USDJPY_LMAX trade ideas
USD/JPY - What to expect as price consolidates above support?Introduction
The USD/JPY pair has been in a clear daily downtrend, marked by a bearish market structure and strong downside momentum. Sellers remain firmly in control, consistently driving prices lower as the pair respects the prevailing trend. Each failed recovery attempt only reinforces the bearish structure, suggesting that the path of least resistance continues to be to the downside.
FVG
Following the most recent drop, the pair is now consolidating just above a key support level. A short-term relief bounce toward the 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) wouldn't be unexpected. This particular FVG, formed during the last leg down, remains unfilled — and such gaps are often revisited before the trend resumes.
Confluences
Notably, this FVG aligns with the Golden Pocket Fibonacci retracement zone (0.618–0.65), adding further confluence and making it a potentially strong resistance area. If price does retrace into this zone, it could face significant selling pressure and resume its move back toward the daily support zone.
Conclusion
While a bounce from daily support is possible, I expect USD/JPY to encounter resistance at the 4H FVG level. This could cap any recovery attempts and signal a continuation of the broader bearish trend.
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#USDJPY: Huge Risk To Buy Read The Description
Trading JPY pairs is risky due to the market’s volatility.
USDJPY fell below our buying zone due to JPY’s bullishness and USD’s weakness. While USD has yet to recover, JPY is consolidating. The market is undecided, leading to unusual market movements. We have three targets in this chart analysis. Use it as an alternative bias and have your own analysis and trade management.
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USDCAD and USDJPY Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
SIMPLE PRICE ACTION - don't overcomplicate it!!! SELL USDJPYAll the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!!
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USDJPY Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my USDJPY analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
USDJPY 30M CHART PATTERThis chart shows a bearish setup for the USD/JPY pair on the 30-minute timeframe. The price is moving within a descending triangle pattern, a classic bearish continuation signal.
Here's a breakdown of the setup:
Entry Point: Near the current price level, around 142.5.
Stop Loss: Just above the descending resistance line, slightly above 143.0.
Take Profit: Near the lower support line, around the 141.5–141.6 zone.
The red arrow indicates a bearish move is anticipated from the resistance down toward the support. This setup implies a risk-to-reward ratio that looks favorable if the pattern plays out.
Let me know if you want help analyzing this setup further or creating a trading plan around it.
buy is coming on USDJPYThe USD/JPY pair recently experienced a bearish movement, which is largely influenced by heightened concerns surrounding the ongoing trade and tariff tensions between the U.S. and its global counterparts. This risk-off sentiment triggered a flight to safe-haven assets, weighing on the pair.
However, price action has now approached a key trendline support zone, which has held firmly in previous sessions. Technical indicators like RSI are also beginning to show signs of bullish divergence, suggesting a potential reversal. If this trendline continues to act as strong support, we may see a bullish bounce from the current level, aligning with the overall ascending trend structure but if the trade break these support zones, then the bearish movement might continues
for now we will be watching for confirmation signals such as bullish candlestick patterns or a break above near-term resistance levels to validate the upward movement.
USDJPY 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart shows a technical analysis setup for USD/JPY on a 30-minute timeframe. Here's a breakdown of what it’s indicating:
Support Zone (Green Box at Bottom): Price has reached a support level around 141.98 – 142.00 (marked by the green arrow). This is where buyers previously stepped in.
Stop Loss (STP LOSS): Placed just below the support zone, minimizing risk in case the price breaks lower.
Take Profit Levels:
USDJPY 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart shows a potential trade setup for USD/JPY on the 30-minute timeframe. Here's a quick breakdown of what's being illustrated:
Pattern: The chart appears to show a double top or "M" pattern forming, suggesting a bearish reversal.
Entry Point: The trader seems to anticipate a short (sell) position after the price reaches the second peak (highlighted with a red downward arrow).
Stop Loss: Placed just above the green resistance zone, protecting against a false breakout.
Take Profit: Targeted at the lower green support zone, aligning with the previous low.
Support & Resistance: Marked by the green horizontal rectangles.
Text Error: There's a small typo—"TAKE PROEIT" should be "TAKE PROFIT".
Would you like help interpreting the potential trade or backtesting this pattern?
USDJPY Outlook – Bearish Continuation or Bullish Reversal??In this analysis, I'm breaking down the USDJPY structure starting from the 4H to identify the overall market direction (Bearish/Sells), then zooming into the 1H to fine-tune potential trade setups.
On the 4H timeframe, we’re assessing whether the recent bearish momentum is likely to continue or if price action is showing early signs of a bullish reversal. The LOW created at 141.800 level is our first target IF we continue to sell as its creating that LowerLow.
IF price closes bullish above 142.500, I will switch sides and look for potential buys.
On the 1H timeframe, I’m watching for a bullish liquidity sweep below141.888, followed by a clear break of structure to the upside on the 15m or 1H for more confirmation. That would indicate smart money accumulation and a potential shift in market sentiment—giving me confirmation to start looking for long setups.
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CMCMARKETS:USDJPY
USD/JPY 30M CHART PATTERNChart Pattern Observations:
1. Descending Channel Breakout Attempt:
The pair was previously in a well-defined downward channel (marked by orange trend lines).
Price has now exited this channel and is consolidating sideways.
2. Support Zone (Potential Double Bottom):
Price is repeatedly testing a strong support zone around 142.400 - 142.600, forming what looks like a double bottom pattern, which is a bullish reversal signal.
The orange box indicates a clear demand zone where buyers previously stepped in.
3. Projection Path:
A bullish zig-zag arrow is drawn, indicating an anticipated bounce from the support zone, targeting higher level
Targets Analysis:
1st Target: 144.500
This level aligns with minor resistance from previous structure highs.
If the price breaks above the range, this could be the next logical zone where sellers may re-enter.
2nd Target: 145.000
This is a psychological resistance level and also aligns with Ichimoku cloud resistance.
Reaching this level would confirm a significant trend reversal or bullish continuation.
USDJPY SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs 3
Entry at both Daily and Weekly AOi
Weekly Rejection At AOi
Weekly EMA retest
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 146.500
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 4.99
Entry 110%
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USD/JPY H4 | Downtrend to extend further?USD/JPY is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 141.82 which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 143.20 which is a level that sits above an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 139.85 which is a swing-low support.
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USDJPY: Moving Toward 140 Support
In the previous analysis, we mentioned a temporary strengthening of the yen followed by continued decline. Now, after a sharp drop and nearing the key 140 support level, a short-term weakening of the yen is expected, which could be driven by a strengthening U.S. dollar.
On the daily timeframe, a temporary rebound from the current price level is likely, followed by the anticipated decline. This potential bounce could provide a new selling opportunity targeting the 140 support level.
DeGRAM | USDJPY Reached the Lower Channel Boundary📊 Technical Analysis
Descending channel
USD/JPY is trading within a downward channel, recently bouncing off support near 142.00.
Key resistance
The upper boundary near 146 serves as key resistance; a breakout would indicate a trend reversal.
Predictive scenario
Price may retest resistance with potential for further upside if bullish momentum holds.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
The Fed maintains high rates, while the BoJ remains dovish. The yield gap favors USD strength. Steady US data supports recovery, while global risks may limit JPY demand.
✨ Summary
A bounce from support within the channel aligns with USD-positive fundamentals. Watch 146 for a breakout signal.
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