Can gold still go long?The market has ushered in key variables. There is uncertainty about the increase in tariffs in the tariff policy. Whether it is a reciprocal tariff or a 25% increase on the basis of the reciprocal tariff has attracted much attention. However, even if the news is not as good as market expectations, the price of gold will only fall back at most, because the implementation of the tariff policy will slow down the development of the global economy, especially the impact on the manufacturing industry, which is not conducive to the recovery of the global economy. Under the global economic contraction, the price of gold will inevitably be supported. In addition, the ADP data is also crucial, which is related to the trend of non-agricultural data. At present, the probability of interest rate cuts has increased to 50%, and the expectation of interest rate cuts has supported gold. The overall environment is good for gold. Although the news will cause price fluctuations in the short term, it is difficult to change the overall rhythm. The bull trend cannot continue indefinitely; second: the reversal of the trend is bound to be accompanied by changes in the fundamental environment; we are now in the third stage of the bull market, and it is a historical bull market trend, which cannot be treated in a conventional way of thinking; the subsequent trend changes will definitely give us enough time and space to make arrangements! The hourly line of gold dropped to 3110 again. Obviously, the bulls have withstood the test. The big positive line took off directly. The bullish trend has not changed. The big positive line broke through the suppression of the moving average again. At present, it is rising on the moving average and continues to look at the 3150 line. Investment strategy: Gold 3110 long, stop loss 3100, target 3180
