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How Can You Trade Energy Commodities?How Can You Trade Energy Commodities? Energy trading connects global markets to the vital resources that power economies—oil and natural gas. These commodities aren’t just essential for industries and homes; they’re also dynamic assets for traders, influenced by geopolitics, supply, and demand. Whether you’re exploring benchmarks like Brent Crude and WTI or understanding natural gas markets, this article unpacks the essentials of energy commodities and how to trade them. What Is Energy Trading? Energy trading involves buying and selling energy resources that power industries and households worldwide. These commodities are essential for modern life and are traded in global markets both as physical products and financial instruments. Energy commodities include resources like oil, natural gas, gasoline, coal, ethanol, uranium, and more. In this article, we’ll focus on the two that traders interact with the most: oil and natural gas. Oil is often divided into benchmarks like Brent Crude and WTI, which set global and regional pricing standards. These benchmarks represent crude oil that varies in quality and origin, impacting its trade and refining applications. Natural gas, on the other hand, plays a critical role in electricity generation, heating, and industrial processes. It’s traded in various forms, including pipeline gas and liquefied natural gas (LNG), offering flexibility in transportation and supply. What makes energy commodities unique is their global demand and sensitivity to external factors. Weather patterns, geopolitical developments, and economic activity all heavily influence their prices. For traders, this creates a dynamic market with potential opportunities to take advantage of price movements. Additionally, energy commodities can act as economic indicators. A surge in oil prices, for example, might reflect growing demand from expanding industries, while a drop could indicate reduced consumption. Understanding these resources isn’t just about their practical use—it’s about grasping their role in shaping global markets and financial systems. Oil: Brent Crude vs WTI Brent Crude and WTI (West Texas Intermediate) are the world’s two leading oil benchmarks, shaping prices for a resource critical to industries and economies. Despite both being types of crude oil, they differ significantly in origin, quality, and market influence. Brent Crude Brent Crude is a globally recognised benchmark for oil pricing, primarily sourced from fields in the North Sea. Its importance lies in its role as a pricing reference for about two-thirds of the world’s oil supply. What makes Brent unique is its lighter and sweeter quality, meaning it has lower sulphur content and is easier to refine into fuels like petrol and diesel. This benchmark is particularly significant in European, African, and Asian markets, where it serves as a key indicator of global oil prices. Its value is heavily influenced by international demand, geopolitical events, and production levels in major exporting countries. For traders, Brent offers a window into global supply and demand trends, making it a critical component of energy markets. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) WTI, or West Texas Intermediate, is the benchmark for oil produced in the United States. Extracted primarily from Texas and surrounding regions, WTI is even lighter and sweeter than Brent, making it suitable for refining into high-value products like petrol. WTI’s pricing is heavily tied to North American markets, with its hub in Cushing, Oklahoma, a key point for storage and distribution. Localised factors, like US production rates and storage capacity, often create price differentials between WTI and Brent, with Brent typically trading at a premium. For example, logistical bottlenecks in the US can drive WTI prices lower. The main distinction between the two lies in their geographical focus: while Brent captures the international market’s pulse, WTI provides insights into North American energy dynamics. Together, they form the foundation of global oil pricing. Natural Gas: A Growing Energy Commodity Natural gas is a cornerstone of the global energy market, valued for its versatility and role in powering economies. It’s used extensively for electricity generation, heating, and industrial processes, with demand continuing to rise as countries seek cleaner alternatives to coal and oil. This energy commodity comes in two primary forms for trade: pipeline natural gas and liquefied natural gas (LNG). Pipeline gas is delivered directly via extensive networks, making it dominant in regions like North America and Europe. LNG, on the other hand, is supercooled to a liquid state for transportation across oceans, opening up markets that lack pipeline infrastructure. LNG trade has grown rapidly in recent years, with key suppliers like Qatar, Australia, and the US meeting surging demand in Asia. Pricing for natural gas varies regionally, with hubs like Henry Hub in the US and the National Balancing Point (NBP) in the UK serving as benchmarks. These hubs reflect regional dynamics, such as weather conditions, storage levels, and local supply