hopefully, as prices fall after completion of the pattern, you can consider moving your stop loss lower, keeping it just above lower resistance levels to protect your position and lock in potential gains. While both the Head and Shoulders and Double Top/Bottom patterns can take a prolonged period to form and we must be patient to wait for completion, they reflect important signals indicating potential changes in price sentiment and direction. By understanding how and why these patterns form can offer an important insight to potential price activity that can help to support day to day decision making when deciding on trading strategies. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Education
by Pepperstone
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100 – The Way of the Silent Blade ⭐️ We do not predict—we calculate. We do not react—we execute. Patience is our shield. Precision is our sword. 🩸 market is a battlefield where hesitation means death. The untrained fall into traps, chasing shadows, believing in illusions. But we are not the crowd. We follow no signal but the one left behind by Smart Money. Their footprints are our way forward. 🩸 Bullish Structure Shatters - Key Break Confirms the Path – 19980 reasons Liquidity Swwep liquidity / choch key level / multi retest before weekly / monthly zone 🩸 Bearish Structure Shatters Key Break Confirms the Path – 19840 Zone our reversal always at key level even a reversal area is well studded reasons Liquidity Swwep liquidity / choch key level / multi retest before weekly / monthly zone 🔻 This is the threshold where the tides shift. If price pierces this level with authority, it is no accident—it is designed. The liquidity pool above has been set, and the institutions will claim their prize. Volume must confirm the strike. A clean break, a strong push, and the path is set. Watch the volume. Watch the momentum. Strike without doubt
FX:NAS100
by Path_Of_Hanzo
US100 NASDAQ100 Long Market turns!U.S. stocks ended higher on Tuesday on optimism that President Donald Trump’s reciprocal tariffs, which go into effect from April 2, will be less aggressive than previously expected Therefor as traders we are very flexible and have to react fast,because a lot of people say a lot of things, and that makes the markest move faster and turning back more quickly. Also its essential to take profits immediately as the markets move fast and turning, before giving that money gained back to the market. Below the red line Bearish setups. Rockets:Conservative(near of support) AND AGGRESSIVE ENTRIES. Risk and money management is essential.Think about your stops!
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by DaveBrascoFX
US100 - Bullish Continuation Inside Ascending ChannelThis TradingView post showcases a technical analysis of the US100 (Nasdaq 100 Index) on the 4-hour timeframe. The chart highlights a well-defined ascending channel, reflecting the current bullish structure. Price action is seen retracing after touching the upper boundary of the channel, moving towards a key region of interest labeled as "IFVG" (Imbalance Fair Value Gap), where potential demand is expected. The analysis predicts a retracement to the 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci retracement zone, aligning with a confluence of support levels within the channel. A potential bullish reversal is anticipated at this level, aiming for a continuation towards new highs near the upper boundary of the channel. The green projection line illustrates the anticipated path of price action. This setup combines channel dynamics, Fibonacci levels, and market structure concepts to identify a favorable trade opportunity.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Louigi_24
52
Potential Reversal on the NAS100. key level around 20700.0?The Nas100 has been in a downtrend since mid-February, primarily due to President Trump's tariffs, among other factors. The bearish trend began at a high of 22225.5 and has aggressively declined to 19171.0 without any significant corrections on the 1-day chart. However, currently, the price is forming a correction phase, and I am focusing on the 0.5 Fibonacci level, which is around 20700.0. This level coincides with a previous weekly higher high and higher low area. Now on the 1D Chart We can observe that the price bounced from 19171.0. After being choppy for a few days, the price has now broken the lower high structure. It appears that the price is aiming to return to the key level around the 20700.0 area, where we also have the aforementioned weekly levels. The price seems to be making a gradual approach to the mentioned level, which I find favourable. As this develops on the daily chart, I will continue to monitor this setup in preparation for a bearish sell opportunity, when the price breaks the 1-day correction. Thank you for reading! 🙋🏼‍♂️
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by M-Floyd
2
Moustafa! NASDAQ 16.03 Warren Buffett would wink to me right now- If you want to know the moves of the market whales, you have to think as you are one of them! then you need to think big! and analyse on the large time frames! - Open the weekly frame then you will notice the biggest rising channel in the history of Nasdaq which started to form on March 2020! then you will find that the index touched already twice its upper and lower line! which validated that channel! inside it you would find other smaller channels! but have a look on when the whales including the great Warren Buffett sold a big portion of his stocks! before it reaches the upper line! for a clear reason! - I believe that chart is showing everything and the people in charge in this world is setting simply reasons to make it happen! any reasons you could imagine! just to make it work out! for example Trump winning or his created agenda of tariffs and the response back from the attacked countries to set other tariffs in return! a trade war! which no one knows when and how it would end! and how will exactly the consequences be in the medium and long term! but why we would not think that the stocks markets were not planned to crash from the early beginning?! nothing is not planned and they know exactly what they are doing! and what they will and how! - You remember me creating an idea since two months and predicted that a huge bearish wave would hit this index and us 30 too and could be the biggest one in that index history! no one believed me! but now only all know that I was right! and Here I am, coming again with an idea for a medium and long term time frames predicting the next move and will tell you why! - I said before that you would find series of red weekly candles and look now, we reached our 4th bearish weekly candles and moreover in a row! and this wave is the 7th fastest bearish waves in Nasdaq history! the 4th candle closed under the moving average 50! imagine that the last week candle closed under the average of the last 50 WEEKS candles! just imagine that! - Just observe with me, that between September 2022 and January 