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USDJPY.1000.DUB trade ideas

USDJPY: Major turning point ahead?🧩 On the weekly and monthly timeframes, the structure of CAPITALCOM:USDJPY FX:USDJPY OANDA:USDJPY FOREXCOM:USDJPY FX_IDC:USDJPY remains highly ambiguous. The key question now is: are we on the verge of a long-term trend reversal and the beginning of yen appreciation, or is this just another phase in an ongoing uptrend? 📌 Why it matters: The Carry Trade Effect The yen has traditionally been a key funding currency in carry trades — a strategy where investors borrow low-yielding yen to invest in higher-yielding assets abroad. However, the unwinding of the carry trade, which started in August 2024 and continues today, is leading to yen strength and broad risk-off across global markets, from equities to crypto. 📊 What does the technical picture say? Looking at the structure since 2022, we see a series of zigzag formations that collectively resemble a triangle or other corrective pattern. 📌 Base scenario: We're likely in the development of wave C of a triangle. This wave could extend to the 140–138 area, where we find: key trendline support 200-week moving average high volume support zone (VPVR) or 📌 Alternative view – Ending Diagonal If the current structure turns out to be an ending diagonal, it may signal a full trend reversal and the start of a deeper cycle of yen strength. This remains an alternate view for now, but one worth tracking. ⚠️ Fundamental triggers for yen strength: Aggressive Fed rate cuts in 2025 Rising geopolitical risks Institutional unwind of carry trades Continued hawkish stance from the BoJ (dependent on inflation metrics) 📍 Bottom line: This is a pivotal moment. The decision of large players here could define the trend for years to come. Watch the 140–138 zone and volume reactions. A breakdown below this area would confirm the beginning of a strong yen trend.
by shakatrade1_618
USDJPY - Bearish Momentum Points to Further Downside PotentialBased on the USD/JPY 4-hour chart, the higher probability move appears to be to the downside. The pair has established a clear downtrend since early February, with lower highs and lower lows, and recently broke below the significant support level around 144.00. The recent steep decline from late March to early April shows strong bearish momentum, with price now hovering near 143.50 after a modest retracement. The charted projection suggests further downside movement with potential targets around 142.00-141.00 in the short term, while the highlighted support zone around 142.00 and major support at 139.64 could attract price action. With resistance firmly established in the 147.00-148.00 region and the overall bearish structure intact, sellers appear to have control of this market for the foreseeable future. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by financialflagship
USDJPY AnalysisThis chart displays a 1-hour candlestick chart for USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar vs. Japanese Yen) as of April 13, 2025, using data from OANDA on TradingView. Let’s break down the key elements and provide a technical analysis: 🔍 Chart Overview • Current Price: Around 143.47 • Trend: The market has been in a clear downtrend from the 151.5 level to around 143. • Key Tools/Indicators Used: • BBandLE/BBandSE: Bollinger Band-based Long/Short Entry signals. • Support & Resistance Zones: Highlighted by the red/purple rectangular zones. • Risk-to-Reward Trade Setup: Shown using the green (profit target) and red (stop loss) shaded areas. 📊 Support & Resistance Levels 1. Resistance Zones: • ~151.5 (significant sell-off zone) • ~147.8–148.3 (where multiple BBandSE entries occurred) 2. Support Zones: • ~143.0–142.9 (price bounced here recently) • ~141.9 (potential final support from April 11th) 🔄 Buy Signals Multiple BBandLE (Buy entries) occurred at: • ~146 • ~144 • Most recent one around 143, suggesting a potential bottom/reversal. These coincide with the support zone around 143–142.9, indicating possible accumulation or institutional buying. 📉 Sell Signals • Several BBandSE (Sell entries) occurred around: • 151.5 • 148.5 • 147.5 These acted as strong resistance, confirming the bearish momentum that led to the current low. 🧮 Trade Setup From the chart: • Entry: Around 143.4 (current level) • Stop-loss: ~142 (below recent support) • Target zone: ~147–148.3 (resistance level) • Risk-to-Reward: Estimated at around 1:3, making it a favorable setup if the reversal holds. ⚠️ Risks • False breakout risk below 143: Could test 141.9 support or fall further if broken. • Yen intervention or USD-related economic data could cause sudden volatility. • Current market sentiment is still bearish, so early entries might need tight management. ✅ Conclusion • Technical Bias: Short-term bullish reversal potential, but overall trend still bearish. • Strategy: Ideal for a short-term counter-trend long trade, with tight stop-losses and partial profit-taking near the 147–148 zone. • Confirmation needed: Wait for a higher high above 144.5–145 to confirm the reversal.