disruptions. Natural gas prices are also closely tied to broader geopolitical and economic factors. For example, harsh winters often drive up heating demand, while conflicts or sanctions affecting major producers can create supply constraints. This volatility makes natural gas an active and highly watched market for traders, offering potential opportunities tied to shifting global conditions. Price Factors of Energy Commodities Energy commodity prices are influenced by a mix of global events, market fundamentals, and local factors. Here’s a breakdown of key elements driving oil and gas trading prices: - Supply and Production Levels: Output from major producers like OPEC nations, the US, and Russia has a direct impact on prices. Supply cuts or surges can quickly move markets. - Geopolitical Events: Conflicts, sanctions, or political instability in oil and gas-rich regions often disrupt supply chains, creating volatility. - Weather and Seasonal Demand: Cold winters boost natural gas demand for heating, while summer driving seasons often increase oil consumption. Extreme weather events, such as hurricanes, can also damage infrastructure and reduce supply. - Economic Growth: Expanding economies typically consume more energy, driving demand and prices higher. Conversely, a slowdown or recession can weaken demand. - Storage Levels: Inventories act as a cushion against supply disruptions. Low storage levels often signal tighter markets, pushing prices up. - Transportation Costs: The cost of shipping oil or LNG across regions impacts pricing, particularly for seaborne commodities like Brent Crude and LNG. - Exchange Rates: Energy commodities are usually priced in dollars, meaning currency fluctuations can affect affordability in non-dollar markets. - Market Sentiment: Traders’ expectations, shaped by reports like US inventory data or OPEC forecasts, can influence short-term price movements. How to Trade Energy Commodities Trading energy commodities like oil and natural gas involves navigating dynamic markets with the right tools, strategies, and risk awareness. Here’s a breakdown of how traders typically approach energy commodity trading: Instruments for Energy Trading Energy commodities can be traded through various instruments, typically through an oil and gas trading platform. For instance, FXOpen provides access to oil and gas CFDs alongside 700+ other markets, including currency pairs, stocks, ETFs, and more. - CFDs (Contracts for Difference): Popular among retail traders because they allow access to global energy markets without owning the physical assets. They offer leverage and provide flexibility to take advantage of both rising and falling prices. Additionally, CFDs have lower entry costs, no expiration dates, and eliminate concerns like storage or delivery logistics. Please remember that leverage trading increases risks. - Futures: These are contracts to buy or sell commodities at a future date. While they provide leverage and flexibility, trading energy derivatives like futures is often unnecessarily complex for the average retail trader. - ETFs (Exchange-Traded Funds): Energy ETFs diversify exposure to energy commodities or related sectors. - Energy Stocks: Shares in oil and gas companies provide indirect exposure to commodity price changes. Analysis: Fundamental and Technical Energy traders rely on two primary types of analysis: - Fundamental Analysis: Examines supply and demand factors like OPEC decisions, weather patterns, geopolitical tensions, and economic indicators such as GDP growth or industrial output. - Technical Analysis: Focuses on price charts, identifying patterns, trends, and important levels to anticipate potential market movements. Combining these approaches can offer a broader perspective, helping traders refine their strategies. Taking a Position and Managing Risk Once traders identify potential opportunities, they decide on position size and duration based on their analysis. Risk management is critical to help traders potentially mitigate losses in these volatile markets. Strategies often include: - Diversifying positions to reduce exposure to a single commodity. - Setting limits on position sizes to align with overall portfolio risk. - Monitoring leverage carefully, as it can amplify both potential returns and losses. Risk Factors in Energy Commodities Trading Trading energy commodities like oil and natural gas offer potential opportunities, but it also comes with significant risks due to the market's volatility and global nature. - Price Volatility: Energy markets are highly sensitive to geopolitical events, economic shifts, and supply disruptions. This can lead to rapid price swings, particularly if the event is unexpected. - Leverage Risks: Many instruments, like CFDs and futures, allow traders to use leverage, amplifying both potential returns and losses. Mismanaging leverage can lead to significant setbacks. - Geopolitical Uncertainty: Events like conflicts in oil-producing regions or trade sanctions can disrupt supply chains and sharply impact prices. - Market Sentiment: Energy prices can react strongly to reports like inventory data, OPEC announcements, or unexpected news, creating rapid shifts in sentiment and price direction. - Overexposure: Focusing too heavily on a single energy commodity can magnify losses if the market moves against the position. - Economic Factors: Slowing industrial activity or recession fears can reduce demand for energy, putting downward pressure on prices. The Bottom Line Energy commodities trading offers potential opportunities, driven by global demand and supply. Whether focusing on oil, natural gas, or other energy assets, understanding the fundamentals and risks is key to navigating this complex market. Ready to explore oil and gas commodity trading via CFDs? Open an FXOpen account to access advanced tools, competitive spreads, low commissions, and four trading platforms designed to support your journey. FAQ What Are Energy Commodities? Energy commodities are natural resources used to power industries, homes, and transportation. Key examples include crude oil, natural gas, and coal. These commodities are traded globally as physical assets or through financial instruments like futures and CFDs. Can I Make Money Trading Commodities? Trading commodities offers potential opportunities to take advantage of price movements, but it also involves significant risks. The effectiveness of your trades depends on understanding of market dynamics, analyses of supply and demand, and risk management. While some traders achieve returns, losses are also common, especially in volatile markets like energy. How Do I Start Investing in Energy? Investing in energy typically begins with choosing an instrument like ETFs or stocks, depending on your goals and risk tolerance. Researching market fundamentals, monitoring geopolitical and economic factors, and practising sound risk management are essential steps for new investors. What Is an Energy Trading Platform? An energy trading platform, or power trading platform, is software that enables traders to buy and sell energy commodities. These energy trading solutions provide access to pricing data, charting tools, and news feeds, helping traders analyse markets and execute trades efficiently. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XNGUSDEducation
by FXOpen
2
XNG/USD "Natural Gas" Energy Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XNG/USD "Natural Gas" Energy Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 👀 Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📉 : Traders & Thieves with New Entry A Bear trade can be initiated at any price level. however I advise placing sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4h period, the recent / nearest high level Goal 🎯: 2.950 (or) Before escape in the market Scalpers, take note : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, Sentimental Outlook: The XNG/USD "Natural Gas" Energy market is expected to move in a bearish direction, driven by several key factors. Based on current market conditions, the XNG/USD Natural Gas market is expected to move in a Bearish direction. 🔆Fundamental Factors: -Supply and Demand Balance: The natural gas market is expected to move into a supply surplus, driven by increasing production and decreasing demand. -US Natural Gas Production: US natural gas production is expected to increase, putting downward pressure on prices. -LNG Export Capacity: Increasing LNG export capacity from the US is expected to put downward pressure on natural gas prices. 🔆Macroeconomic Factors: -Mild Winter Weather: Warmer-than-expected winter weather in the US is expected to decrease demand for natural gas, putting downward pressure on prices. -Global Economic Slowdown: Slowing global economic growth, particularly in China, is expected to decrease demand for natural gas. -US Dollar Strength: A stronger US dollar is expected to put downward pressure on natural gas prices, making them more expensive in international markets. 🔆Trader/Market Sentimental Analysis: -Trader Sentiment: The CoT report shows that speculative traders are net short natural gas, indicating a bearish sentiment. -Market Sentiment: The market sentiment is bearish, with many analysts expecting natural gas prices to decline due to the supply and demand balance. -Technical Analysis: The technical analysis shows that natural gas is in a downtrend, with a bearish breakdown below the $3.00 level. 🔆Sentimental Outlook: Bearish Sentiment: 65% Bullish Sentiment: 20% Neutral Sentiment: 15% 🔆Overall, the bearish outlook is driven by a combination of macroeconomic and fundamental factors, with a 60% chance of a bearish move, 20% chance of a bullish move, and 20% chance of a neutral move. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 🚨Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. 🚨Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
FXOPEN:XNGUSDShort
by Thief_Trader
14
Get Ready to Short Natural Gas from Tomorrow..!!Natural Gas has shown a Big Fall with extreme gap down condition a week ago ...Broken Strong Uptrending Trendline ....Now Has retestested the trendline ...Since a week Volume towards Bullish Candles and Price is average just like its want to give opportunity to short to sellers.. Price has touched the trendline and it may go bit little inside of it...but if we see a sharp Bearish candle with good volume tomorrow its a definite sign to go for short..lets hope for the Best...
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASShort
by tembhurnepranay0303
2
WHAT’S FLOWING: GAS & FXIn today’s episode of “What’s Flowing”, we’re analyzing key market moves across FX pairs, commodities, and indices, using Heikin Ashi charts to identify trends and potential trade setups. Key Market Observations 1. Currency Pairs – Strong Momentum Plays • AUD/USD & NZD/USD (Top Left) – Bullish Continuation • Strong uptrend, price breaking through resistance. • RSI is holding above 75, signaling continued strength. • Key level to watch: 0.95 resistance zone for potential breakout or pullback. • EUR/USD (Bottom Center) – Bearish Rejection • Price rejected near 1.05, dropping into demand zone. • A break below 1.037 could accelerate selling pressure. • Bears in control unless buyers step in at support. • USD/CNH (Bottom Right) – Range Consolidation • Holding near 7.29, but lacking clear directional bias. • Watching for a breakout above 7.30 or breakdown below 7.25. 2. Commodities – Mixed Trends • XNG/USD (Natural Gas, Top Right) – Range Play • Attempting to push higher after testing lower support levels. • Resistance at 3.39, break above could confirm bullish momentum. • Gold & Silver (Not in this chart, but worth monitoring) • Commodities have been holding strong amid global uncertainty. • Gold & Silver miners remain laggards compared to the spot price—potential catch-up trade? 3. Indices – Critical Levels in Play • US30 (Dow, Top Center) – Potential Pullback • Testing major resistance at 23,400. • If sellers step in, expect a pullback toward 22,800 before next move. • GBP/JPY (Top Right) – Volatile Structure • Strong push higher, but price facing resistance near 37,400. • Bulls need a clean break above to maintain momentum. What’s Flowing Today? 1. AUD & NZD showing strength – bullish moves continuing. 2. USD/CNH in a tight range – waiting for confirmation. 3. US indices reaching key resistance – potential pullbacks ahead. 4. Commodities holding steady – Natural Gas attempting a move up. Stay tuned for more insights and let’s see how these setups evolve throughout the session! #WhatsFlowing #Forex #Commodities #Indices
FXOPEN:XNGUSD
by moneymagnateash
LongYour statement outlines a clear trading strategy based on support and resistance levels. Here's a refined version for clarity: 1. Uptrend Expectation: As long as the price remains above the 3.000 support, a resumption of the uptrend is expected. 2. Confirmation of Uptrend: The uptrend will be confirmed when the resistance at 3.955 is broken. 3. Invalidation of the Uptrend: If the 3.000 support is broken, the short-term forecast for the uptrend becomes invalid. 4. Risk Management: All open trades will be closed if the midterm level at 3.000 is breached. This approach provides clear entry, confirmation, and exit criteria, which are essential for disciplined trading. Let me know if you want help optimizing the strategy further.
FX:NGASLong
by Rohan_Jas
XNG/USD "Natural Gas" Energy Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XNG/USD "Natural Gas" Energy Market market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long & Short entry. 👀 Be wealthy and safe trade 💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!" Buy entry above 3.500 Sell Entry below 3.000 Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 1H period, the recent / nearest Pullbacks. Target 🎯: -Bullish Robbers TP 4.000 (or) Escape Before the Target -Bearish Robbers TP 2.600 (or) Escape Before the Target 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook: The XNG/USD "Natural Gas" Energy Market market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors. 🔆 Fundamental Factors - Supply and Demand Imbalance: The global demand for natural gas is outpacing supply, leading to a surge in prices. - Weather Patterns: Colder-than-expected winter weather in the Northern Hemisphere is driving up demand for heating fuels, including natural gas. 🔆 Macroeconomic Factors - Global Economic Trends: The global economy is experiencing a slowdown, but the energy sector remains resilient due to strong demand for natural gas. - Inflation Rates: Rising inflation rates are driving up the cost of living, but the impact on the XNG/USD pair is currently neutral. 🔆 COT Report - Speculative Positions: Speculative traders are net long on the XNG/USD pair, indicating a bullish sentiment. - Commercial Traders: Commercial traders are net short on the pair, indicating a bearish sentiment. 🔆 Market Sentiment and Positioning - Client Sentiment: 60% of client accounts are long on this market, indicating a bullish sentiment. - Market Positioning: The XNG/USD pair is currently overbought, with a possibility of a price correction. 🔆 Conclusion: The sentimental outlook for XNG/USD is mixed, with varying degrees of bullishness and bearishness among institutional investors, large banks, investment companies, and retail traders. While some market participants are optimistic about natural gas prices due to rising demand and supply constraints, others are cautious due to mild winter weather and increased production. 🔆 Prediction and Overall Outlook - Based on the analysis, the XNG/USD pair is expected to move in a bullish trend, with a 65% probability of reaching $4.50 in the short term. However, there is a 35% chance of a price correction to $3.80 due to overbought conditions. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
FPMARKETS:XNGUSD
by Thief_Trader
Natural gas Wave Analysis – 11 February 2025 - Natural gas reversed from the support area - Likely to rise to the resistance level 3.67 Natural gas continues to rise strongly inside the short-term upward impulse wave iii, which started earlier from the support area located between the round support level 3.0000 (which has been steadily reversing the price from November) and the lower daily Bollinger Band. The upward reversal from this support area created the daily upward gap – which signals the strength of this support area. Given the clear daily uptrend, Natural gas can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 3.67 (which has been reversing the price from December).
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by FxProGlobal
Natural Gas: Key Technical Insights for TradersFX:NGAS In this Idea, we'll take a closer look at the key insights for NGAS, with a focus on the long-term bullish outlook towards the $4.70 target, which has been in focus since January 2023. Focus on the $4.70 Target: Why It Matters While it’s important to track short-term market movements, we should not lose sight of the overarching bullish trend that has been developing for NGAS. The target of $4.70, based on Fibonacci retracement levels, continues to be the key level for a potential price rally. Since the beginning of 2023, we have been monitoring the formation of a bullish shark pattern around $2.41, which suggested a possible upward move toward the Fibonacci levels above $4.70. (links at the bottom) Recent Price Action and Key Developments Bullish Shark Pattern Formation: In January 2023, the bullish shark pattern formed at $2.41, signaling an upward move toward higher Fibonacci targets. This pattern remained intact for much of 2023. October 2023 to January 2024 Retracement: During the period between October 2023 and early 2024, NGAS briefly tested the downside, showing signs of potential invalidation of the pattern. However, it successfully bounced back in mid-December 2024, breaking above the previous October highs and establishing new highs at $4.28. Current Price Level: As of the latest data, NGAS is trading at $3.91. While this is a step back from the $4.28 high, the overall bullish sentiment remains intact, and attention should still be focused on the $4.70 target. Bearish Divergence and Pattern Completion Despite the positive movement, caution is needed as some bearish signals have started to emerge in recent days: Bearish Divergence on the RSI: There are noticeable signs of bearish divergence on the Relative Strength Index (RSI), suggesting weakening