XRPUSD to watchThe price is in a symmetrical triangle, if the price goes below and maintains, it could reach support zones located lower.
XRPWPLS_331B71.USD trade ideas
Descending TriangleAlthough this is the most bullish we've seen XRP, it's notorious for parabolic pump and dumps.
It's been hitting it's head on this red trend line for over a month.
With a recent break above $2.52, it's now using that price point as support. But now forming a descending triangle.
I would wait for either the white support line or red resistance line to break before making any trades.
MACD on 1D is going from bullish to neutral/bearish.
-JumpStartCrypto
XRP Update | $2A deeper look on price action with the 4 Market Cycles, price is at the Contraction Phase and is looking to head back to Accumulation.
Also looks like we got a falling wedge pattern to add more confluence to a bearish direction.
XRPDue to the recent price action of xrp I believe we may see a breakout much sooner. Breakout could occur as fast as next week.
XRP Rocket Ready for Takeoff – 2-3 Digits in Sight 2025!🚀🔥 This Isn’t Just Another Move – This Is Liftoff! 🔥🚀
The pump window is set between February 14 and March 14, 2025, with key focus dates around February 14 and February 28. These align with algorithmic reversal points, signaling that volatility and a parabolic move are imminent.
💥 ATH will be completely obliterated – nothing is holding price back
💰 Smart money positioning confirmed – liquidity grabs fueling the next leg
📈 2-3 digit XRP in 2025 is Extremely likely
🔥 Massive momentum incoming – Expect a breakout that shatters all expectations. ATH will be left in the dust.
Good luck & Buckle up… Next stop: PRICE DISCOVERY!
-NeverWishing
Let us just admire how beautiful the XRP chart isWe are looking great guys! I've been buying since 45 cents and have take profit levels set on the way up. $10-$17 minimum this year is my prediction. People are waiting for a large dip that may never happen. Always set a stop loss and keep your long-term vision.
XRP Golden Cross"XRP is exhibiting strong bullish momentum, pushing above the Point of Control (POC) and breaking the Value Area High (VAH) twice. The third attempt appears poised to hold above VAH, potentially establishing it as a new support level. Price has found consistent support at the monthly VWAP (green) on two occasions, reinforcing buying interest. Additionally, XRP has broken above the 50-period moving average (orange) twice, further signaling robust buying pressure. Despite a recent death cross (50 MA crossing below the 200 MA), the current uptrend suggests the 50 MA may soon reclaim its position above the 200 MA, hinting at a golden cross and a powerful upside swing."
XRP bird viewHello Birdies,
XRP as you know wash out all its prior losses and investors are happy.
Let review what we are seeing right now...
- The bounce comes from the same log line which gives 2017 bull run
- Right now price is at the line which gives 2020 bull run
- I copied bar pattern from 2020 to mirror the move in 2025
- The price point I get is around $15
- We have a resistance ahead that can push the price down but you guiding line use your entry to model to enter in any direction.
Legen:
- The red circles and lines are presenting Resistance.
- The green circles and lines are presenting Support.
- The yellow one is showing 2020 move.
See you at the moon...!!
XRP area of interest - If it fails I'd love to buy below !⭐️ XRPUSD hasn't been up to much recently so nothing really to share on it. ⭐️
🟢SeekingPips🟢 remains strictly BULLISH and has been buying up the dips.
ℹ️ I would really like to see a big FU flush before the next move up BUT WHAT I WANT is irrelevant. As traders we have to do what the maket is doing and stick to OUR PLAN.
✅️ Just for the records tho sub $2 I fill my pockets again.
These are my next three targets for xrpThis is on the weekly chart.
A Drop to $1.21 BUY TARGET.
If it falls to $1.13 Don't chase it... add more!!!
A SELL TARGET no higher than $2.09
THEN A BUY TARGET AT 0.8646
AGAIN, don't chase the bottom... add more...
THEN, THIS WILL HISTORICALLY FLY to about $4.45
The WizardOfRealms13
XRP Bullish PredictionWith stability in the current area, price could return for one last time to areas near $2.15 before bullish continuation.