by ThizizAlex
USD/JPY Bullish Breakout Setup – Entry, Stop Loss & Target AnalyPair: USD/JPY Timeframe: 15 minutes Indicators Used: EMA (30-period) – Red line EMA (200-period) – Blue line Chart Features: Downward channel (declining trendline) Identified entry point, stop loss, and target Key support/resistance zones shaded in purple 🟢 Trade Idea Summary: 🔹Entry Point: 143.126 🔹Stop Loss: 142.702 🔹Target (Take Profit): 148.249 🔹Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:5 (Excellent R/R) 🔍 Technical Analysis: ✅ Bullish Breakout Signal Price has broken above the descending channel and has retested the breakout area (highlighted purple zone) – a classic bullish breakout structure. The breakout retest near 143.126 is acting as support, with potential to launch a new bullish move. 📈 Moving Average Analysis EMA 30 is starting to flatten and curve up – indicating potential shift in momentum. EMA 200 is still above price, but a breakout above it could strengthen the bullish case. 🔁 Support and Resistance Strong support zone around 143.000 – 143.200 area (highlighted zone). Major resistance and target zone is between 148.000 – 148.250. 🔔 Trade Plan Suggestion: Go Long at or near 143.126 Place Stop Loss below support at 142.702 Target 148.249 for profit Reasoning: This setup offers a trend reversal potential from a downtrend to uptrend, with a clean breakout-retest-confirmation pattern. The wide take profit range gives room for extended upside as momentum builds. ⚠️ Watch For: Reaction to the 144.325 (EMA 200) level Increased buying volume to confirm breakout Any re-entry into the channel (would invalidate setup)
Long
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
Too Many Bullish Clues — Greed Activated📍Current Price: 143.437 TimeFrame 30Min Bullish Reasons: + Strong Support + Psychological Level + Tweezer Bottom + Bullish RSI Divergence + Channel Bottom = Potential Bullish Reversal Support & Resistance Levels: • 142.000 – Strong Support + Psychological Level • 140.000 – Strong Support + Psychological Level • 148.000 – Psychological Level + Price Target • 150.000 – Psychological Level "Trade smart – always follow your risk management. Protect your account first, profits will follow. Happy trading!"
Long
by SpicyPips
Gold's Final Push?Multi Time Frame Analysis: 1. Monthly Chart; • RSI: Extremely Overbought at 84.66 • Volume: Declining – signals weakening buying pressure 2. Weekly Chart; • Historical Volume Spike • RSI: Overbought at 78.26 3. Daily Chart; • Price near Upper Channel Line • R2 (3246.25): Resistance/Trend Continuation Zone • MML +2/8 (3281.25): Extreme OverShoot zone (POI) • R3 (3315.96): Exhaustion Zone • Gap at 3177.260 still unfilled • RSI: 71.24 – overbought • Pattern: Rising Wedge 4. 4H Chart; • RSI: Overbought • No Valid Correction 5. 2H Chart; • RSI: Overbought • MACD Histogram: Fading • MACD Lines: Near Crossover • Volume: Declining 6. 1H Chart; • MACD Crossover occurred, histogram below zero • Volume: Weakening • Price: Still rising despite momentum loss 7. 30-Min Chart; • MACD Downtrend but price pushing up • Histogram below zero, divergence forming • Volume: Dropping • Near R2 Pivot Gold appears to be in a trend exhaustion phase. Across higher and mid-timeframes, RSI is extremely overbought, volume is consistently declining, and the MACD is losing momentum. Price is approaching a critical zone between R2 (3246.25) and MML +2/8 (3281.25)—our points of interest (POI) for potential reversal. If 3246.25 holds, we may see a correction. However, if price breaks above this level, the final resistance could be 3315.96 (R3 Exhaustion Zone). Any signs of inducement or fake breakout could trap buyers at the top (FOMO entry). Confirmation signals to watch: • Reversal Candlestick Patterns: Shooting Star, Evening Star, Bearish Engulfing, or multiple Doji formations. Final Thoughts: Gold is currently trading at elevated levels, showing signs of exhaustion across nearly all timeframes. With the RSI reading at an extreme 84.66 on the monthly chart, and volume drying up as price continues to rise, this suggests that the market is driven more by momentum and emotion than sustainable buying pressure. The