Get started

USD/JPY

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Technicals Seasonals Economic Calendar

USDJPY.1000.DUB trade ideas

USD/JPY Analysis: Exchange Rate Falls Below 140 Yen per DollarUSD/JPY Analysis: Exchange Rate Falls Below 140 Yen per Dollar Today As shown on the USD/JPY chart today, the exchange rate between the US dollar and Japanese yen has fallen below 140 yen per dollar – marking the first time this has occurred in 2025. Since the beginning of the year, the rate has dropped by approximately 11%. Among the main driving factors is the White House's tariff policy, which has triggered a sell-off in US government bonds and a weakening of the dollar. One of the more recent developments includes the release of the Consumer Price Index report by the Bank of Japan, which revealed that the CPI remained steady at 2.2%, despite analysts (according to ForexFactory) forecasting a rise to 2.4%. It’s possible that, due to the lack of inflationary pressure in Japan, the yen is in a relatively stronger position compared to the US currency, where concerns persist that trade wars and Trump’s push for lower interest rates may lead to a spike in inflation and a devaluation of the dollar. Technical Analysis of the USD/JPY Chart It’s worth noting that the psychological level of 140 yen per dollar has acted as key support since late 2023. On the rare occasions when the rate has dipped below this mark, the bulls have soon regained confidence, prompting a reversal. It’s quite possible we may witness a similar attempt on the USD/JPY chart in the coming weeks or even days. However, the current outlook remains bearish, as the price has broken below the Descending Wedge pattern (marked with black lines), indicating that supply is outweighing demand. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
USDJPY at a Crossroads: Resistance Held, But What’s Ahead?USDJPY at a Crossroads: Resistance Held, But What’s Ahead? In our previous analysis, USDJPY respected the resistance zone near 144.40, and the price has already reached our first target. The trade situation between the US and Japan remains uncertain, which could keep USDJPY under pressure. Japanese Economic Revitalization Minister Ryosei Akazawa left the US on Friday without securing a deal, suggesting that an agreement may take time. Meanwhile, Trump is frustrated with the strong Japanese yen against the US dollar. This could lead to a weaker USDJPY in the coming weeks, as Japan may seek to appease him and work toward a deal. So far, the price is moving as expected, though at a slow pace. Let’s see how things unfold. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KlejdiCuni
9
USD/JPY in Free Fall: What’s Behind the Break Below 140?🔍 Technical Analysis – USD/JPY The weekly chart shows a sharp rejection in the macro zone between 155–158, where strong supply is present (highlighted in red). After brushing historical highs, USD/JPY experienced a vertical drop down to 140, decisively breaking through the key zone at 148–146. Price has now broken the weekly structure and is approaching an area that previously triggered significant rallies (blue zone between 138–141). Monthly support is in danger, with the RSI deeply in oversold territory, but no clear reversal signals just yet. 📊 COT Report – USD Index Asset Managers: Slight recovery on long positions, but still in neutral territory. Leverage Money: Increasing net shorts, indicating speculative bets against the dollar. The divergence between the falling USD Index and speculative positions confirms a growing lack of confidence in the greenback. 📊 COT Report – JPY Futures Asset Managers: Strong increase in long positions on the yen since December 2024. Leverage Money: Reinforcing long bias since February 2025. This confirms that institutional players are accumulating yen, possibly anticipating BoJ interventions or a broader flight-to-safety. 💥 Trade Outlook USD/JPY is in full bearish breakout mode. If the 140 level breaks decisively, the next technical targets are: 137.00 → historical mid-level support 134.00 → base of the 2023 structure Keep an eye on the RSI: a bullish divergence with strong volume could trigger a technical rebound. But as long as the overall sentiment remains strongly risk-off, every rally is a selling opportunity.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
