XAUUSD.F trade ideas
Gold (XAUUSD) 30-Min Chart – Bearish Setup Overview🟡 **Asset**: Gold (XAUUSD)
**Timeframe**: 30-Minute Chart
**Published**: April 15, 2025
---
📉 **Setup Type**: Bearish Reversal – Head and Shoulders Pattern
This chart illustrates a classic **Head and Shoulders** pattern, suggesting a potential reversal from bullish to bearish momentum.
---
### 🔍 **Key Zones & Labels**:
- **BOS (Break of Structure)**: Confirms initial bullish strength, but the structure break hints at a possible trend shift.
- **L.S (Left Shoulder)**: Marks the first peak before the head formation.
- **R.S (Right Shoulder)**: Indicates a lower high, a potential sell zone.
- **Support Zone**: Clearly defined area around 3188, acting as the potential **target** for the short setup.
---
📌 **Trade Plan**:
- **Entry Limit**: 3235–3237 (within the right shoulder resistance zone)
- **Stop Loss (SL)**: 3240 (just above the resistance zone to protect against a false breakout)
- **Target**: 3188 (aligned with previous structure support)
---
### ⚖️ **Risk-Reward Outlook**:
This setup offers a favorable **risk-to-reward ratio**, aiming for a move from the entry zone to the support area, assuming resistance holds.
XAUUSD sell trade setupThis chart outlines a Gold (XAU/USD) sell trade setup, based on a bearish double top pattern. Here’s a breakdown of the idea:
Double Top Pattern:
The chart highlights "TOP 1" and "TOP 2" at the same resistance level, indicating potential price exhaustion.
This is a classic reversal pattern, often leading to bearish momentum after the second top fails to break higher.
Entry Zone 3230
The trade is triggered at the resistance level after the second top, shown with a red arrow.
The price is currently approaching or at this level, suggesting the trader is anticipating a rejection and a move down.
Stop Loss (Red Zone):3247
Placed above the resistance line and recent highs, protecting the trade in case price breaks out upward instead of reversing.
Take Profits:
TP1 (Take Profit 1): 2:1 Reward-to-Risk Ratio — a safer exit, targeting a moderate price decline.
TP2 (Take Profit 2): 3:1 Reward-to-Risk Ratio — targeting a deeper move, likely to a previous support level marked by a blue horizontal line.
Trade Logic:
Price action bias: Repeated failure to break resistance = bearish bias.
Structure: Lower highs and signs of weakening bullish momentum.
Risk management: Well-defined stop loss and clear reward targets, with a risk-to-reward ratio that favors the trade.
XAUUSD M30 I Bearish Drop Based on the M30 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at 3223.18, which is an overlap resistance that aligns close to the 61.85 Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 3190.47, a swing low support.
The stop loss will be placed at 3246.28, which is a swing high resistance level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
XAUUSD H1 | Bullish ContinuationBased on the H1 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 3168.03, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 3219.83, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 3119.84, a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Daily gold analysisDaily gold analysis
Sell trade with target and stop loss as shown in the chart
The trend is down and we may see more drop in the coming period in the medium term
All the best, I hope for your participation in the analysis, and for any inquiries, please send in the comments.
He gave a signal from the strongest areas of entry, special recommendations, with a success rate of 95%, for any inquiry or request for analysis, contact me
Gold: Directional Break ImminentYesterday’s market remained calm without any significant swings, unlike the strong movements we’ve seen previously. Today, however, appears to be a critical turning point as the market prepares for a directional breakout.
📊 Technical Overview:
Gold is showing signs of retesting the resistance around 3240, while short-term support lies at 3194–3188. If this resistance holds and the price fails to break above, a double-top pattern may form—potentially triggering a major drop between Wednesday and Thursday.
If the price breaks above 3240, there may be around $30 of additional upside, but this is likely to mark the formation of a short-term top, followed again by a decline.
🎯 Key Bearish Target Zones: 3137-3106
Whether it breaks upward or downward, a bearish opportunity is building. Stay patient, follow the price action, and avoid emotional decisions to catch the move at the right moment.
XAUUSD: 14/4 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3300, support below 3150-2970
Four-hour chart resistance 3250, support below 3190-3150
One-hour chart resistance 3250, support below 3210
Analysis of gold news: Last week, the gold market staged a thrilling bull carnival, with a strong weekly price increase of $298. Among the many complex factors affecting the trend of gold prices, tariff news is like a "visible hand" that firmly controls the direction of the market.
Judging from the current situation, if the tariff policy is further tightened, the risk aversion sentiment in the global market will inevitably be re-ignited, which will in turn drive the gold price to continue its strong rise. On the contrary, once there is a sign of easing in the tariff policy, the gold market is very likely to reverse in an instant, fall rapidly or even fall into a situation of plummeting. Therefore, the key guidance for the trend of gold this week is undoubtedly focused on every subtle change in the tariff news.
