Hang Seng..A series of gap`s to the downside!Hello Traders,
Hang Seng topped on May 11 @ 24766 and declined since within a row of gaps to the downside. This decline is a „five-down“ and indicates a change of trend. As long as the level of 24766 is valid, the focus is on the downside.
Gap`s did not occur randomly, they occur a the start, in the middle, and at the end of a trend. So the gap down, which occurred on May 12 is just the start of a longer correction.
If the low @ 23671 is a wave ((5)), the move since is part of a countertrend that should correct into a 0.5-0.618 Fibonacci zone of the decline that starts on May 11. This would be around 24218-24348 area. At 24320 a wave „4“ is to observe.
Today`s countertrend is not a clear „three-up“, but it could be the first leg of it. Note how price advanced above the declining trendline (red) and closed above that level.
Waves „2“ of any degree like to retrace a 0.5-0618-0786 Fibonacci of the first leg down/up and make traders believe, that the bulls are back. It often coincides with an overwhelming level of optimism.
The opposite of the message is true!
If Hang Seng should move into the range as mentioned, traders should look for reversal-candles and /or overbought indicators and also for overwhelming optimism.
I will update the chart in the coming hours.
Have a great week...
ruebennase
Feel free to ask or comment.
Any trading `cause of this analyze is at your own risk.