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USDJPY.P trade ideas

USD/JPY Technical Analysis SELLDaily Chart Overview: On the daily timeframe, USD/JPY has been trading within a descending wedge pattern, signaling a potential breakout. The price recently approached the key support level at 141.74 before rebounding upward. We now see price consolidating near 143.76, close to the wedge's upper boundary. Should the pair break above this resistance, the next target would be 146.49, a significant level seen in the previous price action. If the pair fails to break higher, expect a retest of the support at 141.74. This wedge pattern could be setting the stage for a directional move in the coming sessions, with the bias currently leaning toward a bullish breakout. 4-Hour Chart Overview: On the 4-hour chart, the price is reacting after testing a strong supply zone around 144.00, pulling back to 143.75. Two potential scenarios could unfold here: A continued bearish move towards the key support levels at 142.97 and 141.59. A reversal from the current level with a retest of the supply zone and a possible push to break the upper resistance near 146.48. Traders should monitor price action closely at these levels, as a break above the supply zone could lead to significant upside momentum. Conversely, failure to hold the current support could trigger a larger pullback. 1-Hour Chart Overview: On the 1-hour chart, USD/JPY formed an ascending channel which recently broke to the downside. The price is currently hovering around 143.80 after rejecting the 144.08 resistance level. The recent bearish price action hints at further downside potential, with a target towards 142.78, where demand could step in. This aligns with the lower target area identified on higher timeframes. If price action remains bearish, traders should be cautious of a short-term retest of the broken channel before continuing lower. However, should bulls manage to reclaim the 144.08 level, it would invalidate the bearish outlook, and focus would shift to the previous highs. Conclusion: USD/JPY is at a critical juncture, with key levels to watch for in the short term. On the upside, a break above 144.08 and a successful retest of the wedge on the daily chart could see the pair targeting 146.48. On the downside, failure to hold current support could push the pair towards 142.78 and 141.74. Keep an eye on price action around these critical levels for potential trading opportunities.
Short
by FourtradesTV
USDJPY Analysis for 01/10/2024: A Slightly Bullish Bias ExpectedThe USDJPY currency pair continues to exhibit a slightly bullish bias as of October 1, 2024, driven by the current fundamental factors and prevailing market conditions. In this article, we will explore the key drivers behind this trend, providing forex traders with actionable insights for today’s trading session. Key Drivers Behind USDJPY Bullish Bias 1. Hawkish U.S. Federal Reserve Policy One of the key factors supporting the bullish outlook for USDJPY is the ongoing hawkish stance of the Federal Reserve. The Fed remains committed to controlling inflation, which has led to higher interest rates in the U.S. This rate differential favors the U.S. dollar over the Japanese yen, as investors are drawn to the higher returns offered by U.S. assets. The expectation of steady or potentially higher rates from the Fed further boosts demand for the U.S. dollar, pushing USDJPY higher. 2. Weakness in the Japanese Yen The Bank of Japan (BoJ) continues its ultra-loose monetary policy, with little indication of shifting towards a more hawkish stance. This dovish approach, coupled with a lack of inflationary pressure in Japan, has led to a sustained weakness in the yen. As long as the BoJ maintains its negative interest rate policy and yields remain low, USDJPY is likely to see upward momentum, supported by the widening gap between U.S. and Japanese interest rates. 3. U.S. Economic Strength Recent U.S. economic data continues to show resilience, particularly in the labor market and consumer spending. This strength provides further justification for the Fed’s hawkish stance and supports a bullish bias for USDJPY. As long as the U.S. economy outperforms its global peers, particularly Japan, the dollar is likely to retain its strength against the yen. 4. Interest Rate Differentials The widening interest rate differential between U.S. and Japan is another significant factor driving USDJPY higher. U.S. bond yields remain elevated, attracting foreign investment into U.S. markets, while Japan’s government bonds offer little to no yield. This creates a favorable environment for the U.S. dollar, keeping upward pressure on USDJPY. 