USD/CAD - Channel Pattern (22.04.2025)The USD/CAD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.3771
2nd Support – 1.3745
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USDCAD_LMAX trade ideas
#USDCAD: 1000+ Pips Big Bullish Move With Three TargetsThe USDCAD is currently in a bearish trend since the day has dropped significantly and is still falling. We anticipate the price to drop slightly more before it reaches our entry zone. There are two entry points, and you can choose either one that aligns with your views. There are three targets, and you can set take profit targets that suit you best.
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USDCAD I Weekly CLS I KL - Monthly OB I Model 1Hey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
📍 Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
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USDCAD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow Analysis !In this video I will be sharing my USDCAD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
USDCAD: Breakout & Bearish Continuation 🇺🇸🇨🇦
USDCAD broke and closed below a key intraday/daily horizontal support cluster.
I expect a bearish trend continuation after its retest.
Next goal - 1.376
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USDCAD Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDCAD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.384.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.378 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USD/CAD ConsolidatesUSD/CAD Consolidates
In the second half of April, the USD/CAD chart has shown a decline in volatility following significant spikes observed since February.
The Canadian dollar has stabilised against the US dollar within the 1.390–1.380 range over the past week, as market participants assess what a fair USD/CAD rate might be, given the evolving news backdrop:
→ The US dollar gained upward momentum on hopes of easing trade tensions between the US and China, although the information remains conflicting — Trump claims negotiations are ongoing, while Beijing denies this.
→ Oil prices — a key Canadian export — have recovered by more than 10% from their April lows, providing support for the Canadian dollar.
→ Economic data published this week suggests a cooling in the Canadian economy: employment is declining, and the pace of average wage growth has slowed to 5.4%.
→ Although an important political event — the Canadian Parliamentary elections — is set to take place this weekend, it appears to have had little impact on the USD/CAD exchange rate so far. Trade tariffs between the US and Canada likely remain the dominant concern.
Technical Analysis of the USD/CAD Chart
Price fluctuations have formed a descending channel that originated in March.
From a bearish perspective, resistance may be encountered at:
→ the median line of the channel;
→ the psychological level of 1.400.
From a bullish perspective:
→ the price has formed a rounding bottom pattern near the 1.380 level;
→ the lower boundary of the channel is acting as significant support.
It is possible that the weekend will bring key developments that could act as catalysts, breaking the established range between 1.390 and 1.380.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Potential bullish rise?USD/CAD has reacted off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3844
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Stop loss: 1.3781
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 1.4029
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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BUY USDCAD for bearish trend reversal STOP LOSS : 1.37774 BUY USDCAD for bearish trend reversal
STOP LOSS : 1.37774
Regular Bullish Divergence
In case of Regular Bullish Divergence:
* The Indicator shows Higher Lows
* Actual Market Price shows Lower Lows
We can see a strong divergence on the MACD already and There is a strong trend reversal on the daily time frame chart.....
The daily time frame is showing strength of trend reversal from this strong level of Support so we are looking for the trend reversal and correction push from here .....
TAKE PROFIT : take profit will be when the trend comes to an end, feel from to send me a direct DM if you have any question about take profit or anything
Remember to risk only what you are comfortable with…….trading with the trend, patient and good risk management is the key to success here
Could the Loonie reverse from here?USD/CAD is reacting off the support level which is an overlap support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3833
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Stop loss: 1.3616
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 88% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.4098
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDCAD SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs 3
entry at both Daily and Weekly AOi
Weekly Rejection At AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Daily Structure point
Around Psychological Level 1.38500
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 4.49
Entry 105%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
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WEEKLY ANALYSIS FOR USD/CAD PAIR📊 WEEKLY ANALYSIS FOR USD/CAD PAIR
🔎 Technical Outlook by Shaker Trading
✅ Technical Reasons for the Bullish Outlook:
Price Channel:
The pair is moving inside a clear ascending price channel on the weekly timeframe, indicating a long-term bullish structure.
Demand Zones:
Strong weekly demand zone has appeared, showing signs of buying pressure and institutional interest.
