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XAUUSD trade ideas

GOLD XAUUSD ShortI m short. Gold can go even to 3100.No matter I sell more Wall Street goes full bull with tariffs and payrolls looming Gold surges toward $3,100 amid unrelenting rally Smart money knows one thing very clearly: a large part of the bad news is already baked into the prices, and there is limited room for further downside. Especially considering the parabolic moves we’ve seen Never the less we are in overbought zone,A correction coming.That will be good chance to buy Gold again
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by DaveBrascoFX
Gold Price Consolidation: Potential Rejection or Breakout?This 15-minute chart of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) from ICMarkets shows price consolidating within a well-defined range. The resistance zone around 3,084 is acting as a ceiling, while the support zone near 3,070 is providing a floor. The price is currently testing the upper boundary, with a possible rejection leading to a drop back towards the support zone. However, a breakout above resistance could trigger further bullish momentum. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before entering trades. Note: This is not a trading signal, just my personal analysis based on current market trends.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSD
by Rosy_fx_expert
Gold TA 25.4.5Hello everyone, I hope you're doing well. In the 1-hour timeframe, the price of gold has taken a downward trend and has formed two lower lows. There is a very strong order block visible on the chart, and I expect that after the price retraces to this order block, it will react and continue to move down. We will wait for the price to reach this order block, then in the 5-minute timeframe, we will take the right trades and enter a short position. Keep in mind that in higher timeframes, the market is moving upwards, so short positions carry higher risk. ⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ... 👤 Sadegh Ahmadi: GPTradersHub 📅 25.Apr.5 ⚠️(DYOR) ❤️ If you apperciate my work , Please like and comment , It Keeps me motivated to do better
FX:XAUUSDShort
by GPTradersHub
XAU/USD 04 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Since last analysis price has printed a bearish CHoCH which is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,187,835 Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has printed as per yesterday's alternative scenario whereby price has printed a bearish iBOS due to H4 TF being in, although not as yet confirmed, in bearish pullback phase. Intraday Expectation: Price has already traded up to premium of internal 50% EQ, therefore, price to target weak internal low priced at Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD Analysis – Wedge Breakdown & Bearish Trade Setup1. Chart Overview The 15-minute XAU/USD chart shows a descending wedge pattern forming after a price rally. The wedge is characterized by a series of lower highs and lower lows, signaling a gradual weakening of bullish momentum. After consolidating within this wedge, the price has broken down, suggesting a bearish continuation. This setup provides a high-probability short trade with clear entry, stop-loss, and multiple take-profit levels. 2. Key Technical Elements A) Chart Pattern – Descending Wedge Breakdown A descending wedge is typically a bullish reversal pattern when forming at the bottom of a downtrend. However, in this case, it appears at the end of a corrective move, making it a bearish continuation setup. The upper trendline (black dashed line) acts as resistance, preventing price from breaking higher. The lower trendline (solid blue line) represents temporary support. The wedge narrows as price action contracts, leading to an eventual breakdown. 👉 Breakout Confirmation: The price has broken below the wedge’s support trendline. A minor pullback to retest the broken trendline suggests validation of the breakdown. B) Resistance & Support Levels 1️⃣ Resistance Level (Sell Zone) – $3,100 to $3,135 This area previously acted as a supply zone, rejecting bullish attempts. Price was unable to sustain above this level, leading to further downside pressure. Stop-loss should be placed above this level ($3,135.57) to protect against invalidation. 2️⃣ Support Level (Buy Zone) – $3,050 to $3,056 This was a previous reaction zone where price briefly bounced before continuing lower. Now acting as Take Profit 1 (TP1) at $3,056.58. 3️⃣ Breakout & Retest After breaking the wedge, price retested the trendline but failed to reclaim it, confirming the bearish trend. 3. Trade Setup & Execution 🔵 Entry Point: Short trade activation upon the breakdown and retest of the wedge structure. Price rejection at the trendline confirms seller strength. 🔴 Stop-Loss: Placed at $3,135.57, slightly above recent swing highs. This protects against false breakouts or sudden reversals. 🎯 Take Profit Levels: TP1 ($3,056.58): First target where buyers might step in. TP2 ($3,022.39): Midway target, acting as another strong support. TP3 ($2,985.44): Final target where price may stabilize or reverse. 4. Market Context & Confirmation Indicators 📉 Bearish Confirmation: Strong downward momentum suggests continued selling pressure. Price action is failing to make new highs, confirming lower highs and lower lows. 