Golden EpiphanyWhen told only fools chase gold, I quipped, 'Maybe I am a fool—but at least I’ve got glittering standards and a sense of humour that outshines any treasure!'
XAUUSD.P trade ideas
CHECK XAUUSD ANALYSIS SIGNAL UPDATE > GO AND READ THE CAPTAINBaddy dears friends 👋🏼
(XAUUSD) trading signals technical analysis satup👇🏼
I think now (XAUUSD) ready for(SELL)trade ( XAUUSD ) SELL zone
( TRADE SATUP) 👇🏼
ENTRY POINT (3107) to (3105) 📊
FIRST TP (3101)📊
2ND TARGET (3094) 📊
LAST TARGET (3088) 📊
STOP LOOS (3115)❌
Tachincal analysis satup
Fallow risk management
XAU/USD 03 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Since last analysis price has continued extremely bullish. This is most likely due to market jitters caused by Trump's tariff policy which is driving up the price of gold.
This solidifies gold as a safe haven asset and could lead to repricing.
As mentioned in previous analysis that I will continue to monitor price.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS which is marked in red, this is due to the fact that the depth of the pullback has been shallow and has not pulled back into either discount of internal 50% EQ or mitigated a H4 demand zone.
As a result, price now is trading within an internal low and fractal high.
Intraday Expectation:
Await for price to print a bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 01 April 2025
Since last analysis price has continued extremely bullish. This is most likely due to market jitters caused by the trump tariffs.
This solidifies gold as a safe haven asset and could lead to repricing.
You will note price has printed a bullish followed by a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation.
Whilst I am aware that price has not traded into discount of internal 50% or mitigated any demand zone, I will mark this as an iBOS due to time spent.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 3,167.835.
Alternative scenario:
As H4 appears to be in bearish pullback phase, although we do not currently have any indication, it would not come a surprise if price prints a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Thursday, 3rd April 2024)Bias: Bullish
USD News(Red Folder):
-Unemployment Claims
-ISM Services PMI
Analysis:
-Strong bullish momentum after US tariffs being announced
-Looking for retest of the bullish structure
-Potential BUY if there's confirmation on lower timeframe
-Pivot point: 3100
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
XAUUSD We seem to have entered ino a consolidation, price rejecting off equal highs and lows.
however we can clearly see a beautifuly formed H&S pattern, so technically this should still drop
XAU / USD 1 Hour ChartHello traders. Just a quick post on the hourly chart showing a potential pull back scalp trade. I am watching the area marked on the chart to see if we break and close above or reject and push down again as the news today was good for the US dollar which usually pushes gold down a bit. Let's see how things play out now that the NY open is upon us. Big G gets a shout out. Be well and trad the trend.
xauusd/M15
"In the specified lower range, I expect a buy upon observing a trigger up to the identified supply range. Additionally, I anticipate a breakout above the ceiling from that point. The best range for taking a buy is the identified lower range, where you can proceed with a trigger aligned with your style."
XAU/USD 02 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Since last analysis price has continued extremely bullish. This is most likely due to market jitters caused by Trump's tariff policy which is driving up the price of gold.
This solidifies gold as a safe haven asset and could lead to repricing.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH indicating, but not confirming bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now contained within an established internal structure. I will however continue to monitor price to evaluate depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,149.090.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 01 April 2025
Since last analysis price has continued extremely bullish. This is most likely due to market jitters caused by the trump tariffs.
This solidifies gold as a safe haven asset and could lead to repricing.
You will note price has printed a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor price.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 3,149.090.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Butterfly into Crab HarmonicBearish Crab Harmonic
Butterfly Harmonic Currently in action
Valid Harmonic Ratios for Crab Harmonic, Point D can be fulfilled
If so we have the set targets according to this structure
Gold Wave 5 Bull Complete?! (4H UPDATE)There's 2 options on how I think Gold will complete its ‘Ending Diagonal’ pattern of the EW Theory & drop.
Option 1: We see a move higher towards $3,162 - $3,174 as a final LQ grab, before sellers kick in.
Option 2: Sellers kick in from CMP & slowly drag price back down.
Either way, I’m NOT LOOKING TO SELL until a strong confirmation at $3,057.
Gold Hits New Highs Amid Rising UncertaintyGold ended last week at historic levels, closing near $3,085 per ounce, amid rising economic uncertainty and renewed tariff-related rhetoric from the U.S. President, particularly concerning the automotive sector.