Gold operation suggestions: Last Friday, the technical side of gold continued to fluctuate upward and break through the highs. The US market accelerated to break through and stood above the 3240 mark and closed at a high level. It closed with a big rise for three consecutive trading days. The short-term gold price has completely entered the overbought pattern.
From the current trend analysis, today's upper short-term resistance is around the 3250 mark, and the lower support is the one-hour level 3210 and the four-hour level 3190. In terms of operation, continue to buy in line with the trend when stepping back to this position. At the same time, gold is currently in a serious overbought pattern. Be careful of a sharp correction and decline.
Buy: 3210near SL:3205
Buy: 3190near SL:3185
Buy: 3150near SL:3145
Gold (XAU/USD) Bounces Sharply After Retesting TrendlineGold surged +1.43% to close at $3,126.77, delivering a strong bullish engulfing candle after bouncing off both the trendline and 50-day SMA support zone near $2,960.
🔹 MACD is curling back higher, hinting at a bullish momentum reset
🔹 RSI sits at 63.40, supportive of continued upside without being overbought
🔹 Key higher low structure remains intact above the trendline
The rejection of lower prices and follow-through strength reinforce the bull trend. Unless the price breaks below $2,960, buyers remain firmly in control.
Momentum was tested—and it passed. The bull trend remains intact.
-MW
XAUUSD H4 | Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is testing our sell zone at 3113.30, which is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit will be at 3056.01, a pullback support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 3169.78, which is a swing high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Gold Wave 5 Bull Complete?! (4H UPDATE)Wave 1 'Impulse Move' has moved very nicely to the downside & more is yet to come. So far the Wave 1 sell off has consisted of a 2,100 PIP move to the downside.
I'm now waiting on a Wave 2 correction of some sort, weather that's a 'Simple 3 Sub-Wave' or 'Complex 5 Sub-Wave' correction. During this correction I can enter more sell positions on behalf of my Gold Fund investors.
Gold Shaking Hands with All-Time HighsSafe-haven assets caught a strong bid in recent trading, directing Spot Gold to all-time highs of US$3,220/troy ounce versus the US dollar (XAU/USD). The shift towards safe-haven markets was fuelled by softer demand for the USD as markets fled dollar assets, as well as escalating trade tensions between the US and China. Unsurprisingly, the Swiss franc (CHF) and Japanese yen (JPY) also attracted substantial bids, with the USD/CHF pair notching up losses of nearly 4.0% – its largest one-day drop since 2015!
Monthly Resistance and Oversold Conditions
Several desks are reportedly eyeing US$3,500 as the next upside objective for Gold; however, the monthly chart reveals it is considerably overbought according to the Relative Strength Index (RSI). You will note the RSI has remained within overbought territory since mid-2024 and recently touched gloves with familiar resistance between 87.31 and 82.20. This area boasts historical significance from as far back as 2006, and each time the Index has approached the resistance, a correction/pause typically followed in the yellow metal. Consequently, it raises the question about whether buying is set to moderate/pause at the monthly resistance area between US$3,264 and US$3,187 (made up of 1.618% and 1.272% Fibonacci projection ratios, respectively).
Daily Demand Zone; Dip-Buying?
Meanwhile, on the daily chart, price action came within a stone’s throw of testing support from US$2,942 at the beginning of the week before rallying to all-time highs noted above. What is interesting from a technical perspective is that the move left behind a demand area at US$3,000-US$3,058, which, in my opinion, represents a key technical zone.
With Gold firmly entrenched in a strong uptrend, dip-buyers could emerge from the daily demand area if a correction occurs. That said, given technical indicators on the monthly chart suggesting buyers could pump the brakes, any dip-buying activity would likely be approached with caution. Confirmation – such as a bullish candlestick signal or supporting price action on lower time frames – might be required before pulling the trigger. However, any movement below the mentioned demand area signals bearish strength from the monthly resistance zone, and potentially opens the door to short-term selling opportunities, targeting daily support at US$2,942, closely followed by support at US$2,865, and possibly US$2,790.
Written by FP Markets Chief Market Analyst Aaron Hill
Your Best Trading Signal Formula Revealed (Forex, Gold)
If you are looking for a way to increase the accuracy of your trades, I prepared for you a simple yet powerful checklist that you can apply to validate your trades.
✔️ - The trades fit my trading plan
When you are planning to open a trade, make sure that it is strictly based on your rules and your entry reasons match your trading plan.
For example, imagine you found some good reasons to buy USDJPY pair, and you decide to open a long trade. However, checking your trading plan, you have an important rule there - the market should strictly lie on a key level.
The current market conditions do not fit your trading plan, so you skip that trade.
✔️ - The trade is in the direction with the trend
That condition is mainly addressed to the newbie traders.
Trading against the trend is much more complicated and riskier than trend-following trading, for that reason, I always recommend my students sticking with the trend.
Even though USDCHF formed a cute double bottom pattern after a strong bearish trend, and it is appealing to buy the oversold market, it is better to skip that trade because it is the position against the current trend.
✔️ - The trade has stop loss and target level
Know in advance where will be your goal for the trade and where you will close the position in a loss.
