XAU/USD pairBased on the analysis, the XAU/USD pair may form a short-term Buy trend. Based on this analysis, we can try to enter a Buy position with a small risk margin.
XAUUSD trade ideas
XAU/USD Analysis: Potential Upside Towards $1,950As of March 27, 2025, the XAU/USD pair (gold against the US dollar) shows potential for an upward movement after failing to break a key support level. This failure suggests a possible reversal towards the next resistance level.
The upside target is set at around $1,950, following a rebound from the failed breakdown. Factors supporting this bullish scenario include a weakening US dollar and increased demand for safe-haven assets amid global economic uncertainty. Additionally, recent trade policy decisions, such as the imposition of a 25% tariff on car and light truck imports by the US government, have heightened market concerns, pushing investors towards gold as a hedge.
However, it is essential to monitor upcoming US inflation data, as it may influence gold’s price movement in the near term.
Note: This analysis is based on available data as of March 27, 2025. Market movements are subject to various factors, and it is recommended to stay updated before making any investment decisions.
(XAU/USD) 15-Minute Chart Analysis – April 2, 2025Market Structure & Key Zones
Current Price: 3,124.24
Selling Zone: 3,143.07 - 3,148.98
Buying Zone: 3,077.10 - 3,083.68
Observations & Key Market Behavior:
Compression Pattern:
Price is forming a descending triangle/consolidation range, indicating a possible breakout soon.
Liquidity is building up on both sides.
Potential Trade Scenarios:
🔻 Bearish Scenario (Preferred)
If price moves into the 3,143 - 3,149 supply zone, watch for rejection.
Ideal Entry: A break of structure at this zone with a strong bearish reaction.
Target: 3,094.63, then 3,083.68 demand zone.
🔺 Bullish Scenario (Alternative)
If price moves into the 3,077 - 3,083 demand zone, expect a bounce.
Ideal Entry: Confirmation via bullish price action (engulfing candles, wicks, etc.).
Target: 3,143.07, possibly higher to 3,148.98 before a reversal.
Key Takeaways:
✔ Current Price Action is Ranging → Breakout needed for clarity.
✔ High-probability Sell Setup at Supply (3,143 - 3,149)
✔ High-probability Buy Setup at Demand (3,077 - 3,083)
🚀 Best Play: Wait for price to enter either zone before taking action! 🚀
There may be a downward adjustment today!Yesterday, gold fell under pressure at 3150 and then tested the 3100 mark again in the evening, breaking the previous trend line that had been rising for several days. The market gradually slowed down from strong bullish trend, and the daily line turned negative.
Don’t expect the market to turn to bearish and fall sharply at this point. The long-short conversion needs time to brew, and now it is still a bullish trend, so the probability of forming a volatile trend here is relatively high, with a range of 3138-3100. Only when it breaks below 3100 can we see the market turning to bearish.
If the daily line is just a single negative correction, it will not change the overall upward trend. It depends on whether it can continue to close negative today.
The previous trend line support broke and turned into a pressure line, basically coinciding with the 3135-3138 pressure line. This morning's three consecutive positive waves just touched it. The key depends on the performance of the European session:
If the European session suppresses the decline and weakens, then the third test of 3100 may break.
If the European session continues to strengthen and break through 3138, it will also hit the high point of 3148-3149
In terms of trading,
1. Directly push up and break the high, aggressively chase long at 3132, stop profit at 3145;
2. Continue to buy after falling back to 3133, stop loss at 3125 if the callback is too large
3. The European session rebounded several times but failed to maintain sideways, lightly short at 3132 in the evening, and automatically stop profit at 3110 around midnight.
XAUUSD: 2/4 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3150, support below 3053
Four-hour chart resistance 3150, support below 3113
One-hour chart resistance 3120, support below 3100
Gold news analysis: On Tuesday (April 1), spot gold continued to rise to new highs, reaching a high of $3148.94/ounce, and then dived 50$. On Monday (March 31) this week, the price of gold ushered in a new breakthrough, breaking through $3100/ounce, and rose by $100 in just one week. Multiple factors such as trade concerns, a weaker dollar and falling bond yields have driven the price of gold to rise, making it one of the most eye-catching commodities in 2025. So far this year, the price of gold has risen by 18.3%. Gold has received further support amid a sharp drop in the Nasdaq index, as investors are nervous about the tariff policy that the Trump administration will release on April 2. Trump recently announced that he would impose new tariffs on Russia and Iran. These policies are expected to have a wide impact on the global economy, causing investors to increase their allocation to safe-haven assets such as gold.
Gold operation suggestions: Gold fell back on the daily line and finally closed slightly lower. The sharp rise in the Asian session did not have a strong continuity. After the pressure near the high of 3148.50, the European and American sessions were mainly corrected by the decline. The market has fluctuated violently recently, and the adjustment space is large.
From the current trend analysis, the short-term support below focuses on the four-hour level near 3113, focusing on the 3100-3053 line. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to buy at a low level, waiting for the support to buy. Selling can only be entered at key points, short-term trading.
Buy: 3053near SL: 3049
Buy: 3100near SL: 3095
Sell: 3120near SL: 3125
XAUUSD (Gold) is bearish scenario on Daily until 2,940.00 quote Hello guys and welcome one more time to my detailed yet simple strategies to make profit out of any situation in forex,
So, another month, another strategy, in fact, a modified strategy which I hope works better than my other previous 2 trades with simplified strategy. Maybe, it was too simple.
Let's go to the chart though. Daily chart is bearish, as I can see so we go to 15 min chart and seek for opportunity to sell.
So, from now on the next level to touch is a resistence point from March 25, 2025 which became a sort of support which is 3,070.00 and the next one stronger is 3,058.00.
So, let's see what happenes next.
You, what do you think?
Gold short 2.0Here we have the chart of my last 2 gold trades.
First trade was took at the top of the first down trend with an entry of 3053, here I was anticipating a move to the 2950 area, at least. It was a profitable trade, I closed half of the position for a 400 pip gain, with my SL then moved to 200 pips in profit - which was then hit on the break of the trend.
Following that price action we hit a massive 3 bar surge on the daily, massive move, massive momentum and unfortunately I was not in it! However this morning we seen more crazy move before the London open and I entered another short at 3145 when the STF was showing weakness, this is nicely in profit approaching 400 pips as I write this, SL at entry.
On the close of this latest hourly we see we have broke below the major trend, and next I will be looking for a re test of the trend line/area of consolidation where I will add to my position with the overall retracement target remaining a massive 2950 - will i hold it until then? Doubtful!
#GOLD Buy 3121.46#GOLD Buy 3121.46
SL 3115.46
TP 3123.46
TP 3131.46
TP 3145.46
Trade at your own risk
Protect your capital
The Wizard 🧙♂️
TUESDAY 04/01/2025 08:30 PM EST
April 2, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunityKey Levels to Watch:
3155–3160: Bullish target zone
3149: ATH resistance
3138: Resistance
3127: Key resistance
3121: Minor intraday resistance
3118: Bullish/Bearish pivot line
3112: Key intraday support
3105: Minor support
3098: Bullish defense zone
Swing Trade Strategy:
For Shorts: If the price breaks below 3105, consider a SELL. Watch 3111 for any rebound; if the decline continues, monitor 3100, 3095, and 3090.
For Longs: If the price stabilizes above 3127, consider a BUY. Watch 3133 for confirmation; if momentum continues, target 3138, 3142, and 3144.
Not sure why the symbol I previously used (Commodity CFD - OANDA) has suddenly become invalid. For now, I’ve marked out the key levels I think are important.
I'll need to recheck which Commodity CFD symbol best matches the quotes from my trading platform. I may update this post later with some short-term trading strategies once I confirm the pricing source.
👉 If my insights have been helpful to you, or if you traded based on my ideas, please consider giving a like — it’s a great encouragement for me! Thanks for your support!
Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion and not financial advice. Please manage your risk accordingly.
XAUUSD:Adhere to the strategy of selling at high levelsI have consistently adhered to the strategy of shorting gold. Today, after the gold price spiked upwards, it showed a pattern of being under pressure. The price reached a peak of 3149 and then pulled back. After fluctuating during the U.S. trading session, it continued to decline. Currently, it has broken below the intraday demarcation level of 3120, which in the short term indicates that the bullish trend has temporarily come to an end, and a retracement and adjustment trend has started.
This is also the risk that has been repeatedly highlighted. One should not be blindly carried away by the bullish sentiment and should always maintain a sense of reverence for the market. In the early morning, when the price tested the resistance level around 3135, short positions could be initiated. Now, the price has plummeted rapidly to the resistance level of 3100. It is estimated that most long positions have been stopped out, but we have still achieved the take-profit.
In the subsequent trading, focus on the resistance level around 3130. If this level is not breached, one can continue to chase short positions.
XAUUSD Trading Strategy:
sell@3130
TP:3110-3100
Gold (XAU/USD) 1-Hour Chart – Potential Bullish ContinuationThis 1-hour Gold (XAU/USD) chart from TradingView shows the price action around the $3,126 level. A pullback from resistance near $3,137 is evident, but the price remains above an ascending trendline, suggesting potential continuation to the upside. The chart includes a Supertrend Up Trend indicator, reinforcing the bullish bias. If support holds near the trendline, we may see a rebound toward the resistance zone at $3,140-$3,150.
Explanation: This chart shows gold’s price movement on a 1-hour timeframe. The price recently dropped from a resistance level around $3,137, but it is still following an upward trend. If the price stays above the trendline (black line), it could bounce back up and continue rising toward $3,140-$3,150. The green "Supertrend" indicator suggests that the overall trend is still bullish.
XAUUS SHORTStubborn XAUUSD, played with my TP1 a few times, almost hitting it but never really reached and instead it went the other way and touched my SL. However Im still on a strong sell in this. Opening at 3078 and still maintaining my previous TP 3005 because I know that's the direction that it will head to, if this reaches, it will cover 3days loss, and setting my SL on a much further rate. Personally, I dont use SL's but for Tradingview Im opting to put one as a good practice
Day12of100
L:4
W:1
Such a shame that my L days are way more than my W's but still believing in my trade and I know this will pick up. let's see how this new trade rolls. XAUUSD is already in it's all time high, so I believe soon enough my much awaited correction will happen, Il be patient :)
SELL GOLD NOWDue to RSI Curve, We can see a Price correction in XAUUSD
it will falling down and then the price will increase.
XAUUSD Bearish Breakdown: Riding the Rising Wedge to Profit1. Chart Pattern: Rising Wedge (Bearish Reversal)
The Rising Wedge is a technical pattern that occurs when price makes higher highs and higher lows within converging trendlines. This pattern is considered bearish, as it usually precedes a breakdown when price fails to sustain the higher levels.
The pattern is clearly visible as price moves within two upward-sloping black trendlines.
The narrowing range suggests that buying pressure is weakening, and sellers are gaining control.
A confirmed breakdown occurs when price breaks below the lower trendline, indicating potential further downside.
2. Key Technical Levels
Resistance Level (Highlighted in Beige, Top Box)
This area represents a strong supply zone where price has struggled to move higher.
Each time the price reaches this level, selling pressure increases, pushing the price lower.
The chart labels this as the Resistance Level, suggesting a potential reversal zone.
Support Level (Highlighted in Beige, Lower Box)
This is the previous demand zone, where price has rebounded multiple times.
Once price reaches this level, buyers may attempt to push it higher.
However, if this level fails to hold after the breakdown, further downside is expected.
Stop Loss Level (~3,150)
The stop loss is placed just above the recent highs.
If price moves beyond this level, it would invalidate the bearish setup.
Traders use stop losses to limit risk in case the market moves against the position.
Target Level (~3,080)
This is the projected downside target based on the height of the wedge.
A measured move (calculated from the highest to the lowest point of the wedge) aligns with this target.
It represents a potential 1.78% decline from the breakdown level.
3. Price Action & Trade Setup
Breakout Confirmation:
The price broke below the lower trendline, confirming a wedge breakdown.
The bearish momentum suggests sellers are in control.
Entry Zone:
A good short-selling opportunity is identified after the breakdown and potential retest of the lower trendline.
Risk Management:
Stop loss at 3,150 (above resistance).
Profit target at 3,080 (expected support).
This gives a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
4. Market Psychology Behind the Pattern
Rising Wedge Psychology:
The pattern forms as buyers push price higher, but each new high has weaker momentum.
Eventually, selling pressure outweighs buying interest, leading to a breakdown.
Resistance & Support Psychology:
The resistance area acts as a supply zone where big traders sell their positions.
The support zone may hold temporarily, but if it breaks, panic selling could accelerate the decline.
5. Possible Scenarios After the Breakdown
Bearish Case (Most Likely Outcome)
Price continues downward after breakdown.
It reaches the 3,080 target with increased selling momentum.
Confirmation of a bearish reversal pattern.
Bullish Case (Invalidation of Setup)
Price reclaims the wedge and moves back above resistance.
It invalidates the bearish breakdown, stopping out sellers.
A potential bullish continuation toward new highs.
Final Thoughts
This chart presents a high-probability short trade based on the Rising Wedge breakdown and resistance rejection. Traders can manage risk by setting a tight stop loss above resistance while aiming for a target at the next key support zone. The pattern suggests a bearish sentiment in the short term, favoring sell setups over buying opportunities.
Would you like me to add further insights, such as Fibonacci levels or RSI analysis, to strengthen the trade idea? 🚀
GOLD-SELL strategy 3 hourly chart regression channelGOLD remains moving higher, and as mentioned a few times, its all about trade wars tug-and-war activities. However, this is initial fear, and this will become lesser and lesser overtime. It is extremely overbought currently and RSI is at level that are not falling under normal categories. There correction is needed to release the pressures.
SZtrategy SELL or ADD SELL @ $ 3,130-3,160 and take profit in steps (since we are short already) @ $ 3,057 and $ 2,978 for now.
XAUUSD:Place short positions during the rebound I conducted resistance tests at the levels of 3,100 and 3,115. However, in the early trading session, the price of gold surged rapidly, soaring all the way to around 3,027. In the later period, choosing to stand by and observe to avoid risks could also be regarded as a sound strategy. Now, the market has approached a stable state. The resistance test at 3,027 has proven to be effective. One can place a short position near 3,025 during the rebound.
XAUUSD Trading Strategy:
sell@3125
TP:3115-3105
Get daily trading signals that ensure continuous profits! With an astonishing 90% accuracy rate, I'm the record - holder of an 800% monthly return. Click the link below the article to obtain accurate signals now!
Gold Long Trade Setup Analysis (5H Timeframe - IGSB)📍Gold has made significant moves upwards since January, climbing an additional $300.
📍Currently Gold is showing signs of a reversal, however technicals inform us that this is not yet time for a larger retracement.
📍Below is our previous Gold idea, executed in January 2025 at the break out of a long term triangle pattern. Our entry was $2695, with a target (determined by the triangles range) falls at $3100, just slightly above a key psychological level of $3000.
📍At the moment Gold has not yet tested $3000, an we expect to see this happen before a deeper retracement occurs.
📍As of Friday Gold hit our Entry target of $2840, which was identified by higher timeframe dynamic support (high validity) which falls inline with lower timeframe price structure. The confluence adds confidence to our trade execution. We can, as a result of precise, high validity higher time frame dynamic support add another position onto our original from January. We can do so with a very tight stop just slightly below this dynamic support of 2840 as it is very unlikely to be broken at this time.
Current Outlook:
Risk/Reward = 1:15.8
📈 Bullish Scenario (Breakout Play)
- 🟢 Entry: Price has tested our higher timeframe dynamic support, which represents a significant, highly valid resistance level that is likely to hold its weight. This sits at $2840.
- A bounce from this level would see Gold return to the all-time high price, likely moving beyond this to $3000, $3050, $3100 before a potential larger retracement is seen.
✅ Justification:
- 🔹 Gold broke out of a long term triangle structure which formed between October 2024 and January 2025. This significant price consolidation range once broken gives a rough estimate of a future price target, determined by the height of the range. This when plotted from the breakout point gives us a rough target of $3100, which falls in line with key psychological levels and a more recent fib extension.
📍 Key Resistance Levels (Potential Rejection Zones):
- 🎯 $2880, $2919, $2942 (Previous horizontal structure)
- 📍 Key Support Levels:
- ❗ $2840 (higher timeframe dynamic support)
- 🔻 $2800 (key psychological level)
- 📉 Deeper Target: $3000 - $3100 (Projected based on Fibonacci extensions, previous long term triangle breakout and key psychological levels)
📉 Bearish Scenario (Does not fit our strategy)
- ❌ Invalidation Level: Below $2800
- 🔻 Downside Targets:
We are not shorting Gold at this time. We would wait for another buy, aligning our direction with higher timeframe trend direction.
✅ Justification:
⚡ Key Takeaways:
- 🔹 Gold is yet to test the key psychological level of $3000 which has multiple confluecing endpoints.
- 🔹 The recent fall gives us an opportunity to add to our previous position after testing a high validity higher timeframe dynamic support of $2840.
- 🔹 Gold still remains in a long term bullish direction, therefore we will not consider any shorts.