During late trading hours yesterday, fresh developments regarding trade tensions—along with references to potential geopolitical escalation—were noted. These factors appeared to contribute to a gap-up opening for gold, which reached a new all-time high of $3,125 per ounce.
While future price movements remain uncertain, market participants may monitor the following levels:
* The $3,125 high could serve as a key reference point; any revisit to this level may draw attention to the $3,150 area.
* A moderation in momentum near $3,125 might result in a revisit to the $3,112 level.
* Should prices fall below $3,110, the $3,100 area—commonly observed as a psychological benchmark—may become relevant.
* A continuation below $3,100 might bring the previous high of $3,085 back into focus.
XAU/USD 01 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Since last analysis price has continued extremely bullish. This is most likely due to market jitters caused by Trump's tariff policy which is driving up the price of gold.
This solidifies gold as a safe haven asset and could lead to repricing.
You will note a further bullish iBOS marked in red. This is due to the fact the price did not trade down to either discount of internal 50% or a demand level.
Intraday Expectation:
Due to the bullish nature of the market, with very minimal pullback I will continue to visually map until price pulls back enough to plot structure.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Since last analysis price has continued extremely bullish. This is most likely due to market jitters caused by the trump tariffs.
This solidifies gold as a safe haven asset and could lead to repricing.
You will note price has printed a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor price.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 3,149.090.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Gold's direction for 1st week of April; 2025We are still strongly bullish. We expect pullbacks to the 50ema either on 1hour or 4hour timeframe, from where we expect gold to resume its bullish momentum
GOLD - 1H UPDATE
Gold dropped nicely today, in a strong impulsive move which normally indicates a reversal. We also saw price touch $3,057, but we did say price also needs to close below that level which it never done. There's 2 possible plays on its next move;
1. Price just carries on dropping lower in the next week as expected.
2. Gold starts to consolidate, creating a 'redistribution schematic' for a bigger sell off. But this could also mean Gold creating 1 more new ATH.
XAU/USD(20250403) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
US trade policy-① Trump signed an executive order to establish a 10% "minimum base tariff" for all countries, and will impose reciprocal tariffs, including 20% for the EU, 24% for Japan, 46% for Vietnam, and 25% for South Korea. The tariff exemption for goods that meet the USMCA will continue, and the tariff for those that do not meet the requirements will remain at 25%; ② The US Treasury Secretary called on countries not to retaliate; ③ The base tariff will take effect on April 5, and the reciprocal tariff will take effect on the 9th. In addition, the 25% automobile tariff will take effect on the 3rd, and the automobile parts tariff will take effect on May 3rd; ④ Gold bars, copper, pharmaceuticals, semiconductors and wood products are also not subject to "reciprocal tariffs".
Today's long and short boundaries:
3127
Support and resistance levels
3164
3150
3141
3113
3103
3089
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 3150, consider going long, with the first target price at 3164
If the price breaks through 3141, consider going short, with the first target price at 3127
XAUUSD 4H forecastLooking for further upside on #GOLD we have an impulse pattern up. Waves 1 and 4 not overlapping and projecting a fifth wave completion. Wave 4 is a running Triangle pattern.
4.2 Analysis of intraday gold strategy4.2 Analysis of intraday gold strategy
Core logic:
Impact of Trump's tariff policy
If the increase in tariffs exceeds expectations (such as equal +25%), it will intensify risk aversion and directly push up gold.
If the magnitude is moderate, gold prices may correct in the short term, but they will still receive support in the medium and long term (policies slow down global economic recovery, manufacturing is under pressure, and safe-haven demand is solid).
Technical points:
Resistance level: 3140, the next target after breaking through is 3160-3180.
Support level: 3100, if it fails, look down to 3080.
Intraday rhythm forecast
If it continues to stand above 3120 and breaks through 3140, the probability of long continuation is high.
Long strategy
Entry conditions: Find a position above 3125 to go long
Target: 3160-3180, stop loss 3125
Short strategy
Entry conditions: Find a position to short below 3150
Target: 3120-3100, stop loss 3150.
XAUUSD Analysis
1. Key Levels & Structure
• Resistance Turned Support: The price has broken above a strong resistance level (marked by the thick red line).
• Possible Retest Zone: A pullback (retest) to the breakout zone is indicated, which could confirm support before moving higher.
