USDJPY INTRADAY Bearish below resistance at 144.60The USDJPY pair is exhibiting a bearish sentiment, reinforced by the ongoing downtrend. The key trading level to watch is at 145.60, which represents the current intraday swing low and the falling resistance trendline level.
In the short term, an oversold rally from current levels, followed by a bearish rejection at the 145.60 resistance, could lead to a downside move targeting support at 141.00, with further potential declines to 139.50 and 138.40 over a longer timeframe.
On the other hand, a confirmed breakout above the 145.60 resistance level and a daily close above that mark would invalidate the bearish outlook. This scenario could pave the way for a continuation of the rally, aiming to retest the 147.90 resistance, with a potential extension to 149.00 levels.
Conclusion:
Currently, the USDJPY sentiment remains bearish, with the 145.60 level acting as a pivotal resistance. Traders should watch for either a bearish rejection at this level or a breakout and daily close above it to determine the next directional move. Caution is advised until the price action confirms a clear break or rejection.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USDJPY.1000.DUB trade ideas
USDJPY Short Term Buy Trading Plan Update!!!Hi Traders, on April 23rd I shared this idea "USDJPY Short Term Buy Trading Plan"
I expected bullish continuation higher from the marked Fibonacci support zones. You can read the full post using the link above.
Price reached the first Fibonacci support zone, respected it and bounced higher as expected!!!
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DEFLATION CRASH IS NEARING HEAD N SHOULDER TOP The chart posted should be viewed with the other chart I just posted on twitter .DEFLATION CRASH IS NEARING .Can they reflate the system just enough to create a 5the wave super bubble ?? Not sure But the fact that the drop was perfect fib math and that the high was as well leads me to think I will wait just a little as I feel the world and the markets are at the crossroads of a final bubble or that the 2007 top is in place and we are bouncing back up in the ABC rally as we did in 2007 that rally was .618/66% and .786 in NYA See 2025 forecast so far it is 99% on target .Best of trades WAVETIMER
USDJPY: This Pattern Shows Global Reversal USDJPY is on the brinks to trigger global reversal to the downside
as large Head & Shoulders reversal pattern has been built on the chart
Bearish Trigger is on the Neckline breakdown
Target is on 117 (height of the Head below Neckline)
Massive drop is expected
It matches the area (blue trendline) where the breakout to upside occured
Invalidation is above the Right Shoulder
USD gain back the strengthYesterday candle shows buyer is controlling the market.
I'm expecting market will do a healthy pullback before it goes up again.
where to buy?
I'm waiting at H1 doji area. that is the sweetest spot to go for long.
monitor the lower timeframe price action and wait for the reversal sign is the best IMO.
Good Luck
USDJPY Technical & Order Flow Analysis (Swing Trading)Our analysis is based on multi-timeframe top-down analysis & fundamental analysis.
Based on our view, the price will rise to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis can change anytime without notice and is only for assisting traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no reason to act on it, and neither should you.
Please support our analysis with a like or comment!
USDJPY Short Term Buy Trading PlanM15 - Strong bullish momentum followed by a pullback
No opposite signs
Expecting bullish continuation until the two Fibonacci support zones hold.
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USDJPY InsightHello to all our subscribers,
Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe!
Key Points
- U.S. President Trump stated that if China does not negotiate, "the United States will make the decision and set the tariff rates," while White House spokeswoman Karoline Leavitt said, "Negotiations with China are going very well."
- Regarding Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, President Trump said, "I have no intention of firing him, but I hope Chairman Powell will be more proactive about the idea of a rate cut."
- The Russian side explained that when the President mentioned the possibility of bilateral talks to ban attacks on civilian targets, it was with negotiations and discussions with Ukraine in mind.
This Week’s Key Economic Events
+ April 23: U.S. April Manufacturing PMI, U.S. April Services PMI
USDJPY Chart Analysis
Contrary to expectations, the pair showed a downward movement and formed a bottom around the 140 level. A rebound is occurring in this zone, suggesting the potential for a short-term rise. The 144 level is a likely target for the next peak. However, if the 140 level is broken downward, there is a possibility of a decline toward the 135–136 range.
Flight to safety assetsApart from Gold , which I had made a call to go LONG , there are other assets that you can consider as well.
The EURO, SWISS FRANC and YEN are some currencies that are considered as forex safe haven as well. So, in this chart, except for EURUSD is a LONG, the other two pairs, USDJPY and USDCHF is a SHORT (sell US dollars and buy JPY/CHF).
If I have to choose, EURUSD will be the safest pair as its spread is much tighter and less volatile , next is USDCHF and more risky would be USDJPY. Depending on your risk appetite, capital, time frame, each of this pair can add diversification and cushion to your portfolio.
I am currently vested in USDJPY and had closed EURUSD yesterday.
As usual, please DYODD
USDJPY Technical Analysis – GTE VIP Buy SetupUSDJPY Technical Analysis – GTE VIP Buy Setup
Price tapped into key support around 142.29 and rejected strongly with a bullish engulfing on the 1H chart. This level has held as strong demand multiple times.