presence of an unfilled breakaway gap at 3177.26, combined with key resistance zones approaching at R2 (3246.25), MML +2/8 (3281.25), and R3 (3315.96), indicates that Gold may be entering a Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) phase, often marked by impulsive buying and the final surge before a correction. Patterns like the Rising Wedge, MACD divergence, and consistent overbought RSI across MTFs reinforce the likelihood of a potential reversal. However, due to the nature of FOMO-driven moves, the price could still spike before reversing—this is where inducement traps often catch late buyers. It’s crucial to remain patient and wait for proper confirmation signals such as bearish candlestick formations, MACD crossovers, or strong rejection wicks at resistance levels. If price reacts at these zones without breaking through decisively, it could be an ideal setup for short opportunities. Always protect your capital with a solid risk management strategy, use clearly defined stop-loss levels (preferably just above R3), and avoid emotional trading decisions. The technicals are aligning for a significant correction—what remains is the right trigger. 🎯 Potential Targets: • Support Zone 1: 3210.75 • Gap Fill / 26.60% Fib: 3177.26 • Support Zone 2 / 38.20% Fib: 3131.00 • Support Zone 3 / 50% Fib: 3101.50 • Support Zone 4 / 64% Fib: 3052.79 • Final Target / 78.60% Fib: 3022.52 • Demand Zone: 2961.00
Short
by SpicyPips
USDJPY at Major Support Level - Will Buyers Step In?OANDA:USDJPY has reached a major support level, marked by significant buying pressure. This area has historically acted as a strong demand zone, increasing the likelihood of a bullish reaction if buyers step in again. The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this support level, there is a high probability of an upward move. I anticipate that, if rejection occurs, the market may head higher toward the 147.570 level, which serves as a logical target within the current structure. However, a break below this support would invalidate the bullish bias and could lead to further downside. This setup reflects the potential for a retracement after an impulsive move, supported by the confluence of previous price behavior and the current structure. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
Long
by DanieIM
47
USDJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W15 D11 Y25 USDJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W15 D11 Y25 Happy Friday Traders, It has been a week of sitting on capital. Being cautious, awaiting for breaks of structures at key areas and not not getting dragged into trades that do not fully present themselves. The clues have been there. The carrot has been continually dangled however as risk managers... You know how the saying goes. We stay true to our trading plan. We hold firm with what we know works. We are aware of our market edge. We know our "perfect" set up does present itself. with that said, we are dynamic! We do of course entertain the "Imperfect" setup. We simply approach with caution. A slightly different take. Can we snap the lows of Tokyo in the London session. Tap into the 4 hour order block, push bullish to break Lower time frame structure? A quick setup with a take profit area where FRGNT anticipates a potential turn around in price short. Lets see how it plays ! Trade well. FRGNT X
Long
by JCFRGNT
USDJPY LONG POSITION FORECAST UPDATE Q2 W15 D11 Y25USDJPY LONG POSITION FORECAST UPDATE Q2 W15 D11 Y25 Good Friday to you, Traders! Take a look at this morning analysis! As per the morning brief, we await the price action to come to us. -Awaiting the weekly order block rejection. Aligning with rejection of the 4 hour order block. -Await of break of structure on the 15'. -Have it confirmed with a break of structure on a lower time frame. Be it the 5' or 1'. FRGNT, is current risk off the position and look forward to banking fun coupons on Friday as per the plan. Happy weekend. See you Sunday for a breakdown of all pairs. Until then. FRGNT X
Long
by JCFRGNT