XRP Market outlook BIAS Here is my current thoughts on COINBASE:XRPUSD , What do you guys think will happen? Share your thoughts below, do you hold XRP?
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XRP Ripple - Going Higher Now? Swing Divergence with BTCThis is a top down idea from the HTF
M > W > D1 > H4 charts
All the clues of the price action are indicating higher prices on crypto - explanation in video.
One thing I didn't mention is that we also have a weak DXY (Dollar) so that adds to the idea of strength in XXXUSD pairs.
Reasons for choosing XRP over BTC is that XRP created a higher low, indicating more strength than BTC.
Entry on LTF is dependent on a pullback to get a cheaper price.
Entry on HTF is more flexible.
Comment below if you have any questions. I read everything.
Thanks
XRP - GET READY TO DIVE / BIG OPPORTUNITY TO BUY AND HOLD LOWERXRP going for a big correction! Higher timeframes helping you spot the true range of prices!
Spot prices to buy on fibonacci:
100% (Risk Zone) - 0.60 - 0.95 cents (Neckline)
78.60% (Entry Zone) - 1.0284
66.66% - (reversal based on fibonacci timezones)1.3887
61.80% (Golden Zone) - 1.5353
XRP Weekly Summary: February 15–21, 2025Welcome back to my weekly XRP roundup! As of February 21, 2025, the XRP market has been buzzing with activity, reflecting both its resilience and the broader crypto landscape’s volatility. Here’s what’s been happening with Ripple’s flagship cryptocurrency this week.
Price Action: A Rollercoaster Ride
XRP kicked off the week with a notable surge, climbing over 20% to hit $2.76 by midweek. This rally was a breath of fresh air for holders, fueled by whispers of regulatory clarity and renewed investor confidence. However, as Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies faced downward pressure, XRP cooled off slightly, trading around $2.50–$2.60 by Friday morning. Posts on X highlighted this pullback, noting resistance near all-time high volume-weighted average price (VWAP) levels, suggesting the market might be testing a critical ceiling. Despite the dip, XRP’s weekly gains remain impressive, hovering around 15–17% depending on the hour—a solid performance amid a shaky broader market. Or, if 15-17% doesn't impress you much in one week, you always have the alternative to put your money in a CD at your local bank for 4.7% per year.
Legal Winds Blow in Ripple’s Favor
The big story this week? Legal developments surrounding Ripple’s long-standing battle with the SEC. Sentiment on X and crypto news circles suggests growing optimism that the tides are turning. Speculation is rife that the SEC’s case could weaken further, especially with chatter about the agency acknowledging Grayscale’s XRP ETF filing. While no official resolution has dropped as of Friday morning, the narrative of “SEC overreach” is gaining traction, boosting XRP’s appeal as a “sleeping giant” ready to awaken. If these legal clouds clear, analysts see a path to $3 or higher in the near term—exciting times ahead!
ETF Hype Heats Up
Speaking of ETFs, the XRP ecosystem is abuzz with ETF-related developments. Multiple firms have been pushing XRP exchange-traded fund applications, and this week, the buzz intensified. The idea of a BlackRock-backed XRP ETF even popped up in some enthusiastic X posts—though it’s still speculative at this stage. The potential for an approved ETF continues to drive bullish sentiment, with analysts suggesting it could unlock a “liquidity cascade” and propel XRP past its previous all-time highs. For now, it’s a waiting game, but the anticipation is palpable.
Another Financial Institution Connects to the XRP Ledger
On February 19, 2025, Braza Group, an international payment firm with over 15 years in the banking sector, announced the launch of its BBRL stablecoin on the XRP Ledger. Braza Group, while not a traditional bank itself, is a BACEN (Central Bank of Brazil) interbank player, meaning it operates within Brazil’s regulated financial ecosystem and facilitates interbank transactions. The BBRL stablecoin, pegged to the Brazilian Real, aims to provide a secure and efficient digital transaction option for individuals and businesses, leveraging XRPL’s capabilities.