5. Geopolitical Stability in the U.S. While geopolitical risks globally remain a concern, the relative stability in the U.S. compared to regions like Europe or Asia continues to attract investors to the dollar as a safe-haven asset. The yen, traditionally viewed as a safe-haven currency, is seeing reduced demand due to Japan’s domestic challenges and the BoJ’s accommodative policy, further boosting USDJPY. Technical Outlook From a technical perspective, USDJPY is currently trading near resistance levels, with the 150.00 mark acting as a key psychological barrier. A break above this level could open the door for further gains toward the 151.00 level. Support is seen around 148.50, which could act as a floor for any short-term pullbacks. Traders should monitor these levels closely as the pair’s momentum remains positive. Conclusion: USDJPY Bullish Sentiment Expected to Continue In conclusion, USDJPY is likely to maintain a slightly bullish bias today, driven by the ongoing divergence in monetary policies between the U.S. and Japan, strong U.S. economic fundamentals, and interest rate differentials. Traders should look for potential upside opportunities as the pair tests key resistance levels, with U.S. data releases and BoJ policy statements remaining crucial to shaping the pair’s direction. Keywords for SEO: USDJPY analysis, bullish bias, USD to JPY forecast, forex trading USDJPY, USDJPY technical outlook, Federal Reserve impact on USDJPY, Bank of Japan policy, interest rate differentials, U.S. dollar strength, USDJPY key levels, USDJPY trend today.
Long
by PERFECT_MFG
USD/JPY Analysis Update 01.10.2024USD/JPY Analysis Update: The market has moved slightly higher than expected, and currently, a bearish divergence appears to be forming on the 1H chart, indicating a potential pullback soon. We expect a support/resistance flip in the highlighted area on the chart, which served as resistance and now should act as support. This zone will be the entry level, with yesterday’s low as the invalidation point. The target remains unchanged from the previous analysis. Additionally, the diagonal trendline supporting the uptrend from yesterday’s low has been broken, which further strengthens the case for a potential pullback from the current levels. If the price holds above this level, we could see continuation; otherwise, a deeper correction might follow. ⚠️ Disclaimer: ⚠️ 🚫 This is not financial advice. Trade responsibly and conduct your own research before making any decisions.🚫
by RhinoAkaBear
USDJPY Short - A Bearish Setup in the Making?As we dive into the USDJPY chart, I'm seeing several key technical signals that suggest a potential move to the downside. Let’s break it down step by step: Weekly Timeframe: A Crucial Swing High First, we zoom out to the weekly chart, where we can observe that USDJPY is currently within a strong swing that recently broke a prior high. This is a crucial moment, as we often see a retest of the upper range of such a swing before the market decides its next move. Will it push higher, or are we preparing for a pullback? I’m leaning towards the latter. Daily Timeframe: Triple Failures at the High Dropping down to the daily, the story unfolds further. We’ve seen two previous attempts to break the current daily swing high, only for the market to flush down on this third attempt. This is my first major bearish signal, as failure to maintain momentum often precedes a reversal. 4-Hour Timeframe: No Support in the Pump On the 4-hour chart, things get even more interesting. I’m not seeing the kind of ladder formation that typically supports sustained pushes to the upside. Instead, the price action looks choppy, lacking the structure that would indicate buyers are in full control. This adds weight to the bearish case. Weak Stop-Loss Hunt: A Lackluster Liquidity Grab One more point to consider is the recent liquidity grab (or stop-loss hunt) on the 4-hour chart. While these wicks usually indicate a shakeout of weak hands, this one feels weak, more like a failed attempt to trap traders in the wrong direction. In my experience, when the liquidity grab doesn’t pack a punch, it often signals the market's lack of commitment to push higher. Timing is Key: The Tuesday Top Pattern Lastly, an interesting observation – USDJPY has a tendency to form local tops on Tuesdays, a pattern I’ve noticed over time. While this isn't a concrete rule, it’s an intriguing confirmation of the broader bearish setup we’re seeing here. Fundamental Analysis: Why the USDJPY Could Dump Fundamentally, USDJPY could be under pressure due to the divergence in monetary policy between the US and Japan. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) remains ultra-dovish, but there are growing signs of internal pressure to shift toward more normalization in policy, particularly with inflation running higher than expected. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve has signaled that it may pause or slow its rate hikes as US economic growth moderates. This narrowing of the policy gap could weaken the dollar against the yen, especially if we start seeing signs of a BoJ shift or weaker-than-expected US data in upcoming releases. Furthermore, concerns over global growth and risk sentiment could lead to a stronger yen as a safe-haven asset. If the stock market falters, capital tends to flow back into the yen, exacerbating the potential for a USDJPY decline. Conclusion: Eyeing the Lower Range All things considered, USDJPY looks poised for a move lower. A retest of the lower range of the current daily swing seems likely before any potential attempt to push back to the upside. Understanding swing highs and lows and their respective ranges is a key tool in this analysis. Let’s see how the price action plays out in the coming sessions.