We entered a buy expecting price to break through the descending trendline, with confluence from stochastic oversold and bullish divergence building.
If momentum holds, we anticipate a breakout to 145.43 and beyond as clean traffic lies above.
Classic reversal play — support bounce + trendline breakout in progress.
Bullish bounce?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 141.80
1st Support: 140.13
1st Resistance: 145.44
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USDJPY – The Market Doesn't Always Need to Hunt Full LiquiditySometimes, the market doesn’t need to take out the full daily or weekly low to validate a bullish structure.
In fact, a partial tap into a liquidity zone can be more than enough for smart money to start pumping price aggressively.
In this USDJPY setup, we observe a clean rejection right at the midpoint of a key liquidity area. This suggests that institutional interest has already been partially activated.
I entered with a realistic understanding that timing might not be perfect — we never know the exact moment — but candlestick behavior gives us a powerful edge.
✅ Trade Breakdown:
• Entry: 143.12
• TP1: 145.497
• TP2: 147.727
• Final Target: 150.499
• SL: 141.793
📌 Strategy Insight:
In uncertain markets, it's not about the perfect entry.
It's about reading intentions through candle sequences and structure reaction.
I may refine the entry throughout the week — but the macro directional bias remains bullish, aiming toward the full extension above 150.00.
USD/JPY) bearish Technical AnalysisHELLO 👋 Dear friend USD JPY Traders
Technical Analysis represents a bearish analysis setup on the USD/JPY 1-hour timeframe, with the following key elements:
1. Ascending Channel: Price was previously moving inside an ascending channel, indicating bullish momentum.
2. CHoCH (Change of Character): A break below the channel support and structure level, marked as a change in market direction (from bullish to bearish).
3. Support Level: The price is currently testing a support zone around 142.400. The annotation suggests, "IF BREAK OUT", meaning a break below this support could trigger further downside.
4. Bearish Target: If support breaks, the projection is for the price to drop to the 139.872 zone, marked as "POINT".
5. EMA Bearish Crossover: The 50 EMA (red) has crossed below the 200 EMA (blue), adding confluence to the bearish bias.
Idea Summary:
Short Bias: Upon confirmation of the support level break (below 142.400).
Target: Around 139.872.
Confirmation: Look for bearish price action or retest/rejection from the support-turned-resistance area.
USDJPY Wave Analysis – 6 May 2025
- USDJPY reversed from resistance zone
- Likely to fall to support level 140.00
USDJPY currency pair recently reversed from the resistance zone between the resistance level 146.00 (former strong support from March) and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the previous downward impulse from March.
The downward reversal from this resistance zone stopped the previous minor ABC correction 2.
Given the strongly bullish yen sentiment seen today, USDJPY currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 142.00 – the breakout of which can lead to further losses toward support level 140.00.
Simple and clear as making tea, 4hr1. Market Structure & Patterns
• Bearish Structure:
The pair has been consistently forming lower highs and lower lows, confirming a bearish trend. I follow structure first — it gives the most reliable roadmap before looking at patterns or indicators.
• Bearish Flags (Continuation Patterns):
These are rising channels within a downtrend, usually forming after a strong impulse drop. Think of them as “breathers” before price continues down.
Every flag here broke down, confirming that sellers are still in control after short pullbacks.
• Rejection Zones (Supply Areas):
Marked in pink, these zones are where price previously reversed sharply. Every time price returns to these levels, it shows hesitation or reversal, especially when followed by a bearish candle or wick rejection.
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2. Strong Levels & Liquidity Zones
• Liquidity Zones:
Areas like 140.450 are key because price reacted strongly there in the past — either as a turning point or a fakeout. These zones often hold pending orders, so I mark them as targets for potential bounces or breakouts.
• Confluence of Structure + Liquidity:
When a strong level (like previous demand) lines up with a structural level (like a lower low), it becomes a high-probability target.
• Dynamic Resistance (Trendlines/Channels):
The upper trendline of the flag acted as a form of resistance. Once price broke below it and retested the area, it confirmed a potential continuation.
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3. Fundamentals (Light Touch )
• USD Side:
Recent uncertainty around Fed rate cuts, inflation reports, and mixed labor data have caused the USD to fluctuate, but overall sentiment is leaning slightly dovish. This weakens the USD.
• JPY Side:
The Bank of Japan has started hinting at a possible shift away from ultra-loose policy, which could strengthen the Yen in the medium term.
• Macro Context:
If global risk sentiment turns negative (e.g., stocks fall or geopolitical tensions rise), safe-haven flows into JPY typically increase.
Together, these fundamentals support the technical bearish outlook on USDJPY in the short to mid term.
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Final Thoughts
This setup is built on:
• Clean structure
• Pattern recognition
• Key zone reactions
• Light macro context
Patience and confirmation are key — I wait for price to reject zones and form clear price action (like bearish engulfing or strong wicks) before executing.
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