Making Closer Ties Where Its Important
Brad Garlinghouse, the CEO of Ripple has been active in the public sphere recently, but the most notable events occurred earlier in February. On February 14, 2025, he shared on X about engaging with U.S. policymakers in Washington, D.C., including meetings with figures like Senator Tim Scott (Chairman of the Senate Banking Committee) and Representative Ritchie Torres. Photos from these meetings were posted, showing him alongside lawmakers such as Representatives William Timmons, Bill Huizenga, Bryan Steil, Zach Nunn, and French Hill. These discussions focused on advancing crypto regulatory clarity, but they fall just outside this week’s timeframe (February 15–21).
Market Sentiment and On-Chain Moves
On-chain data paints a picture of accumulation, with significant XRP outflows from exchanges reported earlier in the week—think tens of millions of dollars’ worth. This suggests big players might be stacking their bags, betting on a breakout. Meanwhile, X users are hyping up technical patterns like the “cup and handle,” hinting at a possible 18% jump to $3.30 if XRP clears key resistance around $2.82. The mood? Bullish, but cautious—everyone’s watching Bitcoin’s next move and the Fed’s hawkish stance for cues.
What’s Next?
As we wrap up this week, XRP stands at a crossroads. Will it smash through resistance and reclaim its glory above $3, or will market headwinds force a deeper correction? With legal clarity on the horizon, ETF speculation simmering, and strong community support, XRP is poised for a potentially historic moment. Stay tuned for next week’s update—we might just see fireworks!
XRP on bullish trendXRP is showing signs of a bullish trend. This may be a simplistic analysis but it shows a clear direction.
XRP 2-21🔥 Market Overview:
Trend: XRP is in a short-term downtrend, trading below the 200 EMA.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $2.675 – 200 EMA, acting as strong resistance.
Support: $2.640 – Recent low, potential bounce area.
Indicators:
EMA 200: Price is below, indicating bearish pressure.
MACD: Bearish momentum building, signaling further downside risk.
RSI: 36 – Approaching oversold territory, potential short-term bounce.
🔥 Scalping Strategy:
🩸 1. Range Scalping
Buy near: $2.640, targeting $2.665.
Sell near: $2.675, targeting $2.690.
Stop-loss below: $2.630.
🩸 2. EMA Scalping
Short entries near: 200 EMA ($2.675).
Exit at: $2.640 support.
🩸 3. Breakout Scalping
If XRP breaks below $2.640 with volume, short to $2.620.
🔥 Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks):
Rejection from $2.675 could lead to a further decline to $2.620.
Bullish case: If XRP reclaims the 200 EMA, upside potential toward $2.700.
🔥 News & Market Context:
XRP lacks strong bullish catalysts, making it vulnerable to broader market sentiment.
Bitcoin and Ethereum leading direction—if they drop, XRP follows.
Current low volume suggests weak bullish conviction.
🔥 Decision:
🩸 Short-term: Favor scalping shorts from $2.675.
🩸 Mid-term: Needs to break above 200 EMA to shift bullish.
🩸 Ideal Play: Sell rallies until XRP shows strength.
👑 Final Verdict:
XRP remains weak below the 200 EMA. Until bulls reclaim control, short positions are favored on rebounds. Break below $2.640 confirms deeper downside.
🔥 "A wise general does not fight uphill battles. The battlefield must be chosen with precision, or defeat is certain." 👑
Long on XRPUSDGoing off of support, trend, and fibs for price to climber higher into the $4-5 range.
XRP Long - CryptoUse proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice.
XRP - SPOT PRICE TO BUY AND HOLDThe currency appears to be forming a H&S pattern, giving signs of a bearish trend before prices skyrocket.
We are expecting the price to drop 0.78500 - 1.02840 before a reversal to the moon.
XRP Why A Serious Revaluation Is Imminent And CloseQUESTION: If XRP is only being used as a settlement currency for banks then why would there be these wild price predictions when the market cap is already $150 billion?