Short
by Entropie2020
USD/JPY H1 | Potential bearish breakoutUSD/JPY has reacted off an overlap resistance and broken below the lower trendline of the bullish channel; price could potentially drop lower from here. Sell entry is at 144.06 (sell at market). Stop loss is at 144.80 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level and an overlap resistance. Take profit is at 142.88 which is an overlap support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
Market Fundamental Analysis for 1 October 2024 USDJPYAn event to look out for today: 17:00 GMT+3. USD - ISM Manufacturing Index USDJPY: The USD/JPY pair is building on an overnight good bounce from the 141.60 area, or near two-week lows, and gaining momentum for the second day in a row on Tuesday. The upward movement takes spot prices above 144.00 during the Asian session and is supported by a combination of factors. The US Dollar (USD) is receiving support from Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell's relatively hawkish tone on Monday, which prompted investors to cut bets on another excessive rate cut in November. The Japanese Yen (JPY), on the other hand, remains on the defensive amid comments from Japan's new Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba, who said that the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) monetary policy must remain accommodative to support the fragile economic recovery. In addition, Ishiba said on Monday that he intends to call a general election for 27 October. Furthermore, bullish sentiment in global financial markets is undermining demand for the safe-haven Yen and serving as a tailwind for the USD/JPY pair. Bulls on the Japanese Yen remained on the sidelines after the Bank of Japan's September meeting released a summary of views that the central bank will adjust its accommodative stance if economic conditions improve. In terms of economic data, Japan's unemployment rate fell more than expected to 2.5 per cent in August from 2.7 per cent in the previous month. In addition, the Bank of Japan's closely watched Tankan survey showed that sentiment among large Japanese manufacturers was stable in the three months to September, while sentiment among large non-manufacturers improved slightly. Nevertheless, this did not provide a boost to the Japanese Yen or the USD/JPY pair, supporting the outlook for further intraday gains. Market participants now turn their attention to the economic agenda in the US, where ISM manufacturing PMI data and JOLTS job openings data will be released. These data, along with speeches of influential FOMC members, will stimulate demand for the dollar and create opportunities for short-term trading on the USD/JPY pair. In addition, important US macroeconomic releases scheduled for the beginning of the new month, including the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, should determine the next stage of directional movement. Trading recommendation: Trade predominantly with Buy orders from the current price level
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
USDJPY BULLISH MOVEMENTA continuation buy setup for USD/JPY occurs when the pair is in an established uptrend, and traders look for opportunities to enter long positions after a pullback or consolidation phase. Here are a few key points to note about a continuation buy for USD/JPY: 1. Trend Confirmation: Ensure that the overall trend is bullish. This can be confirmed using trend lines, moving averages, or other trend-following indicators like the ADX (Average Directional Index). 2. Pullback or Consolidation: Look for a pullback to a key support level, such as a previous resistance-turned-support area, Fibonacci retracement levels, or a moving average (like the 50 or 100-period MA). 3. Entry Triggers: Use price action signals like bullish candlestick patterns (e.g., engulfing, hammer) or momentum indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD) to time your entry when the price resumes its upward move after the pullback. 4. Risk Management: Place stop-loss orders below the recent swing low or below a key support level to protect against a potential trend reversal. 5. Targets: Identify resistance levels or use extensions like Fibonacci or measured moves to set take-profit targets. Staying disciplined with technical setups and managing risk is key in a continuation buy strategy.
