Get started

USD/JPY LMAX

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Technicals Seasonals Economic Calendar

USDJPY_LMAX trade ideas

USD/JPY H4 | Falling to pullback supportUSD/JPY is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 149.97 which is a pullback support that aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 23.6% and 38.2% retracements. Stop loss is at 149.10 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 151.17 which is an overlap resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
EUR USD - Bias: Bearish - limit orderBias: Bearish Market Structure and Reasoning: The EUR/USD has been in an overall downtrend in recent days, forming successive lower highs and lower lows across multiple timeframes. The 4-hour chart shows a clear bearish momentum with price recently breaking below key support levels. On the 1-hour timeframe, we can observe a series of bearish candles with minimal retracement, indicating strong selling pressure. The 15-minute chart confirms this bearish structure with price trading below previous support zones. Trading Setup: The price is currently hovering around the 1.0788 level, which appears to be a weak support that has been tested multiple times. The overall structure suggests potential for continued downside movement. Entry: 1.0795 (Limit Order) Look to enter on a retracement to the 1.0795 level, which was previous support and may act as resistance on a retest. Stop Loss: 1.0830 Place stop loss above the recent swing high, limiting risk to 35 pips. Take Profit (TP1): 1.0760 First target at the recent low, providing a favorable risk-reward ratio. Extended Take Profit (TP2): 1.0730 Second target at the psychological level which should provide stronger support. Order Type: Limit Order Wait for price to retrace to the entry level rather than chasing the current move. Alternative Scenario: If price breaks above 1.0830 with conviction, the bearish bias would be invalidated. In that case, wait for a potential shift in market structure before considering new positions.
Short
by ShlomoYahbes
1
USDJPY Buy Setup – Breakout Confirmation & Seasonal TailwindTechnical: USDJPY has broken above a downtrend resistance line after finding support at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at 146.95 . This breakout suggests the corrective phase may have ended, signaling potential for further upside. Pullbacks toward 149.70 (a retest of the broken trendline) present an attractive entry opportunity. Upside targets are 152.74 and 157.10 in the short to medium term. The setup is invalidated below 147.97 , with a break below 146.33 negating further bullish expectations. Fundamental: Commercial selling of the Japanese Yen and renewed dollar purchases indicate a shift favoring USD over JPY, supporting the bullish technical outlook. Seasonal: Over the past 25 years , USDJPY has risen 76% of the time between March 25 – April 8 , with an average gain of 1.04% . Trade Idea: Entry: On pullbacks toward 149.70 Stop Loss: 147.97 (or 146.33 for extended risk management) Targets: 152.74 and 157.10 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by Signal_Centre1
Japan's Tariff Worries and BOJ Rate Hike HintsThe Japanese yen remained weak around 150.7 per dollar on Tuesday, near a three-week low, as the U.S. dollar gained strength. Trump's plan to impose tariffs on autos, pharmaceuticals, and other sectors raised concerns for Japan’s export-driven economy. BOJ minutes from January showed officials remain open to future rate hikes depending on wage and inflation trends, with one member suggesting a possible increase to 1% in late fiscal 2025. Still, the BOJ kept rates steady at 0.5% last week, maintaining a cautious stance with global tensions. Key resistance is at 151.70, with further levels at 152.70 and 154.00. Support stands at 147.00, followed by 145.80 and 143.00. 
