Could the Loonie bounce from here?The price is currently at the pivot which is an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.3876
1st Support: 1.3602
1st Resistance: 1.4147
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USDCAD_LMAX trade ideas
USD/CAD "The Loonie" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Swing/Day)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Target 🎯: 1.36000 (or) Escape Before the Target
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USD-CAD Swing Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USD-CAD fell sharply to
Retest a horizontal support
Level of 1.3855 and as it is
A strong horizontal demand
Are we will be expecting a
Bullish correction on Monday
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Positive trade talks fuel USD recovery.🔔🔔🔔 USD/CAD news:
➡️ The USD/CAD pair rebounded from its recent losses seen in the previous session, trading around 1.3870 during Friday’s Asian session. The pair is stronger as the U.S. dollar gained traction, supported by optimism over potential U.S. trade deals. The greenback attracted some dip-buying interest after Thursday’s mild decline and found additional support from upbeat U.S. macroeconomic data.
Personal opinion:
➡️ USD is on the rebound and performing better than CAD. Therefore, the main trend for this pair is still bullish in the short term
➡️ Analysis based on resistance - support levels and trend lines combined with SMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Personal plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy USD/CAD 1.3866 - 1.3850
❌SL: 1.3830 | ✅TP: 1.3920 - 1.3970
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
USD/CAD – Major Trendline Rejection + Bullish Reversal ZoneUSD/CAD is currently forming a bullish reversal setup on the weekly timeframe, suggesting a potential longer-term move to the upside.
Right now, the price is rebounding from a long-term ascending trendline, which has acted as dynamic support since 2021. This level also aligns with a prior resistance-turned-support zone, adding confluence. Volume has spiked recently, signaling strong market interest at this level. ⚠️
If price holds above 1.3800 and breaks above the recent weekly highs, we could see a bullish continuation toward the 1.4650–1.4800 supply zone. 🎯
🔹 Trade Setups to Consider:
1️⃣ Weekly Trendline Bounce Entry 📍 Entry: 1.3886
🛑 Stop Loss: 1.3723
🎯 Targets: 1.4140 ➡️ 1.4650
2️⃣ Breakout & Retest Entry 📍 Entry: 1.4140 (on retest after breakout)
🛑 Stop Loss: 1.3950
🎯 Target: 1.4800
📌 Risk Management Tip: This setup is based on a higher timeframe, so wider stops and longer holding periods are expected—size your positions accordingly.
💬 What’s your view on USD/CAD? Drop your thoughts below 👇
#Forex #TradingSetup #WeeklyChart #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #TradeIdeas #USDCAD #TrendlineSupport #BullishReversal #MacroSetup
USDCAD accumulation phase for long 1.4050-60usdcad stopped making further lower low in daily time frame. 23rd April daily candle made a higher low, indication for strength for coming days. demand zone for long is 1.3840-3800, stop loss: 1.3780, target: 1.4050-50. even weekly trend is down. reversal/counter trend trade. use lower risk please.
USD/CAD: After the Liquidity Sweep, the Real Move Begins ?USD/CAD (4H) – Bullish Channel in Progress :
Price swept liquidity on the weekly timeframe and is now moving within a bullish channel.
Watching for a continuation toward the resistance zone above,
⚠️ Not financial advice.
– Mr. Wolf 🐺
#USDCAD #Forex #FXTrading #PriceAction #LiquiditySweep #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexTrader #TradingView #MarketStructure #BullishMomentum
USDCAD at Risk? COT Turns Bearish📊 COT Overview – CAD & USD Futures
🇨🇦 Canadian Dollar (CAD)
Asset Managers: Still net short, but recovering fast → from -150K to nearly -50K.
Leveraged Money: Strong bullish reversal from -100K to -30K and climbing.
✅ Interpretation: Institutions are flipping bullish on CAD → Bearish pressure on USDCAD.
🇺🇸 US Dollar (USD)
Asset Managers: Cutting long exposure since March.
Leveraged Money: Losing conviction → neutral to slightly long.
⚠️ Interpretation: USD is structurally weakening → adding to the USDCAD bearish bias.
🧠 Technical Analysis
Price has returned to the key demand zone (1.3700–1.3850) for the third test.
Candles are compressing → signal of upcoming volatility.
RSI remains weak, no bullish divergence → no clear reversal yet.
📌 Key Levels:
Support: 1.3700 → A confirmed break opens space toward 1.3550–1.3480.
Resistance: 1.3950–1.4100
🎯 Trade Scenarios
🔻 Breakdown trade below 1.3700 → Target: 1.3480
🔁 Pullback short on rejection from 1.3950–1.4000 → SL above 1.4100
🔼 Long only with a bullish engulfing weekly close + RSI divergence
✅ Summary
COT Bias: Bearish USDCAD → CAD strengthening, USD weakening
Technical Structure: Support under pressure, breakout likely
Preferred Play: Short continuation on breakdown or pullback rejection
USD/CAD(20250424)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
The United States hit a 16-month low in April. The total number of new home sales in the United States in March was an annualized to a new high since September 2024.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.3861
Support and resistance levels:
1.3966
1.3927
1.3901
1.3820
1.3794
1.3755
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.3901, consider buying, the first target price is 1.3927
If the price breaks through 1.3861, consider selling, the first target price is 1.3820
USDCAD Short 4/23/2025USD/CAD Short Setup – Break of Daily Demand + Textbook Triangle Unwind
This short is built off both macro fundamentals and multi-timeframe technical precision.
Daily Chart:
USD/CAD has been steadily breaking structure to the downside. Yesterday's close was significant — we broke below a major daily demand zone at 1.38221, signaling a shift in longer-term sentiment.
Today’s price action has already retested yesterday’s high into that broken zone — a classic break-and-retest setup.
4H Chart:
A clear 5-wave triangle correction is printing — text-book stuff. We’re nearing the breakout point. Price is pressing against the lower boundary, and momentum looks ready to shift.
A potential Evening Star pattern is forming right now, supported by an inside bar and a follow-up bearish hammer — a stacked reversal signal.
1H Chart:
Structure confirms the 4H — all signs point toward a correction completing and a new impulsive leg down beginning.
Fundamentals:
Later today, the U.S. Flash Manufacturing PMI is expected to show contraction — a negative for the dollar. If the data misses expectations, it could amplify the bearish move on USD/CAD.
We’re also tracking oil closely — further CAD strength via crude would accelerate the downside here.
Trade Plan:
Entry: Current area near the 1.382 retest
SL: Above triangle high
TP1: 1:1 R:R – partial take profit (75%)
TP2: Let the remaining 25% run with structure-based trailing
If the setup confirms post-PMI, this could be a strong follow-through play after a major HTF breakdown.
GOLDMASTER1| USDCAD ANALYSIS MARKET ANALYSIS: USD/CAD
The market has responded as expected at the key levels I've highlighted. We saw a clear reaction in the Bearish Orderblock region, where price initially rejected the area, aligning with my expectations. Additionally, the Demand Zone near the lower levels showed significant buying pressure, reaffirming the potential for bullish movement.
KEY OBSERVATIONS:
Bearish Orderblock: Price tested this zone and dropped, confirming its relevance as a strong resistance level.
Demand Zone: The market showed resilience and bounced off this level, indicating strong support.
I'll continue monitoring these levels closely for any further developments.
GOLDMASTER1---