Cherry94

Cherry94 Updated 

Fundamentals & Sentiment GBP: - The pair didn't hold lower after the negative CPI this week - Strong Retail Sales today - There's still a miniscule chance that the rate will be unchanged - Biggest carry currency USD: - Shrugged off good US data yesterday Technical & Other - Entered 3m after the Retail Sales release - Failed breakout below 1.3...

Cherry94 Updated 

USD: - Undervalued according to many market internals - CPI Beat - Monster jobs data (NFP, Unemployment, etc.) - USD held well on Fri-Mon so the last mixed data (Initial claims beat - dovish) was shrugged off. CHF: - Generally, the franc is too expensive for SNB's liking - Bearish Internals Technical & Other Setup: S(B) Setup timeframe: 1h Trigger:...

Cherry94 Updated 

Fundamentals & Sentiment NZD: - Data: CPI along with prior recent data are dovish - RBNZ: "there's a scope for further cuts..." USD: - Fed: Cautious approach to cuts - Data: mixed - Bullish CFTC Technical & Other - Sell limit Setup: TC(B) Setup timeframe: 4h Trigger: 1h Medium-term: Down Long-term: Range Min target: Next support...

Cherry94 Updated 

Fundamentals & Sentiment HK50: - Expectations of some positive clarifications on the real estate briefing tomorrow - HK launched some measures to stimulate its economy USD: - Risks: rates expectations, geopolitical risks, Technical & Other Setup: S(RTF) Setup timeframe: 4h Trigger: 1h Medium-term: Up Long-term: Up Min target: Local high Stop...

Cherry94 Updated 

Fundamentals & Sentiment JPN225: - BoJ: "proceed cautiously" - can be interpreted as dovish; CFTC - Weakness in JPY: Market internals, CFTC - New PM to prevent deflation - Dull economic data - dovish USD: - Risks: elections, Middle East tensions Technical & Other Setup: TC(B) Setup timeframe: 4h Trigger: 4h Medium-term: Up Long-term: Up Min...

Cherry94 Updated 

Fundamentals & Sentiment HK50: - Yesterday's news of 6 trlilion yuan stimulus USD: - Risks: pre-elections uncertainty, Middle East tensions, undervalued by market internals and CFTC. Technical & Other - Got in 5 minutes after the announcement during the US session; not the best entry technically Setup: Other Setup timeframe: 1h ...

Cherry94 Updated 

Fundamentals & Sentiment USD: - Undervalued according to many market internals - CPI Beat - Monster jobs data (NFP, Unemployment, etc.) - Risks: Initial claims beat - the market might see it dovish CHF: - Generally, the franc is too expensive for SNB's liking - Bearish Internals Technical & Other Setup: S(B) Setup timeframe: 4h Trigger: 4h ...

Cherry94 Updated 

Fundamentals & Sentiment AUD: - Undervalued according to CFTC - Chinese stocks are under pressure - The recent Minutes weren't dovish enough NZD: - Risks: the momentum from the cut continues Technical & Other - seeing the pop up as overdone Setup: TR(RTF) Setup timeframe: D Trigger: 15m Medium-term: Up Long-term: Range Min target: pre-cut lows ...

Cherry94 Updated 

Fundamentals & Sentiment HK50: - Stimulus package - Home sales increased USD, HKD: - Risk: Strong NFP might put pressure on equities but it's quite ambiguous in the case of Chinese equities Technical & Other Risk: quite stretched Setup: TC(B) Setup timeframe: 4h Trigger: 1h Medium-term: Up Long-term: Up Min target: 24000 Stop loss: 1.52% ...

Cherry94 Updated 

Fundamentals & Sentiment USD: - Undervalued according to many market internals - Monster jobs data (NFP, Unemployment, etc.) AUD: - Bearish Internals & recent economic data Technical & Other Setup: TC(B) Setup timeframe: 1h Trigger: 1m Medium-term: Range Long-term: Up Min target: Mirror level Stop loss: 0.38% Position size: 0.6R

Cherry94 Updated 

Fundamentals & Sentiment USD: - Undervalued according to many market internals - Monster jobs data (NFP, Unemployment, etc.) CHF: - Generally, the franc is too expensive for SNB's liking - Bearish Internals Technical & Other Setup: S(B) Setup timeframe: 4h Trigger: 5m Medium-term: Range Long-term: Down Min target: Aug highs Stop loss: 0.33% ...

Cherry94 Updated 

Fundamentals & Sentiment EUR: - Market Internals - Service PMI Beat after a gloomy series of news in EU (CPI, French deficit) - Quite a bearish rhetoric of ECB CAD: - Some bearish comments - Oil is subdued Technical & Other - Seeing euro decline as overdone, expecting shorts unwinding Setup: S(RTF) Setup timeframe: 4h Trigger: 1h ...

Cherry94 Updated 

Fundamentals & Sentiment USD: - Middle East tensions reaction seems exhausted - Mixed recent economic data CNH: - Relaxed restrictions on home buying should stimulate yuan demand - Chinese stock market should drive the demand for yuan Technical & Other Setup: Other - S(RTF), No Stop Hunt Setup timeframe: 4h Trigger: 1h Medium-term: Down Long-term:...

Cherry94 Updated 

Fundamentals & Sentiment USD: - Undervalued according to many market internals, CFTC NZD: - Dovish course of RBNZ - Bearish market internals Technical & Other Setup: TR(RTF) Setup timeframe: 4h Trigger: 1h Medium-term: Up Long-term: Up Min target: DMA(10) Stop loss: 0.52% Position size: 0.5R

Cherry94 Updated 

Fundamentals SPX - China stimulus news - Risk: Seasonality USD - Strong dovish remarks from Golsbee Technical & Other Setup: TC(B) Setup timeframe: 4h Trigger: 1h Medium-term: Up Long-term: Range Min target: 3R, Fib ext. level Risk: 0.5% Risk (R): 0.5R

Cherry94 Updated 

Fundamentals & Sentiment USD: - Undervalued according to many market internals CHF: - Generally, the franc is too expensive for SNB's liking Technical & Other - Expecting USD shorts from this week to unwind before the big US data releases next week Setup: S(RTF) Setup timeframe: 4h Trigger: 1h Medium-term: Range Long-term: Down Min target:...

Cherry94 Updated 

Fundamentals & Sentiment CAD: Bullish oil inventory data yesterday. Generally ok US data (GDP, Claims, etc) today. Risk-on sentiment continuation from China stimulus. JPY: Bearish Internals, CFTC. Technical & Other Setup: TC(RTF) Setup timeframe: 1h Trigger: 15m Medium term: Up Long-term: Down Min target: 3R Risk: 0.27% Risk R: 0.5R Main risk: buying into...

Cherry94 Updated 

Fundamentals & Sentiment EUR: - Recent bearish economic data CHF: - Consensus is 0.25 cut, but the market is currently pricing in -37 b.pts. cut. Betting on pricing out towards the consensus. Technical & Other Setup: S(RTF) Setup timeframe: 4h Trigger: 1h Medium term: Up Long-term: Down Min target: DMA(10) Risk: 0.50% Risk R: 0.5R