by ChartMage
JPY/USD 4H Chart Analysis – Head & Shoulders BreakdownThis JPY/USD 4-hour chart showcases a Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern, a well-known bearish reversal pattern signaling a potential downtrend after an extended bullish run. The breakdown of the neckline support and the trendline breakout are key confirmations of a shift in momentum, making this a high-probability trading setup. 📌 1️⃣ Understanding the Head & Shoulders Pattern The Head & Shoulders pattern is a classic reversal structure that forms after a prolonged uptrend. It consists of three peaks: Left Shoulder: The first peak forms as buyers push the price higher, followed by a pullback. Head: The price rallies again, making a higher peak, but sellers start to gain strength, causing another pullback. Right Shoulder: A lower high is formed as buying pressure weakens, signaling exhaustion of the uptrend. This pattern is significant because it suggests that bullish momentum is fading and that a potential trend reversal is underway. 📌 2️⃣ Trendline Breakout – Bearish Confirmation Before the formation of the Head & Shoulders, the market was in a strong uptrend, supported by a rising trendline (dashed black line). The price respected this trendline multiple times, acting as dynamic support. However, after the right shoulder formation, the price broke below the trendline, indicating that selling pressure is increasing. A trendline breakout after a reversal pattern strengthens the bearish case, increasing the likelihood of further downside movement. 📌 3️⃣ Key Resistance & Support Levels Understanding the key price levels is essential for determining trade entries, stop-loss placements, and target zones. 📍 Resistance Zone (Stop-Loss Area): 0.006776 is the recent high and a key resistance level where sellers previously stepped in. If the price reclaims this level, the bearish thesis could be invalidated, making it a logical place to set a stop-loss. This level also aligns with the Head of the pattern, further reinforcing it as a strong supply zone. 📍 Support Level (Neckline Zone): The neckline (horizontal support zone) was previously holding as support but has now been broken. If the price pulls back to this area and rejects it, it could serve as a strong entry point for short trades. A confirmed retest of the neckline would validate the breakdown, increasing the likelihood of a further decline. 📍 Bearish Target (Profit-Taking Zone): The price is projected to decline toward 0.006457, which is derived by measuring the height of the Head & Shoulders pattern and projecting it downward. This level also coincides with historical support, making it a strong take-profit area. If bearish momentum continues, further downside targets may come into play. 📌 4️⃣ Trading Plan – Execution Strategy This setup provides a clear structure for planning a high-probability short trade. ✅ Entry Strategy: Option 1 (Aggressive Entry): Enter a short trade immediately after the breakdown of the neckline. Option 2 (Conservative Entry): Wait for a retest of the broken neckline as resistance before entering a short position. 🚀 Stop-Loss Placement: Above 0.006776 (recent resistance & Head of the pattern). Ensures protection from a potential false breakout. 🎯 Take-Profit Strategy: First target: 0.006457 (measured move of the pattern). Extended target: Lower psychological support if momentum continues downward. 📌 5️⃣ Market Sentiment & Additional Considerations While this technical setup suggests a bearish outlook, traders should also consider: 🔸 Fundamental Factors: Economic data releases, interest rate decisions, and geopolitical events can impact market sentiment. 🔸 Volume Confirmation: A high-volume breakout strengthens the bearish bias, whereas weak volume may indicate a potential fake-out. 🔸 RSI & Momentum Indicators: Checking if the RSI is in overbought territory or showing bearish divergence can provide further confidence in the setup. 🔸 Psychological Levels: Traders should watch for price reactions near key round numbers, as these often act as support/resistance. 📌 6️⃣ Conclusion – Why This Setup is High Probability This JPY/USD 4H chart presents a well-defined Head & Shoulders pattern, a classic reversal setup that indicates a shift from bullish to bearish momentum. The trendline breakout and neckline breach reinforce the bearish bias, making this a high-probability short trade opportunity. 💡 Key Takeaways: ✅ A confirmed trendline break + H&S pattern indicates a bearish reversal. ✅ Watch for a neckline retest as a potential short entry. ✅ Bearish target: 0.006457 with stop-loss above 0.006776. ✅ Consider fundamental factors & market sentiment for additional confirmation. 🔽 Overall Bias: Bearish 📉 #JPYUSD #ForexTrading #HeadAndShoulders #PriceAction #TradingSetup #TrendReversal
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