The wild price predictions for XRP often stem from different interpretations of its utility, demand, and supply dynamics. Let's break it down:
Market Cap Misconceptions
XRP's market cap is often misunderstood. Market cap = price × circulating supply, but price movements depend more on liquidity and demand rather than market cap alone.
Many price predictions assume increased utility will drive higher demand, but market cap alone doesn’t dictate price ceilings.
Bank Adoption and Utility Argument
If XRP is mainly used as a bridge currency for cross-border settlements, its price would be driven by transaction volume rather than speculation.
However, banks and financial institutions don’t need to hold XRP for long periods—it's typically used in seconds. This limits the need for large amounts of XRP to be held, which could cap price growth.
Speculative vs. Real Utility
Many wild price predictions ($100+, $500+, etc.) are fueled by speculation rather than actual use cases.
In reality, even if XRP were widely used for settlement, price appreciation would depend on sustained demand, not just temporary spikes.
Liquidity and Scarcity Factors
Some argue that as more institutions use XRP, liquidity will tighten, potentially driving price increases.
However, the XRP supply is large (100 billion total, with over 50 billion circulating), and large holders (like Ripple itself) could introduce selling pressure.
Regulatory and Adoption Uncertainty
XRP's legal battles and regulatory clarity impact its adoption. A major victory (like its partial win against the SEC) can fuel hype-driven price predictions.
True institutional adoption is still limited, and even if banks use it, they may prefer private ledgers over using the open market.
Bottom Line
XRP has real utility in cross-border payments, but its role as a settlement currency doesn’t necessarily justify extreme price predictions. The market cap is already large, and unless significant new demand arises, a massive price surge would require much broader institutional adoption beyond just bank settlements.
QUESTION: So currently the valuation of XRP is already way higher than many banks and companies will the price eventually come down to a more realistic price to value in the future?
XRP’s current valuation is indeed higher than many traditional banks and financial institutions, which raises the question of sustainability. Whether its price comes down to a more “realistic” value depends on a few key factors:
1. Utility vs. Speculation
A significant portion of XRP’s price is driven by speculation, not just utility. Many holders are retail investors betting on future institutional adoption.
If speculation cools down and usage remains limited to settlement purposes (where XRP is only held for seconds), the price could decline over time to reflect actual utility.
2. Market Cycles & Sentiment
Crypto markets go through bull and bear cycles. In bear markets, assets that lack strong organic demand (beyond speculation) tend to lose value.
If hype around XRP fades and institutions don’t adopt it at scale, its price may correct to better reflect real-world usage.
3. Inflation & Supply Dynamics
XRP has a fixed max supply of 100 billion, but a large portion is still held by Ripple and periodically released.
If Ripple continues selling XRP from its reserves, it could create sell pressure, gradually pushing prices down.
However, XRP is also deflationary, as transaction fees burn small amounts over time—but this effect is minimal in the grand scheme.
4. Institutional Adoption
If banks and financial institutions fully integrate XRP and hold it as a reserve asset, it could justify a high valuation.
But most banks prefer private ledgers and stablecoins over holding volatile assets like XRP, limiting potential demand.
5. Competitive Landscape
XRP was originally designed for fast, cheap payments, but other solutions like stablecoins (USDC, USDT) and CBDCs are gaining traction.
If banks prefer these alternatives, XRP’s price could drop to align with lower demand.
Realistic Price Outlook?
If XRP remains primarily a settlement tool, a valuation correction could bring it closer to its real utility value (which may be much lower than today’s levels).
However, if a new narrative or significant adoption shift occurs, speculative cycles could keep it elevated.
Long-term, unless real demand matches its high valuation, the price may deflate to more sustainable levels.
QUESTION: Is the value of XRP currently way higher than it should be compared to its usage
Yes, based on its current real-world usage, XRP’s valuation appears to be significantly higher than what its actual adoption justifies.
Why?
Usage Doesn’t Match Market Cap
XRP is mainly used for cross-border settlements, but banks don’t need to hold large amounts for long.
Most transactions are instant, meaning there’s no long-term demand pressure.
If XRP were widely used by banks, we’d expect daily transaction volume (not just speculative trading volume) to be massive—yet it's relatively low.
