USDCAD_LMAX trade ideas
USDCAD_4H USDCAD_4H BULLISH
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USDCAD Wave Analysis – 14 March 2025
- USDCAD reversed from key resistance level 1.4500
- Likely to fall to support level 1.4300
USDCAD currency pair recently reversed from the key resistance level 1.4500, which has been reversing the price since the middle of January.
The resistance level 1.4500 was further strengthened by the intersecting upper daily Bollinger Band.
Given the strength of the resistance level 1.4500 and the bearish US dollar sentiment seen today, USDCAD currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 1.4300.
USDCAD uptrend continuation supported at 1.4350The USD/CAD currency pair price action sentiment remains bullish, supported by the prevailing long-term uptrend. Recent intraday movements indicate a bullish breakout above the previous resistance level, which has now established itself as a new support zone.
Key Levels and Price Action
The primary trading level to watch is 1.4390, representing the previous consolidation range. A corrective pullback to this level, followed by a bullish rebound, could signal continued upward momentum. In this scenario, the pair may aim for upside resistance levels at 1.4487, 1.4530, and 1.4590 over the longer timeframe.
However, if the 1.4390 support level fails to hold and there is a confirmed daily close below it, the bullish outlook would be invalidated. This breakdown could lead to a deeper retracement, targeting the 1.4350 support level, followed by 1.4310 and 1.4230.
Conclusion
The sentiment remains bullish as long as the 1.4390 support level holds, with potential upside targets at 1.4487, 1.4530, and 1.4590. A confirmed breakdown below 1.4390 would shift the outlook to bearish, signaling a potential move toward 1.4350, 1.4310, and 1.4230. Traders should closely monitor daily closing levels around the key support to gauge sentiment shifts and make informed trading decisions.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Bullish bounce off pullback support?The Loonie (USD/CAD is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.4398
1st Support: 1.4353
1st Resistance: 1.4472
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USDCAD Trade Idea (1H Chart Analysis)**USDCAD Trade Idea (1H Chart Analysis)**
**Market Structure:**
- The price is in a **downtrend** on the 1H chart, with lower highs and lower lows forming.
- It is currently testing a **key support level** around **1.4350**.
- The **50 EMA (black line) is above the price**, confirming bearish momentum.
- The recent candles show **decreasing volume**, indicating possible consolidation before the next move.
**Trade Plan**
**Scenario 1: Bearish Breakdown (Sell Trade)**
📉 **Entry:** Below **1.4350**, after a strong bearish candle closes.
🎯 **Target 1:** **1.4320** (previous minor support)
🎯 **Target 2:** **1.4280** (stronger support zone)
🛑 **Stop Loss:** **1.4375** (above recent lower high)
📊 **Risk-to-Reward Ratio:** 1:2 or better
**Confirmation:** If price breaks 1.4350 with strong volume, it signals continuation of the downtrend.
**Scenario 2: Bullish Reversal (Buy Trade)**
📈 **Entry:** If price **bounces from 1.4350** and forms a strong bullish engulfing candle.
🎯 **Target 1:** **1.4395** (previous resistance)
🎯 **Target 2:** **1.4415-1.4420** (major resistance zone)
🛑 **Stop Loss:** **1.4335** (below recent low)
📊 **Risk-to-Reward Ratio:** 1:2
**Confirmation:** A strong rejection from 1.4350 with bullish volume indicates potential reversal.
**Final Thoughts**
- **Bias:** Bearish unless we see a clear reversal signal at 1.4350.
- **Watch for a breakout or bounce at key levels before entering.**
- **Always use risk management** – never risk more than 1-2% per trade!
Bullish bounce?USD/CAD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci projection and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.4299
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 1.4222
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 1.4416
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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USDCAD INTRADAY bullish sideways consolidationThe USD/CAD currency pair price action sentiment remains bullish, supported by the prevailing long-term uptrend. Recent intraday movements indicate a bullish breakout above the previous resistance level, which has now established itself as a new support zone.
Key Levels and Price Action
The primary trading level to watch is 1.4390, representing the previous consolidation range. A corrective pullback to this level, followed by a bullish rebound, could signal continued upward momentum. In this scenario, the pair may aim for upside resistance levels at 1.4487, 1.4530, and 1.4590 over the longer timeframe.
However, if the 1.4390 support level fails to hold and there is a confirmed daily close below it, the bullish outlook would be invalidated. This breakdown could lead to a deeper retracement, targeting the 1.4350 support level, followed by 1.4310 and 1.4230.
Conclusion
The sentiment remains bullish as long as the 1.4390 support level holds, with potential upside targets at 1.4487, 1.4530, and 1.4590. A confirmed breakdown below 1.4390 would shift the outlook to bearish, signaling a potential move toward 1.4350, 1.4310, and 1.4230. Traders should closely monitor daily closing levels around the key support to gauge sentiment shifts and make informed trading decisions.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.