📊 Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): The trade offers a favorable RRR, as the downside potential is significantly larger than the stop-loss range. ⚡ Additional Confirmation: A strong bearish candle confirmed the breakout, rejecting higher levels. Potential support breakouts suggest that price could reach TP3 if bearish momentum continues. 5. Conclusion – Trading Strategy Summary ✅ Pattern Identified: Descending Wedge Breakdown (Bearish) ✅ Trade Direction: Short (Sell) ✅ Entry Trigger: Breakout & Retest of the Trendline ✅ Stop-Loss: Above $3,135.57 (Wedge Resistance Zone) ✅ Take Profit Targets: TP1: $3,056.58 TP2: $3,022.39 TP3: $2,985.44 📌 Final Thoughts: This setup provides a high-probability trade with a clear breakdown structure and downside potential. If the price continues to respect the bearish trend, reaching all TP levels is likely. However, traders should monitor for reversal signals and manage risk accordingly. 🔔 Risk Warning: Always use proper risk management and adjust positions according to market conditions! 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
aggresive sell set up 3054 APRIL 4 2025 🚀 ULTRA-AGGRESSIVE GOLD (XAU/USD) TRADING PLAN – APRIL 4, 2025 WE TRADE TO MILK THE MARKET EVERYDAY! 🏦💰🔥 ⸻ 📊 Market Overview • Current Price: $3,103.825 • POC (Point of Control): $3,128.059 (Above price, acting as resistance) • Premium Zone: Above $3,128 - Heavy Sell Zone • Equilibrium Zone: Around $3,100 - Neutral Price Zone • Discount Zone: Below $3,080 - Buy Interest ⸻ 🏛 Institutional Order Flow & Liquidity • Smart Money Selling: Price rejected from premium ($3,128), respecting major institutional sell zones. • Liquidity Sweeps: Multiple liquidity grabs above $3,128, institutions collected stop orders. • Volume Delta: Heavy selling pressure confirmed after sweep. (💥) • Order Blocks: Bearish order blocks holding below $3,128. Institutions are currently DISTRIBUTING and selling Gold at premium. 🏦📉 ⸻ 📰 News Headlines & Sentiment • Gold Hit New All-Time Highs but now retracing after tariff news (Trump tariffs). • Market Sentiment: Switching from Risk-Off ➔ Risk-On (DXY rising slightly, equities bouncing) • FED Influence: No emergency cuts, hawkish Fed tone lately = Negative for Gold • Geopolitical Tension: Mild, no extreme uncertainty. Conclusion: Bearish bias short-term. Gold is losing momentum after hitting peaks. ⚡️ ⸻ ✅ Technical Indicators Check Indicator Reading Verdict RSI (7) Mid-zone, slightly bending downward 📉 Sell Bias MACD Bearish crossover confirmed 🔻 Sell Bias 50 EMA vs 200 EMA 50 EMA starting to slope down (momentum loss) 📉 Sell Bias Fibonacci (from low to high) Price retraced below 50% - bearish retracement 🚨 Sell Bias VWAP Price below VWAP 🚫 Sell Bias Volume Selling volume dominant after liquidity sweep 💣 Sell Bias ⸻ ⚡ Execution Plan 🔴 SELL SETUP (HIGH PROBABILITY): • Sell Now: $3,103.5 - $3,104.5 Zone ✅ • Stop-Loss: $3,110 (Above equilibrium + stop hunt protection) ❌ • Take-Profit 1: $3,092 (Previous weak low) 🎯 • Take-Profit 2: $3,080 (Discount zone boundary) 🏁 • Take-Profit 3 (Final): $3,054 (Major liquidity cluster) 🚀 Risk-Reward Ratio: • Minimum 3:1 (PERFECT Institutional Trading Standard) 🏦✅ ⸻ 🔥 FINAL VERDICT: Decision Action Confidence SELL 📉 Sell now or on minor pullbacks 80% HIGH PROBABILITY 🌟 Institutions are selling. Momentum is fading. No strong bullish reversal yet. This is a classic premium distribution phase! ⸻ 🚀 LET’S MILK THE MARKET – ONE STRATEGIC MOVE AT A TIME! TRADE SMART, EXECUTE SHARP, DOMINATE THE MARKET! 🏦💰📈🔥 ⸻ Would you also like me to prepare a ready-to-go text that you can copy-paste into your trading journal for today’s execution record? (Also, I can give you a contingency plan if price suddenly spikes or news hits!) Would you want that too? 🚀✨
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MAHARLIKA_FX
1
Gold H1 | Approaching multi-swing-low supportGold (XAU/USD) is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 3,106.58 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 3,071.00 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 3,162.54 which is a swing-high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by FXCM
Gold - Looking To Buy Dips In The Short TermH1 - Bullish trend pattern in the form of higher highs, higher lows structure Strong bullish momentum Expecting retraces and further continuation higher until the two Fibonacci support zones hold. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by VladimirRibakov
Wednesday, April 2, 2025: Logical Analysis + Technical AnalysisHello traders, ** ** What happened last night? In the COMEX gold futures market, the open interest for gold saw a **significant increase** in one day, with an addition of 62,187 contracts. Among them, the April 2025 contract increased by 45,428 contracts, which is a very rare and even abnormal surge. Why is this event considered "strange"? 1. **Timing anomaly**: March 31 is the CME's "First Notice Day," when open interest typically begins to decrease as investors either opt for physical delivery of gold or roll over to the next contract. However, this time, open interest not only did not decrease but actually increased significantly. 2. **Abnormal relationship between price and open interest**: Normally, as gold prices rise, investors choose to take profits, leading to a decrease in open interest. Yet this time, while gold prices reached new highs, open interest surged. What does this mean? The 45,428 contracts correspond to approximately 4.5 million ounces of gold, worth about $14 billion at current gold prices. If this is not a data error or operational mistake, it could mean: 1. **A sudden influx of new physical gold demand**: A large amount of capital may have suddenly entered the gold market, preparing for physical delivery. 