Alright, let’s break this down. We’ve seen a significant influx of call options at the 70,000 strike on the CME, which is generally a pretty positive signal. Especially when you consider the recent breakout from a descending broad channel, with prices holding just above that upper boundary. Looks like we’re heading up—clear signal, right? But here’s the kicker:...
Our analysis of options portfolios from October 25th revealed a Straddle setup on the Japanese yen futures, with a short expiration date set for November 1, 2024. Now, this isn’t exactly a rare sight for the yen; these Straddle portfolios pop up pretty regularly, especially when we’re looking at short expiration periods. From what we've seen, in about 4 out of 5...
A platinum Insider hasn't changed portfolio yet, so there's still potential for more growth. Let me remind you, on September 4th, an insider came into the Platinum market and went long, which caused the price of Platinum (and other precious metals) to go up. Now, prices are getting close to his target levels. This is important because it shows the market's...
Let me start with a disclaimer that I firmly believe in and adhere to: don’t flip the trend; leave that to those who are just here to play around and get their adrenaline fix while watching their accounts explode. Now, let’s get down to business. On August 5, 2024, when gold was languishing in a sideways market around $2400 on the CME, an insider option...
These circles (on the chart) show where bears are stuck. Such levels have a great inductive element to them. And how they're crossed, whether they hang around for a while or rebounce quickly, gives a good indication of what the market price will do next. Moreover, according to publicly data, the average retail positions level is approximately $2,580. In other...
Someone yesterday dumped a lot of money into an options portfolio, that's designed to lower the price of December US10-year Bond futures. That automatically means more US 10Y yield, and since there's a strong correlation with the Dollar, it also means the Dollar is going up. The most curious thing is watching how the S&P 500 makes ATH during rising Dollar. Such...
Well, he crypto options market is experiencing a surge in growth, driven by increasing adoption and maturation. Key trends include short-term turbulence versus long-term growth, with a focus on short volatility on elections and long positions on new all-time highs by the end of the year. Whale Activity Whales are taking a protectionist approach, with a focus on...
Let me share my observations on Bitcoin, starting with the obvious. On the 4-hour chart, any trader with more than a week of experience can see that Bitcoin is moving in a widening descending channel. To put it simply, the price action is forming a "trail" that fits perfectly within this channel. Over the past few days, prices have been "testing" the...
Negative option flows were found for two metals at the same time: silver and copper. Portfolios that want prices to fall appeared at the same time as the market is growing, which is interesting. The positions are quite large, but they cannot be called "Insider positions", so we will be careful with forecasts. Of course, we need chart confirmation that...
The euro is looking good for bulls right now. It's hit those liquid levels twice now and broken through them. The way it's crossed those levels, №1 and №2, is a sign of growth, at least for the short term. But I can't do not noticing that the options market is putting in a drop in quotes and buying PUTS out- of- the money in this case. For instance, on Friday...
Platinum's insider was discovered! He was last seen at it on March 7th of this year, and platinum prices have jumped by 20% since then! Now, his target price is between $1100 and $1200 , representing a greater than 20% increase. There's some significant momentum going on there. We are keeping a close eye on it.
We are watching the price closely to see if it stays stable. If it falls below 22 Aug bears candles (see on the chart) and stays there, it could be a problem. For now, I'm being cautious even though things seem positive overall and even too positive especially in option market.
Guys, don't get me wrong, but it's like they knock out the bears before going down. The sentiment indicators we're looking at agree with that. In particular, yesterday, with the rise in quotes, some participants are actively draining call options in-the-money with about 15 trading days ahead. In other words, they just cut the profits and didn't wait. Take a look...
Hey everyone! We've got some data from the CME Exchange for August 13th. We're looking at option sentiment, which is meant to fall quotes in the 0.63 area within 30-40 days (the option portfolio's shown in the screenshot). It makes sense because there's a lot of bearish liquidity in that area, as confirmed by the price action there.But keep in mind that retail...
The Japanese yen option market bet on Straddle. A "Straddle" is a type of options strategy that aims to profit from market volatility regardless of the direction of price movement. In simpler terms, a Straddle involves buying both a call and put option with the same strike price, creating a neutral position. This type of strategy can generate profits if the...
Filtering Options by Sentiment: A Key to Profitable Trading As traders, we're constantly on the lookout for ways to gain an edge in the markets. Option portfolios analysis is not a magic solution for success itself, but it can and should be a great tool to add to your trading strategy. Learning how to analyze the option portfolios of big and successful players...
So, gold quotes have hit the 'liquidity zone', where buyers trading the 'Engulfing' pattern are lurking, and we're seeing a breakout of the local high (on lower timeframes). You know the mantra: the market is always hunting for liquidity. Here's a textbook example. These zones have a solid predictive sentiment. If the quotes continue to 'chop' within a narrow...
There's a pretty big reason to talk about the forecast for the yen's exchange rate. It's because of that big option trade that happened yesterday on the CME (Chicago Mercantile Exchange). These kind of transactions don't happen often with the yen, and this was the biggest one of the year so far. Here's a chart of the nearest yen futures. It shows where the quotes...