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USD/JPY LMAX

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USDJPY_LMAX trade ideas

USDJPY at Major Support Level - Will Buyers Step In?OANDA:USDJPY has reached a major support level, marked by significant buying pressure. This area has historically acted as a strong demand zone, increasing the likelihood of a bullish reaction if buyers step in again. The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this support level, there is a high probability of an upward move. I anticipate that, if rejection occurs, the market may head higher toward the 147.570 level, which serves as a logical target within the current structure. However, a break below this support would invalidate the bullish bias and could lead to further downside. This setup reflects the potential for a retracement after an impulsive move, supported by the confluence of previous price behavior and the current structure. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
Long
by DanieIM
47
USDJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W15 D11 Y25 USDJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W15 D11 Y25 Happy Friday Traders, It has been a week of sitting on capital. Being cautious, awaiting for breaks of structures at key areas and not not getting dragged into trades that do not fully present themselves. The clues have been there. The carrot has been continually dangled however as risk managers... You know how the saying goes. We stay true to our trading plan. We hold firm with what we know works. We are aware of our market edge. We know our "perfect" set up does present itself. with that said, we are dynamic! We do of course entertain the "Imperfect" setup. We simply approach with caution. A slightly different take. Can we snap the lows of Tokyo in the London session. Tap into the 4 hour order block, push bullish to break Lower time frame structure? A quick setup with a take profit area where FRGNT anticipates a potential turn around in price short. Lets see how it plays ! Trade well. FRGNT X
Long
by JCFRGNT
USDJPY LONG POSITION FORECAST UPDATE Q2 W15 D11 Y25USDJPY LONG POSITION FORECAST UPDATE Q2 W15 D11 Y25 Good Friday to you, Traders! Take a look at this morning analysis! As per the morning brief, we await the price action to come to us. -Awaiting the weekly order block rejection. Aligning with rejection of the 4 hour order block. -Await of break of structure on the 15'. -Have it confirmed with a break of structure on a lower time frame. Be it the 5' or 1'. FRGNT, is current risk off the position and look forward to banking fun coupons on Friday as per the plan. Happy weekend. See you Sunday for a breakdown of all pairs. Until then. FRGNT X
Long
by JCFRGNT
USD/JPY Under Pressure – Bears Take the Lead After Break of Supp📊 USD/JPY Daily Technical Outlook – April 11, 2025 Overview: The USD/JPY pair experienced a significant decline on Friday, opening at 145.22, reaching a high of 145.50, and a low of 142.04, before closing at 142.30. This downward movement reflects the continuation of the bearish trend from earlier in the week, influenced by safe-haven flows into the Japanese yen amid escalating trade tensions and weaker U.S. economic data. ​ Mitrade 📈 Current Market Structure: After a period of consolidation, the pair broke below key support levels, signaling strong selling momentum. This move comes amid concerns over the U.S. economic outlook and increased demand for the Japanese yen as a safe-haven currency. ​ 🔹 Key Resistance Levels: 143.45: The previous support level, now acting as immediate resistance. A break above this level could indicate a potential reversal.​ 145.08/145.91: A significant resistance zone. A move above this area could challenge the bearish outlook. ​ 147.85: A major resistance area, which could be a target for buyers if the bullish trend resumes. ​ FOREX24.PRO 🔸 Key Support Levels: 142.04: The low for the day, which acts as immediate support. A stay above this level may prevent further declines. ​ Mitrade 139.59: A significant support level. A break below this could signal a continuation of the downtrend. ​ FX.co 137.92: Strong support, marking a previous high from March 2023. ​ FX.co 📐 Price Action Patterns: The strong bearish candles in recent days indicate dominance by sellers. The breakout below previous support levels and the formation of lower lows support the continuation of the downtrend. However, traders should watch for potential reversal patterns as the price approaches key support areas.​ 🧭 Potential Scenarios: ✅ Bullish Scenario: If USD/JPY holds above 142.04, the pair may attempt a rebound towards 143.45 and potentially 145.08/145.91, driven by short-term profit-taking and potential easing of risk-off sentiment.​ ❌ Bearish Scenario: If USD/JPY fails to sustain above 142.04, a decline to 139.59 could occur. A break below this level could lead to further declines towards 137.92.​ 📌 Conclusion: USD/JPY is exhibiting strong bearish momentum, influenced by safe-haven flows into the Japanese yen and concerns over the U.S. economic outlook. A sustained break below support levels could lead to further declines. Traders should monitor key support and resistance levels and stay informed on global economic developments.​ Mitrade Note: This analysis is based on data available up to April 11, 2025. Always monitor the latest developments and apply appropriate risk management when trading.