Yen surges to five-month high as US dollar under pressureThe Japanese yen came flying out of the gates on Monday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 141.00, down 0.79%. Earlier the yen strengthened to 140.47, its strongest level since Sep. 2024. The US dollar has posted losses against the major currencies on Monday, including against the yen. Investors gave the US dollar a thumbs down after President Trump's top economic advisor said that Trump was considering the dismissal of Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Trump has been increasingly critical of Powell for not lowering interest rates and said last week that "Powell's termination cannot come fast enough". Trump fired his latest salvo after Powell said that US tariffs would raise inflation and that the Fed could find itself having to balance keeping a lid on inflation and supporting economic growth. Powell added that tariffs are "likely to move us further away from our goals". Powell has insisted that he isn't going anywhere and will serve until the end of his term in May 2026. Can Trump legally fire Powell? That is a complicated legal question, but the markets aren't waiting for an answer and the US dollar has retreated. Trump's attacks on Powell threaten the independence of the US central bank and is eroding confidence in the US dollar. The dollar is also under pressure from Trump's tariff policy, which has dampened the confidence of foreign investors. USD/JPY has pushed below support at 141.16. Below, there is support at 140.14. There is resistance at 142.62 and 143.64
by OANDA
USDJPY Wave Analysis – 21 April 2025 - USDJPY broke support area - Likely to fall to support level 139.55 The USDJPY currency pair recently broke the support area at the intersection of the support trendline of the daily down channel from January and the support level 142.00 (which started the daily uptrend in September). The breakout of this support area should accelerate the active impulse wave 3, which belongs to the intermediate impulse wave (3) from March. Given the strongly bearish US dollar sentiment, USDJPY currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 139.55 (the former multi-month support level from September).
Short
by FxProGlobal
USD/JPY – 4H Chart Analysis🟦 USD/JPY – 4H Chart Analysis (April 21, 2025) 📊 Technical Analysis Current Price: ~140.72 Structure: Descending channel Pattern: Bullish flag within a broader downtrend Key Zones: Support Zone: 139.70 – 140.00 (blue zone) Demand Zone: 137.10 – 137.55 (strong support below) Resistance Levels: 145.17 (intermediate resistance) 147.43 – 147.47 (major supply) 149.70 – 150.00 (psychological + previous swing high) Setup: Price is at the lower boundary of the descending channel, testing support. Reversal zone aligns with a previous demand area + lower trendline support. If bulls defend this zone, price may: Rebound toward 145.17 Break short-term trendline resistance Extend toward 147.43 Invalidation: A clean break below 139.70 could send price toward 137.10 Risk-to-Reward: Favorable for long trades from current level with stops below the blue zone and TP near 147.4–150 🌐 Fundamental Outlook 🔸 USD Side (Bearish to Neutral): Fed likely to pause or cut rates soon due to cooling inflation. Weakness in U.S. CPI and softer economic indicators weighing on dollar strength. Rising U.S. debt and global de-dollarization sentiment impacting USD outlook. 🔸 JPY Side (Weakening): BOJ maintaining ultra-loose policy with no rate hike in sight. Weak yen has sparked verbal intervention risk, but actual BOJ action remains unlikely near-term. JPY typically strengthens during risk-off, but with markets stabilizing, appetite for carry trades could weaken JPY further. 🔸 Geopolitics: Escalation in Middle East could lead to safe haven flows into JPY, but so far minimal impact. If tensions rise, JPY may temporarily strengthen. 🧠 Conclusion: Price at key support within a falling channel. A potential bullish reversal is forming with upside targets at 145.17 and 147.47, especially if fundamentals align with a weakening USD and no BOJ surprises.
Long
by FXNEWSCLUB
Japanese Yen seems poised to appreciate further against weaker UFrom a technical perspective, the daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) is already flashing slightly oversold conditions and warrants some caution for bearish traders. Hence, it will be prudent to wait for some near-term consolidation or a modest bounce before positioning for an extension of the USD/JPY pair's well-established downtrend witnessed over the past three months or so. In the meantime, attempted recovery might now confront some resistance near the 141.60-141.65 region. This is followed by the 142.00 round figure and the 142.40-142.45 hurdle, above which a fresh bout of a short-covering move could lift the USD/JPY pair to the 143.00 mark en route to the 143.25-143.30 zone. Any further move up, however, might still be seen as a selling opportunity. On the flip side, a sustained break and acceptance below the 141.00 mark could be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders and makes the USD/JPY pair vulnerable. The subsequent downfall below the 140.45-140.40 intermediate support might expose the 140.00 psychological mark. The downward trajectory could extend to the 2024 yearly swing low, around the 139.60-139.55 region.
Long
by xauusd_rr