2023, the price formed a double bottom pattern after a very strong bearish trend, was enough to turn the index completely bullish for a complete 2 years till February 2025! but now between December 2024 and February 2025, the index formed exactly the opposite! a double top pattern also on the weekly chart! - In trading, there is a simple rule but not many traders know about it! that every long wick MUST and WILL be filled sooner or later! then have a look on the weekly candle lower long massive wick from the week of carry trade of 05.08.2024! remember that week as we will return back to its low! (the TP2) as the massive pull back happened after its settle on the MA50 exactly, then went up non-stop literally in a huge bullish rally leaving behind a wick could fill the space between the sky and the ground! This wick will be filled in this wave! - Consider please the area I highlighted in yellow in a square! that is an area without any volume and each time recently the price go in that area, would try to return back so fast with a power! that would explain Friday 15.03.2025 massive push up for more than 2% to the upside! as if it would fell down, so no interest from traders in any price that! which means in case it would return back and fall in that area, the index would travel to its end non stop! - The target of the massive double top pattern is 18330 but my TP1 is before that level! as the index did not reach back to test the high of the weekly candle of 20.05.2024 so there a retrace to the upside would happen! but temporarily! but on the weekly! so it could be looking like a big retrace on lower time frames! - Let us say that market could open bullish on Monday then any good news would take place or whatever which would lead to a bullish wave! I would say no chance to go further up more than 20845! and the weekly candle would close under that price, as that the neck line of the massive double top pattern on the weekly chart! - My TP 3 is so critical and the most important support and resistance level, when the index broke that resistance in the week of 15.01.2024 and never tested it back on the weekly chart! so I believe it is the time, that will happen! - My TP4 is the deepest price we could reach to which is at the MA 200 and another top of the week 31.07.2024 which the index did not test too and it was also a strong resistance level! and by reaching there, would mean reaching to the lower line of the rising channel! or I expect it would reach there when the index reaches in same time the lower rising channel line! but I can guarantee the price but can not expect how long time it would take to reach there! -
FX:NAS100Short
by moustafa_marei
5
US100 Bullish AnalysisNASDAQ 100 (US100) - Bullish Setup for Liquidity Grab 📈 Overview: The market recently broke structure (BOS), signaling a shift in momentum. Price is currently retracing towards an Order Block (OB), presenting a potential long opportunity. 🔍 Key Levels: OB Zone: Potential demand area for a buy setup. Resting Liquidity (Resting Liq): The market is likely to target this level for liquidity grab. Target: 20,677 - 20,937 zone, where liquidity resides. 📊 Plan: Wait for confirmation within the OB zone before entering a long position. Target the resting liquidity above for a strong move. Maintain risk management in case the setup invalidates. 💡 Bias: Bullish as long as OB holds. 🚀 Let’s see how this plays out! #US100 #NASDAQ #SmartMoney #Liquidity #OrderBlock
FPMARKETS:US100Long
by RSTrad1ng
NASDAQ on the first minor pullback of the new bullish wave.Nasdaq / US100 has just started the new bullish wave of the long term Channel Up. The bottom was made 2 weeks ago and every time the bullish wave crossed over its 4hour MA50, it is expected to make a pullback retest at some point. This pullback is taking place today. Whether it replicates the first bullish wave of the Channel Up or the second, the index aims for either a 22.48% total rise or the 1.382 Fibonacci extension. Both happen to be around the same level. Buy and target a little under them at 23400. Previous chart: Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TheCryptagon
1
My NQ Long Idea 26/03/2025There is a big technical area that has taken the spotlight in NQ and it is around the 50% fib level with a gap opening. US economy has seen some strengthening recently with the FED looking neutral-dovish. A price correction may not even occur here it can keep going up continuously the moment we have a conclusive risk-on environment. Inflation has cooled down from 3.0 to 2.8 and interest rate was held at 4.50 from 4.50. We are expecting a rate cut of 0.25 bps by Q2 so the market is looking forward to price that in. I see a potential "buy the rumor" then "sell the news" scenario here. So during the next fomc meeting we may get a small sell off for a price correction then NQ will continue its up momentum. Technical setup looks good I expect a turbulent price action which will fill the opening gap at the 50% a consolidation here can be healthy for price action before we get a Wyckoff spring. We have recently exited a bearish channel and entered a new bullish channel which is still in progress but must pay attention to it as we could start trending in that direction. I may take a short position (for the short term) since I anticipate a correction to the gap at the 50%.
VANTAGE:NAS100Long
by stingotho
[NDX] A textbook chart for being bearishSummary - See the previous idea for context: - Another realization: horizontal channels for S/R work better than diagonal ones. This doesn't mean that the latter need to be discarded altogether. - Looking back, NDX did really have desperate jumps towards the end of the bull rally. - High volume on days with large inverted hammers was a sure sign of an impending stampede. - Today's rejection is why being long without confirmation is a bear trap. Being on the short side is much less stressful.
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by wildhorse3
Nasdaq in Correction: Technical Targets and Weekly OutlookWe can observe that Nasdaq has started a new corrective leg since its last recovery in early Q3 2024. Currently, the index is experiencing its first rebound and test of the 20-period moving average (MA20, in green) since this average turned downward. Typically, this scenario triggers a selling reaction, with the first target at the previous low of 19,200. If selling pressure intensifies, the next projections are at 18,300 and 17,900. However, from a weekly perspective, there is still room for a deeper correction, potentially reaching the 200-period moving average (MA200), which is currently at 15,690. When applying a Fibonacci retracement to the last major bullish leg (Oct 10, 2022 – Feb 17, 2025), we see that the 50% retracement level aligns closely with the weekly MA200 at 16,300. We know that price movements do not follow a straight line but rather unfold in waves. Given this context, the bias remains bearish, and I see further corrections ahead in the U.S. market.
SKILLING:US100Short
by Luiz_soares