USDJPYUSDJPY continues with bullish trend with a minor small push to the downside I have two zone to watch for the upcoming days 153.428 breaks above this zone it’s a potential push for more upside.
USDJPY.P trade ideas
Usd/jpy mmbm have .Leverage your model setups to execute buy trades effectively in this market.
The current market dynamics suggest a promising upside potential, completing the market maker buy model with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Utilizing these models, traders can align their strategies with institutional behavior, anticipating price movements with greater accuracy and confidence.
Credit to MMXM Trader and Inner Circle Trader for their foundational insights into market maker models, enabling traders to harness the strategies employed by high-volume participants. The application of these methods within today’s market offers an advantageous edge for those seeking precision in their entries and exits.
USDJPY: Asian indices bearish and U.S. concernsJapan's Nikkei 225 index closed with a loss of 1.55% on Wednesday, pressured by rising U.S. Treasury yields and the strength of the dollar against the yen (USD/JPY), which gained 0.38% on the session. This movement in the currency market reflects a growing preference for the dollar as a safe haven, driven by expectations of expansionary fiscal policies in the U.S. following the re-election of Donald Trump.
Impact of USD/JPY Strength on Asian Markets.
The rising USD/JPY, which continues to strengthen against the yen, directly affects Japanese exports, increasing export costs and reducing the competitiveness of Japanese companies in global markets. This is particularly relevant in sectors such as transportation equipment and trade, which suffered the biggest falls on the Tokyo stock exchange amid this volatile exchange rate situation.
The US dollar also strengthened against the yen, pushing the USD/JPY to a three-month high. The rise particularly affected Asian markets, which see rising yields and U.S. inflation as key factors that could cause the Federal Reserve to reconsider the pace of monetary easing. The Nikkei 225 was not the only index affected in Asia, as Hong Kong's Hang Seng and other regional indices also recorded declines, reflecting a cautious sentiment in the markets. In parallel, the US dollar futures index strengthened by 0.04% to 105.99, while the Nikkei volatility index showed a decline of 5.38%, suggesting a slight reduction in implied volatility.
Looking at the chart, the USDJPY has recovered much of its decline that began on July 11 through mid-September. This recovery has continued, recovering almost its value of 155,018 yen per dollar. It is currently very close to the checkpoint (POC) in the 157,000 yen area. RSI currently stands at 65.77%, so we are currently in a low zone of the long term channel so the extension does not seem to want to advance much further. Given so much current downward pressure, it is possible that the strength of the dollar, the thesis is that in the short term very possibly the Bank of Japan should take measures to control that undervalued yen, since a strong dollar seems to be affecting very negatively the Japanese market, so the target ceiling for Japan should not exceed 158.00 0 yen to avoid further damage to its economy.
Influence of Treasury Bonds and Inflation Expectations.
U.S. Treasury yields have risen significantly since Donald Trump's re-election, reaching levels not seen since July, driven by expectations of policies that could increase the fiscal deficit through higher spending and tax cuts. This rise in yields puts pressure on stocks as investors recalculate valuations on the prospect of higher long-term interest rates. Deeper deficit spending strangles equity valuations as risk-free rates rise. As the Federal Reserve is expected to maintain its vigilant stance, investors are closely watching upcoming U.S. inflation data to assess potential monetary policy adjustments.
Gold and Bitcoin as a Refuge
Amid market volatility, gold was up 0.15% on the day, trading around $2,612 an ounce, while Bitcoin recently hit a new all-time high near $90,000 before taking a breather in Wednesday's session, trading around $87,295. Markets have an expectation that bitcoin could reach $120,000 without corrections, especially aided by stimulus from China, which could support this momentum. Trump's proposed policies, which seek to make the United States the largest holder of cryptocurrencies on the planet and thus pay off its national debt with them, turning the country into “the cryptocurrency capital of the world” have generated optimism in the cryptocurrency sector, which anticipates a more flexible and favorable regulatory environment for the development of the digital market. In such a context, major investors such as Warren Buffet accumulate liquid assets by avoiding the stock market.
Crude
Crude oil for December delivery was up 0.15% at $68.22 per barrel, while gold futures for December delivery were up 0.23% at $2,612.30 per ounce. In currencies, USD/JPY rose 0.28% to 155.03 yen.
