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US Light Crude

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USOIL
We will see heavy selling pressure; we will see oil possibly jump to 64.50 - 65.15 and sell-off should emerge from there down to pivotal level of 62.50.

Closure under 62.50; we will reach 60.00.

Holding of 62.50 then we will have further consolidation until further catalysts emerge.

Monthly, weekly and daily seem bearish, gold is on a rally like we are in a recession. Similar pattern seen in 2008-2010.

Oil might collapse in the mid-term after all, possibly to new lows eventually




USOIL
USOIL Daily Analysis: Key Levels and Intraday Trade Setups 18 April 2025

Daily Current Market Price (DCMP): 62.28

Market Context: USOIL trades below immediate resistance at 63.48 and above critical support at 60.15.

Key Levels Summary

Resistance Levels (Above DCMP):
Strong Resistance: 63.48 (Intraday Sell Zone)

Upper Breakout Threshold: 65.54

Support Levels (Below DCMP):
Immediate Support: 60.15 (Intraday Buy Zone)

Lower Breakdown Threshold: 59.89
Swing High/Low:

Daily Swing High: 73.11 (14 Nov 2024)
Daily Swing Low: 68.87 (14 Nov 2024)

Intraday Trade Setups

Trade Idea 1: Intraday Buy

Entry: 60.15
Stop Loss: 59.80 (Below Support2)
Take Profit 1: 61.36 (Pivot Level)
Take Profit 2: 62.26 (Resistance1)

Rationale:
Strong confluence at 60.15 (Weekly Pivot + Fib 38.2% retracement).
RSI divergence hints at bullish momentum reversal near support.

Trade Idea 2: Intraday Sell
Entry: 63.48
Stop Loss: 63.85 (Above Resistance3)
Take Profit 1: 62.28 (DCMP)
Take Profit 2: 60.45 (Support1)

Rationale:
Resistance cluster at 63.48 aligns with bearish MACD crossover.
Price rejection here could target DCMP and lower supports.
Technical Analysis Snapshot

Fibonacci Levels:

61.8% retracement at 60.45 acts as secondary buy zone.
23.6% extension at 65.54 signals potential sell territory.

Momentum Indicators:

RSI: Neutral at 48, but bullish divergence observed on 4H chart.
MACD: Histogram flips negative, suggesting short-term bearish pressure.

Price Action:

Failure to hold above 62.26 (Daily Pivot) confirms bearish bias.
Swing low at 68.87 remains a critical mid-term support marker.
Risk Management Notes
Tighten stops if DCMP breaks below 61.36 (Daily Pivot).
Monitor 4H closing prices above 63.48 for potential bullish reversal.


what a great week again 😎💰 just please remember your stop losses you can’t trade with out stop losses . Hopefully the ones who don’t use them might of broke even this week if there account was big enough . Peace out 😘


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