2. **Demand for deferred delivery being activated early**: Some physical demand that was originally planned for deferred delivery is now being activated ahead of schedule. The sudden surge in physical delivery demand usually indicates that gold prices will rise significantly in the short term. However, there is another possibility to be cautious about: Someone might use massive positions to create a "short squeeze" panic, scaring off short sellers and driving prices higher, only to reverse positions for profit once the market overheats. In other words, the current situation may exhibit characteristics of "baiting" traders, requiring careful attention to risk. Additionally, according to the Wall Street Journal, Trump is considering implementing "broader and higher tariffs" on all countries on April 2 (which is today) and "seeing what happens." Currently, the uncertainty index for U.S. trade policy is about 25% higher than during Trump's Trade War 1.0, and the U.S. economic uncertainty index has reached a historic high. ** ** ** Insider Tips:** On Monday of this week, during the Asian Tokyo session, gold broke upward, reaching a high of 3128. This was a breakout from the consolidation that started during the European morning session last Friday and continued into the Asian morning session on Monday, with the highest point touching the extreme positions of FIBO EXT 1.27-1.414. On Monday, it was suggested to wait for a 4-hour reversal signal before looking for a pullback to enter short positions in gold. TP1: 3084 TP2: 3073 TP3: 3057 On Tuesday, crude oil experienced a brief pullback during the U.S. session, and the 1-hour chart showed that gold ended its consolidation after the U.S. market opened, resulting in a $34 pullback. **Trading Plan for Wednesday to Friday:** On the 4-hour chart, gold is likely to form a bullish reversal signal during the Asian morning session on Wednesday, with the candlestick stabilizing above the EMA. This indicates that the pullback in gold has ended, and the probability of continuing to rise is greater. As long as gold remains stable above the EMA on the 4-hour chart before the non-farm payroll data on Friday, continue to go long on gold: TP1: 3171 TP2: 3185 TP3: 3199 GOOD LUCK! LESS IS MORE!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by FUNTRADER-Vera
Gold Rejects Channel Highs — Retracement to $3,000 Before HigherGold has printed another clean rejection at the upper boundary of a short-term ascending channel on the 6H timeframe. This latest rejection adds further validity to the structure, suggesting that we may now see a healthy technical pullback toward the equilibrium line of the channel — and potentially down to the lower support boundary near the $3,000 psychological level. Technical Outlook: Another rejection from channel resistance confirms structural validity. 1:4 risk-to-reward short opportunity with clear invalidation and confluence. Targets:  – TP1: $3,005 — channel midline + psychological level  – TP2: $2,955 — previous swing high + dynamic quarterly support $3,000 psychological levels are often retested before continuation. Fundamentals & Geopolitical Context (as of April 1, 2025): Gold's Macro Bull Trend Remains Intact Despite this short-term setup, the broader macro backdrop continues to support gold:  – Central banks accumulating gold amid global de-dollarization  – Real yields remain negative across key regions  – Oil trading above $100 fuels inflationary pressure Geopolitical Flashpoints Supporting Volatility  – Russia-Ukraine war shows no signs of easing  – Middle East tensions rising (Israel–Hezbollah conflict)  – Taiwan-U.S.-China escalation continues post-military exercises Bitcoin Weakness = Gold Rotation Potential  – BTC struggling at $70K, showing early signs of distribution  – Miner pressure increasing ahead of halving  – Targeting possible correction to $50K = capital rotation into gold Conclusion: Technical rejection at resistance aligns with macro expectations of a short-term pullback. $3,000 key psychological level likely to be retested before further upside. Gold remains in a macro bull market; this move is likely corrective within a larger expansion leg. Long Term Gold Bull Target $4,200: Previous Long (Target hit and closed at $3,100): Previous Intra Long (Target hit and closed at $3,100):
IGSB:USCGCShort
by Who-Is-Caerus
Another Good Trade for GOLD (XAUUSD) Today My overall forecast for this week is that Gold will do classic expansion week where monday will go up then tuesday will most likely go up to sweep mondays high then do the reversal so that wednesday and thursday will be expansion going down and target the daily imbalances below. For today i was expecting a bullish push upwards for GOLD before it will reverse so i followed my steps by combining my multi timeframe analysis. From daily for the overall bias to 1H for that confirmation and alignment then 5m for my entry timeframe. Once i saw those 3 timeframes align with combination confirmation that i saw with the price action then i entered the trade. My original target was 1:3R but then i saw the weakness after price came to my 1:2R level so i manually pulled out with a 1:2R gain for today....
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by alfoxDayTrader