momentum in the upward trend. Bearish Butterfly Pattern: A bearish butterfly pattern has completed at $4.21, which could signal a potential retracement. If this pattern holds, it could result in further downside pressure in the short term. Fibonacci Levels to Watch Fibonacci retracement levels are essential in guiding traders’ decisions, and NGAS is currently hovering below a critical level: 11.3% Below the .382% Fibonacci Level: NGAS is still 11.3% below the .382% Fibonacci retracement level, which is projected at $4.76. This level represents a major target for the bullish shark pattern that formed in January 2023. We should keep an eye on this level, as it remains a strong area of interest for a potential upward move. Potential for a Bearish Crab Pattern: If NGAS extends its price action toward the 161.8% Fibonacci level, there is a possibility that the bearish butterfly pattern could evolve into a bearish crab pattern. This scenario would likely coincide with the major .382% Fibonacci retracement level, increasing potential interest in this price zone. Maintaining a Focus on the Long-Term Trend While short-term fluctuations may present challenges, the long-term outlook for NGAS remains bullish, with the target of $4.70 still in focus. We should continue to watch the evolving patterns closely, particularly the Fibonacci retracement levels and the recent completion of the bearish butterfly pattern. However, the core focus should be on the potential for further upside movement toward the $4.70 target, as the overall market structure continues to support this view. Happy Trading, André Cardoso
FX:NGASShort
by Andre_Cardoso
Natural Gas ( XNGUSD ) Buy Opportunity Current Price: $3.267 Setup: Natural Gas is bouncing off a strong demand zone and respecting the ascending trendline support, indicating potential for a bullish move. The RSI is turning upwards, suggesting momentum in favor of buyers. Entry: $3.267 Stop Loss: $3.15 (below demand zone and trendline support for safety) Take Profits: TP1: $3.36 TP2: $3.55 TP3: $3.98 Why Buy? Price is rebounding from a solid demand zone. Clear respect for the trendline, confirming bullish sentiment. Rising RSI signals growing momentum for a move higher. Up to 7,200 USD profit per lot! $1,100 Risk per lot ! 🎯 Plan your trade and manage your risk! Let’s make some great trades together! 💹
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by ValchevFinance
1
XNG/USD Analysis: Bears Pressure Key SupportXNG/USD Analysis: Bears Pressure Key Support On 5 December, while analysing the natural gas chart, we noted that price movements: → were forming an ascending channel (shown in blue); → support from the lower boundary of the channel (reinforced by the psychological level of 3.000) was already evident in a nascent price reversal (indicated by an arrow). As the XNG/USD chart illustrates, since that time (marked by a blue arrow), the price indeed rose, using the support from the lower boundary of the channel to reach its upper boundary on 30 December. However, we now see supply forces displaying aggression – whenever the natural gas price climbs above 3.700, bears quickly intervene (marked by red arrows), pushing the price back down. What could happen next? From a technical analysis perspective of the XNG/USD chart: → The price is hovering near the key support, formed by the lower boundary of the ascending channel (which has been in place since last summer). → Bearish aggression, as mentioned above, sets the stage for a potential bearish breakout of this critical support, evidenced by the bearish gap at Monday’s market open. From a fundamental analysis standpoint: → Meteorological reports of colder weather drove the price up to 3.570, but this appears to be a temporary rebound. → Bearish sentiment in the natural gas market may be amplified by statements from the Trump administration expressing a determination to lower oil prices. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XNGUSD
by FXOpen
2
Natural Gas on the Move! Is the Next Big Breakout Coming? 📈 Bullish Analysis: Natural Gas (Spot) 1️⃣ Uptrend Support Holding Firm: The price is respecting the uptrend support line, which has acted as a strong foundation for bullish momentum. Multiple bounces off this level signal that buyers are stepping in to defend the trend. 2️⃣ Supply Zone in Focus: The supply zone between 4.4 and 4.48 represents a key resistance area. A break and close above this zone would confirm the continuation of the bullish trend. 3️⃣ RSI Rebound: The RSI is bouncing off oversold levels and turning upward, indicating renewed bullish momentum. This aligns with the trendline support, suggesting the potential for further upside. 4️⃣ Key Insights: Natural Gas has formed a clean technical setup, with the trendline support, supply zone, and RSI alignment all pointing toward a bullish reversal. If the price holds above 3.88 and momentum continues, buyers could push toward the supply zone targets. 🎯 Strategy: Entry: Current levels near 3.88–3.92. TP1: 4.00 (First Resistance) TP2: 4.18 (Midpoint). TP3: 4.40 (Beginning of Supply Zone).