Conclusion
The combination of a strengthening dollar, a weakening yen and rising US Treasury yields has pressured Asian markets, with the Nikkei 225 down. Investors continue to watch USD/JPY and US inflation data, looking for opportunities in safe-haven assets and adjusting strategies ahead of the possible consequences of a more expansionary fiscal environment in the US.
Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst
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USD/JPY Update (1-Hour Time Frame)The price has reached a key resistance zone in gray. If we see a breakout here, my target will be the next resistance level in the pink zone. Keep an eye on this potential move as the price could head toward that pink level!
Read the USDJPY MarketLet's Look at USDJPY Chart and Read The Market From Highest Scale to the Lowest, and find some trade opportunities for next Days, Good Luck With Your Trades <3
USDJPY Daily Analysis: Slight Bearish Bias Expected Amid Mixed Introduction
Today’s USDJPY outlook suggests a slight bearish bias, with a combination of fundamental factors pointing towards potential downward movement for the currency pair. Factors including the Bank of Japan's policy stance, recent U.S. economic data, and shifts in global risk sentiment are influencing USDJPY's direction. This article outlines the primary drivers shaping USDJPY's outlook, offering insights for informed trading decisions.
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Key Drivers Influencing USDJPY Today
1. Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) Policy Stance and Yen Strengthening
The Bank of Japan has maintained its ultra-loose monetary policy but recently indicated a willingness to adjust if inflation remains consistent. Speculation around a potential policy shift adds strength to the Japanese yen (JPY), creating downward pressure on USDJPY. A more hawkish stance from the BoJ, even slightly, would increase JPY demand, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
2. U.S. Dollar Weakness Amid Mixed Economic Data
Recent economic data in the U.S., particularly in the labor and inflation sectors, has been mixed, leading to market speculation that the Federal Reserve may pause additional rate hikes. This dovish sentiment around the USD has contributed to its recent softness, which could weigh on USDJPY’s bullish momentum and favor a bearish trend for the pair.
3. Global Risk Sentiment and Safe-Haven Appeal of the Yen
The Japanese yen is traditionally seen as a safe-haven currency, and any increase in global risk aversion tends to boost demand for the yen. Current geopolitical concerns and mixed global economic outlooks have created cautious sentiment in financial markets, potentially strengthening the JPY as investors seek stability, thereby supporting a bearish bias in USDJPY.
4. Technical Indicators Favoring Bearish Movement
USDJPY is approaching significant resistance levels, which have previously limited upward momentum. The pair is also trading below the 50-day moving average, indicating bearish pressure. Additionally, both the RSI (Relative Strength Index) and MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicators show signs of downward momentum, further supporting the bearish outlook for USDJPY today.
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Technical Analysis Indicators Supporting a Bearish Outlook
Moving Averages and RSI
USDJPY has fallen below its 50-day moving average, which signals a bearish trend in the short term. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is trending downwards, suggesting increased selling pressure that aligns with the slight bearish bias.
MACD and Volume Analysis
The MACD has shown a bearish crossover, which could indicate further downward movement. Volume trends show increased selling activity, reinforcing the bearish sentiment in USDJPY.
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Conclusion
With a dovish Fed outlook, the potential for a BoJ policy adjustment, and current risk sentiment favoring the yen, USDJPY is expected to maintain a slight bearish bias today. Watch for further developments in U.S. economic data and shifts in risk sentiment to confirm this outlook.
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USDJPYLooking at USD/JPY, we've been printing new highs, so with that trend in mind, we're focusing on long positions. We've set a target using external liquidity at the Asian high. Since then, there’s been a mini sell-off, but this seems to be part of normal price action. We also have a 45-minute demand zone with an imbalance that needs to be filled, supported by liquidity on the downside near the imbalance. Once price reaches and mitigates this 45-minute demand zone, I'll be looking for entry points on the lower timeframe.
USDJPY Set for Bullish ContinuationHello,
FX:USDJPY is poised for further bullish momentum, with minor fluctuations expected but an overall continuation of the upward trend on the horizon!
No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost
TradeWithTheTrend3344
USDJPY 4hr LongUSDJPY
✅ 4hr Long ✅
💰ENTRY: 153.096
👎STOP LOSS: 152.692
TP TARGETS
⏰TP1
⏰TP2
⏰TP3
✅1. Weekly Time Frame: Price has been breaking bullish and trending above the 10, 50,200 EMAs.