Long
by Nichu055
Automated Trading vs Manual TradingAutomated Trading vs Manual Trading In the modern world of trading, two distinct methodologies exist: manual trading vs algorithmic trading. Both these approaches aim at the same goal - to optimise profit and minimise losses in the financial markets. However, they vary significantly in their operation, the level of involvement required, and the nature of decision-making processes. In this FXOpen article, you will find the key differences between the approaches and their advantages and limitations that may help you to choose the right approach for you. Definition of Manual Trading Manual trading signifies the traditional approach to trading. In this method, a trader is actively involved in all aspects of the process. This includes conducting market research, analysing market trends, making buying or selling decisions, and placing trades. The manual approach relies heavily on the trader's skills, knowledge, and experience. The manual trader uses various tools and methods, including technical and fundamental analyses, to make informed decisions. These methods involve studying past market data, economic indicators, company financials, and market news to predict future market movements. Despite being time-consuming, many traders prefer this approach as it allows them to control their trading activities and make adjustments based on their instincts and experience. You can test manual trading at the free TickTrader platform. Definition of Automated Trading In contrast to human-based investing, automated trading, also known as algorithmic or robo trading, involves the use of computer programs or algorithms to analyse markets and place trades. These algorithms are designed to make trading decisions based on predefined rules and conditions. They can process large volumes of market data, identify market opportunities, and place trades quickly and precisely, something beyond human capability. Robots can be programmed to follow various strategies based on technical analysis, quantitative analysis, and other principles. These algorithms are typically developed using programming languages and require a high degree of technical expertise. However, many platforms now offer user-friendly tools for creating and testing algorithms, making auto-trading more accessible to the average trader. Also, some traders ask program developers to create a robot based on their requirements. Advantages and Disadvantages of Manual Trading Systems Despite being more traditional, manual investments hold their own advantages and disadvantages. Advantages: - The primary advantage of manual trading is the trader’s experience and ability to analyse markets. Unlike robotic systems, human traders can make intuitive decisions based on their experience and understanding of the market. In this case, the results of a duel between robot trading vs manual systems would end up beneficial to humans. - Another advantage of the manual approach is the flexibility it offers. Manual traders can adjust their strategies and risk tolerance levels based on the changing market conditions, economic news, and their personal comfort level. The manual approach also provides a deeper understanding of the markets, as traders are actively involved in trading. Disadvantages: - Self-trading is not without its challenges. It necessitates a substantial commitment of time and focus. Manual traders need to monitor the markets continuously, conduct thorough market analyses, and make decisions. Manual execution of trades may also be emotionally taxing; emotional decisions can often lead to poor trading outcomes. - In addition, human error can impact trading results. Unlike automated systems, manual traders cannot process large amounts of data quickly and accurately. This limitation can lead to missed trading opportunities or inaccurate decision-making. Advantages and Disadvantages of Automated Trading Over Manual Trading Advantages: - Automated trading offers several advantages over the manual variety. Some of the most significant benefits are speed and accuracy. Automated systems can analyse market data and place trades in milliseconds, which is impossible for humans. Also, algo trading allows for 24/7 activity, as human factors like fatigue or emotions do not constrain it. In this case, the algorithms win in a duel of algo trading vs manual trading. - Automated systems can handle multiple markets and securities simultaneously, allowing traders to diversify their portfolios more efficiently. By removing the emotional element from speculation, automated systems can help traders stick to their plans and avoid impulsive decisions. Disadvantages: - However, the automated approach also has its disadvantages. One of them is the need for a high level of technical expertise to set up and maintain the algorithms. Auto systems also have the risk of over-optimisation, where a system is fine-tuned to perform well based on past data but may not perform well in real market conditions. - Another challenge with automated trading is its inability to adapt to sudden market changes that a human trader could intuitively understand and respond