USDJPY.1000.DUB trade ideas
USDJPY Bullish to $149.500Rather than buying at the top of the ‘Impulse Wave’, wait for a ‘Wave 2’ or ‘Wave B’ correction towards the support zone, so you can buy back at a cheaper price.
⭕️5 Major Wave Bearish Move Complete.
⭕️5 Minor Waves Complete in Wave 5.
⭕️BOS Confirming Bullish Structure Now Valid.
Another tariff u-turn: Oil overbought on news? President Trump announced a 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs for countries that have not retaliated, sparking a sharp rally in U.S. markets. The Nasdaq 100 led gains with a 12.2% surge. The U.S. dollar also strengthened against safe-haven currencies such as the Japanese yen and Swiss franc.
Crude oil prices rebounded alongside equities, with oil futures rising more than 4% to trade above $62 per barrel.
However, the strength of the oil rally may be overstated. China, one of the world’s largest oil consumers, was among the first to retaliate against U.S. tariffs. Tensions between Washington and Beijing have worsened, prompting the U.S. to raise tariffs on Chinese goods to 125%.
Adding to the caution, analysts at Goldman Sachs revised down their 2026 average price forecasts for Brent and WTI, citing rising recession risks. The bank now expects Brent to average $58 per barrel and WTI to average $55.
USDJPY Bearish Flag Breakdown – Eyes on 140.11 Support ZoneUSDJPY is showing signs of a bearish continuation, following a breakdown from a rising wedge pattern. The recent strong drop confirms a shift in momentum from bullish to bearish, with price now forming a bear flag just below a key structure.
Key Technical Zones:
Current Price: 147.78
Resistance Area (Invalidation Zone): 148.11 – 151.44
Support Targets:
TP1: 142.87
TP2: 140.11
Technical Confluence & Patterns:
✅ Series of Rising Wedges followed by sharp breakdowns
✅ Bear Flag Pattern forming after recent drop
✅ Lower highs & lower lows confirming downtrend
✅ Volume spike during breakdown, low volume on pullback
Trade Outlook:
📉 Bias: Bearish below 148.11
📌 Entry Zone: On confirmation of flag breakdown
🎯 Target 1: 142.87 – Previous horizontal support
🎯 Target 2: 140.11 – Major swing support / demand zone
🛑 Invalidation: Break above 151.44 (major resistance zone)
Conclusion:
USDJPY is set up for a potential bearish continuation as it respects a textbook flag breakdown setup. A close below 147.50 would reinforce bearish pressure with further downside toward 142.87 and 140.11. Traders should monitor momentum and structure confirmation before entering positions.
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Yen surges to six-month high, BoJ cautiousThe Japanese yen continues to make inroads against the US dollar. In the North American session, USD/JPY is up 1.1% on Wednesday, trading at 144.60. Earlier, the yen strengthened to 143.98, its strongest level since Sept. 2024.
Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda said on Wednesday that the central bank will have to determine the impact of US trade policy on growth and inflation in Japan. Ueda said that US tariffs had created new uncertainty and signaled that the BoJ might hold off on further interest rates until the situation became more clear.
Ueda repeated that the BoJ would raise rates if the economy continued to improve, and currently, underlying inflation was rising and moving closer to 2% target. The uptake is that the BoJ is being very cautious with all the turmoil in the markets and is dampening expectations of a rate hike at the May 1 meeting.
FOMC minutes - still relevant?
The Federal Reserve will post its minutes of the March rate meeting. Investors scrutinize the minutes for policy clarity but global economic developments are unfolding so quickly that it's questionable if the minutes will be relevant with the massive market sell-off and the trade war between the US and China.
Earlier today, the US lifted tariffs on China to an astounding 104% and China has retaliated with an 84% counter-tariff. The turmoil in the financial markets has nervous investors looking for safer shores, and are parking their funds in safe-haven assets like the Japanese yen and the Swiss franc. In April, the yen has jumped 3.3% against the US dollar, while the Swiss franc has soared 5% against the greenback.
USD/JPY has pushed below support at 145.46 and is putting pressure on support at 144.64
There is resistance at 146.79 and 147.61
#USDJPY:1351+ Bullish Move One Not To Miss| Three TPs| JPY has been bullish since the dollar strengthened, potentially leading to a trade war that would make the Japanese yen more valuable to global investors. However, we may see a strong correction on all XXXJPY pairs, potentially returning stronger with a major bullish correction. We’re not sure if the price will hit all three take profit zones, but we’re interested in how far it goes.
Use accurate risk management. This analysis is purely for educational purposes only. Use your own knowledge and analysis before taking any entries.
