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USDJPY.P trade ideas

USD/JPY Reversal from Premium Zone with Inefficiency FillAnalysis Summary Premium Zone and Strong High: The premium zone, marked between 153.100 and 153.300, highlights an area where selling pressure could intensify. The strong high at 153.100 reinforces this resistance level, suggesting it may act as a turning point if tested. Inefficiency (Fair Value Gap): The inefficiency (or FVG) zone at around 152.700–152.900 may act as a magnet for price to fill this imbalance. This zone could be targeted before a potential reversal from the premium area. Break of Structure (BOS) and Discount Zone: A previous BOS to the downside suggests bearish momentum. The discount zone around 151.500–151.700 below the current price could act as a support level if the price reverses from the premium zone and resumes a bearish trend. Weak Low: The weak low near 151.700 may serve as a target if the price resumes its downtrend, confirming a bearish continuation. Potential Scenarios: Bearish Reversal from Premium Zone: If the price moves up to test the premium zone around 153.100–153.300 and encounters resistance, a bearish reversal is likely. This could result in a move down to fill the inefficiency around 152.700 and potentially target the weak low at 151.700. Continued Bullish Momentum: If buyers push through the premium zone and the strong high at 153.100, this could invalidate the bearish outlook and suggest a continuation to higher levels. Conclusion USD/JPY is approaching a premium zone where a bearish reversal could unfold, targeting the inefficiency at 152.700 and the weak low at 151.700. Traders should watch for rejection signals near 153.100–153.300 to confirm a potential bearish setup.
Short
by SwiftSignalFX
1
USDJPY today The USDJPY chart shows a clear downtrend after breaking out of the highlighted price consolidation zone. The pair initially held within a tight range (indicated by the shaded box), but a decisive bearish breakout occurred, signaling a shift in momentum favoring the sellers. The price is now trading below both the 34 and 89 EMAs, reinforcing the bearish sentiment. Key levels to watch include the immediate support around 151.454, which aligns with previous lows. The chart suggests further downside potential if this support level fails to hold. The projected arrows indicate potential retracement levels where price may attempt a short-term recovery before resuming the downtrend.
Short
by Pierce_Bowers
2
USDJPY Possible short Although sellers appear to primarily be in control at the moment, Im leaning towards a slight push up back into the zone of 153.792 or previous Equal Highs/supply zone, as it's much closer to where price currently is. Once price reaches this area, I would pay attention to specific rejection candles if any should form, then anticipate the downward push towards the unmitigated demand zone of 149.226. This zone previously initiated an impulsive move that broke structure at 150.235 and rode all the way up to 153.152, thus adding more likelihood of price pushing back down to that good strong demand/order block.
Short
by gotpipsbro
2
Will the Yen Recover or Will the USD Continue to Rise?Hello everyone, let’s join Alisa in predicting the USD/JPY currency pair! The Japanese Yen (JPY) is struggling to recover against the USD, hovering near its lowest level since July 30, due to uncertainty about the Bank of Japan’s interest rate policies and the prevailing risk environment. Additionally, rising US Treasury yields, especially after the return of Donald Trump, are limiting the JPY. The sharp drop in the Yen has prompted intervention from the Japanese government, providing some support. Meanwhile, the USD remains strong, close to its highest level in 4 months, fueled by optimism about growth and inflation, which is supporting the USD/JPY pair ahead of the Fed's policy decision later this week. Based on technical chart analysis, the support level at 151.49 is helping maintain the upward trend for the USD/JPY pair. While the pair faces resistance at 154.58, any pullback would likely be supported at the previous resistance level of 152.41, providing a foundation for a potential recovery. If USD/JPY breaks through the 154.58 resistance, it could target new higher levels. Given the current technical and fundamental factors, what do you think the next move for USD/JPY will be? Will the Yen recover, or will the USD continue to strengthen?