USD/JPY Under Pressure – Bears Take the Lead After Break of Supp📊 USD/JPY Daily Technical Outlook – April 11, 2025 Overview: The USD/JPY pair experienced a significant decline on Friday, opening at 145.22, reaching a high of 145.50, and a low of 142.04, before closing at 142.30. This downward movement reflects the continuation of the bearish trend from earlier in the week, influenced by safe-haven flows into the Japanese yen amid escalating trade tensions and weaker U.S. economic data. ​ Mitrade 📈 Current Market Structure: After a period of consolidation, the pair broke below key support levels, signaling strong selling momentum. This move comes amid concerns over the U.S. economic outlook and increased demand for the Japanese yen as a safe-haven currency. ​ 🔹 Key Resistance Levels: 143.45: The previous support level, now acting as immediate resistance. A break above this level could indicate a potential reversal.​ 145.08/145.91: A significant resistance zone. A move above this area could challenge the bearish outlook. ​ 147.85: A major resistance area, which could be a target for buyers if the bullish trend resumes. ​ FOREX24.PRO 🔸 Key Support Levels: 142.04: The low for the day, which acts as immediate support. A stay above this level may prevent further declines. ​ Mitrade 139.59: A significant support level. A break below this could signal a continuation of the downtrend. ​ FX.co 137.92: Strong support, marking a previous high from March 2023. ​ FX.co 📐 Price Action Patterns: The strong bearish candles in recent days indicate dominance by sellers. The breakout below previous support levels and the formation of lower lows support the continuation of the downtrend. However, traders should watch for potential reversal patterns as the price approaches key support areas.​ 🧭 Potential Scenarios: ✅ Bullish Scenario: If USD/JPY holds above 142.04, the pair may attempt a rebound towards 143.45 and potentially 145.08/145.91, driven by short-term profit-taking and potential easing of risk-off sentiment.​ ❌ Bearish Scenario: If USD/JPY fails to sustain above 142.04, a decline to 139.59 could occur. A break below this level could lead to further declines towards 137.92.​ 📌 Conclusion: USD/JPY is exhibiting strong bearish momentum, influenced by safe-haven flows into the Japanese yen and concerns over the U.S. economic outlook. A sustained break below support levels could lead to further declines. Traders should monitor key support and resistance levels and stay informed on global economic developments.​ Mitrade Note: This analysis is based on data available up to April 11, 2025. Always monitor the latest developments and apply appropriate risk management when trading.
Short
by Saeed966
13
Yen Carry Trade & Rate Hike (BoJ)The USD/JPY pair is likely to fall toward the 140 level as two key factors weigh on the market: the unwinding of the yen carry trade and growing fears of a rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ). For years, Japan’s ultra-low interest rates made the yen a favorite currency for carry trades, where investors borrow yen cheaply to invest in higher-yielding assets elsewhere. However, as global markets face increased volatility and central banks tighten monetary policy, these trades are becoming less attractive. Investors are now unwinding these positions, which involves selling off foreign assets and buying back yen, strengthening the currency and putting downward pressure on USD/JPY. At the same time, the BoJ has hinted it may soon raise interest rates as inflation in Japan shows signs of persistence. Even the expectation of a rate hike reduces the appeal of the dollar against the yen, as higher Japanese rates would narrow the interest rate differential. This makes the yen more appealing and further accelerates the unwinding of carry trades. With these factors aligning, the USD/JPY pair potentially faces significant downward momentum, making a move toward the 140 level increasingly likely.
Short
by GER-Quality-Trades
1
USDJPY What Next? BUY! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the USDJPY next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 145.10 Bias - Bullish Safe Stop Loss - 144.25 Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market. Goal - 146.89 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1