✅ 2. Daily Time Frame: Price has been breaking bullish and trending above the 10, 50, 200 EMAs.
✅ 3. 4hr Time Frame: Price has made a valid correction into the 10 EMA.
✅ 4. Price has made a Swing Low Engulfing candle above the 50ema.
This is a great example of my systematic system.
USDJPY remains in an uptrend despite the strong dipThe USDJPY pair is under pressure as the dollar has given up part of its gains since the election of President Trump. However, the trend for USDJPY remains upward, and we’re currently seeing a correction.
In addition, why should we anticipate USDJPY to keep pushing higher for now? President Trump’s plans to cut taxes are likely to boost inflation, especially with the unemployment rate already at 4.1%. Additionally, if he introduces tariffs, it could further support the U.S. dollar.
On the other hand, if the geopolitical situation changes—for instance, if Trump comments on issues in the Middle East, Ukraine, or NATO that raise concerns—this could prompt a flight to safe havens, strengthening the yen. But looking at other currency pairs and stock markets, there’s no sign of panic; in fact, the risk appetite is increasing.
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Intraday Trading SuccessAs a trader, I've developed my edge mostly by combining price action momentum, risk and asset sentiment, and currency strength for intraday trading success. Here's how it works:
1️⃣ Price Action Momentum: By analyzing chart patterns, candlestick formations, price structure and trend dynamics, I can spot price action momentum. These observations reveal preferable intraday direction for high-probability trades.
2️⃣ Gauging Risk Sentiment: Keeping a keen eye on market sentiment helps me understand the broader risk appetite and the tone for any specific currency that session. Risk-on or risk-off sentiment impacts forex pairs differently, also guiding my trade selection.
3️⃣ Currency Strength Analysis: I assess currency strength using various tools like currency strength meters (available for free all over the place) and relative sentiment strength. Strong currencies are paired with weak ones for optimal intraday trend trades and being on the lookout for any divergence from baseline sentiment provides great mean reversion opportunities too.
4️⃣ Confluence of Factors: I look for confluence, where price action momentum aligns with favorable sentiment and robust currency strength. This trifecta enhances trade confidence and conviction. Then it's all about the right technical entries.
5️⃣ Timeframe Synergy: I try to ensure harmony between short-term and higher timeframe trends when selecting a preferred bias. My intraday setups align with the broader market direction for more robust trades but the time horizon for the trade idea still dictates what timeframe data I give more weight to.
6️⃣ Gains Optimization: By utilizing damage control techniques and setting realistic take-profit levels based on price action and key support/resistance zones, I optimize gains expectancy for better risk management. Risk-reward is another mainstream cookie-cutter influencer-regurgitated pile of dung I have never paid attention to in over 10 years of successful trading; we have gains potential and risk management and as long as these line up according to your rule-set, the RR means nada de nada.
7️⃣ Continuous Learning: I remain a student and continuously learn from my trades and market developments. Adapting to changing conditions is vital for sustainable trading success.
Combining price action momentum, sentiment, and currency strength has transformed my intraday trading game over the years. This approach allows me to spot high-probability setups, manage risk, and ride markets.
USD/JPY BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
The BB upper band is nearby so USD-JPY is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 152.850.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
USDJPY TRADE SETUPMarket trend is BULLISH so we are waiting for retest the entry level then wait for BULLISH momentum then take a trade for BUY otherwise skip this setup
USDJPY Uptrend in Focus: Fibonacci & Trendline AlignmentThis chart highlights a bullish setup for USDJPY, with the 0.618 Fibonacci level serving as a key entry point. Additional confluence from a rising trendline strengthens the bullish bias. I'm monitoring price action closely at these levels for confirmation before executing the trade.
USD/JPY surges as Trump storms to victoryThe US dollar is on a tear against the major currencies after Donald Trump’s sweeping victory in the US presidential election. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 154.62, up a massive 2.0% on the day.
There are still plenty of votes to count in the US election but it looking increasingly likely that Republican Donald Trump has been re-elected as President. Trump and Democrat Kamala Harris were in a dead heat going into the election on Tuesday and there was concern that declaring a winner could take days or even weeks, which would have led to prolonged uncertainty.
In what was a huge surprise to both sides, Trump cruised to victory. The win is even sweeter for the Republicans as they likely have won control of both the House of Representatives and the Senate. With the Republicans in charge, Trump’s agenda will be easier to push through Congress. It should be noted that at the time of writing, the vote count is incomplete and Harris has not conceded defeat.