by Alisa_Rokosz
Weekly FOREX Forecast: USD is STRONG Vs CAD, CHF, & JPYThis is an outlook for the week of Nov 4 - 8th. In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets: CAD, CHF, & JPY future, and USDCAD, USDCHF, and USDJPY. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
by RT_Money
USDJPY - Analysis My main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels. In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1D key liquidity level and left untouched level lower. But to take more statistically more probable trades we should wait for some time of lower timeframe confirmation. For me the best way to confirm higher timeframe context is structure. We can notice the break of market structure (sign of weakness) on key liquidity level, so there is a higher probability to see price lower at least on opposite level (marked lower). Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
Short
by Maks_Klimenko
USDJPY / TRYING TO REACH DEMAND ZONE AFTER SUPPLY ZONE / 4HUSDJPY / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Current Price Action: The prices are trying to reach a demand zone between 150.210 and 148.835. A demand zone typically indicates an area where buying interest is expected to increase, potentially causing prices to rise if they stabilize here. Upward outlook: If prices remain and stabilize inside or above this demand zone, it suggests the possibility of an upward move. This would be a bullish indicator, pointing towards an increase in price to the next supply zone between 152.763 and 153.914. Supply zones are areas where selling pressure may occur, potentially leading to price resistance. Downward outlook : If the prices break below the current demand zone (148.835), this would imply bearish pressure, suggesting a possible further decline. The next target in this scenario is another demand zone between 146.422 and 145.917, where buyers might step in again. Overall Market Sentiment: Despite the potential for a decline if the current demand zone is broken, the analysis notes that prices are currently under bullish pressure. This means the overall market trend is upward, but staying above the key demand zone is crucial for this bullish outlook to remain valid.
Long
by ArinaKarayi
USDJPY Slightly Bearish Bias Today: Key Fundamental Drivers !Introduction Today, USDJPY exhibits a slight bearish bias amid shifting fundamental factors and evolving market conditions. The yen’s appeal as a safe-haven currency and recent developments in the US economy are shaping USDJPY’s direction. In this article, we’ll analyze the main drivers that contribute to this bearish outlook for USDJPY and highlight what traders should watch in today’s forex market. --- Key Drivers of the Bearish Bias in USDJPY 1. Weakening US Dollar on Mixed Economic Data The US dollar has recently shown signs of softening, driven by mixed economic reports. Data from the past week, including non-farm payrolls and the ISM Manufacturing PMI, indicated a slowdown in US economic activity. This uncertainty around US growth is weakening the dollar’s position against safe-haven currencies like the yen. A weaker USD generally supports a bearish outlook for USDJPY as traders adjust their positions based on changing expectations for the Federal Reserve's policy direction. 2. Dovish Signals from the Federal Reserve Recent signals from the Federal Reserve suggest that it may be nearing the end of its rate-hiking cycle, with a possible pivot in sight for 2025. The Fed’s cautious stance has dampened expectations for further rate increases, which reduces demand for the USD. This dovish shift makes the dollar less attractive, especially when paired against the yen, a currency that typically benefits from safe-haven demand. The reduced rate differential between the US and Japan lends further support to a bearish USDJPY outlook. 3. Bank of Japan’s Monetary Policy Adjustments The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has recently hinted at making adjustments to its ultra-loose monetary policy, indicating a slow but potential shift toward normalization. Although the BOJ has maintained a dovish stance overall, any sign of policy tightening is significant for USDJPY. Market participants are speculating on a gradual shift, which could increase the yen’s appeal relative to the dollar, contributing to the current bearish bias for USDJPY. 4. Global Risk Sentiment and Safe-Haven Demand for Yen The yen’s safe-haven status provides it with support in times of risk aversion, and today’s market sentiment reflects a cautious tone. Geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty in other major markets are heightening safe-haven demand. As investors seek safety, the yen becomes more attractive, leading to bearish pressure on USDJPY as funds flow into Japan’s currency. 