Speculative Premium
A large portion of XRP’s price is driven by speculation rather than real institutional demand.
Many investors believe in a future where XRP will be used at scale, but that adoption hasn’t fully materialized.
Its past bull run prices were based on hype, and prices could drop as reality sets in.
Supply & Sell Pressure
Ripple holds a significant portion of XRP and periodically sells into the market.
This constant release of XRP into circulation creates downward pressure.
Competition from Stablecoins & CBDCs
Many banks and financial institutions are leaning toward stablecoins (USDC, USDT) and CBDCs rather than volatile assets like XRP.
Stablecoins provide instant settlements without the volatility risk of XRP, making them more appealing for payments and cross-border transfers.
Conclusion
Unless XRP gains widespread institutional adoption beyond just being a settlement tool, its valuation is inflated relative to its current use case. If hype dies down and utility doesn’t significantly increase, a correction would make sense in the long run.
QUESTION: The current price is 2.75 is that overvalued?
Yes, if XRP is currently trading at $2.75, then it is extremely overvalued relative to its actual real-world usage. That price is almost entirely speculation-driven rather than being backed by fundamental demand from banks and institutions.
Why is XRP Overvalued?
Speculation Dominates
The price is likely inflated due to retail and institutional traders betting on future adoption, not actual usage today.
Many holders believe XRP will be widely used by banks in the future, but that hasn’t fully materialized.
Utility-Driven Valuation is Much Lower
As calculated earlier, based on actual transaction volume and settlement needs, a more realistic price for XRP without speculation could be anywhere from $0.05 to $0.50.
At $2.75, XRP’s market cap is massively inflated compared to its real-world demand.
Ripple’s XRP Holdings & Selling Pressure
Ripple still holds a significant amount of XRP and regularly sells into the market.
If real demand doesn’t increase, but more XRP enters circulation, it could create downward price pressure over time.
Banks Prefer Stablecoins & CBDCs
Financial institutions are increasingly looking at stablecoins (USDC, USDT) and central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) for payments instead of XRP.
Unlike XRP, stablecoins don’t have volatility issues, making them more attractive for settlements.
What Could Happen Next?
If speculation dies down and investors realize XRP’s real use case is limited, a significant price correction could happen.
XRP could still maintain some premium due to speculation, but long-term, it needs actual adoption to justify a multi-dollar price.
Conclusion
At $2.75, XRP is massively overvalued based on its current utility. If speculation fades, a more reasonable price could be well under $1—or even below $0.50—unless it gains widespread, real-world adoption beyond what it has today.
None of this is financial advice, just satire!
XRP Even Chat GPT Knows XRP Is About To Get Revalued .10 CentsMAKE SURE YOU READ TO THE END THE END IS THE BEST!
If XRP is only being used as a settlement currency for bank then why would there be these wild price predictions when the market cap is already $150 billion?
ChatGPT said:
Great question! The wild price predictions for XRP often stem from different interpretations of its utility, demand, and supply dynamics. Let's break it down:
Market Cap Misconceptions
XRP's market cap is often misunderstood. Market cap = price × circulating supply, but price movements depend more on liquidity and demand rather than market cap alone.
Many price predictions assume increased utility will drive higher demand, but market cap alone doesn’t dictate price ceilings.
Bank Adoption and Utility Argument
If XRP is mainly used as a bridge currency for cross-border settlements, its price would be driven by transaction volume rather than speculation.
However, banks and financial institutions don’t need to hold XRP for long periods—it's typically used in seconds. This limits the need for large amounts of XRP to be held, which could cap price growth.
Speculative vs. Real Utility
Many wild price predictions ($100+, $500+, etc.) are fueled by speculation rather than actual use cases.
In reality, even if XRP were widely used for settlement, price appreciation would depend on sustained demand, not just temporary spikes.
Liquidity and Scarcity Factors
Some argue that as more institutions use XRP, liquidity will tighten, potentially driving price increases.
However, the XRP supply is large (100 billion total, with over 50 billion circulating), and large holders (like Ripple itself) could introduce selling pressure.