USD/JPY – Key Resistance Tested After Strong RallyThe USD/JPY pair has been in a steady uptrend after finding support near the 147.800 level, leading to a breakout above key levels. The price is currently testing a significant resistance zone around 150.500, where previous rejections occurred. Key Levels to Watch: 📌 Resistance: 150.500 (current test), 155.500, 156.500 📌 Support: 147.800 If buyers sustain momentum above 150.500, we could see a move toward the 155.500 - 156.500 zone. However, rejection at this level could trigger a pullback toward 147.800 support. Traders should monitor price action at this level to determine whether a breakout or rejection occurs. What are your thoughts? Will USD/JPY break higher, or are we due for a pullback? 🚀📉
by PIXEL_BLADE
USD/JPY (30M) Analysis – 25-03-2025📊 USD/JPY (30M) Analysis – 25-03-2025 📉 Current Price: 150.547 🟢 Demand Zones (Support): 149.851 - 149.955 – First potential reversal zone. 149.500 - 149.537 – Key support area. 🔴 Supply Zone (Resistance): 150.600 – Recent high acting as resistance. 📌 Market Outlook: Price is rejecting the supply zone and showing signs of reversal. Scenario 1: If price breaks below 150.500, expect a drop towards 149.851 (TP1) and 149.500 (TP2). Scenario 2: If price holds above 150.500, bullish continuation may occur. ⚡ Trade Setup: 🔻 Sell Setup: If price breaks 150.500 with confirmation. 🎯 TP1: 149.851 🎯 TP2: 149.500 🛑 SL: Above 150.650 #FXFOREVER #FXF #USDJPY #Forex #SmartMoney #PriceAction
Short
by FXFOREVER_87
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 25, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) declined against its US counterpart for the fourth consecutive day, taking the USD/JPY pair to 151.000, or a three-week high, during Tuesday's Asian session. Sentiment regarding global risk is being fuelled by hopes that US President Donald Trump's so-called retaliatory tariffs will be narrower and less harsh than originally anticipated. In addition, optimism over a possible peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine, and reports that China is considering including services in a subsidy programme to boost consumption, have further bolstered investor confidence, undermining the safe-haven yen. Meanwhile, minutes from the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) January meeting showed that policymakers discussed under what conditions the central bank should raise interest rates further. However, the minutes gave no clues as to the likely timing of the BoJ's next move and failed to make much of an impression on the JPY bulls. The Bank of Japan's hawkish outlook is at odds with the Federal Reserve's (Fed) forecast of two 25 basis point rate cuts before the end of this year. This could deter dollar bulls from making aggressive bets and support a low-yielding yen, which should limit the upside of USD/JPY. Trade recommendation: BUY 151.000, SL 150.200, TP 152.150
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
USD/JPY TRENDLINE BREAK OUT BUY ZONETrade Setup Rationale Entry Point: 149.500 Likely triggered by a bullish breakout above a descending trend line (resistance). Entry might be near the breakout level, assuming the price retests the trend line (now support). Example: If the breakout occurs around 150.00, a pullback to the 150.00-151.00 zone could serve as the entry point. Take Profit (TP) Targets TP1: 152.60 (near prior resistance or a measured move). TP2: 154.80 (extension of the bullish momentum, possibly a multi-month high). Stop Loss (SL) 148.25 (placed below the trend line/swing low to protect against false breakouts). Risk-Reward Considerations Scenario: Entry at 150.00, SL at 148.25 (175 pips risk). TP1 (152.60): +260 pips (1:1.5 risk-reward). TP2 (154.80): +480 pips (1:2.7 risk-reward). Note: Wider stops may suit swing traders, but ensure alignment with your strategy. Key Factors to Validate Trend Confirmation: Confirm bullish momentum with indicators (e.g., RSI > 50, MACD crossover). Fundamentals: Monitor BoJ intervention risks or Fed policy shifts impacting USD/JPY. Price Action: Watch for a clean breakout with volume.
by JAMES_GOLD_MASTER_MQL5
Elliott Wave View: USDJPY Rallying in Double ZigzagShort Term Elliott Wave view in USDJPY suggests that rally from 3.11.2025 low is in progress as a double zigzag structure. A double zigzag structure is a 7 swing double three Elliott Wave structure. There are 2 sets of ABC zigzag structure connected together, thus why the name is double zigzag. Up from 3.11.2025 low, wave A ended at 149.2 and wave B ended at 147.4. Wave C higher ended at 150.1 and this completed the first zigzag structure and end wave (W) in higher degree as the 45 minutes chart below illustrates. Pullback in wave (X) ended at 148.1 and pair has resumed higher in wave (Y). Internal subdivision of wave (Y) is unfolding as another zigzag structure. Up from wave (X), wave ((i)) ended at 149.66 and wave ((ii)) pullback ended at 148.6. Up from there, pair is nesting higher in wave ((iii)). Wave (i) ended at 149.95 and wave (ii) pullback ended at 149.48. Wave (iii) higher ended at 150.94. Expect pullback in wave (iv) to find support for more upside. Near term, as far as pivot at 148.16 low stays intact, expect dips to find buyers in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further upside.
by Elliottwave-Forecast
1