Indicator Confirmation:
Both MACD and RSI show signs of bullish exhaustion, suggesting a possible rebound from current levels.
📌 Trading Idea:
If the price holds above the demand zone and trendline, we may see a move back toward the green resistance area.
📈 Long-term bullish bias remains valid as long as price stays above the trendline.
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USDCAD 15-Min Setup: Buyers Defend Crucial ZoneGood morning traders,
Trust you are doing great.
Kindly go through my analysis of USDCAD currency pair.
Overview
The USDCAD M15 chart presents a bullish price setup around the 1.38350–1.38410 support zone, with current price action consolidating just above this area.
Idea
Price bounced off the key support zone (blue box), suggesting buyer interest. The BB Squeeze momentum indicator shows weakening selling pressure, which could signal an upcoming bullish move.
Key Support: 1.38350
Upside Targets: 1.38650, 1.38880, and 1.39039
Invalidation: Setup fails if price breaks below 1.38280
From the fundamental context, we can see that the Canadian dollar (CAD) is moving more in sync with the U.S. dollar (USD) again, a return to its historical behavior. This happens because Canada was spared from certain tariffs, making its economy more closely tied to U.S. growth sentiment—a key bullish factor for CAD when the USD strengthens. But because CAD is now closely tied to U.S. sentiment, CAD won't weaken as sharply, which might explain why the price is consolidating instead of spiking aggressively. As such, we might see a slow but steady move on the pair as time progresses.
Conclusion
As long as the price holds above the 1.38350 support zone, a bullish continuation toward the mentioned targets is likely.
Cheers and happy trading.
USDCAD: Bullish Outlook & Pullback From Support 🇺🇸🇨🇦
There is a high chance that USDCAD will turn bullish after the market opening.
I spotted a strong bullish confirmation after a test of a key intraday/daily support.
A triple bottom formation and a breakout of its neckline provide a reliable
bullish signal.
Probability will be high that the price will bounce at least to 1.3676 level.
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USDCAD Will Explode! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for USDCAD is below:
The market is trading on 1.3840 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 1.3958
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDCAD COT and Liquidity AnalysisCOT Report Analysis:
This is a bit tricky one on the first sight you can see there is more longs than shorts, but !! And this where many traders makes mistakes when they are looking to the just current COT data.
We can see that since march longs has dropped from the 165k to 1002K this is bearish. Net positions also going down. while the long % exposure is still 85% long it mostly go much lower.
Also price action confirms lower prices, but I think healthy pullback is in play. So we got framework and bias now we need to look for setups. Which I will again use my CLS method.
/b]
Hey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. This is a big part of my FX Trading. Im always trying to trade with the Big players so knowing their positions is good thing.
Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage.
I created this simple free indicator which you can find in the my scripts. It's highlighting the day of the real report - Tuesday.
Here is the tip if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance.
Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
USDCAD Long 4/24/2025USD/CAD Long Setup – 4H Demand Bounce + Fib Confluence Ahead of Jobless Claims
Looking to long USD/CAD based on a confluence of technical structure and macro catalysts.
Daily Chart:
Yesterday printed a bullish engulfing candle, signaling strong buyer intent and continuation of the broader uptrend.
4H Chart:
Price pulled back into a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the recent leg, aligning perfectly with a well-defined 4H demand zone.
Importantly, no 4H candle has closed below the body of the previous bullish engulfing, suggesting buyers are holding control.
Trade Expectation:
Expecting this to be a correction within a trend, not a reversal — looking for a continuation that retests the highs and pushes for a breakout beyond 1.3900.
Fundamental Catalyst:
Today’s U.S. unemployment claims release will be the key driver. A lower-than-expected print could fuel USD strength and send this pair accelerating to new short-term highs.
Target Zone:
First target is a retest of the recent high; extended target is a break above 1.3900, which opens the door to higher timeframe expansion.
Stop: Just below the 4H demand zone, respecting the structural invalidation of the Fib level.
This is a clean trend-continuation play with both technical alignment and fundamental tailwinds.
usdcad buy signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
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P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade