USDCAD INTRADAY Downtrend continuation below 1.4060. The USDCAD pair is exhibiting a bearish sentiment, reinforced by the ongoing downtrend. The key trading level to watch is at 1.4060, which represents the current intraday swing low and the falling resistance trendline level.
In the short term, an oversold rally from current levels, followed by a bearish rejection at the 1.4060 resistance, could lead to a downside move targeting support at 1.3780, with further potential declines to 1.3730 and 1.3630 over a longer timeframe.
On the other hand, a confirmed breakout above the 1.4060 resistance level and a daily close above that mark would invalidate the bearish outlook. This scenario could pave the way for a continuation of the rally, aiming to retest the 1.4080 resistance, with a potential extension to 1.4160 levels.
Conclusion:
Currently, the USDCAD sentiment remains bearish, with the 1.4060 level acting as a pivotal resistance. Traders should watch for either a bearish rejection at this level or a breakout and daily close above it to determine the next directional move. Caution is advised until the price action confirms a clear break or rejection.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USDCAD_LMAX trade ideas
USD/CAD "The Loonie" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Swing/Day)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the USD/CAD "The Loonie" Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Yellow MA Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout then make your move at (1.40200) - Bearish profits await!"
however I advise to Place sell stop orders above the Moving average (or) after the Support level Place sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most NEAREST (or) SWING low or high level.
📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑: "🔊 Yo, listen up! 🗣️ If you're lookin' to get in on a sell stop order, don't even think about settin' that stop loss till after the breakout 🚀. You feel me? Now, if you're smart, you'll place that stop loss where I told you to 📍, but if you're a rebel, you can put it wherever you like 🤪 - just don't say I didn't warn you ⚠️. You're playin' with fire 🔥, and it's your risk, not mine 👊."
📌Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing High or Low level Using the 4H timeframe (1.42500) Day/Swing trade basis.
📌SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 1.39000 (or) Escape Before the Target
💰💵💸USD/CAD "The Loonie" Forex Market Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade) is currently experiencing a Bearish trend.., driven by several key factors.👇👇👇
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⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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USD/CAD "The Loonie" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Swing/Day)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the USD/CAD "The Loonie" Forex Bank. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout then make your move at (1.41400) - Bearish profits await!"
however I advise to Place sell stop orders above the Moving average (or) after the MA level Breakout Place sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most NEAREST (or) SWING low or high level.
📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑: "🔊 Yo, listen up! 🗣️ If you're lookin' to get in on a sell stop order, don't even think about settin' that stop loss till after the breakout 🚀. You feel me? Now, if you're smart, you'll place that stop loss where I told you to 📍, but if you're a rebel, you can put it wherever you like 🤪 - just don't say I didn't warn you ⚠️. You're playin' with fire 🔥, and it's your risk, not mine 👊."
📌Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing High or Low level Using the 1H timeframe (1.42800) Day/Swing trade basis.
📌SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 1.40000 (or) Escape Before the Target
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💸💵USD/CAD "The Loonie" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade) is currently experiencing a bearishness,., driven by several key factors.👇
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets.. go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
USDCAD -short-Taking a small short position on USDCAD based simply on chart price action and fib extensions.
First target the 0.786 and the 2nd the .886.
The absolutely clear rejection of 1.387 is a great signal, stop loss placed abbove the wick of the previous weekly candle, will transition to a trailing stop after position starts to move.
Wave C Trap USDCAD “USDCAD Bulls Beware: The Wave C Trap Is Setting In!”
Price just completed an (A)-(B)-(C) correction, but this isn't your reversal zone yet. Watch the 1.36639 level closely—Elliott Wave suggests one more leg down before the real reversal.
Will you catch the bottom or fall for the fake-out?
#USDCAD #ElliottWave #ForexForecast #Forex #WaveAnalysis #ForexStrategy
After a huge move, USD/CAD may be due to reboundUSD/CAD has strengthened significantly over the past few days as markets have been shaken by President Trump’s new trade war with Canada and the rest of the world. That said, USD/CAD may be due for a pause in its recent rally and could consolidate somewhat, having reached some key technical indicators and support levels.
The loonie’s relative strength index fell to 29, while USD/CAD dropped below the lower Bollinger Band at CA$1.387. This magnitude of movement suggests that USD/CAD is currently oversold and may be due for either a short-term rebound or a period of sideways consolidation. The pair could also bounce back towards resistance at CA$1.416 or the 20-day moving average at CA$1.421.
However, if USD/CAD breaks support at CA$1.3870, it could signal that further strengthening lies ahead, with the potential to drop towards CA$1.359, which served as an important area of support and resistance between December 2023 and October 2024.
USD/CAD could continue strengthening against the dollar; the greenback has weakened versus multiple currencies, and any pause in the dollar’s current downtrend may be short-lived, due to possible massive deleveraging out of the US and capital flow back to their nations of origin. Still, after such a significant move, USD/CAD seems potentially due for at least a short-term period of consolidation before the uptrend resumes.
Written by Michael J Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management
Disclaimer: CMC Markets is an execution-only service provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed.
No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by CMC Markets or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although we are not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, we do not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination.
USD/CAD H4 | Potential bearish continuation?USD/CAD could rise towards a swing-high resistance and potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 1.3969 which is a swing-high resistance.
Stop loss is at 1.4070 which is a level that sits above the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 1.3839 which is a swing-low support.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
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3 Tips to Make Trading EasierTrading is such a strange beast—both extremely difficult and unparalleled in its simplicity.
Sometimes, we find ourselves floating in effortless flow. Other times, we’re stuck in a storm of confusion, frustration, or overconfidence.
And it’s in these oscillations—the swing between extremes—where the true difficulty lies.
On one end, we show the market less respect than it demands.
On the other, we freeze in fear or get swept away in frustration and rage.
Managing these extremes is part of the trader’s job.
Managing them well… is an art form.
Here are 3 foundational tools that have helped me:
⸻
1. Find. Your. Rhythm.
Each of us is wired differently. Our biochemistry, personality traits, and preferences are all unique—and they absolutely affect how we trade.
Some traders thrive on high-frequency scalping.
Others wait patiently for a single swing setup.
Some feel energized after 6 hours of screen time.
Others burn out after one intense hour.
If you don’t understand your personal rhythm, you’ll constantly be misaligned—not just with your strategy, but with your life.
Workaholics may get bored and start forcing trades.
Laid-back traders may overcommit and burn out fast.
Rhythm isn’t just about preference—it’s about sustainability.
⸻
2. Practice Tolerating Discomfort.
Trading is uncomfortable.
Let’s be real—90% of it ranges from mildly uneasy to outright agonizing.
Practicing discomfort outside of trading has made a huge difference for me:
Cold plunges.
Sadhu boards.
Early morning wake-ups.
Cardio.
Even practicing restraint during family arguments.
These things teach you to sit with that gnawing feeling and not act impulsively.
They train your nervous system to stay stable under pressure.
Trading may not get “easier,” but your capacity for difficulty increases—so it starts to feel easier.
⸻
3. Plan Is Everything.
Trading becomes way simpler when you just show up to execute a plan.
If your plan says there are no trades today—then walk away.
If your plan says take two trades—then take them.
Win or lose, outsource the result to the plan, not to your self-worth.
Then, at the end of a set period (ideally written into the plan), review your execution.
Were you compliant?
What can be adjusted?
A good plan + rhythm alignment + discomfort tolerance = consistency.
⸻
Trading is obviously more complex than three bullet points can capture—but the foundation you can build from these is immense.
Thanks for reading.
Happy trading.
—Lightwork_
USD/CAD Breakout Pattern (15.04.2025)The USD/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.4034
2nd Resistance – 1.4131
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USD/CAD Breakout patten USD/CAD M30 – Potential Buying Opportunity
The USD/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe is showing a potential bullish setup following the formation of a breakout pattern. This indicates a likely shift in momentum to the upside, increasing the chances of further gains in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade Setup:
Entry:
Consider entering a long position around the trendline of the breakout pattern (watch for confirmation such as bullish candles or rejection wicks).
Target Levels:
1st Resistance: 1.4034
2nd Resistance: 1.4131
---
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Your engagement inspires me to share more quality setups and market insights.
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USDJPY and USDCAD analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USDCAD Forecast: Key Levels in SightFollowing softer Canadian CPI data, the Bank of Canada held interest rates steady at 2.75%, sending USDCAD toward the 1.3820 support level — an area that aligns with the November 2024 lows and a key resistance zone extending back to the highs of September 2022.
The 1.3820 low aligns with the 0.272 Fibonacci retracement of the uptrend from May 2021 to January 2025. This support also coincides with RSI levels not seen since 2021.
A sustained hold and reversal from this zone may push the pair toward 1.4040, 1.4150, 1.4350, and eventually 1.4500. On the downside, a firm break below 1.3820 could open losses toward 1.3670, 1.3570,1.3430, and 1,3270.
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
USDCAD FORCAST BULLISH 100PIPSThe USDCAD pair could be poised for a 100-pip bullish move based on current technical and fundamental factors. Here’s the analysis:
Key Reasons for a Bullish Outlook:
Technical Setup:
Support Holding: If USDCAD is bouncing off a key support level (e.g., 1.3500 or 1.3600), a rebound toward 1.3700-1.3750 (+100 pips) is possible.
RSI/Oversold Bounce: If the RSI was near 30 (oversold), a reversal could trigger a short-term rally.
Break of a Downtrend Line: A breakout above a descending trendline could signal bullish momentum.
Fundamental Drivers:
Stronger USD: If the Fed maintains a hawkish stance (delaying rate cuts), the USD could strengthen.
