Butterfly into Crab HarmonicBearish Crab Harmonic
Butterfly Harmonic Currently in action
Valid Harmonic Ratios for Crab Harmonic, Point D can be fulfilled
If so we have the set targets according to this structure
XAUUSD trade ideas
Gold Wave 5 Bull Complete?! (4H UPDATE)There's 2 options on how I think Gold will complete its ‘Ending Diagonal’ pattern of the EW Theory & drop.
Option 1: We see a move higher towards $3,162 - $3,174 as a final LQ grab, before sellers kick in.
Option 2: Sellers kick in from CMP & slowly drag price back down.
Either way, I’m NOT LOOKING TO SELL until a strong confirmation at $3,057.
Gold Hits New Highs Amid Rising UncertaintyGold ended last week at historic levels, closing near $3,085 per ounce, amid rising economic uncertainty and renewed tariff-related rhetoric from the U.S. President, particularly concerning the automotive sector.
During late trading hours yesterday, fresh developments regarding trade tensions—along with references to potential geopolitical escalation—were noted. These factors appeared to contribute to a gap-up opening for gold, which reached a new all-time high of $3,125 per ounce.
While future price movements remain uncertain, market participants may monitor the following levels:
* The $3,125 high could serve as a key reference point; any revisit to this level may draw attention to the $3,150 area.
* A moderation in momentum near $3,125 might result in a revisit to the $3,112 level.
* Should prices fall below $3,110, the $3,100 area—commonly observed as a psychological benchmark—may become relevant.
* A continuation below $3,100 might bring the previous high of $3,085 back into focus.
XAU/USD 01 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Since last analysis price has continued extremely bullish. This is most likely due to market jitters caused by Trump's tariff policy which is driving up the price of gold.
This solidifies gold as a safe haven asset and could lead to repricing.
You will note a further bullish iBOS marked in red. This is due to the fact the price did not trade down to either discount of internal 50% or a demand level.
Intraday Expectation:
Due to the bullish nature of the market, with very minimal pullback I will continue to visually map until price pulls back enough to plot structure.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Since last analysis price has continued extremely bullish. This is most likely due to market jitters caused by the trump tariffs.
This solidifies gold as a safe haven asset and could lead to repricing.
You will note price has printed a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor price.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 3,149.090.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Gold's direction for 1st week of April; 2025We are still strongly bullish. We expect pullbacks to the 50ema either on 1hour or 4hour timeframe, from where we expect gold to resume its bullish momentum
Gold bulls continue, mainly low and longGold has gradually moved up from the lows of 3000-3007. After breaking through 3040 today, it confirmed that the adjustment has ended and a new round of rise has begun. The 4-hour chart has continued to rise, breaking the previous oscillating cross star pattern and entering a very strong unilateral mode. The next target is 3055-3060 (previous high). The short-term morning low is 3017, and the European session broke through 3038 (recent key suppression). The lows and highs moved up simultaneously, and the bullish trend was stable.
Direct long (main strategy)
Entry point: 3035-3040 range light position long, stop loss 3028, target 3055-3060, break to see 3070.
Short orders are cautious (only after the new high)
Potential opportunities: If the high 3060-70 falls back quickly, you can short with a light position, stop loss 3072, target 3045.
Note: Counter-trend operations require fast entry and exit, and give priority to the bullish trend.
Key reminders
Don't guess the top: In a one-sided market, follow the trend and avoid touching the top against the trend (such as the previous high of 3057 is not an absolute resistance).
Follow up after the break: If it breaks through 3060 strongly, you can reduce your position or push a break-even stop loss, and the remaining position will be 3070-80.
Risk control: All long orders strictly stop loss at 3037/3028 to prevent false breakthroughs and retracements.
Summary: In the evening, gold is long based on 3040-3035. If it unexpectedly falls back to 3030, increase the position. The target is 3055-3070. After the historical high, be alert to profit-taking selling pressure, but do not actively go against the trend.
Gold Mid-Week, March 27 UpdateGold continues to hold this upward bullish channel showing strong demand for the pair
But as we zoom in to this weeks move it looks like the market is having a hard time retesting the new highs. Other weekly indicator like RSI (14) is showing divergence indicating a possible correction is on the way. Depending on how this week closes, if weak (not able to close last week high) its possible that price could retest the weekly Fair Value Gap.
I remain bullish till price closes below 2832 area.
Please share your thoughts.
refer to my last analysis:
BUY XAUUSD // Price is on an upward trend; with great demand froThe period of going and searching for long-distance burning has not yet ended. The $3080 point has been hit, and it is estimated to be the final distance at this stage. There may also be stability above the resistance line, which indicates a demand to search for possible price areas such as $3123 and $3154 for the next profit-taking. ✅ 🚀
— Our strategies for this week are based on several stages:
🚨\\ The ascending price channel on the daily timeframe // 🚨 And the next stage 🚨\\ The ascending triangle on the 4-hour timeframe // 🚨 And the final stage 🚨\\ The ascending price channel on the 1-hour timeframe, with anticipation of a price breakout in both cases // 🚨$$$
— Or is it expected at this stage that the price will be at its level indicating a price decline, following successive stages? Of course, this depends primarily on the price's respect for the strategy.
— The result is that gold is in a sell-off state for this week, or in The broader range, where demand for gold is certainly on the upside,
Thank you all for listening to the information, and I hope you find it more beneficial this week. Also, don't forget to join Telegram to receive the latest updates throughout the week.
And don't forget to like and share the YouTube channel.
See you for a week full of goodness and benefit, and with plenty of profits.
4.2 Analysis of intraday gold strategy4.2 Analysis of intraday gold strategy
Core logic:
Impact of Trump's tariff policy
If the increase in tariffs exceeds expectations (such as equal +25%), it will intensify risk aversion and directly push up gold.
If the magnitude is moderate, gold prices may correct in the short term, but they will still receive support in the medium and long term (policies slow down global economic recovery, manufacturing is under pressure, and safe-haven demand is solid).
Technical points:
Resistance level: 3140, the next target after breaking through is 3160-3180.
Support level: 3100, if it fails, look down to 3080.
Intraday rhythm forecast
If it continues to stand above 3120 and breaks through 3140, the probability of long continuation is high.
Long strategy
Entry conditions: Find a position above 3125 to go long
Target: 3160-3180, stop loss 3125
Short strategy
Entry conditions: Find a position to short below 3150
Target: 3120-3100, stop loss 3150.
Gold - Looking To Buy Dips In The Short TermH1 - Bullish trend pattern in the form of higher highs, higher lows structure
Strong bullish momentum
Expecting retraces and further continuation higher until the two Fibonacci support zones hold.
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold vs Stock Markets.Gold vs Stock Markets.
The 31 quarter moving average has contained the price action (identify long term trend) in a meaningful way since 1971.
It's objective and unbiased.
Not sure why some would get upset at that.
XAUUSD Analysis
1. Key Levels & Structure
• Resistance Turned Support: The price has broken above a strong resistance level (marked by the thick red line).
• Possible Retest Zone: A pullback (retest) to the breakout zone is indicated, which could confirm support before moving higher.
• Major Support Area Below: The lower red box marks a previous demand zone, meaning price might fall back to this area if the retest fails.
2. Market Trend
• Uptrend Confirmation: Price has been making higher highs and higher lows, confirming an uptrend.
• Breakout & Retest Pattern: The chart suggests a possible retest of the breakout area before continuing upwards.
3. Entry & Exit Strategy
• Entry Point: The ideal buy zone is near the small pink box (retest area).
• Stop Loss: Below the lower red support zone, in case the retest fails and price drops.
• Take Profit: The green box above shows the expected bullish target if the retest holds.
4. Confirmation Signals
• Watch for Bullish Candlestick Reversal (such as a bullish engulfing or pin bar) near the retest zone before entering a trade.
• Volume Increase on Breakout would confirm strength in the uptrend.
Overall Outlook
• Bullish Bias: If the price successfully retests and bounces, it may continue rising.
• Bearish Risk: If the support fails, the price could drop back to the lower support zone.
#GOLD #IDEA#GOLD #IDEA GOLD On H1 show Big BUY Set-Up so we will wait on M5 show Buy Model for Buying entry take care Guy wait for buy on M5
XAUUSD technical analysis.XAUUSD technical analysis next move possible at h1 time frame.not financial advise.
3.27 Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsOn Thursday (March 27) in the Asian weekly session, the gold price (XAU/USD) was still consolidating around the $3,020 level, and the overall market sentiment was cautious.
Fundamental analysis:
US economy and Fed trends
Geopolitical and tariff uncertainties
Technical analysis:
Gold prices continued to consolidate at high levels after breaking through $3,000, and are still above the short-term moving average, with an overall bullish trend.
Moving average and trend: The moving average is in a bullish arrangement, indicating that the short-term and medium-term upward momentum has not been destroyed. The price fluctuates repeatedly between MA14 (3021) and MA200 (3017). If the market can stay above these two moving averages in the future, the upward momentum is expected to continue.
Key resistance and Fibonacci retracement: Fibonacci retracement 0.236 corresponds to around $3038, which also coincides with the high point formed in the previous period. If the price falls below the Fibonacci 0.618 position (about $3,000), we need to be alert to the risk of technical adjustments to find $3,000 or even deeper support.
Gold 1h Potential H&SGold (XAU/USD) 1H Analysis – April 2, 2025
Pattern Identified:
Head and Shoulders Formation detected, indicating a potential bearish reversal.
The neckline has been drawn as a support trendline, which, if broken, could confirm further downside movement.
Key Levels:
Current Price: $3,123.55
Neckline Support: Around $3,120
Target Area: $3,070 - $3,060 (Marked in purple)
Potential Drop: -1.32% (-$40)
Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): At 50.92, near neutral territory but leaning slightly downward, indicating potential bearish momentum.
Volume: Increased during the initial drop, suggesting sellers are stepping in.
Trade Idea:
📉 Bearish Bias (If neckline breaks)
Sell below: $3,120
Take Profit: $3,070 - $3,060
Stop Loss: Above $3,130
📈 Bullish Scenario (If neckline holds)
If price bounces from support, a move back toward $3,140+ could occur.
Buy above: $3,125
Take Profit: $3,140 - $3,150
Stop Loss: Below $3,115
Conclusion:
Gold is at a crucial decision point. A confirmed breakdown of the head and shoulders pattern could lead to further downside. However, if bulls defend the neckline, we could see a recovery toward recent highs. Watch price action closely! 🚀📉
GOLD (XAUUSD): Confirmed Bullish ContinuationGold is currently experiencing a strong upward trend in trading. Following a recent all-time high, the market started a correctional movement.
The price respected the strong support level at the 3000 psychological level, leading to a bullish wave that broke above a neckline of a cup and handle pattern acting as a local horizontal resistance.
This is expected to lead to further bullish movement, with the next target set at 3046.
GOLD - Price can correct to support level and continue to growHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price started to grow inside a rising channel, where it reached the $2880 level and broke it.
Next price bounced from this level and some time rose in the channel, but then it made a correction, exiting from this channel.
After this, price turned around and continue to move up in another rising channel, where later it reached $3000 level.
Then Gold broke this level and made retest, after whcih it rose to resistance line of channel and then fell to support area.
Recently price started to decline, so, I think that Gold can decline to the support level and then bounce up to $3095
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Sell XAUUSD Recently, XAUUSD shows box - range oscillation between 3000 - 3040.
3000 serves as support and 3040 as resistance. Notably, 3000 demonstrated its strong support level yesterday. Keep a close eye on the 3000 support level. If it is broken, then it will likely trigger a downward trend, with prices potentially heading towards the next significant support area.
💎💎💎 XAUUSD 💎💎💎
🎁 Sell@3040 - 3030
🎁 TP 3010 3000 2990
The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed，Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
XAU / USd 4 Hour ChartHello traders. Just a quick post to show that we can go either way for a quick scalp trade. I am just watching for now as we have Pre NY volume starting an hour from now. Should be a good day. I have to check to see if we have news today. Lower time frame confirmation is always a must and one of many factors that need to be considered when taking a trade. Big G get a shout out. Happy Wednesday, be well and trade the trend.
Closing both Buying orders in ProfitAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: Strategy remains / Buying every dip on Gold from my re-Buy calculated zones."
I have Bought Gold on #3,014.80 Support pullback twice, once on #3,014.80 and one more order on #3,016.80 as I was well awaited #3,027.80 Resistance re-test or above. I have closed both of my re-Buy orders with Profit on #3,027.80 Resistance throughout yesterday's session.
Technical analysis: This and last week’s Fundamentals missed their estimates by a respectable margin and the DX found the Support and already pulling back on a strong Hourly 1 chart’s Bull candle. Bond Yields also followed that sequence (found Buyers on spiral downtrend aftermath) and the only reason Gold hasn't acted according to it’s first negative then diagonal correlation is the consolidation of Investors capital on High levels (using Gold as an safe-haven in High demand). Soon enough I am expecting 2 Gaps to be closed (DX downwards and Gold upwards) which will be ultimate Profit opportunity where Gold will deliver aggressive Buying sequence where I will be ready to pursue #3,027.80 Resistance zone beginning first then #3,07.80 Resistance in extension. However the Price-action is just above its Hourly 4 chart’s Support zone and it should start trending upwards anytime, so according to my Technicals and assuming no new Fundamental surprises, Gold is on the verge of an aggressive Bullish trend extension taken from recent local Low's. As long as Hourly 4 chart remains stable (Ascending Triangle slowly forming), Gold has more chances of breaking the #3,052.80 benchmark Higher High’s local peak than testing and breaking Daily chart’s Support zone (#3,000.80 benchmark barrier and below).
My position: I will continue Buying every dip on Gold taken from my calculated re-Buy zones as long as #2,992.80 - #3,000.80 Support zone is preserved and rejecting every downside break-out attempt.
Gold breaks through historical highs again, trend and analysis.From the perspective of future trends, combined with various signals from fundamentals and technical aspects, spot gold is still in an upward cycle dominated by bulls in the short term. From a technical perspective, the weekly, daily and H4 cycle performances are all extremely strong, with no signs of decline or desire to fall. Therefore, cyclical bullishness needs to wait for the daily line to peak or to break out of a continuous decline before looking at the effective space for decline.
The upper resistance of gold is currently connected by the recent high point line and the extension line. The upper pressure can be seen in the 3128-3132 area, and the lower support can be seen in 3100 or even 3086. After getting support, enter the market to buy more. If it breaks through, the upper side will further look to around 3152-3177
XAUUSD The previous analysis hit the exact 3055 level with precision!
#XAUUSD Analysis
Gold is trading within a key range between 3026 resistance and 3006 support. A breakout or failure to break these levels will determine the next move.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
A rejection from 3026 could trigger a short setup targeting 2990.
Invalidation above 3033.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
Holding above 3015 - 3006 negates the sell setup and opens the door for potential longs.
⚠️ Fake breakouts don’t invalidate the analysis. Stay cautious with market volatility.