to. For instance, traders may adjust their strategies accordingly in case of significant economic news or events, but an algorithm might not be capable of such adaptability. - Lastly, automated systems also carry the risk of technical glitches or system failures, which can lead to significant losses. It is, therefore, essential to regularly monitor and update automated systems. Does Algo Trading Beat Manual Trading? The question of "Does algo trading beat manual trading" is a matter of debate. The effectiveness of each trading method depends on various factors, such as the trader's skills and experience, the nature of the market, and the specific strategy used. Some traders may find success with robotics systems due to their speed and accuracy, while others might prefer the control and adaptability offered by manual solutions. In the world of manual trading vs automated trading in forex, it's essential to consider that FX markets are highly volatile and operate 24/7. This nature of forex markets makes them ideal for automated investing. However, the use of automated systems in FX also requires careful consideration of factors such as market volatility, liquidity, and technical glitches. Conclusion Ultimately, the choice between manual and automated investment boils down to personal preference, goals, risk tolerance, and technical expertise. Both methods have their own merits and challenges, and understanding these may help traders make informed decisions. Whether you are interested in manual or automated trading, platforms like FXOpen provide a robust and user-friendly environment for both. To get started on your investment journey, you can open an FXOpen account. Regardless of your trading method, remember that success requires a well-developed strategy, continuous learning, and effective risk management. So, keep learning, keep improving, and happy trading! This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
2
USD/JPY "GOPHER" Bank Money Heist Plan on Bullish Side.Hallo! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰 This is our master plan to Heist USD/JPY "GOPHER" Bank based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich. Attention for Scalpers : If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰. Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money. Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing Low Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 2H timeframe Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update. Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target. Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style. Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂
Long
by Thief_Trader
Could price reverse from here?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support. Pivot: 144.49 1st Support: 142.17 1st Resistance: 146.45 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
USDJPY / END OF SEPTEMBER AND INTO EARLY OCTOBER - 4HUSDJPY / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Current Trend: Prices dropped by 2.55% yesterday, approaching a key support level at 142.231 , If prices break and stabilize below 142.231, further declines are expected , Currently, prices are trading slightly above 142.232, and stabilizing above this level suggests potential increases of 3.50% and 5.00% , The analysis anticipates a possible upward trend towards the end of September and into early October. Technical Analysis: Current Market Condition: The asset is under bullish pressure , As long as the price remains above 142.231, the bullish momentum is expected to continue. Upward Condition: - Target 1: If the price trades above 142.231, it's expected to rise to 147.179. - Target 2: If the price stabilizes above 147.179, the next target is 149.345. Downward Condition: - If the price falls below 142.231 , it suggests a potential decline: - Target 1: A decline to 139.713. - Target 2: If it breaks below 139.713, further decline is expected to 137.306.
Long
by ArinaKarayi
Intraday Elliott Wave View Favors More Downside in USDJPYShort Term Elliott Wave View in USDJPY suggests decline to 139.57 ended wave (W). Pair then corrected in wave (X) with internal subdivision as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Up from wave (W), wave ((w)) ended at 142.46 and pullback in wave ((x)) ended at 140.43. Rally in wave ((y)) ended at 143.94 which completed wave W in higher degree. Pullback in wave X ended at 141.73 with internal subdivision as a zigzag structure. Up from wave X, pair resumed higher in wave ((w)) towards 144.68 and pullback in wave ((x)) ended at 142.88. Final leg wave ((y)) ended at 146.48 which completed wave Y of (X) in higher degree. Pair has since turned lower in wave (Y). Down from wave (X), wave (i) ended at 142.76 and wave (ii) ended at 143.76. Wave (iii) lower ended at 142.2, and wave (iv) ended at 142.95. Wave (v) lower ended at 141.63 which completed wave ((a)) in higher degree. Rally in wave ((b)) is in progress to correct cycle from 9.27.2024 high before it resumes lower. Near term, as far as pivot at 146.48 high stays intact, expect rally to fail in 3, 7, or 11 swing for more downside.
by Elliottwave-Forecast