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USDJPY Bearish continuation below 148.10The USDJPY currency pair remains in a bearish trend, with the recent price action showing signs of an oversold bounce. While a temporary rebound is in play, the broader sentiment remains weak unless a decisive breakout occurs.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance Levels: 148.10 (critical level), 150.10, 150.90
Support Levels: 144.20, 143.00, 141.40
Bearish Scenario:
A rejection from the 148.10 resistance level could reaffirm the downside bias, leading to a continuation of the bearish move toward 142.20, with extended declines targeting 143.00 and 141.40 over the longer timeframe.
Bullish Scenario:
A breakout above 148.10 with a daily close above this level would challenge the bearish sentiment, opening the door for further gains toward 150.10, followed by 150.90.
Conclusion:
The market sentiment remains bearish, with 148.10 acting as a critical resistance zone. A rejection from this level could reinforce the downtrend, while a confirmed breakout would shift the outlook to bullish, favouring further upside. Traders should closely monitor price action at this key level for confirmation.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DXY Long Bias – Demand Zone Reaction Driving USD Strength
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is showing early signs of a bullish reversal following a strong reaction off a key intraday demand zone.
📊 Trade Context (USDJPY)
• Entered long after liquidity sweep and demand zone confirmation during NY Open.
• Clear bullish intent with a break of structure on the 15min.
• Aligned with potential DXY recovery, supporting USD strength across the board.
🧠 Bias Justification
• NY session often sets the real direction – and here we see bullish pressure stepping in.
• DXY printing higher lows intraday.
• Correlation with USDJPY and other majors showing early bullish divergence.
🎯 Targets:
• USDJPY: 145.02 > 146.60
• DXY: Eyes on retesting previous resistance zones.
❌ Invalidation:
• Clean break below intraday demand or 143.97 on USDJPY.
📅 April 9, 2025 – NY Session Setup
Let’s see if the dollar bulls take control.
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USDJPY May Decline FurtherUSDJPY May Decline Further
USDJPY is currently signaling a potential bearish momentum.
The price is heavily influenced by a fundamental perspective this time.
Trump has repeatedly accused the BOJ of manipulating the currency market and keeping the JPY weaker. The reason the BOJ is intervening in the currency market is simply because they want Trump to lift tariffs. It's incredible what a Central Bank can do for mercy.
Target Levels:
First support at 143.228
Second support at 142.044
Final target at 140.0, marking a deeper correction.
The market appears to be in a corrective phase, likely driven by selling pressure. If the price continues to respect the downward trend, the marked support levels could serve as important areas where traders might anticipate reactions.
USDJY began a bearish wave driven by fundamental factors and it has chances to continue with the downward movement.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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USD/JPY(20250409)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The U.S. Customs and Border Protection Agency reiterated that the specific tax rates for each country will be announced at 12:01 a.m. on April 9.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
146.77
Support and resistance levels
148.90
148.10
147.59
145.95
145.43
144.63
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 145.95, consider buying, the first target price is 146.77
If the price breaks through 145.43, consider selling, the first target price is 144.63
Lingrid | USDJPY Bearish MOMENTUM. Potential ShortFX:USDJPY price is showing lower lows and lower closes, indicating bearish dominance in the market. After testing the previous week's low, the market rebounded, forming a pullback. Currently, the price trades below the psychological 146.000 level, the upward trendline, and the channel border. Overall, the price action is forming an ABC pattern, suggesting that point C may complete at the 142.000 support level. If the price closes below the previous week's low, there is a high probability of further downward movement. My goal is support zone around 143.050
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Yen Appreciates with Trade TurmoilThe Japanese yen rose above 146 per dollar on Wednesday, extending gains as Trump's looming tariffs drove safe-haven flows. The dollar weakened on recession fears tied to escalating trade tensions and potential Fed rate cuts. New U.S. tariffs include a 24% duty on Japanese goods and a 25% car import levy. Trump confirmed that Japan will send a delegation to renegotiate terms, while PM Ishiba urged a policy rethink. Domestically, Japan's current account surplus hit a record in February, supported by strong exports and reduced imports, boosting the yen further.
Key resistance is at 148.70, with further levels at 152.70 and 157.70. Support stands at 145.60, followed by 143.00 and 141.80.
Possible Battle Between USDJPY Bulls and Bears at TrendlineUSDJPY is currently testing its weekly trendline, but recent data from Japan may challenge the possibility of a downward break.
Market turmoil has increased demand for long-term U.S. bonds, and the resulting drop in the TVC:US10Y has kept the TVC:DXY under pressure, conditions that have supported Yen bulls. However, the latest wage data out of Japan may shift the short-term outlook just as the trendline is being tested.
Base full-time wage growth dropped to 1.9% year-over-year, down from 3%. This slowdown may give the Bank of Japan more justification to hold rates steady at its next meeting. If tariff-related panic subsides with any calming news from the White House, USDJPY could see renewed upside potential.
In the short term, two resistance levels are crucial: 146.50 and 147.50. The battle between bulls and bears is likely to play out between these resistance levels and the weekly trendline near 145.