Regulatory and Adoption Uncertainty
XRP's legal battles and regulatory clarity impact its adoption. A major victory (like its partial win against the SEC) can fuel hype-driven price predictions.
True institutional adoption is still limited, and even if banks use it, they may prefer private ledgers over using the open market.
Bottom Line
XRP has real utility in cross-border payments, but its role as a settlement currency doesn’t necessarily justify extreme price predictions. The market cap is already large, and unless significant new demand arises, a massive price surge would require much broader institutional adoption beyond just bank settlements.
You said:
So currently the valuation of XRP is already way higher than many banks and companies will the price eventually come down to a more realistic price to value in the future?
ChatGPT said:
That’s a solid perspective. XRP’s current valuation is indeed higher than many traditional banks and financial institutions, which raises the question of sustainability. Whether its price comes down to a more “realistic” value depends on a few key factors:
1. Utility vs. Speculation
A significant portion of XRP’s price is driven by speculation, not just utility. Many holders are retail investors betting on future institutional adoption.
If speculation cools down and usage remains limited to settlement purposes (where XRP is only held for seconds), the price could decline over time to reflect actual utility.
2. Market Cycles & Sentiment
Crypto markets go through bull and bear cycles. In bear markets, assets that lack strong organic demand (beyond speculation) tend to lose value.
If hype around XRP fades and institutions don’t adopt it at scale, its price may correct to better reflect real-world usage.
3. Inflation & Supply Dynamics
XRP has a fixed max supply of 100 billion, but a large portion is still held by Ripple and periodically released.
If Ripple continues selling XRP from its reserves, it could create sell pressure, gradually pushing prices down.
However, XRP is also deflationary, as transaction fees burn small amounts over time—but this effect is minimal in the grand scheme.
4. Institutional Adoption
If banks and financial institutions fully integrate XRP and hold it as a reserve asset, it could justify a high valuation.
But most banks prefer private ledgers and stablecoins over holding volatile assets like XRP, limiting potential demand.
5. Competitive Landscape
XRP was originally designed for fast, cheap payments, but other solutions like stablecoins (USDC, USDT) and CBDCs are gaining traction.
If banks prefer these alternatives, XRP’s price could drop to align with lower demand.
Realistic Price Outlook?
If XRP remains primarily a settlement tool, a valuation correction could bring it closer to its real utility value (which may be much lower than today’s levels).
However, if a new narrative or significant adoption shift occurs, speculative cycles could keep it elevated.
Long-term, unless real demand matches its high valuation, the price may deflate to more sustainable levels.
You said:
So in your opinion the value of XRP currently is way higher than it should be compared to its usage
ChatGPT said:
Yes, based on its current real-world usage, XRP’s valuation appears to be significantly higher than what its actual adoption justifies.
Why?
Usage Doesn’t Match Market Cap
XRP is mainly used for cross-border settlements, but banks don’t need to hold large amounts for long.
Most transactions are instant, meaning there’s no long-term demand pressure.
If XRP were widely used by banks, we’d expect daily transaction volume (not just speculative trading volume) to be massive—yet it's relatively low.
Speculative Premium
A large portion of XRP’s price is driven by speculation rather than real institutional demand.
Many investors believe in a future where XRP will be used at scale, but that adoption hasn’t fully materialized.
Its past bull run prices were based on hype, and prices could drop as reality sets in.
Supply & Sell Pressure
Ripple holds a significant portion of XRP and periodically sells into the market.
This constant release of XRP into circulation creates downward pressure.
Competition from Stablecoins & CBDCs
Many banks and financial institutions are leaning toward stablecoins (USDC, USDT) and CBDCs rather than volatile assets like XRP.
Stablecoins provide instant settlements without the volatility risk of XRP, making them more appealing for payments and cross-border transfers.
Conclusion
Unless XRP gains widespread institutional adoption beyond just being a settlement tool, its valuation is inflated relative to its current use case. If hype dies down and utility doesn’t significantly increase, a correction would make sense in the long run.