PEPPERSTONE:NATGASLong
by ValchevFinance
2
Natural Gas: Sellers Target $3.38Hello everyone! Key Highlights: Current State: The market is in a sideways movement, Currently, the downward vector (5-6) is active, targeting the short-term goal (PT Short) of $3.38, which is 11% below the current price. Range Boundaries: Upper Boundary: $4.269, Lower Boundary: $3.319 Vectors of the Sideways market: The last completed vector (4-5) was upward, forming a zone of sellers (highlighted in red) near Upper Boundary. This zone acts as a significant resistance for future upward movement. Currently, the downward vector (5-6) is active, targeting the short-term goal (PT Short) of $3.38, which is 11% below the current price. Supply and Demand Zones: Zone of Sellers: Formed during the upward movement (last impulse). Approximate levels: $4.052 and above. Price is moving away from this zone, confirming seller dominance in the short term. Zone of Buyers: Found near the lower boundary of $3.319 - $3.38. This area may provide strong support if the price continues to decline. Potential Scenarios: Bearish Case: If sellers maintain control, the price could drop towards $3.38, aligning with the lower boundary. A break below this level would open the path to further declines. Bullish Case: A strong buyer reaction near $3.38 or $3.319 could initiate a rebound, with targets towards $4.05. Summary: The market is currently dominated by sellers, with the price declining toward $3.38. However, the level at $3.768 may act as a potential obstacle for the seller vector, if buyers will be defending this level. Additionally, buyer zones near the lower boundary may provide further support and opportunities for long positions if reversal patterns emerge. Stay cautious and monitor key levels for potential setups! Wishing you all successful trades and a profitable day!
OANDA:NATGASUSD
by AlexeyWolf
Natural Gas Swing TradeTitle: Long Natural Gas Based on Bullish Divergence and Weekly Order Block Trade Setup: - Asset: Natural Gas - Timeframes: Daily and Weekly - Entry: Buy at the close of a bullish candlestick pattern confirming divergence on the daily chart - Stop-Loss: Below the weekly order block or recent swing low - Take-Profit: Based on key resistance levels or a 1:3 risk-reward ratio Analysis: - Bullish divergence confirmed on the daily timeframe - Price in a weekly order block, indicating strong support - Volume supports potential bullish reversal Trade Plan: - Enter long position on daily bullish confirmation within the weekly order block - Set stop-loss below the weekly order block or recent swing low - Take profit at key resistance levels or using a 1:3 risk-reward ratio - Risk 1-2% of trading capital This trade plan aligns with the technical analysis and provides a structured approach to capitalizing on the potential bullish reversal in Natural Gas.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by MAAwan
Natural Gas Bullish OpportunityWhy the Bullish Sentiment? 🌬 Cold Weather Incoming: Frigid forecasts are set to spike heating demand, boosting natural gas consumption. 🌍 Global LNG Demand: International markets, particularly Europe and Asia, are tightening the supply, fueling upward pressure. 📉 Lower Storage Levels: US inventories are running below the 5-year average, creating a potential supply crunch. ⚠️ Geopolitical Tensions: Supply concerns in Europe continue to drive bullish sentiment, making natural gas an attractive play. With all these factors aligning, the stage is set for a potential rally! 📈 Entry: 3.40 USD. Take Profit Levels: 🎯 Take Profit 1: 3.49 USD 🎯 Take Profit 2: 3.61 USD 🏆 Take Profit 3: 3.81 USD Stop Loss: Set your safety net at 3.25 USD, just below the support level. 🛡 Where do you think Natural Gas will go?
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by ValchevFinance
3