• Major Support Area Below: The lower red box marks a previous demand zone, meaning price might fall back to this area if the retest fails.
2. Market Trend
• Uptrend Confirmation: Price has been making higher highs and higher lows, confirming an uptrend.
• Breakout & Retest Pattern: The chart suggests a possible retest of the breakout area before continuing upwards.
3. Entry & Exit Strategy
• Entry Point: The ideal buy zone is near the small pink box (retest area).
• Stop Loss: Below the lower red support zone, in case the retest fails and price drops.
• Take Profit: The green box above shows the expected bullish target if the retest holds.
4. Confirmation Signals
• Watch for Bullish Candlestick Reversal (such as a bullish engulfing or pin bar) near the retest zone before entering a trade.
• Volume Increase on Breakout would confirm strength in the uptrend.
Overall Outlook
• Bullish Bias: If the price successfully retests and bounces, it may continue rising.
• Bearish Risk: If the support fails, the price could drop back to the lower support zone.
#GOLD #IDEA#GOLD #IDEA GOLD On H1 show Big BUY Set-Up so we will wait on M5 show Buy Model for Buying entry take care Guy wait for buy on M5
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Well, that couldn't have gone any better today on Gold. We got the move into support we wanted to the pip, then the completion of the move up, to the pip, then the move down, to the pip! Currently the short is going well, protected and managed with support approaching here on the 4H chart at the 2997-3000 level. Unless broken, there may be an opportunity to scalp long, but is it worth it after the move we've already had!?
Support below 2995-7 needs to hold while resistance on the flip now 3010!
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bearish below 3040 with targets below 3010✅, 3006✅, 2997, 2985 and below that 2978
Bullish on break of 3040 with targets above 3050, 3055, 3063 and above that 3067
RED BOXES:
Break above 3037 for 3040, 3047, 3050, 3055, 3063 and 3066 in extension of the move
Break below 3010 for 3006✅, 3000, 2997, 2990 and 2985 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold 1h Potential H&SGold (XAU/USD) 1H Analysis – April 2, 2025
Pattern Identified:
Head and Shoulders Formation detected, indicating a potential bearish reversal.
The neckline has been drawn as a support trendline, which, if broken, could confirm further downside movement.
Key Levels:
Current Price: $3,123.55
Neckline Support: Around $3,120
Target Area: $3,070 - $3,060 (Marked in purple)
Potential Drop: -1.32% (-$40)
Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): At 50.92, near neutral territory but leaning slightly downward, indicating potential bearish momentum.
Volume: Increased during the initial drop, suggesting sellers are stepping in.
Trade Idea:
📉 Bearish Bias (If neckline breaks)
Sell below: $3,120
Take Profit: $3,070 - $3,060
Stop Loss: Above $3,130
📈 Bullish Scenario (If neckline holds)
If price bounces from support, a move back toward $3,140+ could occur.
Buy above: $3,125
Take Profit: $3,140 - $3,150
Stop Loss: Below $3,115
Conclusion:
Gold is at a crucial decision point. A confirmed breakdown of the head and shoulders pattern could lead to further downside. However, if bulls defend the neckline, we could see a recovery toward recent highs. Watch price action closely! 🚀📉
Gold continues to hit new highsFundamentally, although the tension between Russia and Ukraine has eased, it has not ended peacefully. There is still a certain degree of uncertainty and temporary stability. In addition, the situation in the Middle East is also intensifying. Trump also threatened to bomb Iran this week, which has increased the risk aversion of the market's geopolitical situation. In terms of US tariffs, Trump's tariff policy is still continuing. The reciprocal tariffs to be announced in the Rose Garden of the White House on April 2 will also put global economic trade at risk. Its uncertainty has made the market wait and see, and more inclined to safe-haven gold. Although Fed officials said that there is no stagflation in the economy and the expectation of interest rate cuts has weakened, as long as it does not turn to interest rate hikes, even if inflation strengthens, it will boost the commodity attributes of gold and support the strengthening of gold prices. In addition, major banks around the world have raised their gold price forecasts, and strong capital inflows from gold-backed ETFs, etc., will become the main factors supporting gold prices.
On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold recommends focusing on callbacks and shortings, with the upper short-term focus on the first-line resistance of 3138-3143, and the lower short-term focus on the first-line support of 3110-3105.