The US dollar has responded to the Trump win with sharp gains and the yen is in full retreat. Trump’s threats to slap stiff tariffs on China, Europe and Mexico would support the dollar, as tariffs would raise inflation and interest rates. If Trump’s policies lead to trade wars, market sentiment will fall, further boosting the dollar.
The Bank of Japan released the minutes of its September meeting today. At the meeting, the BoJ kept rates at 0.25% and Governor Ueda said that BoJ would not rush to raise rates during market volatility. Those comments were a response to a stock market slide after weak US employment reports raised fears that the US economy was deteriorating much more quickly than expected. Those fears were unfounded and the markets don’t expect a BoJ rate hike before early 2025, although if the weak yen takes a dive, it could accelerate plans to raise rates.
USD/JPY has pushed past resistance at 151.86, 152.87 and 153.84. The next resistance line is 153.95
150.78 and 149.77 are providing support
USDJPY TRADE IDEAHi all
look like its a good time to short long JPY
**My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal**
Thanks a lot for your support
USD/JPY Buy OpportunityUSD/JPY Buy Opportunity: Potential Upside Ahead
I'm seeing a promising buy setup for USD/JPY as key technical and fundamental indicators align for a bullish outlook.
Technical Analysis
Support Level: USD/JPY has recently bounced from a strong support zone around , which has historically held well.
Moving Averages: Price is trading above the , indicating a longer-term uptrend. This level may act as dynamic support.
Trendline: A rising trendline from previous lows adds further support and confirms bullish momentum.
Bullish Patterns: There's a potential , which often signals further upside.
Fundamental Analysis
Economic Data: Recent strong US economic data (e.g., employment numbers, inflation trends) supports a strong USD.
Interest Rates: Divergence in US and Japan interest rates continues to favor USD as the BOJ maintains an accommodative stance, while the Fed hints at potential rate hikes.
Trade Parameters
Entry: Looking to enter around if we see strong bullish confirmation.
Stop Loss: to protect against unexpected volatility.
Take Profit: Targeting based on previous resistance and projected Fibonacci extension levels.
Risk Management
Ensuring sound risk-to-reward by setting appropriate stop-loss and take-profit levels. Will manage this position closely for any signs of trend reversal.
Disclaimer
Please do your own research and analysis. Trade responsibly and be mindful of market risks!
USDJPY Is Bouncing Toward The NWOGLike many other currency pairs on the US dollar, USDJPY also opened with a downgap this week. This was still not closed and turned out to be a break-away gap with further price losses. The upcoming decision in the race for the US presidency is likely to be accompanied by high volatility. We expect USDJPY to close its gap soon. This assumption is also based on the fact that the price reacted with a bounce after reaching a Fibonacci retracement at 151.36.
USDJPY - 4hrs ( Sell Trade Target Range 400 PIP ) 🟢 Pair Name :USD/JPY
Time Frame : 4hrs Chart / Close
Scale Type : Large Scale
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spreading knowledge among us and to clarify the most importan+t points of entry, exit and entry with more than 5 reasons
We seek to spread understanding rather than make money
🟢 Key Technical / Direction ( Short )
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Bearish Break
152.000 Area
Reasons
- Major Turn level
- visible range Hvn
- Channel Break Out
- Year High Area
- Day / Week low
Bullish Reversal
147.000 Area
Reasons
- Major Turn level
- Visible Range Hvn
- Pattern Target
- Month High
- Fixed Hvn
USDJPY Will Go Down From Resistance! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 151.684.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 147.149.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Its still bullish I will be interested in longs if ...price drops below the PWL as it's US elections week Im very cautious this is not a final prediction but rather an option.
Remember: If then....
If we get the confirmation, I will be looking to position myself with my students and followers as highlighted on the chart.
Accumulation / Manipulation / Distribution
- No liquidity raid = No trade
- Never buy high and never sell low
“Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.”
Dave FX Hunter ⚔
145.00 in the sights on USDJPYIntraday Update: The USDJPY continues to move higher post election night as the 154.75 level is the 161% extension of the Aug 15ht highs to Sept 12th lows. RSI is divergent, but with yields moving/breaking higher today its hard to see it stop short of 145.00.
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