Weaker CAD: If oil prices decline (CAD is oil-linked) or Canadian economic data disappoints, USDCAD could rise.
Price Action & Key Levels:
Entry Zone: 1.3600-1.3650 (if holding as support).
Target: 1.3700-1.3750 (+100 pips).
Stop Loss: Below 1.3550 (if support breaks).
Trade Plan:
Buy Zone: 1.3600-1.3650
Take Profit: 1.3700-1.3750 (+100 pips)
Stop Loss: 1.3550 (50-pip risk)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 (favorable).
Caution:
Long trade
1Hr TF overview
📈 Trade Breakdown – Buy-Side (USDCAD)
📅 Date: Monday, April 14, 2025
⏰ Time: 4:30 PM (NY Time) – NY Session PM
📈 Pair: USDCAD
🧭 Direction: Long (Buy)
Trade Parameters:
Entry: 1.38575
Take Profit (TP): 1.39845 (+0.91%)
Stop Loss (SL): 1.38261 (–0.23%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 4.83 ✅
🧠 Trade Narrative:
A late NY session long idea capitalising on:
End-of-day liquidity imbalances and price rejecting a discount level after a pullback into demand (PD Array for measure - discount vs premium)
USDCAD - Bank of Canada keeps interest rates unchanged!The USDCAD pair is below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is in its descending channel. The continuation of the downward movement of this pair will provide us with a buying position with a good risk-reward ratio. If the correction continues, we can sell within the specified supply zone.
On Wednesday, oil prices climbed by approximately 1%, driven by renewed optimism in the markets regarding potential trade talks between the United States and China. However, lingering concerns about the trade war’s negative effects on global energy demand limited further gains in oil prices.Initially, oil prices declined, but market sentiment shifted after Bloomberg reported—citing an anonymous source—that China was seeking greater respect from the Trump administration before agreeing to new negotiations. The same source also stated that China had requested a new outreach from the U.S. to initiate the discussions.
Giovanni Staunovo, an analyst at UBS, commented that easing trade tensions between the two nations could help reduce constraints on economic growth and energy demand, potentially exerting downward pressure on oil prices.
Meanwhile, the International Energy Agency (IEA) reported that global oil demand is expected to rise by just 730,000 barrels per day this year—well below both its previous projections and those of OPEC.
In a new report, the Fitch rating agency warned that the intensifying global trade war has significantly weakened the outlook for economic growth. According to the report, China’s economic growth will fall below 4% in both this year and the next, while the eurozone is projected to grow by less than 1%.
Fitch further estimates that global economic growth in 2025 will fall below 2%, marking the weakest performance since 2009 (excluding the COVID-19 pandemic period).
Despite the sharp decline in the U.S. growth outlook, Fitch expects the Federal Reserve to delay any interest rate cuts until Q4 of 2025. Conversely, deeper rate cuts are anticipated for the European Central Bank and emerging market economies.
In the energy sector, Fitch lowered its short-term oil price forecast due to risks stemming from weaker demand and trade disruptions but left its natural gas price forecast unchanged.
Additionally, the Bank of Canada maintained its policy rate at 2.75%. Highlights from the Bank’s monetary statement include:
• Tariffs and logistical challenges are driving price increases.
• New U.S. trade policies have heightened uncertainty, slowed growth, and sparked inflation fears.
• The Bank supports economic growth with inflation control but urges caution due to elevated domestic risks.
• Both upside risks (higher costs) and downside risks (weaker growth) to inflation are under close watch.
• Beginning in April, the removal of carbon taxes and cheaper oil are expected to temporarily lower inflation for about a year.
• The recent rise in inflation reflects renewed commodity price growth and the end of temporary sales tax relief.
• Due to high uncertainty related to U.S. trade tariffs, the Bank is refraining from issuing an economic forecast.
• The output gap in Q1 2025 was estimated between 0% and -1%.
• Annualized GDP growth for the same quarter was 1.8%, down from the January forecast of 2%.
• Two scenarios are under consideration: one involving tariff reduction via agreement, and another involving a prolonged global trade war.
• In the first scenario, Canadian and global growth temporarily decline, inflation drops to 1.5%, and later returns to the 2% target.
• In the second, the global economy slows sharply, inflation surges, and Canada enters a severe recession. Inflation surpasses 3% by mid-2026 before returning to the 2% target.
• In both scenarios, the neutral interest rate is estimated to be around the midpoint of the 2.25%–3.25% range.
USDCAD 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart shows a technical analysis setup for the USD/CAD pair on the 30-minute timeframe.
Key Elements:
Descending Channel: The price is in a downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows within a clearly defined downward channel.
Double Bottom Pattern (Orange Circle): Suggests a potential bullish reversal, but not confirmed unless the neckline is broken.
Stop Loss Level: Marked just above the recent lower high within the channel—logical risk management in case the trend reverses.
Take Profit Zone: Located at a horizontal support level, where price has previously