5. US-Japan Yield Spread Narrowing One important factor influencing USDJPY is the yield differential between US Treasuries and Japanese government bonds (JGBs). Recently, the gap has begun to narrow, as US Treasury yields decline amid expectations of a more dovish Fed, while Japanese yields remain steady or inch slightly higher. A narrower yield spread weakens the case for holding USD over JPY, adding weight to a bearish USDJPY outlook. --- Technical Analysis of USDJPY Technically, USDJPY appears to be trading near resistance levels, suggesting potential for a pullback. The pair’s price action is testing support around the 148.50 mark, a critical level that could dictate near-term momentum. Should bearish sentiment intensify, traders could look for downside targets near 148.00 or lower. Conversely, any break above resistance near 149.50 could challenge the bearish bias, although today’s fundamentals lean towards a slightly bearish trend. --- Conclusion In summary, today’s bearish bias in USDJPY is driven by a combination of US dollar weakness, potential adjustments from the BOJ, safe-haven demand for the yen, and a narrowing yield differential. As these factors continue to play out, USDJPY may face further downside pressure unless there is a significant shift in either US or Japanese economic policy. Traders should keep a close watch on upcoming US data releases and any new BOJ policy commentary, as these events could shape the pair’s movement in the near term. --- SEO Tags: #USDJPYAnalysis #USDJPYForecast #USDJPYToday #USDJPYFundamentalAnalysis #USDollarYenOutlook #BankofJapanPolicy #ForexMarketUpdate #TradingUSDJPY #USDJPYBearishBias
Short
by PERFECT_MFG
USD/JPY on the Rise: Aiming for 154 and Beyond if 151 HoldsHere’s the lowdown: USD/JPY is hanging out at the 151 support level. If this zone holds, we’re looking at a nice ride up to 152.47—and possibly higher! First take-profit at 154.23, and if we break that, we’re cruising to 155.80 and even 157. Simple Breakdown: Solid Support at 151 Right now, 151 is the key spot to watch. If we hold above this, it’s a good sign USD/JPY has the strength to keep climbing. Target Levels on the Way Up First Stop: 152.47 This is our first target, so keep an eye on the price action here to see if we’ve got the momentum. Take-Profit Zone 1: 154.23 If we reach this level, it’s a great spot to lock in some gains. Think of it as the first surf break! Take-Profit Zone 2: 155.80 If 154 clears, next stop is 155.80. This is where the ride gets exciting. High-End Target: 157 If USD/JPY stays strong and keeps moving, 157 is the ultimate stretch goal on this wave. Trading Tip Stay flexible with your levels. If 151 holds, ride the trend and take profits at each level to keep it smooth. Relax, set your zones, and let the market show you the way! MINDBLOOME TRADING / KRIS Where Trading Meets Wellness : Mindbloome Exchange
Long
by Mindbloome-Trading
USD/JPY May Experience Slight DeclineIn Tuesday's Asian trading session, the Japanese Yen (JPY) weakened against the US Dollar (USD), moving away from the one-week high reached the previous day. However, the decline in JPY may be limited as traders remain cautious amid the uncertainty surrounding the US presidential election, coupled with expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will raise interest rates in December. At the same time, the ongoing "Trump deal" and expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may cut interest rates later this week have led to a decline in US Treasury yields, narrowing the interest rate differential between the US and Japan. This weakens the demand for USD, providing support for JPY. Additionally, a weaker risk sentiment could favor the Yen and limit significant upside moves in the USD/JPY pair. With resistance at 152.337, the USD/JPY pair may struggle to maintain strong upward momentum. If the price fails to break above this level, the likelihood of a downward correction increases, with the nearest support levels at 151.500 and 151.000. However, if the Yen continues to face pressure from macroeconomic factors such as US election uncertainty or expectations surrounding the BoJ’s monetary policy, the USD/JPY pair may still test the 152.337 resistance again.
by Alisa_Rokosz
USDJPY InsightHello, subscribers! Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don't forget to boost and subscribe! Key Points - October 31: The Bank of Japan decided to keep interest rates unchanged. Governor Ueda mentioned that real interest rates are currently very low and added that they will raise policy rates as economic and price outlooks improve. - Iowa Polls: Following news that Harris is leading within the margin of error in Iowa, where Trump had a lead, we’re seeing a reversal in the "Trump trade." - November FOMC: The Federal Reserve is expected to implement a 25 basis point rate cut in this month’s FOMC meeting. - OPEC: OPEC and OPEC+ have postponed their production increase plans once again. Key Economic Indicators - November 5: U.S. Presidential Election, Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision - November 7: Bank of England rate decision - November 8: FOMC meeting results announcement USD/JPY Chart Analysis Although the Bank of Japan kept rates steady, hawkish remarks were made during the subsequent press conference, contributing to dollar weakness and yen strength, along with the "Trump trade" reversal. Currently, the price is forming around the 152 line. There’s a possibility of a further pullback to the 149.500 line; however, in the broader perspective, the likelihood of a rise to the 158 line is stronger. With the FOMC meeting and U.S. election this week, major factors will be in play. If the market direction shifts, I’ll swiftly adjust strategies.
Long
by shawntime_academy