Short
by Saeed966
13
Yen Carry Trade & Rate Hike (BoJ)The USD/JPY pair is likely to fall toward the 140 level as two key factors weigh on the market: the unwinding of the yen carry trade and growing fears of a rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ). For years, Japan’s ultra-low interest rates made the yen a favorite currency for carry trades, where investors borrow yen cheaply to invest in higher-yielding assets elsewhere. However, as global markets face increased volatility and central banks tighten monetary policy, these trades are becoming less attractive. Investors are now unwinding these positions, which involves selling off foreign assets and buying back yen, strengthening the currency and putting downward pressure on USD/JPY. At the same time, the BoJ has hinted it may soon raise interest rates as inflation in Japan shows signs of persistence. Even the expectation of a rate hike reduces the appeal of the dollar against the yen, as higher Japanese rates would narrow the interest rate differential. This makes the yen more appealing and further accelerates the unwinding of carry trades. With these factors aligning, the USD/JPY pair potentially faces significant downward momentum, making a move toward the 140 level increasingly likely.
Short
by GER-Quality-Trades
1
USDJPY What Next? BUY! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the USDJPY next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 145.10 Bias - Bullish Safe Stop Loss - 144.25 Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market. Goal - 146.89 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
USDJPYCurrent Price: 142.868 Recent Trend: Bearish correction from highs above 146.000 📊 Technical Analysis: 🔻 Bearish Structure USD/JPY has been in a clear downtrend over the past few sessions, pulling back from the 146.000 level. Price is currently below the pivot zone (~143.700–144.100) which previously acted as support but now flipped to resistance. 📌 Key Levels: Type Price Level Notes Resistance 143.700–144.100 Pivot zone & breakdown area Support 141.300 Minor horizontal support Support 140.000 Strong psychological and historical level 🔀 Possible Scenarios: Bearish Continuation: If the price fails to reclaim the pivot zone, sellers may gain control again. Breakdown below 141.300 opens the door to 140.000 next. Bullish Reversal: If price holds above current support and climbs back above 143.000, we may see a test of the pivot area. A breakout above the pivot could push USD/JPY toward 144.500–145.000. 📰 Fundamental Factors to Watch 🟢 1. US Economic Data Yesterday’s CPI (Inflation) showed slightly hotter-than-expected numbers ➝ Fed may lean hawkish ➝ bullish for USD PPI data today will add clarity: If PPI > expected: Fed tightening bias increases ➝ USD stronger ➝ USD/JPY up If PPI < expected: Dovish shift ➝ USD weakens ➝ USD/JPY down 🔴 2. BOJ (Bank of Japan) Policy Outlook BoJ remains ultra-dovish, but recent comments hinted at long-term inflation pressures. If any signal of tightening or less dovish talk comes out, it could strengthen the Yen and pull USD/JPY lower. 📉 3. Bond Yield Watch US-Japan 10-year yield spread is a major driver: If US yields rise faster → USD/JPY goes up If US yields fall or Japan yields rise → USD/JPY goes down 🔍 Sentiment: “The market is in wait-and-see mode, hovering just above minor support. If PPI surprises higher, USD/JPY could bounce hard. But if sentiment sours, we may retest the 141.300 or even the psychological 140.000 support. Eyes on yields and the Fed narrative.”
Short
by xxChartWhizxx
USDJPY Wave Analysis – 11 April 2025 - USDJPY broke the support zone - Likely to fall to support level 141.65 USDJPY currency pair recently broke the support zone between the support level 144.60 (which stopped wave 1 at the start of April, as can be seen below) and the support trendline of the daily down channel from January. The breakout of this support zone accelerated the active short-term impulse wave 3 – which belongs to wave (3) from the end of March. Given the strongly bearish US dollar sentiment, USDJPY currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 141.65, former strong support from August and September.