- 🔹 Expect price to move upwards to test $3000 before a potential higher timeframe reversal.
Previous idea: Gold breaks long term triangle
❗ Fundamental outlook: ❗
📍The recent meeting between former U.S. President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy revealed key geopolitical tensions that could have significant implications for gold prices.
❗ 1. Geopolitical Uncertainty and Safe-Haven Demand
The discussions between Trump and Zelenskyy highlighted the ongoing instability in Ukraine. Trump's comments suggested that Ukraine is in a vulnerable position and reliant on U.S. support, while Zelenskyy pushed back against the notion of "playing cards" with his country’s fate. This kind of uncertainty, combined with threats of a broader conflict (Trump warning about "World War III"), increases global investor anxiety, leading to greater demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
❗ 2. U.S. Policy Shifts and Potential Impact on Gold
Trump's remarks indicated that if he returns to power, U.S. support for Ukraine may be conditional or reduced. This could have ripple effects on global markets:
If the U.S. withdraws or reduces military aid to Ukraine, Russia could gain more leverage, intensifying the conflict and causing further instability in Europe.
Increased geopolitical risk would push investors toward gold, historically a hedge against uncertainty.
❗ 3. Economic and Trade Factors Affecting Gold Prices
The second and third images describe how U.S. trade policies, particularly Trump's tariffs, have influenced gold markets.
Key points include:
The threat of tariffs on European goods led to a price drop in London’s gold market, while New York prices surged, creating arbitrage opportunities.
JPMorgan and other major banks are capitalizing on this price discrepancy by moving billions in gold from London to New York.
This suggests that U.S. economic policies, particularly those under Trump, could further impact gold's valuation. If he resumes a protectionist trade stance, increased economic uncertainty could drive gold prices even higher.
❗ 4. Central Bank and Institutional Moves
With banks like JPMorgan and HSBC heavily involved in gold arbitrage, it’s evident that financial institutions are positioning themselves ahead of potential major economic shifts. This increased activity in gold markets often signals expectations of rising prices.
Fundamental Analysis Conclusion
📍Increased geopolitical tensions (Trump’s stance on Ukraine, potential shift in U.S. foreign policy) add uncertainty, boosting gold demand.
📍Trade and tariff policies under Trump could further impact global economic stability, leading to gold being a preferred hedge.
📍Institutional involvement in gold arbitrage suggests smart money is already betting on future price increases.
📍Macroeconomic risks such as potential wars, inflationary pressures, and central bank gold accumulation reinforce a bullish gold outlook.
Outlook: Bullish for Gold
📈Given the combination of political instability, economic policy uncertainty, and institutional gold positioning, the fundamentals point toward continued strength in gold prices. Investors should monitor how U.S. policy under a potential Trump administration could further impact global markets and gold's role as a hedge against volatility.
Gold continues to confirm continued increase Currently only BUY Gold continues to confirm continued increase
Currently only BUY ONLY
Waiting point to buy 3083-3076
Stoploss point: 3075
Take profit from new peak
#xauusd
XAU/USD Chart Analysis (GOLD)XAU/USD Chart Analysis
1️⃣ Current Price Action:
- Gold (XAU/USD) is trading around **$3,073.42**.
- The price is consolidating after a strong upward move.
2️⃣ Key Indicators:
- **EMA (7) at $3,073.27** (short-term trend)
- **EMA (21) at $3,069.34** (medium-term trend)
- **EMA (50) at $3,061.97** (long-term trend)
- Price is currently above all three EMAs, indicating a bullish trend.
3️⃣ Potential Scenarios:
📈 **Bullish Case (Green Path)**:
- If the price holds above **$3,065–$3,073**, a rally towards **$3,080–$3,100** is likely.
- Buyers may step in at the trendline support.
📉 **Bearish Case (Red Path)**:
- If the price breaks below **$3,065**, a move towards **$3,050–$3,040** could occur.
- Increased selling pressure could push gold lower, especially if key support zones fail.
4️⃣ Trading Strategy:
- **Buy on dips** near **$3,065–$3,073** with targets at **$3,080–$3,100**.
- **Sell below** **$3,065** if confirmed, targeting **$3,050–$3,040**.
- Watch **volume and price action** for confirmation of direction.
🚀 **Final Thought:** Bulls are in control, but a break below $3,065 may shift momentum to the bears.