If you think that it is a good idea to buy gold now, but you have no clue how far it will go and where can be the target, do not take such a trade.
You should know your tp/sl before you open the trade.
✔️ - The trade has a good risk to reward ratio
Planning the trade, your potential reward should outweigh the potential risks. And of course, there are always the speculations about the optimal risk to reward ratio, however, try to have at least 1.3 R/R ratio.
Planning a long trade on EURNZD with a safe stop loss being below the current support and target - the local high, you can see that you get a negative r/r ratio, meaning that the potential risk is bigger than the potential reward. Such a trade is better to skip.
✔️ - I am ok with losing this trade if the market goes against me
Remember that even the best trading setups may occasionally fail. You should always be prepared for losses, and always keep in mind that 100% winning setups do not exist.
If you are not ready to lose, do not even open the position then.
✔️ - There are no important news events ahead
That rule is again primarily addressed to newbies because ahead and during the important news releases we have sudden volatility spikes.
Planning the trade, check the economic calendar, filtering top important news.
If important fundamentals are expected in the coming hours, it's better to wait until the news release first.
Taking a long trade on Gold, you should check the fundamentals first. Only after you confirm, that there are no fundamentals coming soon, you can open the position.
What I like about that checklist is that it is very simple, but you can use it whether you are a complete newbie or an experienced trader.
Try it and let me know if it helps you to improve your trading performance.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Has the gold tariff peaked?The 4H cycle failed to open upward. According to the general rule, there is a certain probability of a downward kill. The watershed below is still 3100. Only if it falls below this position can it gradually turn to short. At the same time, the current volatility is very large, and any fluctuation starts at ten points. It is recommended to reduce the position to trade; the current long structure of gold has not changed. The key support watershed below is still 3100. Above 3100, the strong bullish idea remains unchanged. Short-term operations rely on 3100 for defense, and enter the market near 3116 to gradually look up. Focus on the strength of the European session. If the European session rebounds and does not break the high, then short the US session at highs, and pay attention to the resistance of the 3148-50 area above.
Today's gold short-term operation ideas suggest that rebounding should be the main focus, and callbacks should be supplemented by longs. The upper short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3148-3150, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3100-3110 first-line support.
Short order strategy
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3148-3150, stop loss 6 points, target around 3135-3125, and look at 3115 if it breaks;
Long order strategy
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 3115-3118, stop loss 6 points, target around 3130-3140, and look at 3150 if it breaks;
Gold accurate prediction long and short winsThe intraday rebound was under pressure at 3054 and it was trading sideways. The European session was volatile and was accumulating momentum, so be careful of a high rise and fall. Focus on the break of the 3054 first-line pressure. If it breaks above, we will see further pressure at 3073. If it falls below the intraday low of 3013, then we will see a second test of the lows of 2980-2972. Pay attention to whether a double bottom support structure can be formed here.
Gold may rise and then fall!When the market was falling, we placed a long position at 2980 and took profit at 3000; when it fell for the second time, we continued to buy at 2980 and took profit at 3040; when it rebounded and touched 3054, we went short, reduced our position at 3032, and took profit at 3021. The current market fluctuates greatly, and the profit made around the two positions of 2980 and 3054 is already very considerable.
There are many points worth interpreting in the intraday market, let's review and replay:
Today, the market bottomed out and rebounded, and the market fell sharply at the opening. Did you chase the short position? The 2980 first-line support was tested many times without breaking, which was a move to lure shorts, waiting for you to get trapped.
What was the result? Did it rebound at the 2980 first-line support? From the low of 2972 to the high of 3054, the hourly single-yang rebound reached 82 US dollars, which did not give you a chance to escape.
The position of 3054 is in line with the regional pressure of 3050-3060 mentioned at the weekend. It is a top-bottom conversion position. The low point of last Thursday broke the support and turned into pressure on Friday. If it is touched today, it must be shorted no matter what.
Of course, there is also a false move here at 3054. The first time it touched the pressure and fell to 3036, and then it attacked again to test 3054 again. Did you chase it? It was finished as soon as you chased it. Then it fell to 3017, and the drop of 37 US dollars directly swept away your long.
So, if you say whether technical analysis is useful or not, it must be useful. Of course, there are times when it fails. For example, in the market that fell straight throughout the whole process like last Thursday and Friday, any analysis is meaningless, but this is a minority after all. The technical reliability of returning to normal trend is still trustworthy.
So how should gold be viewed in the evening?
Today is the third day of continuous decline. From a technical point of view, such a continuous and large decline usually lasts for about 3 days, and no more than 4 days at most, and it will turn positive and correct, so the decline of gold today has slowed down significantly.
The intraday rebound was under pressure at 3054 and it was trading sideways. The European session was volatile and was accumulating momentum. Be careful of a high rise and fall in the evening. Focus on the break of the 3054 first-line pressure. If it breaks above, we will see further pressure at 3073. If it falls below the intraday low of 3013 in the evening, then we will see a second test of the lows of 2980-2972. Pay attention to whether a double bottom support structure can be formed here.