You said:
What is a reasonable valuation for XRP removing all the speculation and only considering the current usage of it?
ChatGPT said:
A reasonable valuation for XRP, based purely on current real-world usage and removing speculation, would likely be significantly lower than its current market cap. Here's how we can approach estimating a fair value based on utility alone:
1. On-Demand Liquidity (ODL) & Settlement Usage
XRP's primary use case is cross-border payments through RippleNet and On-Demand Liquidity (ODL).
While Ripple claims growing adoption, the actual daily transactional volume from banks and institutions using XRP is small compared to its total market cap.
A large portion of XRP trading volume still comes from speculation on exchanges, not institutional settlement use.
Estimating Utility-Based Price
Let’s assume banks & financial institutions only need a fraction of XRP's supply at any given time for real transactions.
For context, SWIFT (the dominant global payment network) settles $5 trillion per day, but that doesn’t mean XRP will replace it or capture all of that volume.
Even if XRP were used for 1% of SWIFT’s volume, that would be around $50 billion in daily transactions.
Given that XRP is designed for rapid settlement (held for seconds, not days), the actual liquidity needed in the system would be far smaller—likely a few billion dollars at most.
2. Supply & Circulating Coins
Current circulating supply: ~55 billion XRP
If XRP’s real usage demand is only a few billion dollars at any given time, then its price per coin would be much lower than today’s level.
A conservative model: If XRP needed a total market cap of $5 billion to serve its actual transactional volume, the price per XRP would be:
$5,000,000,00055,000,000,000=$0.09
55,000,000,000$5,000,000,000=$0.09
If XRP needed a $10 billion market cap, the price per XRP would be $0.18.
These numbers assume zero speculation and only reflect practical usage.
3. Competitive Alternatives
Banks may prefer stablecoins (USDC, USDT) or CBDCs for settlements instead of XRP.
If that happens, XRP’s utility-based value could drop even further.
Final Thought
Pure utility price range (removing speculation): $0.05 - $0.50 per XRP (depending on actual adoption).
Current price (~$0.60 - $0.70 as of early 2024) is mostly speculation rather than true demand from banks.
If XRP’s adoption expands beyond just settlements (e.g., DeFi, smart contracts), its valuation could be higher, but based on current use, a fair price is likely far lower than today's market cap suggests.
You said:
The current price is 2.75 though so that means that its extremely overvalued?
ChatGPT said:
Yes, if XRP is currently trading at $2.75, then it is extremely overvalued relative to its actual real-world usage. That price is almost entirely speculation-driven rather than being backed by fundamental demand from banks and institutions.
Why is XRP Overvalued?
Speculation Dominates
The price is likely inflated due to retail and institutional traders betting on future adoption, not actual usage today.
Many holders believe XRP will be widely used by banks in the future, but that hasn’t fully materialized.
Utility-Driven Valuation is Much Lower
As calculated earlier, based on actual transaction volume and settlement needs, a more realistic price for XRP without speculation could be anywhere from $0.05 to $0.50.
At $2.75, XRP’s market cap is massively inflated compared to its real-world demand.
Ripple’s XRP Holdings & Selling Pressure
Ripple still holds a significant amount of XRP and regularly sells into the market.
If real demand doesn’t increase, but more XRP enters circulation, it could create downward price pressure over time.
Banks Prefer Stablecoins & CBDCs
Financial institutions are increasingly looking at stablecoins (USDC, USDT) and central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) for payments instead of XRP.
Unlike XRP, stablecoins don’t have volatility issues, making them more attractive for settlements.
What Could Happen Next?
If speculation dies down and investors realize XRP’s real use case is limited, a significant price correction could happen.
XRP could still maintain some premium due to speculation, but long-term, it needs actual adoption to justify a multi-dollar price.
Conclusion
At $2.75, XRP is massively overvalued based on its current utility. If speculation fades, a more reasonable price could be well under $1—or even below $0.50—unless it gains widespread, real-world adoption beyond what it has today.
Good luck, this is going to destroy so many people, its so sad. None of this is financial advice its just my opinion.