Short
by FxProGlobal
[_] ONENTRYONENTRY USDJPY- ONENTRY ' 2Fib Strategy ' Timeframe: 30 Minutes Session: London Pre-Market (00:00 - 06:30 +2GMT) Step 1: Identify the Overnight Range Mark the high and low of the price range between 00:00 - 06:30 (+2GMT). Wait for a clear breakout with a candle closing above (for longs) or below (for shorts) this range. Step 2: Apply Fibonacci Levels After the breakout, use the Fibonacci retracement tool: Anchor Point 1: Start at the close of the breakout candle. Anchor Point 2: Drag to the start of the impulse move (first candle of the range). Key level for entry: 0.5 and 0.35 retracement. Step 3: Trade Execution Entry: Enter on a pullback to 0.5 and 0.35 Fib level after the breakout. Stop Loss : Long trades: Below the low of the breakout candle wick Short trades: Above the high of the breakout candle wick Take Profit Targets: TP1: 1.0 Fib (1:1 risk-reward). TP2: 1.25 Fib extension. TP3: 1.6 FIB extension TP4: 2.3 Fib extension (runner position). Step 4: Trade Management Move SL to breakeven when price hits TP1.
Short
by ONENTRY
USD/JPY Bearish Trade Setup – SBR + DBD Zone Rejection📉 Trend Analysis: 🔴 Downtrend confirmed by lower highs and lower lows. 📉 Descending trendline indicates continuous bearish pressure. 🔹 Key Levels & Zones: 🔵 Resistance Zone (SBR + DBD) – 144.123 📍 (Sell Entry Point) 🟠 Stop Loss – 145.209 🚫 (Above resistance to avoid fake breakouts) 🟢 Target Point – 139.694 🎯 (Strong support area) 🏹 Expected Price Action: 🔸 Scenario: 🔺 Price moves up toward the resistance zone (🔵 SBR + DBD Zone) 🔻 Bears take control (Rejection expected) ⚡ Drop towards target at 139.694 📊 Trade Plan: ✅ Entry – Wait for rejection at 144.123 (🔵) ✅ Stop Loss – Keep at 145.209 (🛑🔺) ✅ Take Profit – Aim for 139.694 (✅🎯) 💡 Risk-Reward Ratio: Good (More reward than risk)
Short
by Jameshead007
2
USD/JPY shows a bearish setupUSD/JPY shows a bearish setup, both in terms of technical patterns and fundamentals.​ Technical: Head and Shoulders reversal pattern.​ Key levels 140-142 break below, then 135-137. Fundamental: Strengthening the yen - BOJ might raise rates twice, and possibly inflation will remain around 3% as recent wage hikes fuel inflation Weakening the Dollar - falling U.S. Treasury Yields possibly to 3.5% range and below, Trump's intentions to weaken the dollar to make exports competitive and imports expensive. Note: Last time, Trump handed over to Biden with DXY at around 90, and the current direction is towards the same.
Short
by DonsTrading1M
2
USD/JPY in a well-defined downtrendUSD/JPY in a well-defined downtrend After Trump raised tariffs on Chinese imports to 145%, the U.S. dollar dropped sharply. This was surprising because just days before, when he raised tariffs to 104%, the dollar reacted differently. The price has fallen below a strong support level at 144.37, which is now acting as resistance. If USD/JPY moves back up toward this level, watch for a possible correction before the bearish trend continues. Important support levels to watch: 142.00, 140.00, and 138.00. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KlejdiCuni
1
Yen Gains on Recession FearsThe yen rose past 144 per dollar, a six-month high, as U.S. recession fears and a Treasury selloff boosted demand for safe-haven assets. Although Trump paused new tariffs for 90 days, total U.S. tariffs on China now stand at 145%, prompting retaliation with China imposing 84% tariffs on U.S. goods. The U.S.-Japan trade outlook remains in focus, with Japan still facing a 10% U.S. tariff but seeking better terms. Key resistance is at 145.80, with further levels at 148.00 and 152.70. Support stands at 142.00, followed by 139.65 and 138.00.
by ChartMage