With the S&P-500 at all time highs, have you ever wondered why financials are lagging? Many people bought bank shares last year because they were cheap. Guess what? They got cheaper. This is a comparison of-XLF and the falling yield for 10 year T-Notes. This is a a NON-INVERS E relationship. If yields keep falling, banks will have a very hard time making money...
Inverse relationship installment number 5. I thought I would show you an INVERSE relationship between silver-and-falling rates. It is not nearly as strong as-gold . In quality engineering we would call this a problem with the "signal to noise ratio". The signal would be the falling 10 year yield, but the noise is that silver-doesn't rally as well as-gold. In...
Inverse relationship example number 4. One tool I use to position myself, long or short, is any strong correlation in the 10 Year Treasury Note yield and an interest sensitive asset. Look at Terreno-Reality. There is a CAUSE & EFFECT you can use. A classic predictive tool..... The INVERSE relationship when interest rates fall and real estate assets...
Inverse relationships installment number 3. One more time - One tool I use to position myself, long or short, is any strong correlation in the 10 Year Treasury Note yield and an interest sensitive asset. Look at Monmouth-Reality. There is a CAUSE & EFFECT you can use. A classic predictive tool..... The INVERSE relationship when interest rates fall and real estate...
Inverse Relationships Installment 2. One tool I use to position myself, long or short, is any strong correlation in the 10 Year Treasury Note yield and an interest sensitive asset. Look at-Gold. There is a CAUSE & EFFECT you can use. A classic predictive tool..... The INVERSE relationship when interest rates fell and gold-began to breakout to the upside. This is...
One tool I use to position myself, long or short, is any strong correlation in the 10 Year Treasury Note yield and an interest sensitive asset. Look at Agree Reality. There is a CAUSE & EFFECT you can use. A classic predictive tool..... The INVERSE relationship when interest rates fall and real estate assets rise. Caution: ADC-is also rising because it has a...
Today's THREE key words continue to be: INVERSE. CAUSE & EFFECT. Last week I published a VERY BULLISH CHART FOR-XME. I explained that-XME would breakout to the upside.. This article will try to explain the WHY. The CBOE-10 year Treasury Note Yield (above chart) is LOCKED IN A STRONG DOWN-TREND. This has an INVERSE relationship for price action in-XME. For those...
This chart is Part 2 of a two part series. The chart in Part 1 was for the 10 Year Interest Rate Yield. It is SOLIDLY DOWN. This chart demonstrates the CAUSE & EFFECT of lower rates in regard to-TLT. It is the INVERSE of Part 1. TLT-is breaking out to the upside. Do lower rates affect trades you are considering? As always, good luck to you. Don.
Today's THREE key words: INVERSE. CAUSE & EFFECT. Yesterday I published a VERY BULLISH CHART FOR-TLT. I explained the WHAT (TLT-to rise). This article will try to explain the WHY. The CBOE-10 year Treasury Note Yield (above chart) is LOCKED IN A STRONG DOWN-TREND. This has an INVERSE relationship for price action in-TLT. As a former quality engineer I would...
I believe the consolidation in TLT-is completed and a new and POWERFUL up-leg is gaining strength. Let's review Don's TRADE-MAP approach: TRADE = 1. T : Time and space (Fractals); 2. R : Repeating Cycles; 3. A : Advancing Trend; 4. D : Declining Trend; 5. E : Energy in Phase Forces. .....MAP = 6. M : Momentum and Velocity; 7. A : Analysis of Structure; 8. P :...
Three hours ago I published a bearish Gartley pattern for-DXY. This was on a 4 hour chart. Above is a daily chart. This chart demonstrates that DXY-has met stiff resistance at Fibonacci .618. Also note the phase energy bars have turned red. Good luck to you. Don.
A bearish Gartley pattern has developed in DXY-on a four hour chart. The Ichimoku Cloud is positive, the trend-line is positive, but the alligator, vortex, and phase energy are all negative. The Fed is meeting today...Will interest rates remain on hold? Don't just flip a coin.... If you are long-DXY, it is suggested that you keep your stops close. Good luck to you. Don.
Disclaimer: I am not affiliated with-ADC in any way. I have been long the stock, and added to my position. I am always interested in the chart patterns that I review. Do they forecast the news, or does the news forecast the chart patterns? Three days ago I alerted all that ADC-was to release its earnings on 07-25-16. Here is what the company did in the latest...
Ten days ago I said that TLT-would likely pull-back to $137.78. It has been going sideways at Fibonacci .618 (again). Let's review Don's TRADE-MAP approach: TRADE = 1. T : Time and space (Fractals); 2. R : Repeating Cycles; 3. A : Advancing Trend; 4. D : Declining Trend; 5. E : Energy in Phase Forces. .....MAP = 6. M : Momentum and Velocity; 7. A : Analysis of...
I traditionally use candlesticks and the Ichimoku Cloud when charting. For a different perspective, I wanted to look at-GLD using a Kagi chart. The Kagi is a chart used for tracking price movements and to make decisions on purchasing. It differs from traditional charts such as the Candlestick chart by being mostly independent of time. This aids in producing a...
Gold-is the likely safety trade for world currencies (and central banks) gone astray. A five wave impulse pattern just completed should lend itself to three minor corrective waves. The first pullback is likely to be Fibonacci .618, or $124-$125. Let's review Don's TRADE-MAP approach: TRADE = 1. T : Time and space (Fractals); 2. R : Repeating Cycles; 3. A :...
Update. Six days ago I wrote about the strong technical patterns in-SWC. Today I alert those interested that-SWC earnings are scheduled to be released 07-29-16. The question to be answered: Do the strong chart patterns forecast an acceptable earnings release? On the last earnings release 05-06-16-SWC lost $.08 per share and the stock sold off. What does this mean...
Update. Eleven days ago I wrote about the strong technical patterns in-MNR. Today I alert those interested that-MNR earnings are scheduled to be released 08-03-16. The question to be answered: Do the strong chart patterns forecast an acceptable earnings release? The forward P/E is 19.94, the trailing twelve months P/E is 21.32. What does this mean to you? There...